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Olimpia Milano vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Apr 2018
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 70-75
16-18 19-13 13-24 22-20
Position#1
Record21-6
FormWLWWL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game74.3
Olimpia Milano
Italy
vs
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
Position#15
Record6-21
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game84.9
ItalyLega ARound 28
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Pesaro
29 Oct 2023
MIL82
PES90
15 May 2023
MIL86
PES57
13 May 2023
MIL94
PES68
09 Apr 2023
MIL102
PES70
13 Feb 2022
MIL91
PES57
14 Feb 2021
MIL87
PES59
03 Jan 2021
MIL97
PES93
05 Apr 2020
MIL v PES
upcoming
10 Feb 2019
MIL111
PES74
29 Apr 2018
MIL70
PES75
02 Jan 2017
MIL88
PES84
17 Apr 2016
MIL82
PES78
30 Nov 2014
MIL96
PES61
31 Mar 2014
MIL95
PES64
06 Apr 2013
MIL93
PES65
31 May 2012
MIL84
PES68
29 May 2012
MIL84
PES75
29 Jan 2012
MIL81
PES70
16 Jan 2011
MIL94
PES84
29 Nov 2009
MIL89
PES86
25 Jan 2009
MIL91
PES81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#5
W
88-80
88
80
+8
H17/03
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
L
65-77
65
77
-12
A20/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#11
L
89-93
89
93
-4
H22/03
Euroleague
Avellino
#4
W
82-75
82
75
+7
A25/03
Lega A
Bamberg
#13
W
83-78
83
78
+5
A29/03
Euroleague
Reggiana
#11
W
92-78
92
78
+14
H31/03
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#5
L
95-96 OT
95
96
-1
H05/04
Euroleague
Torino
#12
W
90-78
90
78
+12
H08/04
Lega A
Cantu
#9
W
98-93
98
93
+5
A15/04
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
85-88 OT
85
88
-3
A22/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
20-16
23-25
27-19
16-17
18-14
16-23
15-23
23-17
20-23
22-28
24-25
15-19
19-18
23-17
25-21
28-23
15-20
17-21
23-14
15-16
24-20
25-23
28-19
27-18
28-24
14-19
18-26
16-23
27-19
24-23
23-13
24-18
28-25
22-20
24-30
18-24
27-24
15-16
15-11
170.3Avg total
86.7Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)81.774.3156.0+7.478%
Season at home (13)87.576.8164.3+10.685%
Season away (14)76.471.9148.3+4.471%
Last 10 (10)86.783.6170.3+3.160%
Last 5 (5)92.086.6178.6+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)79.288.4167.6-9.125%
vs Similar (9)87.785.4173.1+2.256%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)87.576.8164.3+10.783%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
67-85
67
85
-18
A03/02
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
90-95
90
95
-5
H11/02
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
79-92
79
92
-13
A04/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
H11/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
L
83-93
83
93
-10
A18/03
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
62-77
62
77
-15
H25/03
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
68-88
68
88
-20
A31/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
W
80-72 OT
80
72
+8
H08/04
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
81-103
81
103
-22
A15/04
Lega A
Cantu
#9
L
82-91
82
91
-9
H22/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-30
20-21
15-15
20-19
24-25
19-24
24-26
23-20
26-33
15-21
18-20
20-18
18-16
13-29
24-17
15-8
17-23
19-29
24-17
23-24
17-15
10-28
14-17
21-17
12-26
16-22
19-14
21-26
27-14
16-19
16-24
10-12
25-31
23-28
13-25
20-19
18-23
16-28
18-16
30-24
165.3Avg total
77.6Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)76.984.9161.8-7.922%
Season at home (14)77.981.8159.7-3.936%
Season away (13)75.888.2164.0-12.38%
Last 10 (10)77.687.7165.3-10.120%
Last 5 (5)74.686.2160.8-11.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)77.686.0163.5-8.417%
vs Similar (5)82.884.8167.6-2.040%
vs Weaker (2)70.077.0147.0-7.050%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -8.2-8.2Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +1.6+1.6
Olimpia MilanoPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#5
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H17/03
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A20/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#11
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H22/03
Euroleague
Avellino
#4
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A25/03
Lega A
Bamberg
#13
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A29/03
Euroleague
Reggiana
#11
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H31/03
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#5
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H05/04
Euroleague
Torino
#12
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H08/04
Lega A
Cantu
#9
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A15/04
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A22/04
Lega A
82.4Avg total
42.6Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.641.584.1+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.642.186.7+2.567%-
Last 30 away (15)40.641.081.6-0.440%-
Last 10 (10)42.639.882.4+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)46.842.289.0+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.644.083.6-4.438%-
vs Similar (9)44.642.687.1+2.044%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)43.537.881.3+5.775%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A03/02
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H11/02
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A04/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H11/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A18/03
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H25/03
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A31/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H08/04
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A15/04
Lega A
Cantu
#9
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H22/04
Lega A
84.8Avg total
36.3Scored
48.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.743.881.6-6.123%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.841.678.4-4.827%-
Last 30 away (15)38.746.184.7-7.420%-
Last 10 (10)36.348.584.8-12.210%-
Last 5 (5)36.046.882.8-10.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)37.744.081.7-6.322%-
vs Similar (5)40.844.485.2-3.640%-
vs Weaker (2)30.040.570.5-10.50%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.6
53.0%
51.6%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.79.3
37.7%
34.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws17.813.6
76.4%
73.0%13.6
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.320.6
51.1%
51.6%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.37.6
31.3%
34.9%22.8
🏀 Free throws15.712.6
80.3%
73.0%12.6
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Apr 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
LWWLWWWLLW
Pesaro
LLWLLLWLLL
#1
League position
#15
+4.2
Net rating
-18.8
116.9
Offensive rating
100.0
112.7
Defensive rating
118.8
54.3%
Effective FG%
49.5%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
58.5%
13.7%
Turnover %
20.3%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.24
37.7%
3-point %
31.3%
50.5%
Assist %
48.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence116.9 · 100.0Defence112.7 · 118.8Shooting54.3% · 49.5%3-point %37.7% · 31.3%Ball care13.7% · 20.3%Off. rebounds30.2% · 28.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Olimpia Milano wins
2
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
02/01/18Pesaro v Olimpia Milano64-78
30/04/17Pesaro v Olimpia Milano90-79
02/01/17Olimpia Milano v Pesaro88-84
17/04/16Olimpia Milano v Pesaro82-78
23/12/15Pesaro v Olimpia Milano69-66
23/03/15Pesaro v Olimpia Milano61-84
30/11/14Olimpia Milano v Pesaro96-61
31/03/14Olimpia Milano v Pesaro95-64
16/12/13Pesaro v Olimpia Milano73-94
06/04/13Olimpia Milano v Pesaro93-65
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/04/18ABrescia85-88 OT
15/04/18ACantu98-93
08/04/18HTorino90-78
05/04/18HPanathinaikos95-96 OT
31/03/18HReggiana92-78
29/03/18ABamberg83-78
25/03/18AAvellino82-75
22/03/18HValencia89-93
20/03/18AZalgiris Kaunas65-77
17/03/18HTrento88-80
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/04/18HCantu82-91
15/04/18AAvellino81-103
08/04/18HPistoia80-72 OT
31/03/18AVarese68-88
25/03/18HTrento62-77
18/03/18ABrindisi83-93
11/03/18HCapo d'Orlando84-81 OT
04/03/18ACremona79-92
11/02/18HTorino90-95
03/02/18AVirtus Bologna67-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL78%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayWWWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %78%85%71%
Points / game81.787.576.4
Allowed / game74.376.871.9
Point differential+7.4+10.6+4.4
Avg total156.0164.3148.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%46%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)60% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %7%8%7%
Pesaro
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL22%
HomeLWLWL36%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %22%36%8%
Points / game76.977.975.8
Allowed / game84.981.888.2
Point differential-7.9-3.9-12.3
Avg total161.8159.7164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)57% (7)0% (2)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2721678%81.774.3+7.4
2 Venezia2721678%82.078.4+3.6
3 Brescia2819968%79.174.9+4.2
4 Avellino2718967%84.377.6+6.7
5 Trento27161159%80.476.2+4.2
6 Varese27141352%78.375.4+2.9
7 Virtus Bologna27141352%78.476.2+2.2
8 Cantu27141352%87.488.1-0.7
9 Cremona28141450%84.182.5+1.6
10 Sassari27131448%85.783.4+2.2
11 Reggiana27121544%76.677.7-1.1
12 Torino27121544%79.982.3-2.4
13 Pistoia2791833%75.681.1-5.4
14 Brindisi2781930%77.582.3-4.8
15 Pesaro2762122%76.984.9-7.9
16 Capo d'Orlando2762122%70.483.4-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano1619132270
Pesaro1813242075
← all games of the day
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