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Pesaro vs Treviso Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 101-72
21-27 20-13 32-14 28-18
Position#10
Record7-6
FormLWWLL
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game86.0
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#13
Record5-8
FormLLWWW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game83.6
ItalyLega ARound 14
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Pesaro v Treviso
26 Nov 2023
PES95
TRV76
08 Jan 2023
PES101
TRV72
30 Jan 2022
PES105
TRV108
03 Apr 2021
PES89
TRV97
08 Mar 2020
PES v TRV
upcoming
20 Nov 2011
PES83
TRV73
19 Mar 2011
PES65
TRV71
14 Feb 2010
PES84
TRV94
29 Mar 2009
PES54
TRV81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Treviso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#12
L
97-99 OT
97
99
-2
no box
H23/10
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
98-97
98
97
+1
90avg 75
A29/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
71-85
71
85
-14
no box
H06/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
102-74
102
74
+28
94avg 75
A20/11
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
81-75
81
75
+6
76avg 75
H27/11
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
75-79
75
79
-4
67avg 75
A04/12
Lega A
Varese
#4
W
101-93
101
93
+8
90avg 75
H11/12
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
94-90
94
90
+4
91avg 75
A18/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
82-87 OT
82
87
-5
no box
H26/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
76-95
76
95
-19
67avg 75
A30/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
23-22
22-22
16-23
22-26
29-20
26-27
21-24
18-11
21-30
12-25
20-19
19-10
33-24
33-21
17-19
19-20
23-18
17-20
22-17
24-18
15-20
19-17
17-24
27-27
32-17
23-30
19-19
25-23
22-25
22-21
25-21
18-25
22-14
19-20
14-14
18-16
21-26
23-25
14-28
175.1Avg total
87.7Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)87.786.0173.7+1.754%
Season at home (6)87.088.0175.0-1.050%
Season away (7)88.384.3172.6+4.057%
Last 10 (10)87.787.4175.1+0.350%
Last 5 (5)85.688.8174.4-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)78.483.0161.4-4.641%
vs Similar ◀ (13)88.287.0175.2+1.262%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Treviso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrevisoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTreviso
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
71-97
71
97
-26
54avg 70
A23/10
Lega A
Varese
#4
L
85-87
85
87
-2
82avg 70
A30/10
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
99-92
99
92
+7
94avg 70
H05/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
L
82-84
82
84
-2
70avg 70
A20/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
80-93
80
93
-13
71avg 70
H27/11
Lega A
Scafati
#11
L
72-89
72
89
-17
70avg 70
A04/12
Lega A
Verona
#16
L
77-79
77
79
-2
68avg 70
H11/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
75-68
75
68
+7
68avg 70
H18/12
Lega A
Tortona
#3
W
95-90
95
90
+5
87avg 70
A26/12
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
100-93
100
93
+7
98avg 70
H02/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-24
22-20
21-29
17-24
23-24
23-17
19-26
20-20
24-18
18-24
33-28
24-22
22-17
19-16
18-29
23-22
16-26
20-19
23-23
21-25
16-23
28-25
10-15
18-26
26-22
13-21
18-17
20-19
16-19
24-10
16-19
19-20
26-18
21-23
28-24
20-25
23-24
25-24
26-25
26-20
170.8Avg total
83.6Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)79.283.6162.8-4.438%
Season at home (7)81.182.0163.1-0.957%
Season away (6)77.085.5162.5-8.517%
Last 10 (10)83.687.2170.8-3.640%
Last 5 (5)83.883.8167.6+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)79.488.6168.0-9.233%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.681.2160.8-1.625%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -1.5-1.5
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -1.5-1.5
PesaroTreviso
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#12
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H23/10
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A29/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H06/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A20/11
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H27/11
Lega A
Trento
#7
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A04/12
Lega A
Varese
#4
W
59-44
59
44
+15
H11/12
Lega A
Verona
#16
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A18/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H26/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A30/12
Lega A
86.9Avg total
45.7Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.782.7+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.441.785.1+1.747%-
Last 30 away (15)40.639.780.3+0.960%-
Last 10 (10)45.741.286.9+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)44.842.287.0+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)40.939.780.6+1.247%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)43.542.185.5+1.462%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Treviso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrevisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A23/10
Lega A
Varese
#4
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A30/10
Lega A
Brescia
#8
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H05/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A20/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H27/11
Lega A
Scafati
#11
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A04/12
Lega A
Verona
#16
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H11/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H18/12
Lega A
Tortona
#3
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A26/12
Lega A
Venezia
#6
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H02/01
Lega A
83.0Avg total
41.6Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.941.979.7-4.033%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.742.178.8-5.320%-
Last 30 away (15)39.041.780.7-2.747%-
Last 10 (10)41.641.483.0+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)43.641.885.4+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)37.343.180.4-5.822%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.840.078.8-1.250%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.0
50.0%
51.3%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.210.3
39.3%
36.4%30.9
🏀 Free throws20.715.8
76.3%
76.1%15.8
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trevisotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Treviso: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.618.6
52.2%
51.3%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.99.7
39.0%
36.4%29.1
🏀 Free throws21.916.6
75.8%
76.1%16.6
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LLWWLWWLWL
Treviso
WWWLLLLWLL
#10
League position
#13
+0.0
Net rating
-4.3
112.7
Offensive rating
112.5
112.7
Defensive rating
116.9
53.7%
Effective FG%
54.8%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
56.8%
15.7%
Turnover %
17.3%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.36
39.3%
3-point %
39.0%
48.5%
Assist %
53.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence112.7 · 112.5Defence112.7 · 116.9Shooting53.7% · 54.8%3-point %39.3% · 39.0%Ball care15.7% · 17.3%Off. rebounds27.3% · 25.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Pesaro   ■ Treviso
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pesaro wins
7
Treviso wins
DateGameScore
30/01/22Pesaro v Treviso105-108 OT
11/12/21Treviso v Pesaro63-73
03/04/21Pesaro v Treviso89-97
06/12/20Treviso v Pesaro91-81
03/11/19Treviso v Pesaro85-75
07/03/12Treviso v Pesaro66-77
20/11/11Pesaro v Treviso83-73
19/03/11Pesaro v Treviso65-71
27/11/10Treviso v Pesaro91-59
14/02/10Pesaro v Treviso84-94
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/22AReggiana76-95
26/12/22HVirtus Bologna82-87 OT
18/12/22AVerona94-90
11/12/22HVarese101-93
04/12/22ATrento75-79
27/11/22HSassari81-75
20/11/22ABrindisi102-74
06/11/22HOlimpia Milano71-85
29/10/22ABrescia98-97
23/10/22HBasket Napoli97-99 OT
Trevisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/23HVenezia100-93
26/12/22ATortona95-90
18/12/22HBrindisi75-68
11/12/22HVerona77-79
04/12/22AScafati72-89
27/11/22HOlimpia Milano80-93
20/11/22ABasket Napoli82-84
05/11/22HBrescia99-92
30/10/22AVarese85-87
23/10/22AVirtus Bologna71-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL54%
HomeLLWWL50%
AwayWWLWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %54%50%57%
Points / game87.787.088.3
Allowed / game86.088.084.3
Point differential+1.7-1.0+4.0
Avg total173.7175.0172.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%0%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %15%33%0%
Treviso
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW38%
HomeWLLWW57%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %38%57%17%
Points / game79.281.177.0
Allowed / game83.682.085.5
Point differential-4.4-0.9-8.5
Avg total162.8163.1162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1311285%84.573.0+11.5
2 Virtus Bologna1411379%85.377.3+8.0
3 Tortona1410471%82.275.9+6.3
4 Venezia148657%83.279.1+4.1
5 Varese148657%92.991.9+1.0
6 Trento148657%74.174.7-0.6
7 Pesaro137654%87.786.0+1.7
8 Brescia147750%85.283.5+1.7
9 Scafati136746%78.678.2+0.4
10 Sassari146843%80.880.1+0.7
11 Brindisi146843%79.282.9-3.7
12 Treviso135838%79.283.6-4.4
13 Verona145936%78.686.9-8.2
14 Basket Napoli134931%75.782.9-7.2
15 Trieste134931%79.887.7-7.9
16 Reggiana1431121%75.479.1-3.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro21203228101
Treviso2713141872
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