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Pesaro vs Torino Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 102-98 (OT)
26-26 15-23 26-18 19-19 16-12
Position#15
Record4-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game92.4
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#13
Record4-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game86.0
ItalyLega ARound 15
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Pesaro v Torino
13 Jan 2019
PES102
TOR98
11 Feb 2018
PES90
TOR95
29 Jan 2017
PES65
TOR66
04 Jan 2016
PES69
TOR76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Torino winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#12
L
81-84
81
84
-3
A04/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
103-77
103
77
+26
H12/11
Lega A
Cantu
#8
W
90-87
90
87
+3
A19/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
89-86
89
86
+3
H25/11
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
81-82
81
82
-1
A09/12
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
106-122
106
122
-16
H16/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
65-77
65
77
-12
H23/12
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
73-114
73
114
-41
A26/12
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
78-98
78
98
-20
H30/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
66-108
66
108
-42
A06/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
17-33
19-15
18-19
22-21
24-16
25-16
32-24
26-17
21-28
18-27
25-15
22-28
23-19
20-20
24-19
25-25
24-21
16-24
16-12
23-35
30-31
18-28
35-28
24-16
11-27
18-15
12-19
14-28
16-19
16-33
27-34
22-25
20-24
15-28
21-21
15-25
14-32
15-24
22-27
176.7Avg total
83.2Scored
93.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)80.992.4173.3-11.629%
Season at home (7)86.690.6177.1-4.043%
Season away (7)75.194.3169.4-19.114%
Last 10 (10)83.293.5176.7-10.330%
Last 5 (5)77.6103.8181.4-26.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)79.491.6171.0-12.223%
vs Similar (3)82.080.7162.7+1.367%
vs Weaker (1)84.081.0165.0+3.0100%
This opponent (Torino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TorinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unics Kazan
#2
L
72-82
72
82
-10
H21/11
Eurocup
Brescia
#12
L
76-83
76
83
-7
A25/11
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
86-84
86
84
+2
H08/12
Lega A
Rytas
#11
L
96-101 OT
96
101
-5
H11/12
Eurocup
Varese
#7
L
60-77
60
77
-17
A16/12
Lega A
Unicaja
#6
L
68-89
68
89
-21
A19/12
Eurocup
Pistoia
#16
W
86-80
86
80
+6
H23/12
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
79-96
79
96
-17
H26/12
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
87-100
87
100
-13
A30/12
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
96-106 OT
96
106
-10
H06/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
17-16
8-27
27-25
22-28
13-22
23-17
18-16
23-15
20-27
22-27
21-15
22-29
14-18
21-22
29-17
14-22
15-17
19-21
12-17
21-26
26-15
10-26
11-22
13-21
23-29
26-17
24-13
30-23
16-19
14-24
19-30
16-23
24-28
23-26
24-23
25-23
22-26
18-17
26-25
170.4Avg total
80.6Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)80.586.0166.5-5.529%
Season at home (7)81.486.4167.9-5.043%
Season away (7)79.685.6165.1-6.014%
Last 10 (10)80.689.8170.4-9.220%
Last 5 (5)83.294.2177.4-11.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)80.588.6169.1-8.111%
vs Similar (8)84.687.8172.4-3.125%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)83.083.3166.3-0.333%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.8+0.8
PesaroTorino
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#12
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A04/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H12/11
Lega A
Cantu
#8
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A19/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H25/11
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A09/12
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
53-66
53
66
-13
H16/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H23/12
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A26/12
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H30/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
29-57
29
57
-28
A06/01
Lega A
90.7Avg total
42.0Scored
48.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.447.185.6-8.723%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.145.585.6-5.327%-
Last 30 away (15)36.748.885.5-12.120%-
Last 10 (10)42.048.790.7-6.730%-
Last 5 (5)37.852.490.2-14.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)38.647.786.3-9.123%-
vs Similar (3)39.342.782.0-3.333%-
vs Weaker (1)31.045.076.0-14.00%-
This opponent (Torino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TorinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unics Kazan
#2
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H21/11
Eurocup
Brescia
#12
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A25/11
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H08/12
Lega A
Rytas
#11
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H11/12
Eurocup
Varese
#7
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A16/12
Lega A
Unicaja
#6
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A19/12
Eurocup
Pistoia
#16
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H23/12
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H26/12
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A30/12
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H06/01
Lega A
83.7Avg total
39.6Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.043.882.8-4.830%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.743.082.7-3.338%-
Last 30 away (14)38.144.782.9-6.621%-
Last 10 (10)39.644.183.7-4.540%-
Last 5 (5)43.246.689.8-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)37.842.980.7-5.128%-
vs Similar (8)41.545.286.8-3.838%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)38.750.088.7-11.30%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.722.9
49.0%
51.0%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.86.0
30.3%
35.1%18.0
🏀 Free throws25.018.0
72.0%
72.3%18.0
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Torinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Torino: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.421.0
52.0%
51.0%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.2
32.7%
35.1%21.6
🏀 Free throws16.812.8
76.2%
72.3%12.8
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LLLLLLWWWL
Torino
LLLWLLLWLL
#15
League position
#13
-13.7
Net rating
-11.7
103.7
Offensive rating
102.4
117.3
Defensive rating
114.1
48.0%
Effective FG%
51.0%
56.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
17.5%
Turnover %
18.0%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
24.6%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.27
30.3%
3-point %
32.7%
40.8%
Assist %
58.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence103.7 · 102.4Defence117.3 · 114.1Shooting48.0% · 51.0%3-point %30.3% · 32.7%Ball care17.5% · 18.0%Off. rebounds31.9% · 24.6%Free throws0.38 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Pesaro   ■ Torino
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pesaro wins
6
Torino wins
DateGameScore
11/02/18Pesaro v Torino90-95
22/10/17Torino v Pesaro88-79
29/01/17Pesaro v Torino65-66
09/10/16Torino v Pesaro83-79
04/05/16Torino v Pesaro83-66
04/01/16Pesaro v Torino69-76
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/19AReggiana66-108
30/12/18HVarese78-98
26/12/18ASassari73-114
23/12/18HTrento65-77
16/12/18HCremona106-122
09/12/18AAvellino81-82
25/11/18HVirtus Bologna89-86
19/11/18ACantu90-87
12/11/18HTrieste103-77
04/11/18ABrescia81-84
Torinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/19HCantu96-106 OT
30/12/18ACremona87-100
26/12/18HAvellino79-96
23/12/18HPistoia86-80
19/12/18AUnicaja68-89
16/12/18AVarese60-77
11/12/18HRytas96-101 OT
08/12/18HTrento86-84
25/11/18ABrescia76-83
21/11/18HUnics Kazan72-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL29%
HomeWWLLL43%
AwayLWLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %29%43%14%
Points / game80.986.675.1
Allowed / game92.490.694.3
Point differential-11.6-4.0-19.1
Avg total173.3177.1169.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Torino
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL29%
HomeLWWLL43%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %29%43%14%
Points / game80.581.479.6
Allowed / game86.086.485.6
Point differential-5.5-5.0-6.0
Avg total166.5167.9165.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%14%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %14%14%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1413193%91.680.2+11.4
2 Avellino1410471%83.581.9+1.6
3 Venezia1510567%81.270.7+10.5
4 Varese149564%77.772.7+5.0
5 Cremona149564%88.283.8+4.4
6 Sassari158753%89.783.8+5.9
7 Trieste147750%85.883.6+2.1
8 Brindisi147750%78.376.3+2.0
9 Virtus Bologna147750%81.182.8-1.6
10 Trento146843%76.481.1-4.8
11 Brescia156940%78.079.7-1.7
12 Reggiana145936%79.681.6-1.9
13 Cantu1551033%82.989.2-6.3
14 Torino1441029%80.586.0-5.5
15 Pistoia1441029%78.388.3-10.0
16 Pesaro1441029%80.992.4-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Pesaro2615261916102
Torino262318191298
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