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Pesaro vs Sassari Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Apr 2019
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 81-88
16-22 17-22 16-15 32-29
Position#15
Record7-19
FormLLWLL
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game92.0
Pesaro
Italy
vs
Sassari 🏆
Italy
Position#4
Record14-12
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game81.6
ItalyLega ARound 27
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Pesaro v Sassari
30 Jan 2027
PES v SAS
upcoming
07 Jan 2024
PES69
SAS79
27 Nov 2022
PES81
SAS75
10 Apr 2022
PES75
SAS73
27 Sep 2020
PES85
SAS95
05 Sep 2020
PES71
SAS86
19 Jan 2020
PES82
SAS107
20 Apr 2019
PES81
SAS88
13 Jan 2018
PES88
SAS85
26 Feb 2017
PES76
SAS71
13 Mar 2016
PES86
SAS65
09 Mar 2015
PES71
SAS75
17 Nov 2013
PES77
SAS82
28 Oct 2012
PES90
SAS100
22 Apr 2012
PES89
SAS81
21 Nov 2010
PES79
SAS68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sassari winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#5
L
80-101
80
101
-21
176avg 113
H26/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
86-89
86
89
-3
111avg 113
H03/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
74-111
74
111
-37
97avg 113
A10/02
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
86-92
86
92
-6
109avg 113
H03/03
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
68-105
68
105
-37
86avg 113
A09/03
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
72-80
72
80
-8
no box
H17/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
70-78
70
78
-8
56avg 113
A23/03
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
91-89
91
89
+2
82avg 113
H31/03
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
64-97
64
97
-33
134avg 113
A07/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
76-81
76
81
-5
70avg 113
A14/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-31
22-29
23-12
16-29
25-18
28-20
14-21
19-30
18-29
10-30
21-21
25-31
26-17
25-26
17-26
18-23
21-16
8-30
20-29
19-30
22-20
14-20
23-15
13-25
11-22
26-23
10-16
23-17
8-28
32-20
25-23
26-18
18-33
12-20
20-25
14-19
20-14
21-21
23-19
12-27
169.0Avg total
76.7Scored
92.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)80.192.0172.1-11.927%
Season at home (13)86.491.0177.4-4.638%
Season away (13)73.893.0166.8-19.215%
Last 10 (10)76.792.3169.0-15.610%
Last 5 (5)74.685.0159.6-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)79.892.3172.1-12.625%
vs Similar (2)82.077.0159.0+5.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSassari
Date
Competition
Leiden
#22
W
94-68
94
68
+26
no box
H13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Pistoia
#16
W
90-82 OT
90
82
+8
no box
A17/03
Lega A
Karsiyaka
#13
W
87-68
87
68
+19
no box
A20/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
W
88-70
88
70
+18
92avg 130
H24/03
Lega A
Karsiyaka
#13
L
83-83
83
83
+0
no box
H27/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
90-72
90
72
+18
87avg 130
H31/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
93-79
93
79
+14
221avg 130
A07/04
Lega A
Hapoel Holon
#29
W
94-89
94
89
+5
no box
A10/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Avellino
#9
W
105-84
105
84
+21
117avg 130
H14/04
Lega A
Hapoel Holon
#29
W
105-75
105
75
+30
no box
H17/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
17-17
20-12
32-17
21-23
18-23
17-13
22-19
16-14
20-15
30-23
21-16
21-16
21-14
20-15
26-25
12-23
16-29
22-17
33-14
21-16
17-22
26-19
26-15
26-20
21-19
19-20
27-20
22-25
26-22
20-25
26-17
23-30
24-18
32-17
26-19
28-18
34-20
26-23
17-14
169.9Avg total
92.9Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)86.081.6167.7+4.454%
Season at home (13)88.279.8168.0+8.362%
Season away (13)83.983.4167.3+0.546%
Last 10 (10)92.977.0169.9+15.990%
Last 5 (5)97.479.8177.2+17.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)81.084.4165.4-3.425%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)92.179.9172.0+12.281%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: -6.4-6.4Q4: +8.0+8.0
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: -6.4-6.4Q4: +8.0+8.0
PesaroSassari
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#5
L
41-60
41
60
-19
H26/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H03/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
28-59
28
59
-31
A10/02
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H03/03
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A09/03
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H17/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A23/03
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H31/03
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
30-53
30
53
-23
A07/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A14/04
Lega A
85.3Avg total
38.6Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.847.286.0-8.423%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.946.788.6-4.927%-
Last 30 away (15)35.847.783.5-11.920%-
Last 10 (10)38.646.785.3-8.130%-
Last 5 (5)36.844.281.0-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)38.647.486.0-8.825%-
vs Similar (2)42.544.587.0-2.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leiden
#22
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Pistoia
#16
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A17/03
Lega A
Karsiyaka
#13
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A20/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H24/03
Lega A
Karsiyaka
#13
L
28-52
28
52
-24
H27/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Virtus Bologna
#11
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H31/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A07/04
Lega A
Hapoel Holon
#29
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A10/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Avellino
#9
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H14/04
Lega A
Hapoel Holon
#29
W
62-38
62
38
+24
H17/04
FIBA Europe Cup
83.5Avg total
42.9Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.842.386.1+1.555%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.341.386.6+4.153%-
Last 30 away (14)42.243.485.6-1.257%-
Last 10 (10)42.940.683.5+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)48.442.090.4+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)42.746.389.0-3.629%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)44.340.384.6+4.067%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.218.2
44.2%
51.0%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.5
34.1%
35.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws17.613.8
78.4%
72.3%13.8
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 89.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.721.9
56.6%
51.0%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.3
36.9%
35.1%27.9
🏀 Free throws22.417.6
78.6%
72.3%17.6
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Apr 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LLWLLLLLLL
Sassari
WWWWWLWWWW
#15
League position
#4
-20.4
Net rating
+7.6
99.2
Offensive rating
121.8
119.7
Defensive rating
114.2
46.8%
Effective FG%
56.1%
59.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
19.1%
Turnover %
14.5%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
33.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.35
34.1%
3-point %
36.9%
38.2%
Assist %
59.3%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence99.2 · 121.8Defence119.7 · 114.2Shooting46.8% · 56.1%3-point %34.1% · 36.9%Ball care19.1% · 14.5%Off. rebounds32.2% · 33.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)10% · 90%
■ Pesaro   ■ Sassari
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pesaro wins
7
Sassari wins
DateGameScore
26/12/18Sassari v Pesaro114-73
09/05/18Sassari v Pesaro112-81
13/01/18Pesaro v Sassari88-85
26/02/17Pesaro v Sassari76-71
30/10/16Sassari v Pesaro86-59
13/03/16Pesaro v Sassari86-65
23/11/15Sassari v Pesaro106-80
09/03/15Pesaro v Sassari71-75
17/11/14Sassari v Pesaro92-64
02/03/14Sassari v Pesaro102-78
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/19ATrento76-81
07/04/19ACremona64-97
31/03/19HAvellino91-89
23/03/19AVirtus Bologna70-78
17/03/19HCantu72-80
09/03/19ATrieste68-105
03/03/19HBrescia86-92
10/02/19AOlimpia Milano74-111
03/02/19HVenezia86-89
26/01/19HBrindisi80-101
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/04/19HHapoel Holon105-75
14/04/19HAvellino105-84
10/04/19AHapoel Holon94-89
07/04/19AOlimpia Milano93-79
31/03/19HVirtus Bologna90-72
27/03/19HKarsiyaka83-83
24/03/19HTrento88-70
20/03/19AKarsiyaka87-68
17/03/19APistoia90-82 OT
13/03/19HLeiden94-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL27%
HomeLLLLW38%
AwayLLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %27%38%15%
Points / game80.186.473.8
Allowed / game92.091.093.0
Point differential-11.9-4.6-19.2
Avg total172.1177.4166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)75% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Sassari
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW54%
HomeLLWWW62%
AwayLLLWW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %54%62%46%
Points / game86.088.283.9
Allowed / game81.679.883.4
Point differential+4.4+8.3+0.5
Avg total167.7168.0167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%54%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)20% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %12%15%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2720774%87.179.5+7.6
2 Venezia2718967%82.075.4+6.6
3 Cremona2718967%83.378.7+4.6
4 Trieste27161159%89.083.8+5.2
5 Brindisi27161159%81.778.9+2.9
6 Trento27161159%79.980.8-0.9
7 Avellino27151256%82.281.9+0.3
8 Sassari26141254%86.081.6+4.4
9 Varese27141352%79.076.1+2.9
10 Cantu27141352%84.386.4-2.2
11 Brescia27131448%80.581.0-0.5
12 Virtus Bologna27131448%79.881.2-1.4
13 Torino2781930%82.887.4-4.6
14 Pesaro2671927%80.192.0-11.9
15 Reggiana2772026%78.183.8-5.7
16 Pistoia2762122%75.483.0-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro1617163281
Sassari2222152988
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