PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Pesaro vs Sassari Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Feb 2017
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 76-71
10-23 20-11 22-21 24-16
Position#15
Record6-13
FormWLLWL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game78.2
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#5
Record11-8
FormWWWLL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game73.0
ItalyLega ARound 20
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Pesaro v Sassari
30 Jan 2027
PES v SAS
upcoming
07 Jan 2024
PES69
SAS79
27 Nov 2022
PES81
SAS75
10 Apr 2022
PES75
SAS73
27 Sep 2020
PES85
SAS95
05 Sep 2020
PES71
SAS86
19 Jan 2020
PES82
SAS107
20 Apr 2019
PES81
SAS88
13 Jan 2018
PES88
SAS85
26 Feb 2017
PES76
SAS71
13 Mar 2016
PES86
SAS65
09 Mar 2015
PES71
SAS75
17 Nov 2013
PES77
SAS82
28 Oct 2012
PES90
SAS100
22 Apr 2012
PES89
SAS81
21 Nov 2010
PES79
SAS68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sassari winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Cremona
#16
W
73-71
73
71
+2
98avg 97
A04/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
96-102 OT
96
102
-6
no box
H11/12
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
87-82
87
82
+5
108avg 97
A18/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
57-59
57
59
-2
82avg 97
H27/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
84-88
84
88
-4
105avg 97
A02/01
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
70-68
70
68
+2
90avg 97
H08/01
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
68-99
68
99
-31
92avg 97
A22/01
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
65-66
65
66
-1
88avg 97
H29/01
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
78-73
78
73
+5
103avg 97
H05/02
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
62-79
62
79
-17
85avg 97
A12/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-22
12-23
15-13
17-13
21-19
20-14
22-26
24-28
10-15
26-21
20-26
31-20
7-13
16-13
19-16
15-17
23-16
24-34
18-25
19-13
16-17
14-19
17-15
23-17
17-31
16-22
13-21
22-25
12-18
16-18
23-13
14-17
22-15
12-26
23-15
21-17
21-16
15-25
11-17
15-21
152.7Avg total
74.0Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)73.578.2151.7-4.732%
Season at home (10)73.773.4147.1+0.340%
Season away (9)73.383.6156.9-10.222%
Last 10 (10)74.078.7152.7-4.740%
Last 5 (5)68.677.0145.6-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)76.581.2157.8-4.825%
vs Similar (18)75.776.3152.1-0.650%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSassari
Date
Competition
Varese
#10
W
83-76
83
76
+7
110avg 103
A22/01
Lega A
Partizan
#16
W
99-85
99
85
+14
no box
H25/01
Champions League
Reggiana
#6
W
82-72
82
72
+10
110avg 103
H29/01
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
48-56
48
56
-8
78avg 103
A05/02
Lega A
Nymburk
#5
W
94-72
94
72
+22
no box
H08/02
Champions League
Cantu
#14
W
80-65
80
65
+15
109avg 103
H12/02
Lega A
Avellino
#5
W
69-68
69
68
+1
no box
A17/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#3
W
77-70
77
70
+7
no box
H18/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
74-84
74
84
-10
no box
A19/02
Italian Cup
Nymburk
#5
L
63-84
63
84
-21
no box
A21/02
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
17-18
20-19
21-15
19-22
32-20
21-21
27-22
18-17
16-25
27-16
21-14
16-13
11-18
7-13
14-12
20-23
22-18
29-13
23-18
21-14
12-23
24-17
23-11
13-22
26-16
17-16
13-14
22-15
11-24
27-16
17-15
19-11
17-23
18-22
20-28
11-17
14-18
17-30
21-19
150.1Avg total
76.9Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)77.473.0150.4+4.458%
Season at home (10)83.470.6154.0+12.880%
Season away (9)70.775.7146.3-5.033%
Last 10 (10)76.973.2150.1+3.770%
Last 5 (5)72.674.2146.8-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)74.480.7155.1-6.233%
vs Similar (12)76.975.9152.8+1.058%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)79.271.2150.5+8.062%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +3.2+3.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +3.2+3.2
PesaroSassari
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#16
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A04/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H11/12
Lega A
Caserta
#13
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A18/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
23-26
23
26
-3
H27/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A02/01
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H08/01
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A22/01
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H29/01
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H05/02
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A12/02
Lega A
74.6Avg total
34.9Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.738.776.4-1.033%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.735.672.2+1.144%-
Last 30 away (14)38.842.381.1-3.521%-
Last 10 (10)34.939.774.6-4.810%-
Last 5 (5)32.241.473.6-9.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)37.739.677.2-1.942%-
vs Similar (18)37.738.175.8-0.428%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#10
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A22/01
Lega A
Partizan
#16
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H25/01
Champions League
Reggiana
#6
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H29/01
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A05/02
Lega A
Nymburk
#5
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H08/02
Champions League
Cantu
#14
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H12/02
Lega A
Avellino
#5
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A17/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#3
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H18/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A19/02
Italian Cup
Nymburk
#5
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A21/02
Champions League
74.3Avg total
36.2Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.738.174.7-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.938.878.6+1.157%-
Last 30 away (16)33.937.471.3-3.625%-
Last 10 (10)36.238.174.3-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)33.236.669.8-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.038.673.6-3.644%-
vs Similar (12)36.938.875.8-1.933%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)37.936.474.2+1.538%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 70.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.618.5
47.9%
51.1%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.87.5
32.9%
35.7%22.5
🏀 Free throws15.011.3
75.3%
74.0%11.3
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.415.1
48.1%
51.1%30.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.111.3
40.2%
35.7%33.9
🏀 Free throws15.311.4
74.5%
74.0%11.4
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Feb 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LWLLWLLWLW
Sassari
LLWWWWLWWW
#15
League position
#5
-6.0
Net rating
+9.7
95.0
Offensive rating
107.9
101.0
Defensive rating
98.2
48.5%
Effective FG%
53.9%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
17.8%
Turnover %
21.0%
20.2%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.9%
3-point %
40.2%
42.3%
Assist %
61.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence95.0 · 107.9Defence101.0 · 98.2Shooting48.5% · 53.9%3-point %32.9% · 40.2%Ball care17.8% · 21.0%Off. rebounds20.2% · 32.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Pesaro   ■ Sassari
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pesaro wins
8
Sassari wins
DateGameScore
30/10/16Sassari v Pesaro86-59
13/03/16Pesaro v Sassari86-65
23/11/15Sassari v Pesaro106-80
09/03/15Pesaro v Sassari71-75
17/11/14Sassari v Pesaro92-64
02/03/14Sassari v Pesaro102-78
17/11/13Pesaro v Sassari77-82
24/02/13Sassari v Pesaro87-76
28/10/12Pesaro v Sassari90-100
22/04/12Pesaro v Sassari89-81
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/17AAvellino62-79
05/02/17HCantu78-73
29/01/17HTorino65-66
22/01/17ABrescia68-99
08/01/17HCapo d'Orlando70-68
02/01/17AOlimpia Milano84-88
27/12/16HPistoia57-59
18/12/16ACaserta87-82
11/12/16HBrindisi96-102 OT
04/12/16ACremona73-71
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/17ANymburk63-84
19/02/17AOlimpia Milano74-84
18/02/17HBrescia77-70
17/02/17AAvellino69-68
12/02/17HCantu80-65
08/02/17HNymburk94-72
05/02/17ABrescia48-56
29/01/17HReggiana82-72
25/01/17HPartizan99-85
22/01/17AVarese83-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL32%
HomeLLWLW40%
AwayWWLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %32%40%22%
Points / game73.573.773.3
Allowed / game78.273.483.6
Point differential-4.7+0.3-10.2
Avg total151.7147.1156.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)29% (7)50% (4)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Sassari
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW58%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %58%80%33%
Points / game77.483.470.7
Allowed / game73.070.675.7
Point differential+4.4+12.8-5.0
Avg total150.4154.0146.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%60%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1916384%88.679.5+9.2
2 Avellino2013765%79.774.7+5.0
3 Venezia1912763%81.579.3+2.2
4 Sassari1911858%77.473.0+4.4
5 Reggiana1911858%81.381.2+0.1
6 Capo d'Orlando2011955%78.278.0+0.3
7 Trento1910953%74.971.9+3.1
8 Pistoia1910953%75.476.1-0.7
9 Brescia20101050%80.980.0+0.8
10 Brindisi1991047%82.982.5+0.5
11 Caserta1991047%81.084.3-3.3
12 Torino1991047%81.885.4-3.6
13 Cantu2071335%76.681.5-4.8
14 Pesaro1961332%73.578.2-4.7
15 Cremona1951426%76.879.2-2.4
16 Varese1951426%75.681.7-6.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro1020222476
Sassari2311211671
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.