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Perth vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 96-84
33-20 23-22 20-15 20-27
Position#5
Record8-6
FormLWWWL
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game86.7
Perth 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#4
Record13-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game97.3
Allowed / game85.9
AustraliaNBLRound 11· RAC Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Perth v Melbourne United
16 Dec 2026
PERT v MELB
upcoming
23 Oct 2026
PERT103
MELB102
07 Mar 2026
PERT95
MELB77
25 Jan 2026
PERT73
MELB74
04 Dec 2025
PERT96
MELB84
01 Mar 2025
PERT96
MELB89
22 Jan 2025
PERT93
MELB99
04 Oct 2024
PERT68
MELB97
13 Oct 2023
PERT81
MELB88
12 Dec 2022
PERT90
MELB89
14 Oct 2022
PERT81
MELB84
04 Apr 2022
PERT75
MELB84
18 Jun 2021
PERT70
MELB73
04 Jun 2021
PERT64
MELB78
13 May 2021
PERT91
MELB99
21 Dec 2019
PERT74
MELB87
05 Oct 2019
PERT94
MELB93
15 Mar 2019
PERT96
MELB67
08 Mar 2019
PERT81
MELB71
20 Jan 2019
PERT84
MELB79
27 Oct 2018
PERT101
MELB96
12 Jan 2018
PERT80
MELB82
20 Oct 2017
PERT89
MELB84
28 Jan 2017
PERT73
MELB71
09 Dec 2016
PERT92
MELB89
29 Jan 2016
PERT85
MELB91
10 Dec 2015
PERT113
MELB83
21 Jan 2015
PERT78
MELB86
09 Nov 2014
PERT68
MELB59
21 Feb 2014
PERT87
MELB75
24 Jan 2014
PERT80
MELB83
21 Feb 2013
PERT78
MELB58
13 Jan 2013
PERT73
MELB58
06 Jan 2012
PERT72
MELB67
14 Oct 2011
PERT92
MELB76
07 Jan 2011
PERT86
MELB93
12 Dec 2010
PERT87
MELB76
23 Jan 2010
PERT94
MELB78
25 Oct 2009
PERT93
MELB90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Melbourne United winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#10
L
93-110
93
110
-17
82avg 92
H15/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
72-94
72
94
-22
59avg 92
A19/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
110-78
110
78
+32
106avg 92
A22/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
84-85
84
85
-1
67avg 92
H25/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
95-84
95
84
+11
88avg 92
A29/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
89-94
89
94
-5
87avg 92
A02/11
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
94-87
94
87
+7
91avg 92
A09/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
88-75
88
75
+13
79avg 92
H15/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
101-95
101
95
+6
100avg 92
H21/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
87-98
87
98
-11
79avg 92
A23/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
27-30
23-24
22-30
22-15
23-35
21-24
6-20
30-22
30-20
28-20
22-16
19-23
15-18
24-11
26-33
16-28
21-13
35-27
23-16
24-21
22-25
26-29
17-19
17-18
27-27
28-31
22-11
22-14
21-24
21-22
24-15
32-28
25-24
24-19
20-24
22-24
25-27
26-23
14-24
181.3Avg total
91.3Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)89.086.7175.7+2.357%
Season at home (6)88.387.3175.7+1.050%
Season away (8)89.586.2175.8+3.262%
Last 10 (10)91.390.0181.3+1.350%
Last 5 (5)91.889.8181.6+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)80.0107.0187.0-27.00%
vs Similar ◀ (10)99.098.6197.6+0.450%
vs Weaker (18)99.988.9188.9+11.078%
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne UnitedAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnited
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
95-86
95
86
+9
86avg 88
A17/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
104-88
104
88
+16
103avg 88
H19/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
94-67
94
67
+27
88avg 88
A24/10
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
81-80
81
80
+1
71avg 88
H26/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
92-95
92
95
-3
85avg 88
H03/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
93-107
93
107
-14
80avg 88
A05/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
92-81
92
81
+11
88avg 88
A08/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
99-93
99
93
+6
90avg 88
H15/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
105-102
105
102
+3
89avg 88
A21/11
NBL
Perth
#5
W
98-87
98
87
+11
84avg 88
H23/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-16
24-21
15-17
25-32
28-17
28-21
19-25
29-25
31-16
17-18
24-17
22-16
14-17
26-20
19-18
22-25
25-30
25-24
19-23
23-18
22-32
21-25
25-22
25-28
27-28
20-17
21-12
24-24
24-24
23-14
25-16
27-39
38-33
20-19
28-31
19-19
24-22
27-25
23-26
24-14
183.9Avg total
95.3Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)97.385.9183.2+11.587%
Season at home (8)98.283.5181.8+14.888%
Season away (7)96.388.6184.9+7.786%
Last 10 (10)95.388.6183.9+6.780%
Last 5 (5)97.494.0191.4+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)93.595.8189.2-2.238%
vs Similar ◀ (10)97.390.6187.9+6.790%
vs Weaker (12)98.986.5185.4+12.492%
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.0+0.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.0+0.0
PerthMelbourne United
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#10
L
48-56
48
56
-8
H15/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A19/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
60-42
60
42
+18
A22/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H25/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A29/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A02/11
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A09/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H15/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H21/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A23/11
NBL
92.3Avg total
46.1Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.247.997.2+1.347%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.548.795.2-2.238%-
Last 30 away (17)51.447.498.7+4.053%-
Last 10 (10)46.146.292.3-0.130%-
Last 5 (5)47.446.493.8+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)46.556.5103.0-10.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)50.051.4101.4-1.430%-
vs Weaker (18)49.145.194.2+4.161%-
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
55-37
55
37
+18
A17/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
56-38
56
38
+18
H19/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A24/10
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H26/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H03/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A05/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A08/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H15/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A21/11
NBL
Perth
#5
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H23/11
NBL
93.4Avg total
49.5Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.145.694.6+3.557%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.944.693.4+4.357%-
Last 30 away (16)49.246.495.7+2.856%-
Last 10 (10)49.543.993.4+5.680%-
Last 5 (5)49.247.897.0+1.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)45.149.894.9-4.612%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)50.146.696.7+3.570%-
vs Weaker (12)50.841.992.8+8.975%-
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 90.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.221.4
51.9%
54.6%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.3
33.5%
33.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws24.819.6
79.0%
74.8%19.6
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Melbourne Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melbourne United: 96.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.624.7
53.0%
54.6%49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.29.6
31.8%
33.3%28.8
🏀 Free throws24.318.7
77.0%
74.8%18.7
They take 76.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Perth
LWWWLWLWLL
Melbourne United
WWWWLLWWWW
#5
League position
#4
+1.4
Net rating
+8.9
114.3
Offensive rating
115.0
112.9
Defensive rating
106.1
51.2%
Effective FG%
50.9%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
15.2%
Turnover %
13.0%
33.6%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.5%
3-point %
31.8%
55.0%
Assist %
56.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence114.3 · 115.0Defence112.9 · 106.1Shooting51.2% · 50.9%3-point %33.5% · 31.8%Ball care15.2% · 13.0%Off. rebounds33.6% · 32.3%Free throws0.36 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Perth   ■ Melbourne United
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Perth wins
8
Melbourne United wins
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/25AMelbourne United87-98
21/11/25HTasmania JackJumpers101-95
15/11/25HNew Zealand Breakers88-75
09/11/25AAdelaide94-87
02/11/25ASouth East Melbourne89-94
29/10/25ATasmania JackJumpers95-84
25/10/25HIllawarra Hawks84-85
22/10/25ACairns Taipans110-78
19/10/25ASydney72-94
15/10/25HBrisbane Bullets93-110
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/25HPerth98-87
21/11/25AIllawarra Hawks105-102
15/11/25HBrisbane Bullets99-93
08/11/25ASouth East Melbourne92-81
05/11/25AIllawarra Hawks93-107
03/11/25HSydney92-95
26/10/25HAdelaide81-80
24/10/25ACairns Taipans94-67
19/10/25HNew Zealand Breakers104-88
17/10/25ABrisbane Bullets95-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL57%
HomeWLLWW50%
AwayWWLWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %57%50%62%
Points / game89.088.389.5
Allowed / game86.787.386.2
Point differential+2.3+1.0+3.2
Avg total175.7175.7175.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%17%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Melbourne United
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW87%
HomeWWLWW88%
AwayWWLWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %87%88%86%
Points / game97.398.296.3
Allowed / game85.983.588.6
Point differential+11.5+14.8+7.7
Avg total183.2181.8184.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%62%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United1513287%97.385.9+11.5
2 Adelaide1411379%91.985.9+5.9
3 South East Melbourne149564%97.490.1+7.3
4 Perth148657%89.086.7+2.3
5 Sydney147750%91.086.5+4.5
6 Tasmania JackJumpers156940%85.786.8-1.1
7 New Zealand Breakers1661038%88.788.2+0.4
8 Illawarra Hawks145936%90.698.1-7.5
9 Brisbane Bullets1551033%88.796.1-7.4
10 Cairns Taipans1531220%81.496.5-15.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Perth3323202096
Melbourne United2022152784
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