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Olimpia Milano vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 97-93
21-18 18-31 25-23 33-21
Position#2
Record12-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game71.4
Olimpia Milano 🏆
Italy
vs
Pesaro
Italy
Position#10
Record7-6
FormLLWWL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game79.7
ItalyLega ARound 14
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Pesaro
29 Oct 2023
MIL82
PES90
15 May 2023
MIL86
PES57
13 May 2023
MIL94
PES68
09 Apr 2023
MIL102
PES70
13 Feb 2022
MIL91
PES57
14 Feb 2021
MIL87
PES59
03 Jan 2021
MIL97
PES93
05 Apr 2020
MIL v PES
upcoming
10 Feb 2019
MIL111
PES74
29 Apr 2018
MIL70
PES75
02 Jan 2017
MIL88
PES84
17 Apr 2016
MIL82
PES78
30 Nov 2014
MIL96
PES61
31 Mar 2014
MIL95
PES64
06 Apr 2013
MIL93
PES65
31 May 2012
MIL84
PES68
29 May 2012
MIL84
PES75
29 Jan 2012
MIL81
PES70
16 Jan 2011
MIL94
PES84
29 Nov 2009
MIL89
PES86
25 Jan 2009
MIL91
PES81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
W
96-70
96
70
+26
96avg 78
A06/12
Lega A
Khimki M.
#18
W
102-93
102
93
+9
103avg 78
A08/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
71-87
71
87
-16
56avg 78
A11/12
Euroleague
Brindisi
#3
L
82-88
82
88
-6
75avg 78
H13/12
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#9
W
79-71
79
71
+8
70avg 78
A15/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
72-69
72
69
+3
64avg 78
A17/12
Euroleague
Sassari
#5
W
102-86
102
86
+16
104avg 78
H20/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#10
L
79-84
79
84
-5
65avg 78
H23/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
73-68
73
68
+5
66avg 78
A27/12
Lega A
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
87-91 OT
87
91
-4
no box
H30/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
35-14
22-18
19-20
28-20
26-27
18-21
30-25
15-23
28-16
18-21
10-27
18-21
22-15
17-27
25-25
26-25
18-10
24-13
11-23
20-20
26-11
6-21
20-17
26-25
22-22
24-28
30-11
19-23
22-22
16-18
22-21
23-24
23-14
12-20
15-10
17-17
16-22
25-20
22-21
165.0Avg total
84.3Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)88.571.4159.8+17.192%
Season at home (7)90.973.1164.0+17.786%
Season away (6)85.769.3155.0+16.3100%
Last 10 (10)84.380.7165.0+3.660%
Last 5 (5)82.679.6162.2+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.069.0141.0+3.0100%
vs Similar (9)81.182.8163.9-1.744%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)86.573.5160.0+13.085%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Trento
#8
L
57-71
57
71
-14
43avg 71
H17/10
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#16
W
84-69
84
69
+15
74avg 71
A25/10
Lega A
Cremona
#9
W
95-83 OT
95
83
+12
no box
H01/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
85-78
85
78
+7
77avg 71
H08/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
W
84-63
84
63
+21
72avg 71
H22/11
Lega A
Treviso
#7
L
81-91
81
91
-10
72avg 71
A06/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
70-78
70
78
-8
63avg 71
H12/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
W
92-81
92
81
+11
82avg 71
A19/12
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
84-74
84
74
+10
83avg 71
H27/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
80-100
80
100
-20
71avg 71
A30/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-16
16-15
23-22
10-18
18-14
22-18
23-17
21-20
13-18
27-7
19-27
17-24
16-21
18-18
27-18
24-21
19-22
23-15
17-16
25-10
18-28
22-19
26-28
15-16
15-21
19-13
20-23
16-21
27-21
23-15
26-24
16-21
26-20
20-25
19-17
19-12
22-22
22-30
14-23
22-25
160.0Avg total
81.2Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)81.579.7161.2+1.854%
Season at home (7)80.077.4157.4+2.657%
Season away (6)83.282.3165.5+0.850%
Last 10 (10)81.278.8160.0+2.460%
Last 5 (5)81.484.8166.2-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)80.689.8170.4-9.220%
vs Similar (12)77.878.2155.9-0.450%
vs Weaker (3)92.361.7154.0+30.7100%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +6.5+6.5Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.3-0.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +6.5+6.5Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.3-0.3
Olimpia MilanoPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
W
55-32
55
32
+23
A06/12
Lega A
Khimki M.
#18
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A08/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A11/12
Euroleague
Brindisi
#3
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H13/12
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#9
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A15/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A17/12
Euroleague
Sassari
#5
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H20/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#10
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H23/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A27/12
Lega A
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H30/12
Euroleague
83.9Avg total
45.0Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.937.481.2+6.577%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.437.180.4+6.369%-
Last 30 away (14)44.437.782.1+6.786%-
Last 10 (10)45.038.983.9+6.180%-
Last 5 (5)42.840.082.8+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)46.031.077.0+15.0100%-
vs Similar (9)40.239.179.3+1.167%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)45.436.982.3+8.580%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#8
L
24-31
24
31
-7
H17/10
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#16
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A25/10
Lega A
Cremona
#9
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H01/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H08/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H22/11
Lega A
Treviso
#7
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A06/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H12/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A19/12
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H27/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A30/12
Lega A
77.2Avg total
39.4Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.641.081.6-0.437%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.840.077.8-2.231%-
Last 30 away (14)43.842.286.0+1.643%-
Last 10 (10)39.437.877.2+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)42.842.885.6+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)42.144.586.7-2.433%-
vs Similar (12)37.639.977.5-2.325%-
vs Weaker (3)45.028.073.0+17.0100%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.019.5
48.8%
51.2%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.710.4
43.9%
35.9%31.2
🏀 Free throws15.512.5
80.6%
75.8%12.5
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.9
53.7%
51.2%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.09.8
35.0%
35.9%29.4
🏀 Free throws17.612.7
72.2%
75.8%12.7
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
LWLWWWLLWW
Pesaro
LWWLLWWWWL
#2
League position
#10
+5.1
Net rating
+4.5
113.3
Offensive rating
112.1
108.2
Defensive rating
107.6
55.1%
Effective FG%
53.2%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
15.7%
Turnover %
16.6%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.28
43.9%
3-point %
35.0%
57.5%
Assist %
49.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.3 · 112.1Defence108.2 · 107.6Shooting55.1% · 53.2%3-point %43.9% · 35.0%Ball care15.7% · 16.6%Off. rebounds26.6% · 31.5%Free throws0.24 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Olimpia Milano wins
3
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
08/12/19Pesaro v Olimpia Milano65-71
10/02/19Olimpia Milano v Pesaro111-74
28/10/18Pesaro v Olimpia Milano82-97
29/04/18Olimpia Milano v Pesaro70-75
02/01/18Pesaro v Olimpia Milano64-78
30/04/17Pesaro v Olimpia Milano90-79
02/01/17Olimpia Milano v Pesaro88-84
17/04/16Olimpia Milano v Pesaro82-78
23/12/15Pesaro v Olimpia Milano69-66
23/03/15Pesaro v Olimpia Milano61-84
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/20HCSKA Moscow87-91 OT
27/12/20AVirtus Bologna73-68
23/12/20HBaskonia79-84
20/12/20HSassari102-86
17/12/20AAnadolu Efes72-69
15/12/20AFenerbahce79-71
13/12/20HBrindisi82-88
11/12/20ABarcelona71-87
08/12/20AKhimki M.102-93
06/12/20AVarese96-70
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/20AVirtus Bologna80-100
27/12/20HTrieste84-74
19/12/20ABrindisi92-81
12/12/20HFortitudo Bologna70-78
06/12/20ATreviso81-91
22/11/20HReggiana84-63
08/11/20HVarese85-78
01/11/20HCremona95-83 OT
25/10/20AVirtus Roma84-69
17/10/20HTrento57-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW92%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %92%86%100%
Points / game88.590.985.7
Allowed / game71.473.169.3
Point differential+17.1+17.7+16.3
Avg total159.8164.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+77%71%83%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pesaro
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL54%
HomeWWWLW57%
AwayWWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %54%57%50%
Points / game81.580.083.2
Allowed / game79.777.482.3
Point differential+1.8+2.6+0.8
Avg total161.2157.4165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%43%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1312192%88.571.4+17.1
2 Brindisi1310377%87.579.8+7.6
3 Sassari149564%89.685.9+3.7
4 Virtus Bologna138562%84.076.5+7.5
5 Venezia148657%78.676.9+1.6
6 Pesaro137654%81.579.7+1.8
7 Trento126650%78.679.2-0.6
8 Reggiana126650%77.177.8-0.7
9 Treviso146843%84.490.1-5.7
10 Cremona125742%83.585.2-1.7
11 Brescia135838%78.381.7-3.4
12 Trieste114736%74.878.7-3.9
13 Fortitudo Bologna145936%79.682.6-3.1
14 Cantu145936%76.881.5-4.7
15 Varese134931%79.986.8-6.9
16 Virtus Roma92722%74.987.7-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2118253397
Pesaro1831232193
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