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Pesaro vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 70-75
9-15 19-22 21-20 21-18
Position#10
Record10-11
FormWWLLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Position#1
Record14-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game77.5
ItalyLega ARound 23
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Pesaro v Virtus Bologna
17 Mar 2024
PES87
VIR86
26 Dec 2022
PES82
VIR87
19 May 2022
PES55
VIR75
16 Apr 2022
PES77
VIR96
20 Mar 2021
PES70
VIR75
13 Oct 2019
PES79
VIR94
25 Nov 2018
PES89
VIR86
14 Oct 2017
PES75
VIR81
25 Oct 2015
PES68
VIR63
26 Dec 2014
PES67
VIR70
27 Apr 2014
PES79
VIR78
30 Mar 2013
PES101
VIR91
08 Jan 2012
PES86
VIR77
07 Nov 2010
PES66
VIR70
21 Apr 2010
PES90
VIR73
02 Nov 2008
PES99
VIR65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Brescia
#11
W
98-88
98
88
+10
89avg 74
H10/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
74-99
74
99
-25
63avg 74
A17/01
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
107-83
107
83
+24
103avg 74
H24/01
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
65-78
65
78
-13
no box
H31/01
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
81-70
81
70
+11
79avg 74
A07/02
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
115-110 OT
115
110
+5
no box
A12/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#3
W
74-69
74
69
+5
no box
A13/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
59-87
59
87
-28
no box
A14/02
Italian Cup
Cremona
#9
L
78-100
78
100
-22
64avg 74
A07/03
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
68-81
68
81
-13
58avg 74
A14/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
24-23
28-15
30-28
19-23
22-21
20-28
13-27
26-20
27-18
29-14
25-31
20-19
14-13
15-15
16-31
26-15
13-21
19-15
23-19
24-26
25-27
21-23
29-23
15-12
26-16
11-17
22-24
15-21
6-27
15-26
23-13
16-24
15-22
22-27
25-27
18-26
10-14
21-21
19-20
168.4Avg total
81.9Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)82.082.5164.5-0.448%
Season at home (10)83.079.1162.1+3.960%
Season away (11)81.285.5166.7-4.436%
Last 10 (10)81.986.5168.4-4.650%
Last 5 (5)78.889.4168.2-10.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)79.186.4165.6-7.333%
vs Similar (17)80.380.0160.3+0.353%
vs Weaker (3)92.361.7154.0+30.7100%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#12
W
87-65
87
65
+22
95avg 86
H26/01
Eurocup
Cremona
#9
W
88-75
88
75
+13
85avg 86
A30/01
Lega A
Buducnost
#12
W
99-89
99
89
+10
94avg 86
A03/02
Eurocup
Reggiana
#13
W
89-62
89
62
+27
97avg 86
A07/02
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
82-89
82
89
-7
no box
H11/02
Italian Cup
Varese
#12
W
85-76
85
76
+9
87avg 86
H27/02
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
108-98 OT
108
98
+10
no box
A02/03
Eurocup
Venezia
#4
W
77-72
77
72
+5
77avg 86
H06/03
Lega A
JL Bourg
#16
W
83-62
83
62
+21
86avg 86
H09/03
Eurocup
Brindisi
#3
L
85-91
85
91
-6
no box
A13/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-14
22-14
20-19
19-18
25-23
17-12
19-16
27-24
23-25
30-22
24-18
22-24
28-20
16-17
26-14
19-11
16-23
22-18
23-24
21-24
19-21
20-8
29-19
17-28
23-22
16-18
17-22
35-29
16-13
17-27
23-17
21-15
25-12
23-17
14-22
21-11
23-24
25-19
15-20
22-28
166.2Avg total
88.3Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)85.177.5162.7+7.667%
Season at home (10)82.880.9163.7+1.940%
Season away (11)87.374.5161.7+12.891%
Last 10 (10)88.377.9166.2+10.480%
Last 5 (5)87.679.8167.4+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)80.882.6163.4-1.840%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)89.676.2165.8+13.492%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +1.2+1.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +1.2+1.2
PesaroVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#11
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H10/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A17/01
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H24/01
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H31/01
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A07/02
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A12/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#3
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A13/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
21-48
21
48
-27
A14/02
Italian Cup
Cremona
#9
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A07/03
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A14/03
Lega A
78.7Avg total
37.7Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.639.378.9+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.537.777.2+1.854%-
Last 30 away (17)39.740.580.2-0.841%-
Last 10 (10)37.741.078.7-3.340%-
Last 5 (5)34.043.077.0-9.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)40.339.780.0+0.767%-
vs Similar (17)37.840.278.0-2.529%-
vs Weaker (3)45.028.073.0+17.0100%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#12
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H26/01
Eurocup
Cremona
#9
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A30/01
Lega A
Buducnost
#12
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A03/02
Eurocup
Reggiana
#13
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A07/02
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H11/02
Italian Cup
Varese
#12
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H27/02
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A02/03
Eurocup
Venezia
#4
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H06/03
Lega A
JL Bourg
#16
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H09/03
Eurocup
Brindisi
#3
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A13/03
Lega A
80.1Avg total
43.2Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.539.483.0+4.170%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.139.682.6+3.557%-
Last 30 away (16)43.939.383.2+4.681%-
Last 10 (10)43.236.980.1+6.370%-
Last 5 (5)41.436.277.6+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)39.444.684.0-5.240%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)44.638.382.9+6.379%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.818.5
47.7%
51.2%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.110.9
37.5%
35.9%32.7
🏀 Free throws15.511.9
76.8%
75.8%11.9
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.722.5
59.7%
51.2%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.3
36.6%
35.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.614.2
76.3%
75.8%14.2
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LLLWWWLWLW
Virtus Bologna
LWWWWLWWWW
#10
League position
#1
-6.5
Net rating
+14.3
110.9
Offensive rating
113.3
117.5
Defensive rating
99.0
51.3%
Effective FG%
57.8%
61.1%
Opp. effective FG%
47.6%
15.1%
Turnover %
18.5%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.29
37.5%
3-point %
36.6%
64.6%
Assist %
76.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence110.9 · 113.3Defence117.5 · 99.0Shooting51.3% · 57.8%3-point %37.5% · 36.6%Ball care15.1% · 18.5%Off. rebounds30.5% · 27.5%Free throws0.23 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Pesaro   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pesaro wins
8
Virtus Bologna wins
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/21AVarese68-81
07/03/21ACremona78-100
14/02/21AOlimpia Milano59-87
13/02/21ABrindisi74-69
12/02/21ASassari115-110 OT
07/02/21ATrento81-70
31/01/21HVenezia65-78
24/01/21HCantu107-83
17/01/21ASassari74-99
10/01/21HBrescia98-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/21ABrindisi85-91
09/03/21HJL Bourg83-62
06/03/21HVenezia77-72
02/03/21ACedevita Olimpija108-98 OT
27/02/21HVarese85-76
11/02/21HVenezia82-89
07/02/21AReggiana89-62
03/02/21ABuducnost99-89
30/01/21ACremona88-75
26/01/21HBuducnost87-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL48%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayLLWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %48%60%36%
Points / game82.083.081.2
Allowed / game82.579.185.5
Point differential-0.4+3.9-4.4
Avg total164.5162.1166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeLWLWW40%
AwayWWWWL91%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %67%40%91%
Points / game85.182.887.3
Allowed / game77.580.974.5
Point differential+7.6+1.9+12.8
Avg total162.7163.7161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%20%64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)20% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2118386%88.275.1+13.1
2 Brindisi2116576%86.579.3+7.2
3 Sassari2014670%90.785.3+5.3
4 Virtus Bologna2114767%85.177.5+7.6
5 Venezia2113862%80.577.4+3.0
6 Trieste21111052%81.179.1+2.0
7 Pesaro21101148%82.082.5-0.4
8 Treviso21101148%83.988.1-4.2
9 Brescia2291341%81.884.6-2.9
10 Cremona2181338%85.587.3-1.8
11 Trento2181338%77.379.1-1.8
12 Cantu2281436%79.983.7-3.8
13 Fortitudo Bologna2281436%77.782.0-4.3
14 Varese2281436%81.287.1-6.0
15 Reggiana2271532%74.881.1-6.3
16 Virtus Roma92722%74.987.7-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro919212170
Virtus Bologna1522201875
← all games of the day
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