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Trento vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 79-75
18-24 20-15 17-19 24-17
Position#7
Record5-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game75.2
Trento 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#10
Record5-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game84.2
ItalyLega ARound 9
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Trento v Pesaro
10 Mar 2024
TRE109
PES82
04 Dec 2022
TRE79
PES75
23 Apr 2022
TRE82
PES83
07 Feb 2021
TRE70
PES81
11 Mar 2020
TRE v PES
upcoming
14 Apr 2019
TRE81
PES76
19 Nov 2017
TRE91
PES74
26 Mar 2017
TRE97
PES91
08 Nov 2015
TRE81
PES74
11 Apr 2015
TRE77
PES65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
London Lions
#14
L
75-80
75
80
-5
61avg 63
A18/10
Eurocup
Sassari
#5
L
76-81
76
81
-5
67avg 63
A23/10
Lega A
Paris
#8
L
86-91
86
91
-5
75avg 63
H25/10
Eurocup
Scafati
#11
W
75-68
75
68
+7
63avg 63
H30/10
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#5
L
63-93
63
93
-30
50avg 63
A02/11
Eurocup
Verona
#16
W
92-86 OT
92
86
+6
no box
A06/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
64-71
64
71
-7
53avg 63
H20/11
Lega A
Turk Telekom
#3
L
66-81
66
81
-15
55avg 63
A23/11
Eurocup
Venezia
#6
W
73-72
73
72
+1
74avg 63
A26/11
Lega A
Gran Canaria
#1
W
75-72
75
72
+3
70avg 63
H30/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
17-20
16-17
15-22
17-24
17-21
23-18
19-18
20-18
17-31
19-23
30-19
18-18
23-21
15-16
19-13
18-28
15-20
11-31
19-14
24-30
15-20
23-12
15-15
10-20
17-24
18-16
19-11
22-20
13-23
9-11
22-27
14-20
19-15
24-18
16-19
19-22
15-16
19-17
22-17
154.0Avg total
74.5Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)76.275.2151.5+1.062%
Season at home (3)68.365.3133.7+3.067%
Season away (5)81.081.2162.2-0.260%
Last 10 (10)74.579.5154.0-5.040%
Last 5 (5)74.076.4150.4-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)71.783.1154.9-11.47%
vs Similar ◀ (13)78.080.5158.5-2.538%
vs Weaker (2)79.071.5150.5+7.5100%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
51-70
51
70
-19
43avg 74
A17/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
55-75
55
75
-20
no box
H19/05
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
100-74
100
74
+26
102avg 74
A02/10
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
90-89
90
89
+1
78avg 74
H08/10
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
73-81
73
81
-8
60avg 74
A15/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
L
97-99 OT
97
99
-2
no box
H23/10
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
98-97
98
97
+1
90avg 74
A29/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
71-85
71
85
-14
no box
H06/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
102-74
102
74
+28
94avg 74
A20/11
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
81-75
81
75
+6
76avg 74
H27/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-12
12-19
13-16
13-23
19-21
16-14
10-24
10-16
27-18
20-26
25-16
28-14
26-18
25-19
24-28
15-24
14-24
15-23
26-17
18-17
26-20
23-22
22-22
16-23
22-26
29-20
26-27
21-24
18-11
21-30
12-25
20-19
19-10
33-24
33-21
17-19
19-20
23-18
17-20
22-17
163.7Avg total
81.8Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.084.2173.2+4.862%
Season at home (4)84.887.0171.8-2.250%
Season away (4)93.281.5174.8+11.875%
Last 10 (10)81.881.9163.7-0.150%
Last 5 (5)89.886.0175.8+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)77.283.7160.9-6.541%
vs Similar ◀ (13)87.685.9173.5+1.762%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -1.6-1.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -1.6-1.6
TrentoPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
London Lions
#14
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A18/10
Eurocup
Sassari
#5
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A23/10
Lega A
Paris
#8
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H25/10
Eurocup
Scafati
#11
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H30/10
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#5
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A02/11
Eurocup
Verona
#16
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A06/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H20/11
Lega A
Turk Telekom
#3
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A23/11
Eurocup
Venezia
#6
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A26/11
Lega A
Gran Canaria
#1
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H30/11
Eurocup
78.9Avg total
35.7Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.841.077.8-4.220%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.939.275.1-3.223%-
Last 30 away (17)37.542.579.9-5.018%-
Last 10 (10)35.743.278.9-7.520%-
Last 5 (5)33.642.075.6-8.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)33.642.976.6-9.37%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.939.479.3+0.531%-
vs Weaker (2)36.038.074.0-2.050%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A17/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H19/05
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A02/10
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H08/10
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A15/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H23/10
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A29/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H06/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A20/11
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H27/11
Lega A
81.5Avg total
42.0Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.841.382.1-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.541.382.8+0.140%-
Last 30 away (15)40.141.281.3-1.153%-
Last 10 (10)42.039.581.5+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)46.640.286.8+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)39.840.680.4-0.941%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)42.242.184.2+0.154%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 71.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.018.3
44.6%
51.3%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.3
33.7%
36.4%24.9
🏀 Free throws13.410.4
77.6%
76.1%10.4
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.118.6
50.1%
51.3%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.4
36.3%
36.4%28.2
🏀 Free throws17.212.9
75.0%
76.1%12.9
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trento
WWLLWLWLLL
Pesaro
WWLWLLWWLL
#7
League position
#10
-10.3
Net rating
-1.2
97.2
Offensive rating
108.0
107.5
Defensive rating
109.2
46.9%
Effective FG%
51.9%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
19.7%
Turnover %
16.7%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.7%
3-point %
36.3%
60.9%
Assist %
50.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence97.2 · 108.0Defence107.5 · 109.2Shooting46.9% · 51.9%3-point %33.7% · 36.3%Ball care19.7% · 16.7%Off. rebounds30.9% · 28.3%Free throws0.20 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Trento   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Trento wins
2
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
23/04/22Trento v Pesaro82-83
31/10/21Pesaro v Trento75-79
07/02/21Trento v Pesaro70-81
17/10/20Pesaro v Trento57-71
09/11/19Pesaro v Trento95-101 OT
14/04/19Trento v Pesaro81-76
23/12/18Pesaro v Trento65-77
25/03/18Pesaro v Trento62-77
19/11/17Trento v Pesaro91-74
26/03/17Trento v Pesaro97-91
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/22HGran Canaria75-72
26/11/22AVenezia73-72
23/11/22ATurk Telekom66-81
20/11/22HVirtus Bologna64-71
06/11/22AVerona92-86 OT
02/11/22AHapoel Tel-Aviv63-93
30/10/22HScafati75-68
25/10/22HParis86-91
23/10/22ASassari76-81
18/10/22ALondon Lions75-80
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/22HSassari81-75
20/11/22ABrindisi102-74
06/11/22HOlimpia Milano71-85
29/10/22ABrescia98-97
23/10/22HBasket Napoli97-99 OT
15/10/22ATortona73-81
08/10/22HVenezia90-89
02/10/22ATrieste100-74
19/05/22HVirtus Bologna55-75
17/05/22AVirtus Bologna51-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trento
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW62%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %62%67%60%
Points / game76.268.381.0
Allowed / game75.265.381.2
Point differential+1.0+3.0-0.2
Avg total151.5133.7162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %25%0%40%
Pesaro
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW62%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%50%75%
Points / game89.084.893.2
Allowed / game84.287.081.5
Point differential+4.8-2.2+11.8
Avg total173.2171.8174.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna880100%84.869.2+15.5
2 Olimpia Milano98189%83.472.3+11.1
3 Tortona97278%79.271.7+7.6
4 Varese86275%90.987.9+3.0
5 Pesaro85362%89.084.2+4.8
6 Trento85362%76.275.2+1.0
7 Brescia95456%87.383.4+3.9
8 Venezia94544%78.877.2+1.6
9 Brindisi94544%79.985.9-6.0
10 Sassari93633%77.379.9-2.6
11 Basket Napoli93633%79.084.2-5.2
12 Reggiana82625%70.871.1-0.4
13 Scafati82625%75.880.6-4.9
14 Treviso82625%76.483.5-7.1
15 Trieste82625%79.189.8-10.6
16 Verona92722%78.690.0-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trento1820172479
Pesaro2415191775
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