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Pesaro vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Oct 2017
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 75-81
20-21 17-24 22-18 16-18
Position#15
Record1-1
FormLWLLW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game84.0
vs
Position#7
Record1-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game65.0
ItalyLega ARound 3
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Pesaro v Virtus Bologna
17 Mar 2024
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19 May 2022
PES55
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16 Apr 2022
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20 Mar 2021
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13 Oct 2019
PES79
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25 Nov 2018
PES89
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14 Oct 2017
PES75
VIR81
25 Oct 2015
PES68
VIR63
26 Dec 2014
PES67
VIR70
27 Apr 2014
PES79
VIR78
30 Mar 2013
PES101
VIR91
08 Jan 2012
PES86
VIR77
07 Nov 2010
PES66
VIR70
21 Apr 2010
PES90
VIR73
02 Nov 2008
PES99
VIR65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#6
L
81-91
81
91
-10
H19/03
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
91-97
91
97
-6
A26/03
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
63-73
63
73
-10
H02/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
94-93 OT
94
93
+1
A09/04
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
83-67
83
67
+16
H15/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
83-87
83
87
-4
A23/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
90-79
90
79
+11
H30/04
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
88-98
88
98
-10
A07/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
70-73
70
73
-3
H01/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
102-95
102
95
+7
A08/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
22-17
15-29
21-18
24-21
29-29
15-20
23-27
17-14
16-16
14-20
16-23
22-25
22-20
9-20
28-16
31-14
20-19
15-16
17-18
22-20
17-22
19-22
25-23
16-13
16-21
25-23
33-22
16-22
21-26
28-31
23-19
26-17
14-19
15-16
15-21
22-26
29-27
21-21
30-21
169.8Avg total
84.5Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)86.084.0170.0+2.050%
Season at home (1)70.073.0143.0-3.00%
Season away (1)102.095.0197.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.585.3169.8-0.840%
Last 5 (5)86.686.4173.0+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)77.782.7160.3-5.028%
vs Similar (12)75.379.5154.8-4.242%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Roseto
#6
W
91-83
91
83
+8
A19/05
A2 - Play Offs
Roseto
#6
W
97-83
97
83
+14
A21/05
A2 - Play Offs
Ravenna
#3
W
73-57
73
57
+16
H28/05
A2 - Play Offs
Ravenna
#3
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H30/05
A2 - Play Offs
Ravenna
#3
W
77-57
77
57
+20
A02/06
A2 - Play Offs
Trieste
#5
W
85-62
85
62
+23
H13/06
A2 - Play Offs
Trieste
#5
W
82-69
82
69
+13
H15/06
A2 - Play Offs
Trieste
#5
W
72-66
72
66
+6
A19/06
A2 - Play Offs
Trento
#5
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A30/09
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
88-52
88
52
+36
H08/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-19
17-13
17-25
29-26
26-19
24-18
24-28
23-18
17-17
24-15
18-12
14-13
24-23
24-12
17-19
18-20
15-15
10-18
26-12
26-12
27-24
25-14
18-12
15-12
25-23
18-10
23-19
16-17
18-19
20-18
20-17
14-12
23-13
22-25
19-15
10-25
27-15
21-15
18-4
22-18
150.3Avg total
82.2Scored
68.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)81.065.0146.0+16.050%
Season at home (1)88.052.0140.0+36.0100%
Season away (1)74.078.0152.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)82.268.1150.3+14.190%
Last 5 (5)80.265.4145.6+14.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)79.084.2163.2-5.233%
vs Similar (9)76.478.2154.7-1.844%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)81.469.3150.7+12.187%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +1.4+1.4
PesaroVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#6
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H19/03
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A26/03
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H02/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A09/04
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H15/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A23/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H30/04
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A07/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H01/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A08/10
Lega A
84.0Avg total
42.5Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.840.278.0-2.530%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.935.169.9-0.247%-
Last 30 away (15)40.745.486.1-4.713%-
Last 10 (10)42.541.584.0+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)39.842.682.4-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)38.340.478.7-2.233%-
vs Similar (12)37.039.976.9-2.925%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Roseto
#6
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A19/05
A2 - Play Offs
Roseto
#6
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A21/05
A2 - Play Offs
Ravenna
#3
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H28/05
A2 - Play Offs
Ravenna
#3
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H30/05
A2 - Play Offs
Ravenna
#3
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A02/06
A2 - Play Offs
Trieste
#5
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H13/06
A2 - Play Offs
Trieste
#5
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H15/06
A2 - Play Offs
Trieste
#5
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A19/06
A2 - Play Offs
Trento
#5
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A30/09
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H08/10
Lega A
78.0Avg total
43.5Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.736.876.5+2.963%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.634.976.5+6.681%-
Last 30 away (14)37.639.076.6-1.443%-
Last 10 (10)43.534.578.0+9.090%-
Last 5 (5)45.235.280.4+10.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.042.377.3-7.317%-
vs Similar (9)38.637.876.3+0.856%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)42.334.176.3+8.287%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.916.9
53.0%
51.6%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.310.7
39.2%
34.9%32.1
🏀 Free throws22.216.4
73.9%
73.0%16.4
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.5 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.522.0
60.3%
51.6%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.09.5
39.6%
34.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws14.58.5
58.6%
73.0%8.5
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/2 games with a box score before 14 Oct 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
WLLWLWWLLL
Virtus Bologna
WLWWWWWWWW
#15
League position
#7
-3.0
Net rating
+23.1
112.2
Offensive rating
110.2
115.2
Defensive rating
87.1
55.7%
Effective FG%
59.9%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
18.0%
Turnover %
21.6%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
34.4%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.24
39.2%
3-point %
39.6%
44.9%
Assist %
60.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence112.2 · 110.2Defence115.2 · 87.1Shooting55.7% · 59.9%3-point %39.2% · 39.6%Ball care18.0% · 21.6%Off. rebounds24.4% · 34.4%Free throws0.38 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Pesaro   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Pesaro wins
6
Virtus Bologna wins
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/17AReggiana102-95
01/10/17HBrescia70-73
07/05/17ACapo d'Orlando88-98
30/04/17HOlimpia Milano90-79
23/04/17APistoia83-87
15/04/17HCaserta83-67
09/04/17ABrindisi94-93 OT
02/04/17HCremona63-73
26/03/17ATrento91-97
19/03/17HReggiana81-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/17HCapo d'Orlando88-52
30/09/17ATrento74-78
19/06/17ATrieste72-66
15/06/17HTrieste82-69
13/06/17HTrieste85-62
02/06/17ARavenna77-57
30/05/17HRavenna83-74
28/05/17HRavenna73-57
21/05/17ARoseto97-83
19/05/17ARoseto91-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game86.070.0102.0
Allowed / game84.073.095.0
Point differential+2.0-3.0+7.0
Avg total170.0143.0197.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game81.088.074.0
Allowed / game65.052.078.0
Point differential+16.0+36.0-4.0
Avg total146.0140.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia330100%78.367.0+11.3
2 Pistoia220100%78.067.0+11.0
3 Venezia220100%79.570.0+9.5
4 Olimpia Milano220100%75.066.5+8.5
5 Torino32167%77.377.0+0.3
6 Avellino32167%71.073.7-2.7
7 Virtus Bologna21150%81.065.0+16.0
8 Sassari21150%93.088.5+4.5
9 Pesaro21150%86.084.0+2.0
10 Cantu21150%88.587.0+1.5
11 Trento31233%70.773.0-2.3
12 Brindisi2020%72.077.5-5.5
13 Reggiana2020%78.584.0-5.5
14 Varese2020%67.577.0-9.5
15 Cremona2020%70.086.5-16.5
16 Capo d'Orlando2020%54.580.5-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro2017221675
Virtus Bologna2124181881
← all games of the day
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