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Pesaro vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 26 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 82-87 (OT)
18-25 22-14 19-20 14-14 9-14
Position#10
Record7-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game85.1
vs
Position#2
Record10-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game74.1
ItalyLega ARound 12
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Pesaro v Virtus Bologna
17 Mar 2024
PES87
VIR86
26 Dec 2022
PES82
VIR87
19 May 2022
PES55
VIR75
16 Apr 2022
PES77
VIR96
20 Mar 2021
PES70
VIR75
13 Oct 2019
PES79
VIR94
25 Nov 2018
PES89
VIR86
14 Oct 2017
PES75
VIR81
25 Oct 2015
PES68
VIR63
26 Dec 2014
PES67
VIR70
27 Apr 2014
PES79
VIR78
30 Mar 2013
PES101
VIR91
08 Jan 2012
PES86
VIR77
07 Nov 2010
PES66
VIR70
21 Apr 2010
PES90
VIR73
02 Nov 2008
PES99
VIR65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Venezia
#6
W
90-89
90
89
+1
78avg 75
H08/10
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
73-81
73
81
-8
60avg 75
A15/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
L
97-99 OT
97
99
-2
no box
H23/10
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
98-97
98
97
+1
90avg 75
A29/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
71-85
71
85
-14
no box
H06/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
102-74
102
74
+28
94avg 75
A20/11
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
81-75
81
75
+6
76avg 75
H27/11
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
75-79
75
79
-4
67avg 75
A04/12
Lega A
Varese
#4
W
101-93
101
93
+8
90avg 75
H11/12
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
94-90
94
90
+4
91avg 75
A18/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
25-19
24-28
15-24
14-24
15-23
26-17
18-17
26-20
23-22
22-22
16-23
22-26
29-20
26-27
21-24
18-11
21-30
12-25
20-19
19-10
33-24
33-21
17-19
19-20
23-18
17-20
22-17
24-18
15-20
19-17
17-24
27-27
32-17
23-30
19-19
25-23
22-25
22-21
25-21
174.4Avg total
88.2Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)89.385.1174.4+4.264%
Season at home (5)88.088.2176.2-0.260%
Season away (6)90.382.5172.8+7.867%
Last 10 (10)88.286.2174.4+2.060%
Last 5 (5)90.682.2172.8+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)78.284.4162.5-6.241%
vs Similar (13)88.386.5174.8+1.862%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
80-85
80
85
-5
68avg 79
H25/11
Euroleague
Brindisi
#9
W
98-68
98
68
+30
102avg 79
H27/11
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
74-83
74
83
-9
72avg 79
A02/12
Euroleague
Varese
#4
W
108-100
108
100
+8
114avg 79
A04/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#1
L
71-117
71
117
-46
64avg 79
A09/12
Euroleague
Scafati
#11
L
77-84
77
84
-7
57avg 79
H11/12
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#17
W
85-76
85
76
+9
87avg 79
H14/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
78-73
78
73
+5
66avg 79
H16/12
Euroleague
Brescia
#8
W
89-77
89
77
+12
87avg 79
A18/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#8
L
79-90
79
90
-11
68avg 79
A22/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
16-21
19-23
27-22
32-19
18-19
29-12
19-18
23-17
18-25
14-25
19-16
28-20
28-27
23-22
29-31
15-31
20-30
20-23
16-33
22-18
8-23
26-23
21-20
18-15
22-14
23-23
22-24
20-16
24-25
13-19
21-13
25-19
24-13
18-26
22-19
14-17
17-28
20-18
28-27
169.2Avg total
83.9Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)86.574.1160.6+12.591%
Season at home (5)87.273.6160.8+13.680%
Season away (6)86.074.5160.5+11.5100%
Last 10 (10)83.985.3169.2-1.450%
Last 5 (5)81.680.0161.6+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.689.0164.6-13.425%
vs Similar (9)75.772.9148.6+2.856%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)85.373.7159.0+11.792%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +0.1+0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +0.1+0.1
PesaroVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#6
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H08/10
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A15/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H23/10
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A29/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H06/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A20/11
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H27/11
Lega A
Trento
#7
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A04/12
Lega A
Varese
#4
W
59-44
59
44
+15
H11/12
Lega A
Verona
#16
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A18/12
Lega A
87.3Avg total
45.8Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.941.683.5+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.641.985.6+1.743%-
Last 30 away (16)40.441.381.8-0.956%-
Last 10 (10)45.841.587.3+4.370%-
Last 5 (5)47.840.488.2+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)40.941.081.9-0.141%-
vs Similar (13)43.342.485.7+0.962%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H25/11
Euroleague
Brindisi
#9
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H27/11
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A02/12
Euroleague
Varese
#4
W
56-47
56
47
+9
A04/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#1
L
35-61
35
61
-26
A09/12
Euroleague
Scafati
#11
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H11/12
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#17
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H14/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H16/12
Euroleague
Brescia
#8
W
49-32
49
32
+17
A18/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#8
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A22/12
Euroleague
82.6Avg total
41.0Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.839.279.0+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.836.377.1+4.569%-
Last 30 away (17)39.141.480.5-2.441%-
Last 10 (10)41.041.682.6-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.676.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.545.682.1-9.112%-
vs Similar (9)40.234.074.2+6.289%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)43.239.983.1+3.258%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.420.1
52.3%
51.3%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.210.3
39.3%
36.4%30.9
🏀 Free throws20.916.0
76.6%
76.1%16.0
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.420.9
57.4%
51.3%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.2
34.6%
36.4%24.6
🏀 Free throws23.317.2
73.8%
76.1%17.2
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
WWLWWLWLLW
Virtus Bologna
LWWWLLWLWL
#10
League position
#2
+6.0
Net rating
-0.8
116.0
Offensive rating
112.6
110.0
Defensive rating
113.5
55.0%
Effective FG%
55.2%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
15.2%
Turnover %
19.1%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.39
39.3%
3-point %
34.6%
49.3%
Assist %
64.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence116.0 · 112.6Defence110.0 · 113.5Shooting55.0% · 55.2%3-point %39.3% · 34.6%Ball care15.2% · 19.1%Off. rebounds29.0% · 29.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Pesaro   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pesaro wins
10
Virtus Bologna wins
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/22AVerona94-90
11/12/22HVarese101-93
04/12/22ATrento75-79
27/11/22HSassari81-75
20/11/22ABrindisi102-74
06/11/22HOlimpia Milano71-85
29/10/22ABrescia98-97
23/10/22HBasket Napoli97-99 OT
15/10/22ATortona73-81
08/10/22HVenezia90-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/22ABaskonia79-90
18/12/22ABrescia89-77
16/12/22HMaccabi Tel Aviv78-73
14/12/22HAlba Berlin85-76
11/12/22HScafati77-84
09/12/22AOlympiacos71-117
04/12/22AVarese108-100
02/12/22ACrvena zvezda74-83
27/11/22HBrindisi98-68
25/11/22HAnadolu Efes80-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW64%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayLWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %64%60%67%
Points / game89.388.090.3
Allowed / game85.188.282.5
Point differential+4.2-0.2+7.8
Avg total174.4176.2172.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %9%20%0%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW91%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %91%80%100%
Points / game86.587.286.0
Allowed / game74.173.674.5
Point differential+12.5+13.6+11.5
Avg total160.6160.8160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna1110191%86.574.1+12.5
2 Olimpia Milano1210283%83.672.9+10.7
3 Tortona128467%81.174.5+6.6
4 Pesaro117464%89.385.1+4.2
5 Venezia127558%82.779.2+3.4
6 Varese127558%92.392.2+0.1
7 Trento127558%74.374.6-0.2
8 Brescia115645%85.683.8+1.8
9 Brindisi115645%79.183.1-4.0
10 Sassari125742%78.379.4-1.1
11 Scafati114736%77.480.5-3.1
12 Basket Napoli114736%77.282.0-4.8
13 Treviso124833%77.582.8-5.3
14 Trieste124833%79.787.7-8.0
15 Verona113827%79.689.2-9.5
16 Reggiana112918%73.577.2-3.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Pesaro18221914982
Virtus Bologna251420141487
← all games of the day
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