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Perth vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 96-89
21-36 20-19 22-19 33-15
Position#3
Record19-12
FormWWWWL
Points / game100.6
Allowed / game97.5
Perth 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#2
Record20-10
FormWWWWW
Points / game95.9
Allowed / game91.5
AustraliaNBLNBL - Semi-finals· RAC Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Perth v Melbourne United
16 Dec 2026
PERT v MELB
upcoming
23 Oct 2026
PERT103
MELB102
07 Mar 2026
PERT95
MELB77
25 Jan 2026
PERT73
MELB74
04 Dec 2025
PERT96
MELB84
01 Mar 2025
PERT96
MELB89
22 Jan 2025
PERT93
MELB99
04 Oct 2024
PERT68
MELB97
13 Oct 2023
PERT81
MELB88
12 Dec 2022
PERT90
MELB89
14 Oct 2022
PERT81
MELB84
04 Apr 2022
PERT75
MELB84
18 Jun 2021
PERT70
MELB73
04 Jun 2021
PERT64
MELB78
13 May 2021
PERT91
MELB99
21 Dec 2019
PERT74
MELB87
05 Oct 2019
PERT94
MELB93
15 Mar 2019
PERT96
MELB67
08 Mar 2019
PERT81
MELB71
20 Jan 2019
PERT84
MELB79
27 Oct 2018
PERT101
MELB96
12 Jan 2018
PERT80
MELB82
20 Oct 2017
PERT89
MELB84
28 Jan 2017
PERT73
MELB71
09 Dec 2016
PERT92
MELB89
29 Jan 2016
PERT85
MELB91
10 Dec 2015
PERT113
MELB83
21 Jan 2015
PERT78
MELB86
09 Nov 2014
PERT68
MELB59
21 Feb 2014
PERT87
MELB75
24 Jan 2014
PERT80
MELB83
21 Feb 2013
PERT78
MELB58
13 Jan 2013
PERT73
MELB58
06 Jan 2012
PERT72
MELB67
14 Oct 2011
PERT92
MELB76
07 Jan 2011
PERT86
MELB93
12 Dec 2010
PERT87
MELB76
23 Jan 2010
PERT94
MELB78
25 Oct 2009
PERT93
MELB90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Melbourne United winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
105-73
105
73
+32
106avg 90
A12/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
112-85
112
85
+27
98avg 90
A15/01
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
110-103
110
103
+7
101avg 90
H17/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
93-99
93
99
-6
75avg 90
H22/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
116-125 OT
116
125
-9
90avg 90
H25/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
100-99
100
99
+1
101avg 90
H31/01
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
104-97
104
97
+7
87avg 90
A02/02
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
112-104
112
104
+8
108avg 90
H07/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
122-105
122
105
+17
124avg 90
H11/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
93-105
93
105
-12
77avg 90
A27/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-22
35-20
28-18
13-13
27-27
38-15
20-24
27-19
22-24
30-17
24-32
34-30
23-21
20-25
25-25
25-28
18-22
29-34
35-17
18-27
27-26
22-23
17-28
34-22
32-21
24-27
29-26
19-23
20-27
29-29
32-22
31-26
29-28
33-39
34-23
26-15
17-23
33-26
21-32
22-24
206.2Avg total
106.7Scored
99.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)100.697.5198.0+3.161%
Season at home (16)103.199.7202.8+3.469%
Season away (15)97.995.1192.9+2.853%
Last 10 (10)106.799.5206.2+7.270%
Last 5 (5)106.2102.0208.2+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)104.0115.3219.3-11.333%
vs Similar ◀ (11)93.196.7189.8-3.645%
vs Weaker (16)104.894.6199.3+10.275%
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne UnitedAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnited
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
76-66
76
66
+10
72avg 87
A26/12
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
81-100
81
100
-19
70avg 87
A04/01
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
90-88
90
88
+2
82avg 87
A09/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
91-89
91
89
+2
86avg 87
A13/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
95-117
95
117
-22
79avg 87
A18/01
NBL
Perth
#3
W
99-93
99
93
+6
93avg 87
A22/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
115-88
115
88
+27
112avg 87
A26/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
94-92
94
92
+2
90avg 87
H01/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
103-93
103
93
+10
100avg 87
H08/02
NBL
Perth
#3
W
105-93
105
93
+12
100avg 87
H27/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-13
21-16
13-22
17-15
17-27
25-28
20-22
19-23
32-16
25-25
13-23
20-24
25-26
16-16
21-29
29-18
25-29
21-29
20-27
29-32
21-23
25-20
25-25
28-25
26-26
35-14
26-21
28-27
21-32
30-29
17-16
26-15
30-26
16-28
30-22
27-17
23-17
26-33
32-21
24-22
186.8Avg total
94.9Scored
91.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)95.991.5187.4+4.467%
Season at home (16)97.493.9191.2+3.562%
Season away (14)94.188.8182.9+5.471%
Last 10 (10)94.991.9186.8+3.080%
Last 5 (5)103.291.8195.0+11.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)93.3103.3196.7-10.033%
vs Similar ◀ (11)96.890.8187.6+6.082%
vs Weaker (16)95.789.8185.4+5.962%
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +2.9+2.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +2.9+2.9
PerthMelbourne United
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
64-42
64
42
+22
A12/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
65-42
65
42
+23
A15/01
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H17/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H22/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
47-56
47
56
-9
H25/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H31/01
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A02/02
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H07/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
62-67
62
67
-5
H11/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A27/02
NBL
103.3Avg total
53.7Scored
49.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.649.3100.9+2.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)51.751.1102.9+0.633%-
Last 30 away (15)51.547.498.9+4.160%-
Last 10 (10)53.749.6103.3+4.150%-
Last 5 (5)53.253.8107.0-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)54.357.0111.3-2.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)49.951.2101.1-1.336%-
vs Weaker (16)52.246.598.8+5.856%-
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A26/12
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A04/01
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
57-41
57
41
+16
A09/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A13/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A18/01
NBL
Perth
#3
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A22/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
61-40
61
40
+21
A26/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
51-61
51
61
-10
H01/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H08/02
NBL
Perth
#3
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H27/02
NBL
95.8Avg total
48.5Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.447.296.6+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.250.5100.7-0.344%-
Last 30 away (14)48.543.592.0+5.071%-
Last 10 (10)48.547.395.8+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)50.649.6100.2+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.347.091.3-2.767%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)52.047.799.7+4.364%-
vs Weaker (16)48.646.995.5+1.650%-
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 106.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.525.6
52.8%
52.3%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.510.9
35.7%
35.1%32.7
🏀 Free throws27.522.4
81.5%
74.7%22.4
They take 79.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Melbourne Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melbourne United: 93.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.823.9
55.8%
52.3%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.511.0
31.9%
35.1%33.0
🏀 Free throws17.812.9
72.5%
74.7%12.9
They take 77.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Perth
LWWWWLLWWW
Melbourne United
WWWWWLWWLW
#3
League position
#2
+9.1
Net rating
+2.9
123.3
Offensive rating
112.6
114.3
Defensive rating
109.8
53.1%
Effective FG%
52.3%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
11.4%
Turnover %
14.0%
33.5%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.23
35.7%
3-point %
31.9%
50.7%
Assist %
61.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence123.3 · 112.6Defence114.3 · 109.8Shooting53.1% · 52.3%3-point %35.7% · 31.9%Ball care11.4% · 14.0%Off. rebounds33.5% · 32.3%Free throws0.35 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Perth   ■ Melbourne United
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Perth wins
8
Melbourne United wins
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/25AMelbourne United93-105
11/02/25HSouth East Melbourne122-105
07/02/25HAdelaide112-104
02/02/25ASydney104-97
31/01/25HSouth East Melbourne100-99
25/01/25HCairns Taipans116-125 OT
22/01/25HMelbourne United93-99
17/01/25HAdelaide110-103
15/01/25ABrisbane Bullets112-85
12/01/25ATasmania JackJumpers105-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/25HPerth105-93
08/02/25HSouth East Melbourne103-93
01/02/25HTasmania JackJumpers94-92
26/01/25ABrisbane Bullets115-88
22/01/25APerth99-93
18/01/25AIllawarra Hawks95-117
13/01/25ANew Zealand Breakers91-89
09/01/25ASydney90-88
04/01/25AAdelaide81-100
26/12/24ACairns Taipans76-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL61%
HomeLLWWW69%
AwayWWWWL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %61%69%53%
Points / game100.6103.197.9
Allowed / game97.599.795.1
Point differential+3.1+3.4+2.8
Avg total198.0202.8192.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%25%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %6%6%7%
Melbourne United
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW67%
HomeLLWWW62%
AwayWWLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %67%62%71%
Points / game95.997.494.1
Allowed / game91.593.988.8
Point differential+4.4+3.5+5.4
Avg total187.4191.2182.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%31%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (6)100% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illawarra Hawks3021970%101.491.3+10.1
2 Melbourne United30201067%95.991.5+4.4
3 Perth31191261%100.697.5+3.1
4 Sydney30161453%90.688.4+2.2
5 South East Melbourne32171553%96.092.3+3.7
6 Adelaide31141745%93.795.8-2.0
7 Tasmania JackJumpers29131645%84.088.0-4.1
8 Brisbane Bullets29121741%92.397.9-5.5
9 New Zealand Breakers29101934%85.791.4-5.7
10 Cairns Taipans2982128%88.395.5-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Perth2120223396
Melbourne United3619191589
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