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Pesaro vs Sassari Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 30 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:30
Scheduled
Position#10
Record5-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game79.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.5/10
Below normal
5.5/10
Above normal
Position#11
Record5-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game76.4
ItalySerie A2Round 24· Vitrifrigo Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Pesaro v Sassari
30 Jan 2027
PES v SAS
upcoming
07 Jan 2024
PES69
SAS79
27 Nov 2022
PES81
SAS75
10 Apr 2022
PES75
SAS73
27 Sep 2020
PES85
SAS95
05 Sep 2020
PES71
SAS86
19 Jan 2020
PES82
SAS107
20 Apr 2019
PES81
SAS88
13 Jan 2018
PES88
SAS85
26 Feb 2017
PES76
SAS71
13 Mar 2016
PES86
SAS65
09 Mar 2015
PES71
SAS75
17 Nov 2013
PES77
SAS82
28 Oct 2012
PES90
SAS100
22 Apr 2012
PES89
SAS81
21 Nov 2010
PES79
SAS68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Sassari win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Rimini
#8
L
78-91
78
91
-13
68avg 76
H19/05
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
96-81
96
81
+15
92avg 76
A27/09
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
87-84
87
84
+3
32avg 76
H04/10
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
W
83-77
83
77
+6
87avg 76
H11/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
86-76
86
76
+10
67avg 76
A18/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
W
76-68
76
68
+8
76avg 76
H21/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
71-73
71
73
-2
61avg 76
H25/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
70-79
70
79
-9
60avg 76
A01/11
Serie A2
Mestre
#13
L
73-85
73
85
-12
no box
H07/11
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
L
87-96 OT
87
96
-9
no box
A11/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
11-27
22-21
27-23
31-14
25-25
20-19
20-23
24-23
21-18
15-26
27-17
23-24
23-15
16-21
21-17
13-15
27-31
22-17
24-13
22-21
20-18
13-15
21-14
15-20
21-20
18-19
17-14
19-21
18-27
13-16
20-15
22-22
18-30
19-12
14-21
25-21
15-22
19-19
20-17
161.7Avg total
80.7Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.079.9160.9+1.156%
Season at home (5)78.077.4155.4+0.660%
Season away (4)84.883.0167.8+1.850%
Last 10 (10)80.781.0161.7-0.350%
Last 5 (5)75.480.2155.6-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)70.079.0149.0-9.00%
vs Similar ◀ (20)82.586.2168.7-3.745%
vs Weaker (9)85.676.4162.0+9.1100%
This opponent (Sassari) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSassari
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
L
71-92
71
92
-21
56avg 73
A10/05
Lega A
Urania Milano
#20
W
70-68
70
68
+2
59avg 73
A27/09
Serie A2
Montecatini
#19
L
72-81
72
81
-9
14avg 73
H04/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#13
W
87-74
87
74
+13
83avg 73
A10/10
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
80-70
80
70
+10
85avg 73
H17/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
L
67-84
67
84
-17
59avg 73
H21/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
L
61-79
61
79
-18
44avg 73
A25/10
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
W
95-75
95
75
+20
95avg 73
H01/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
L
67-70
67
70
-3
no box
A07/11
Serie A2
Pesaro
#10
W
96-87 OT
96
87
+9
no box
H11/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-27
15-30
24-15
16-20
18-19
20-12
19-15
13-22
16-28
15-19
20-15
21-19
25-27
25-21
19-15
18-11
24-20
23-12
13-22
20-16
20-22
16-28
14-16
17-18
15-15
10-21
16-21
20-22
20-19
18-16
29-19
28-21
15-14
25-22
17-13
10-21
21-25
22-15
19-19
17-20
154.6Avg total
76.6Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)77.276.4153.7+0.856%
Season at home (5)82.079.4161.4+2.660%
Season away (4)71.272.8144.0-1.550%
Last 10 (10)76.678.0154.6-1.450%
Last 5 (5)77.279.0156.2-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)79.188.6167.8-9.521%
vs Similar ◀ (11)85.885.2171.0+0.636%
vs Weaker (5)75.674.6150.2+1.060%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
PesaroSassari
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#8
L
29-47
29
47
-18
H19/05
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A27/09
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H04/10
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H11/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A18/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H21/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H25/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A01/11
Serie A2
Mestre
#13
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H07/11
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A11/11
Serie A2
84.5Avg total
41.1Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.341.884.0+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.440.883.2+1.667%-
Last 30 away (15)42.142.784.9-0.640%-
Last 10 (10)41.143.484.5-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)39.044.483.4-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.048.085.0-11.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)41.643.084.7-1.440%-
vs Weaker (9)44.238.282.4+6.089%-
This opponent (Sassari) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
L
31-57
31
57
-26
A10/05
Lega A
Urania Milano
#20
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A27/09
Serie A2
Montecatini
#19
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H04/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#13
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A10/10
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H17/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H21/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A25/10
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H01/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A07/11
Serie A2
Pesaro
#10
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H11/11
Serie A2
79.1Avg total
37.9Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.942.382.2-2.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.942.983.9-2.047%-
Last 30 away (15)38.841.780.5-2.947%-
Last 10 (10)37.941.279.1-3.360%-
Last 5 (5)36.439.475.8-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)39.044.583.5-5.529%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)42.842.385.1+0.564%-
vs Weaker (5)35.836.272.0-0.460%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.517.5
50.7%
51.2%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.78.5
41.1%
34.5%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.114.8
77.5%
71.0%14.8
They take 55.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 70.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.416.0
47.9%
51.2%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.7
37.5%
34.5%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.812.6
70.8%
71.0%12.6
They take 56.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LLLLWWWWWL
Sassari
WLWLLWWLWL
#10
League position
#11
-1.4
Net rating
-6.5
105.1
Offensive rating
96.0
106.5
Defensive rating
102.5
54.8%
Effective FG%
51.3%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
10.0%
Turnover %
12.1%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.31
41.1%
3-point %
37.5%
53.1%
Assist %
53.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.1 · 96.0Defence106.5 · 102.5Shooting54.8% · 51.3%3-point %41.1% · 37.5%Ball care10.0% · 12.1%Free throws0.35 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Pesaro   ■ Sassari
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Pesaro wins
6
Sassari wins
DateGameScore
11/11/26Sassari v Pesaro96-87 OT
07/04/24Sassari v Pesaro91-96
07/01/24Pesaro v Sassari69-79
29/01/23Sassari v Pesaro110-74
27/11/22Pesaro v Sassari81-75
10/04/22Pesaro v Sassari75-73
26/09/21Sassari v Pesaro75-73
12/02/21Sassari v Pesaro110-115 OT
17/01/21Sassari v Pesaro99-74
27/09/20Pesaro v Sassari85-95
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ASassari87-96 OT
07/11/26HMestre73-85
01/11/26AAvellino Basket70-79
25/10/26HBasket Torino71-73
21/10/26HCividale76-68
18/10/26ARuvo Di Puglia86-76
11/10/26HCaserta83-77
04/10/26HJuVi Cremona87-84
27/09/26ACento96-81
19/05/26HRimini78-91
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HPesaro96-87 OT
07/11/26ACividale67-70
01/11/26HCaserta95-75
25/10/26ARuvo Di Puglia61-79
21/10/26HRimini67-84
17/10/26HCento80-70
10/10/26AMestre87-74
04/10/26HMontecatini72-81
27/09/26AUrania Milano70-68
10/05/26ABrescia71-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL56%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%60%50%
Points / game81.078.084.8
Allowed / game79.977.483.0
Point differential+1.1+0.6+1.8
Avg total160.9155.4167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %11%0%25%
Sassari
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW56%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%60%50%
Points / game77.282.071.2
Allowed / game76.479.472.8
Point differential+0.8+2.6-1.5
Avg total153.7161.4144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertas Livorno98189%81.269.7+11.6
2 Avellino Basket98189%82.274.7+7.6
3 Fortitudo Bologna97278%79.474.3+5.1
4 Sebastiani Rieti97278%74.872.1+2.7
5 Rimini96367%80.471.8+8.7
6 Brindisi96367%77.473.9+3.6
7 Basket Torino85362%72.872.2+0.5
8 Pistoia106460%77.669.1+8.5
9 Forli95456%82.377.6+4.8
10 Pesaro95456%81.079.9+1.1
11 Sassari95456%77.276.4+0.8
12 Cividale95456%71.874.1-2.3
13 Mestre94544%75.076.4-1.4
14 Vigevano93633%76.381.8-5.4
15 Caserta82625%78.182.6-4.5
16 JuVi Cremona92722%75.377.9-2.6
17 Ruvo Di Puglia92722%74.481.7-7.2
18 Cento92722%72.882.2-9.4
19 Montecatini91811%68.182.3-14.2
20 Urania Milano101910%74.682.7-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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