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Pesaro vs Treviso Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 08 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 16:30
Postponed
Position#17
Record1-19
FormLWLLL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game92.5
vs
Position#13
Record8-13
FormLLWWL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game79.2
ItalyLega ARound 24
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Pesaro v Treviso
26 Nov 2023
PES95
TRV76
08 Jan 2023
PES101
TRV72
30 Jan 2022
PES105
TRV108
03 Apr 2021
PES89
TRV97
08 Mar 2020
PES v TRV
upcoming
20 Nov 2011
PES83
TRV73
19 Mar 2011
PES65
TRV71
14 Feb 2010
PES84
TRV94
29 Mar 2009
PES54
TRV81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Treviso win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
65-71
65
71
-6
H08/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
87-103
87
103
-16
A15/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
79-91
79
91
-12
A22/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
72-87
72
87
-15
H26/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
92-98
92
98
-6
A29/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
76-82
76
82
-6
H05/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
80-77
80
77
+3
A11/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
82-107
82
107
-25
H19/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
89-106
89
106
-17
A01/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
77-103
77
103
-26
H09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
14-14
16-21
19-19
24-25
30-31
20-26
13-21
26-27
20-14
20-27
13-23
17-21
18-27
13-17
24-22
28-28
21-26
18-20
25-24
27-25
20-23
17-16
12-18
22-18
19-16
21-17
18-26
19-25
25-28
19-36
19-18
25-25
22-27
11-29
31-25
18-16
17-29
28-33
14-25
172.4Avg total
79.9Scored
92.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)79.292.5171.6-13.35%
Season at home (10)74.688.9163.5-14.30%
Season away (10)83.796.0179.7-12.310%
Last 10 (10)79.992.5172.4-12.610%
Last 5 (5)80.895.0175.8-14.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)77.591.4168.8-13.97%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Treviso) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrevisoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#12
W
91-83
91
83
+8
H08/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
74-77
74
77
-3
A15/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
79-101
79
101
-22
H27/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A29/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H05/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
67-91
67
91
-24
A12/01
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
84-94
84
94
-10
H18/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
86-75
86
75
+11
A26/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
78-66
78
66
+12
H02/02
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
22-28
26-14
28-17
17-20
24-15
17-21
16-21
18-29
16-22
25-28
20-22
20-17
17-21
16-26
21-17
17-23
27-14
11-22
24-25
22-19
19-22
15-20
11-30
19-29
27-18
18-19
20-28
29-13
20-20
9-24
28-18
18-15
21-14
21-22
18-15
23-25
14-13
14-15
22-26
161.6Avg total
78.5Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)77.179.2156.4-2.138%
Season at home (10)79.879.7159.5+0.160%
Season away (11)74.778.8153.5-4.118%
Last 10 (10)78.583.1161.6-4.630%
Last 5 (5)77.681.0158.6-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)74.082.4156.4-8.422%
vs Similar (8)76.978.9155.8-2.025%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)80.565.4145.8+15.1100%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -5.9-5.9Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -1.1-1.1
PesaroTreviso
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H08/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A15/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A22/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H26/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A29/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H05/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A11/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H19/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A01/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H09/02
Lega A
89.0Avg total
42.8Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.045.983.9-7.813%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.744.680.4-8.97%-
Last 30 away (16)40.146.987.0-6.919%-
Last 10 (10)42.846.289.0-3.420%-
Last 5 (5)42.846.489.2-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)38.045.983.9-7.813%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Treviso) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrevisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#12
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H08/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A15/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H27/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A29/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H05/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A12/01
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H18/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A26/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H02/02
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A09/02
Lega A
80.6Avg total
40.5Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.535.576.0+5.063%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.635.373.9+3.464%-
Last 30 away (16)42.135.677.8+6.562%-
Last 10 (10)40.540.180.6+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)42.437.680.0+4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.338.276.6+0.133%-
vs Similar (8)41.640.482.0+1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)41.330.571.8+10.892%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.818.9
46.3%
52.0%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.1
31.9%
35.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.613.8
70.4%
73.6%13.8
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trevisotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Treviso: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.217.3
49.1%
52.0%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.5
36.0%
35.1%31.5
🏀 Free throws14.911.4
76.5%
73.6%11.4
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LLLWLLLLLL
Treviso
LWWLLLLLLW
#17
League position
#13
-16.6
Net rating
-6.6
103.9
Offensive rating
110.6
120.5
Defensive rating
117.2
47.0%
Effective FG%
51.3%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
15.5%
Turnover %
15.8%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.23
31.9%
3-point %
36.0%
51.4%
Assist %
54.0%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence103.9 · 110.6Defence120.5 · 117.2Shooting47.0% · 51.3%3-point %31.9% · 36.0%Ball care15.5% · 15.8%Off. rebounds30.7% · 30.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)10% · 30%
■ Pesaro   ■ Treviso
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pesaro wins
7
Treviso wins
DateGameScore
03/11/19Treviso v Pesaro85-75
07/03/12Treviso v Pesaro66-77
20/11/11Pesaro v Treviso83-73
19/03/11Pesaro v Treviso65-71
27/11/10Treviso v Pesaro91-59
14/02/10Pesaro v Treviso84-94
25/10/09Treviso v Pesaro86-84
29/03/09Pesaro v Treviso54-81
06/12/08Treviso v Pesaro103-97 OT
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20HBrindisi77-103
01/02/20AVirtus Bologna89-106
19/01/20HSassari82-107
11/01/20AFortitudo Bologna80-77
05/01/20HTrieste76-82
29/12/19AVenezia92-98
26/12/19HCantu72-87
22/12/19APistoia79-91
15/12/19AVarese87-103
08/12/19HOlimpia Milano65-71
Trevisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20AVenezia73-79
02/02/20HFortitudo Bologna78-66
26/01/20APistoia86-75
18/01/20HCremona84-94
12/01/20AOlimpia Milano67-91
05/01/20HVarese79-84
29/12/19ABrindisi74-81
27/12/19HSassari79-101
15/12/19ACantu74-77
08/12/19HReggiana91-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL5%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLWL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %5%0%10%
Points / game79.274.683.7
Allowed / game92.588.996.0
Point differential-13.3-14.3-12.3
Avg total171.6163.5179.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Treviso
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL38%
HomeWLLLW60%
AwayLLLWL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %38%60%18%
Points / game77.179.874.7
Allowed / game79.279.778.8
Point differential-2.1+0.1-4.1
Avg total156.4159.5153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%40%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)50% (2)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2018290%86.075.0+10.9
2 Sassari2116576%85.575.9+9.6
3 Brescia2114767%81.374.0+7.3
4 Olimpia Milano2114767%80.374.0+6.3
5 Brindisi2113862%84.680.8+3.8
6 Cremona2012860%81.380.8+0.5
7 Venezia21111052%78.075.3+2.7
8 Trento21111052%77.979.3-1.4
9 Fortitudo Bologna21111052%77.379.5-2.2
10 Varese1991047%82.680.1+2.5
11 Cantu2091145%76.779.0-2.4
12 Reggiana2191243%82.984.0-1.0
13 Treviso2181338%77.179.2-2.1
14 Trieste2271532%76.080.5-4.5
15 Virtus Roma2271532%78.585.5-7.0
16 Pistoia2271532%74.583.3-8.8
17 Pesaro201195%79.292.5-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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