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Varese vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 81-68
26-18 14-10 21-21 20-19
Position#12
Record7-14
FormWLLLW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game88.0
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#10
Record10-10
FormWWWLL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game82.5
ItalyLega ARound 22
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Varese v Pesaro
11 Feb 2024
VAR91
PES80
11 Mar 2023
VAR110
PES99
20 Mar 2022
VAR76
PES87
14 Mar 2021
VAR81
PES68
15 Dec 2019
VAR103
PES87
28 Apr 2019
VAR81
PES75
31 Mar 2018
VAR88
PES68
12 Mar 2017
VAR93
PES78
18 Oct 2015
VAR88
PES81
01 Feb 2015
VAR70
PES80
01 Dec 2013
VAR91
PES77
28 Apr 2013
VAR85
PES70
14 Apr 2012
VAR63
PES67
17 Oct 2010
VAR87
PES78
24 Jan 2010
VAR89
PES86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Venezia
#4
L
77-86
77
86
-9
66avg 70
A20/12
Lega A
Treviso
#7
L
79-80
79
80
-1
68avg 70
H27/12
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
83-108
83
108
-25
72avg 70
A27/01
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
82-97
82
97
-15
73avg 70
A31/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
W
76-74
76
74
+2
65avg 70
H04/02
Lega A
Cremona
#9
W
110-105 OT
110
105
+5
no box
H07/02
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
83-98
83
98
-15
74avg 70
A10/02
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
67-79
67
79
-12
58avg 70
H14/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
76-85
76
85
-9
70avg 70
A27/02
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
89-74
89
74
+15
84avg 70
H06/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
25-19
14-18
15-22
29-16
16-14
8-28
26-22
20-28
27-26
17-17
19-37
24-27
18-21
24-23
16-26
24-24
11-19
24-20
17-11
21-18
27-31
19-15
20-23
16-24
20-24
22-24
25-26
26-19
12-20
8-22
21-18
21-19
8-20
19-29
28-17
18-22
23-17
21-17
27-18
170.8Avg total
82.2Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)81.288.0169.2-6.933%
Season at home (11)82.986.3169.2-3.445%
Season away (10)79.390.0169.3-10.720%
Last 10 (10)82.288.6170.8-6.430%
Last 5 (5)85.088.2173.2-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)82.290.9173.1-8.629%
vs Similar ◀ (11)80.688.4169.0-7.727%
vs Weaker (5)84.282.0166.2+2.260%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
93-97
93
97
-4
89avg 75
A03/01
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
98-88
98
88
+10
89avg 75
H10/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
74-99
74
99
-25
63avg 75
A17/01
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
107-83
107
83
+24
103avg 75
H24/01
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
65-78
65
78
-13
no box
H31/01
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
81-70
81
70
+11
79avg 75
A07/02
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
115-110 OT
115
110
+5
no box
A12/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#3
W
74-69
74
69
+5
no box
A13/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
59-87
59
87
-28
no box
A14/02
Italian Cup
Cremona
#9
L
78-100
78
100
-22
64avg 75
A07/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
31-18
23-25
21-33
16-22
24-23
28-15
30-28
19-23
22-21
20-28
13-27
26-20
27-18
29-14
25-31
20-19
14-13
15-15
16-31
26-15
13-21
19-15
23-19
24-26
25-27
21-23
29-23
15-12
26-16
11-17
22-24
15-21
6-27
15-26
23-13
16-24
15-22
22-27
25-27
172.5Avg total
84.4Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)82.882.5165.3+0.250%
Season at home (10)83.079.1162.1+3.960%
Season away (10)82.586.0168.5-3.540%
Last 10 (10)84.488.1172.5-3.750%
Last 5 (5)81.487.2168.6-5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)78.988.1167.0-9.230%
vs Similar ◀ (16)81.179.9161.0+1.156%
vs Weaker (3)92.361.7154.0+30.7100%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -2.9-2.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -2.9-2.9
VaresePesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#4
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A20/12
Lega A
Treviso
#7
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H27/12
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A27/01
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A31/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H04/02
Lega A
Cremona
#9
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H07/02
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A10/02
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H14/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A27/02
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H06/03
Lega A
84.4Avg total
40.9Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.344.684.9-4.230%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.643.383.9-2.733%-
Last 30 away (15)40.145.985.9-5.827%-
Last 10 (10)40.943.584.4-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)38.442.881.2-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)40.249.289.4-9.021%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.641.380.9-1.627%-
vs Weaker (5)42.238.881.0+3.460%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A03/01
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H10/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A17/01
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H24/01
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H31/01
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A07/02
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A12/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#3
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A13/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
21-48
21
48
-27
A14/02
Italian Cup
Cremona
#9
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A07/03
Lega A
80.7Avg total
39.8Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.939.479.3+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.238.277.4+1.050%-
Last 30 away (16)40.440.580.9-0.144%-
Last 10 (10)39.840.980.7-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)36.242.278.4-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.840.280.0-0.460%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)38.440.278.6-1.931%-
vs Weaker (3)45.028.073.0+17.0100%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.215.6
48.4%
51.2%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.310.9
33.7%
35.9%32.7
🏀 Free throws18.613.9
74.7%
75.8%13.9
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.619.4
49.0%
51.2%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.411.3
39.8%
35.9%33.9
🏀 Free throws15.111.3
74.8%
75.8%11.3
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WLLLWWLLLL
Pesaro
LLWWWLWLWL
#12
League position
#10
-11.6
Net rating
-3.3
107.2
Offensive rating
114.0
118.8
Defensive rating
117.3
49.5%
Effective FG%
53.5%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
60.4%
15.7%
Turnover %
15.3%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.22
33.7%
3-point %
39.8%
56.6%
Assist %
59.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.2 · 114.0Defence118.8 · 117.3Shooting49.5% · 53.5%3-point %33.7% · 39.8%Ball care15.7% · 15.3%Off. rebounds30.1% · 30.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Varese   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Varese wins
3
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
08/11/20Pesaro v Varese85-78
15/12/19Varese v Pesaro103-87
28/04/19Varese v Pesaro81-75
30/12/18Pesaro v Varese78-98
31/03/18Varese v Pesaro88-68
03/12/17Pesaro v Varese74-71
12/03/17Varese v Pesaro93-78
13/11/16Pesaro v Varese83-87
31/01/16Pesaro v Varese76-71
18/10/15Varese v Pesaro88-81
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/21HSassari89-74
27/02/21AVirtus Bologna76-85
14/02/21HFortitudo Bologna67-79
10/02/21ABrescia83-98
07/02/21HCremona110-105 OT
04/02/21HBrindisi76-74
31/01/21ACantu82-97
27/01/21ATrieste83-108
27/12/20HTreviso79-80
20/12/20AVenezia77-86
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/21ACremona78-100
14/02/21AOlimpia Milano59-87
13/02/21ABrindisi74-69
12/02/21ASassari115-110 OT
07/02/21ATrento81-70
31/01/21HVenezia65-78
24/01/21HCantu107-83
17/01/21ASassari74-99
10/01/21HBrescia98-88
03/01/21AOlimpia Milano93-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW33%
HomeLWWLW45%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %33%45%20%
Points / game81.282.979.3
Allowed / game88.086.390.0
Point differential-6.9-3.4-10.7
Avg total169.2169.2169.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)75% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %10%18%0%
Pesaro
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayLLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %50%60%40%
Points / game82.883.082.5
Allowed / game82.579.186.0
Point differential+0.2+3.9-3.5
Avg total165.3162.1168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2017385%87.774.2+13.4
2 Brindisi2116576%86.579.3+7.2
3 Sassari2014670%90.785.3+5.3
4 Virtus Bologna2114767%85.177.5+7.6
5 Venezia2113862%80.577.4+3.0
6 Trieste21111052%81.179.1+2.0
7 Pesaro20101050%82.882.5+0.2
8 Brescia2091145%82.083.6-1.6
9 Treviso2091145%83.988.7-4.8
10 Cremona2081240%85.587.1-1.6
11 Trento2071335%76.779.8-3.1
12 Fortitudo Bologna2071335%78.082.6-4.5
13 Cantu2171433%79.383.7-4.3
14 Reggiana2171433%75.181.6-6.4
15 Varese2171433%81.288.0-6.9
16 Virtus Roma92722%74.987.7-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2614212081
Pesaro1810211968
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