Perth vs Melbourne United Prediction & Stats

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	95.7	97.8	193.5	-2.1	54%
Season at home (11)	96.3	96.4	192.6	-0.1	64%
Season away (2)	92.5	105.5	198.0	-13.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	97.0	98.1	195.1	-1.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	100.6	101.2	201.8	-0.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	90.9	98.7	189.6	-7.9	29%
vs Similar (14)	93.0	92.3	185.3	+0.7	57%
vs Weaker (9)	99.9	87.2	187.1	+12.7	89%

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melbourne United Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormUnited

Date

Competition

Adelaide

96-91

93avg 81

A07/10

NBL

South East Melbourne

#10

104-99

104

102avg 81

A10/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

89-91

-2

81avg 81

H18/10

NBL

Perth

102-103

102

103

-1

96avg 81

A23/10

NBL

Sydney

105-95

105

+10

93avg 81

H25/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

113-97

113

+16

109avg 81

A31/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

94-74

+20

no box

H02/11

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

120-92

120

+28

no box

H07/11

NBL

Adelaide

93-101

101

-8

no box

A12/11

NBL

South East Melbourne

#10

102-95

102

no box

H14/11

NBL

31-21

25-17

20-21

20-32

17-30

28-23

29-21

30-25

27-21

16-35

22-22

24-13

26-25

22-21

31-31

23-26

32-31

24-20

21-13

28-31

26-33

25-21

34-19

28-24

28-19

15-20

27-16

24-19

29-17

33-31

21-25

37-19

10-27

25-32

27-21

31-21

30-22

34-17

23-29

15-27

195.6Avg total

101.8Scored

93.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	98.3	91.9	190.2	+6.4	57%
Season at home (7)	100.0	93.0	193.0	+7.0	57%
Season away (7)	96.6	90.9	187.4	+5.7	57%
Last 10 (10)	101.8	93.8	195.6	+8.0	70%
Last 5 (5)	104.4	91.8	196.2	+12.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	94.0	97.0	191.0	-3.0	0%
vs Similar (6)	84.8	87.5	172.3	-2.7	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	93.6	88.3	181.9	+5.2	57%

This opponent (Perth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PerthMelbourne United

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.4	24.2	48.5	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (20)	23.4	22.9	46.2	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (10)	26.4	26.8	53.2	-0.4	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	27.9	50.2	-5.6	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	28.6	51.2	-6.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	22.6	26.1	48.7	-3.6	43%	-
vs Similar (14)	25.1	24.3	49.4	+0.8	57%	-
vs Weaker (9)	24.7	22.4	47.1	+2.2	56%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	23.3	45.7	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.7	22.6	47.3	+2.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	24.1	43.9	-4.2	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.6	24.6	50.2	+1.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	23.6	48.2	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	23.0	26.0	49.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	22.2	25.3	47.5	-3.2	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	22.5	22.7	45.1	-0.2	48%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	23.7	45.5	-1.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (20)	22.6	22.9	45.5	-0.2	45%	-
Last 30 away (10)	20.1	25.3	45.4	-5.2	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	22.7	45.2	-0.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	24.0	47.0	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	21.6	24.3	45.9	-2.7	29%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.1	24.6	45.7	-3.4	29%	-
vs Weaker (9)	23.0	21.9	44.9	+1.1	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.4	22.1	46.5	+2.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.4	21.2	44.6	+2.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	25.6	23.1	48.7	+2.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.7	23.7	48.4	+1.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.4	24.2	50.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	25.0	30.0	55.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	23.3	19.7	43.0	+3.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	24.7	22.4	47.0	+2.3	65%	-

PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

South East Melbourne

#10

48-46

H02/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

41-38

H10/10

NBL

Sydney

43-52

-9

A17/10

NBL

Melbourne United

46-48

-2

H23/10

NBL

Sydney

42-59

-17

H28/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

44-51

-7

H31/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

43-63

-20

A04/11

NBL

Cairns Taipans

48-53

-5

H08/11

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

43-48

-5

H12/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

50-48

H14/11

NBL

95.4Avg total

44.8Scored

50.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.2	47.9	94.0	-1.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (20)	46.0	45.8	91.8	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (10)	46.5	52.1	98.6	-5.6	30%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.8	50.6	95.4	-5.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.6	52.6	98.2	-7.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	44.1	50.4	94.6	-6.3	14%	-
vs Similar (14)	46.2	48.9	95.1	-2.6	43%	-
vs Weaker (9)	47.7	44.3	92.0	+3.3	67%	-

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

56-38

+18

A07/10

NBL

South East Melbourne

#10

45-53

-8

A10/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

43-56

-13

H18/10

NBL

Perth

48-46

A23/10

NBL

Sydney

56-51

H25/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

51-54

-3

A31/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

43-39

H02/11

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

62-48

+14

H07/11

NBL

Adelaide

35-59

-24

A12/11

NBL

South East Melbourne

#10

64-39

+25

H14/11

NBL

98.6Avg total

50.3Scored

48.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.8	45.4	92.2	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	48.1	43.8	91.9	+4.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	45.4	47.2	92.6	-1.8	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	50.3	48.3	98.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	51.0	47.8	98.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	48.0	56.0	104.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	45.5	45.0	90.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	47.1	45.0	92.2	+2.1	52%	-

This opponent (Perth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.4	21.3	44.8	+2.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (20)	23.3	20.6	44.0	+2.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (10)	23.7	22.7	46.4	+1.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	22.8	47.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	20.6	43.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	24.0	22.6	46.6	+1.4	43%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.0	21.9	42.9	-0.9	43%	-
vs Weaker (9)	26.8	19.6	46.3	+7.2	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	22.1	43.8	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	23.2	44.7	-1.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.0	20.7	42.7	+1.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.5	21.8	47.3	+3.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.4	22.0	48.4	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	25.0	23.0	48.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar (6)	15.3	20.0	35.3	-4.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	23.2	22.6	45.8	+0.7	48%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.3	22.8	47.1	+1.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (20)	23.7	22.3	46.0	+1.4	70%	-
Last 30 away (10)	25.6	23.8	49.4	+1.8	70%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.1	23.9	50.0	+2.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.8	26.4	55.2	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	22.7	25.7	48.4	-3.0	43%	-
vs Similar (14)	25.8	21.6	47.4	+4.2	86%	-
vs Weaker (9)	23.3	22.4	45.8	+0.9	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.3	21.0	44.3	+2.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.2	20.4	43.6	+2.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.4	21.6	45.1	+1.8	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.0	23.7	49.7	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.0	22.0	49.0	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	21.0	18.0	39.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Similar (6)	24.0	22.5	46.5	+1.5	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	23.2	20.7	44.0	+2.5	61%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.8	44.1	91.9	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (20)	47.0	43.0	90.0	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (10)	49.3	46.5	95.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	50.3	46.7	97.0	+3.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	51.2	47.0	98.2	+4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	46.7	48.3	95.0	-1.6	57%	-
vs Similar (14)	46.8	43.4	90.2	+3.4	57%	-
vs Weaker (9)	50.1	42.0	92.1	+8.1	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.0	43.1	88.1	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.6	43.7	88.3	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	45.4	42.4	87.8	+3.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	51.5	45.5	97.0	+6.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	53.4	44.0	97.4	+9.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	46.0	41.0	87.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Similar (6)	39.3	42.5	81.8	-3.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	46.4	43.3	89.7	+3.1	52%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 87.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game

50%

34%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.8	20.3	53.7%	56.4%	40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.2	10.9	34.9%	34.2%	32.7
🏀 Free throws	16.6	14.0	84.3%	74.0%	14.0

They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Melbourne Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melbourne United: 96.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀54%

🏀🏀🏀26%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers52.2 pts a game · 54% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 26% of the points

🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game

50%

34%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	46.0	26.1	56.7%	56.4%	52.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.7	8.3	32.3%	34.2%	24.9
🏀 Free throws	26.2	19.6	74.8%	74.0%	19.6

They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.9	23.9	59.9%	56.4%	47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.6	10.9	35.6%	34.2%	32.7
🏀 Free throws	18.9	14.1	74.6%	74.0%	14.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.0	22.2	54.1%	56.4%	44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	33.9	10.5	31.0%	34.2%	31.5
🏀 Free throws	20.3	16.1	79.3%	74.0%	16.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.8	22.0	54.0%	56.4%	44.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.4	9.9	35.0%	34.2%	29.8
🏀 Free throws	19.9	15.2	76.3%	74.0%	15.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.4	23.4	52.6%	56.4%	46.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.1	8.9	30.7%	34.2%	26.8
🏀 Free throws	21.9	16.6	76.1%	74.0%	16.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.1	23.0	54.6%	56.4%	46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.9	9.8	33.8%	34.2%	29.3
🏀 Free throws	17.7	12.9	73.0%	74.0%	12.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.2	22.2	52.7%	56.4%	44.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.5	9.2	32.3%	34.2%	27.6
🏀 Free throws	23.5	17.7	75.4%	74.0%	17.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Perth

WWLLLLWLWW

Melbourne United

WLWWWWLLWW

League position

-8.1

Net rating

+4.9

97.4

Offensive rating

100.1

105.5

Defensive rating

95.2

53.1%

Effective FG%

53.8%

57.1%

Opp. effective FG%

50.7%

13.7%

Turnover %

13.3%

0.24

Free-throw rate

0.37

34.9%

3-point %

32.3%

64.4%

Assist %

55.8%

50%

Form (last 10/10)

70%

Profile

■ Perth ■ Melbourne United

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Perth wins

Melbourne United wins

Date	Game	Score
23/10/26	Perth v Melbourne United	103-102
07/03/26	Perth v Melbourne United	95-77
25/01/26	Perth v Melbourne United	73-74
04/12/25	Perth v Melbourne United	96-84
23/11/25	Melbourne United v Perth	98-87
04/03/25	Melbourne United v Perth	113-112
01/03/25	Perth v Melbourne United	96-89
27/02/25	Melbourne United v Perth	105-93
22/01/25	Perth v Melbourne United	93-99
09/11/24	Melbourne United v Perth	106-97

Perthlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/11/26	H	Illawarra Hawks	111-100 OT
12/11/26	H	Tasmania JackJumpers	98-92
08/11/26	H	Cairns Taipans	92-100
04/11/26	A	Brisbane Bullets	104-109
31/10/26	H	Illawarra Hawks	98-105
28/10/26	H	Sydney	91-99
23/10/26	H	Melbourne United	103-102
17/10/26	A	Sydney	81-102
10/10/26	H	New Zealand Breakers	100-84
02/10/26	H	South East Melbourne	92-88

Melbourne Unitedlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/11/26	H	South East Melbourne	102-95
12/11/26	A	Adelaide	93-101
07/11/26	H	Brisbane Bullets	120-92
02/11/26	H	New Zealand Breakers	94-74
31/10/26	A	Cairns Taipans	113-97
25/10/26	H	Sydney	105-95
23/10/26	A	Perth	102-103
18/10/26	H	Illawarra Hawks	89-91
10/10/26	A	South East Melbourne	104-99
07/10/26	A	Adelaide	96-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth

NBL 2026-27

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	54%
Home	LLLWW	64%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	11	2
Win %	54%	64%	0%
Points / game	95.7	96.3	92.5
Allowed / game	97.8	96.4	105.5
Point differential	-2.1	-0.1	-13.0
Avg total	193.5	192.6	198.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	15%	18%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	100% (4)	0% (1)
Overtime %	8%	9%	0%

Melbourne United

NBL 2026-27

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	57%
Home	LWWWW	57%
Away	WWLWL	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	57%	57%	57%
Points / game	98.3	100.0	96.6
Allowed / game	91.9	93.0	90.9
Point differential	+6.4	+7.0	+5.7
Avg total	190.2	193.0	187.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	43%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	0% (2)	50% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sydney	13	9	4	69%	98.6	89.7	+8.9
2	Tasmania JackJumpers	13	9	4	69%	94.7	90.4	+4.3
3	Melbourne United	14	8	6	57%	98.3	91.9	+6.4
4	Cairns Taipans	14	8	6	57%	92.4	95.9	-3.6
5	Adelaide	13	7	6	54%	92.9	92.5	+0.5
6	Perth	13	7	6	54%	95.7	97.8	-2.1
7	Brisbane Bullets	14	6	8	43%	94.4	99.2	-4.9
8	New Zealand Breakers	14	5	9	36%	90.6	91.4	-0.8
9	Illawarra Hawks	15	5	10	33%	97.5	104.7	-7.3
10	South East Melbourne	13	4	9	31%	97.9	98.1	-0.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

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Perth vs Melbourne United Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

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