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Philadelphia 76ers vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 06 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 124-125 (OT)
26-29 32-29 35-29 27-33 4-5
Position#15
Record19-14
FormLLWWW
Points / game117.0
Allowed / game116.1
vs
Position#6
Record23-12
FormLLWLL
Points / game124.3
Allowed / game118.1
USANBA· Wells Fargo Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Philadelphia 76ers v Denver Nuggets
02 Dec 2026
PHI v DEN
upcoming
05 Jan 2026
PHI124
DEN125
31 Jan 2025
PHI134
DEN137
16 Jan 2024
PHI126
DEN121
28 Jan 2023
PHI126
DEN119
14 Mar 2022
PHI110
DEN114
09 Jan 2021
PHI103
DEN115
10 Dec 2019
PHI97
DEN92
08 Feb 2019
PHI117
DEN110
26 Mar 2018
PHI123
DEN104
05 Dec 2016
PHI98
DEN106
05 Dec 2015
PHI105
DEN108
03 Feb 2015
PHI105
DEN98
07 Dec 2013
PHI92
DEN103
31 Oct 2012
PHI84
DEN75
18 Jan 2012
PHI104
DEN108
30 Jan 2011
PHI110
DEN99
07 Dec 2009
PHI83
DEN93
18 Feb 2009
PHI89
DEN101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Philadelphia 76ers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Philadelphia 76ersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form76ers
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
115-105
115
105
+10
110avg 99
H13/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
117-120
117
120
-3
104avg 99
A14/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
116-107
116
107
+9
102avg 99
A20/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
121-114
121
114
+7
107avg 99
H21/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
106-114
106
114
-8
92avg 99
H24/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
102-109
102
109
-7
88avg 99
A27/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
104-129
104
129
-25
92avg 99
A28/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
139-136 OT
139
136
+3
123avg 99
A31/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
123-108
123
108
+15
115avg 99
A02/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
130-119
130
119
+11
124avg 99
A04/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-31
29-27
27-32
25-15
29-39
26-20
36-35
26-26
29-29
28-30
31-28
28-20
38-33
30-29
23-35
30-17
27-27
30-36
20-26
29-25
28-30
24-19
33-32
17-28
29-32
33-32
24-38
18-27
34-40
38-32
31-28
25-28
27-33
41-24
24-26
31-25
31-30
35-28
33-29
31-32
233.4Avg total
117.3Scored
116.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)117.0116.1233.2+0.958%
Season at home (17)115.0116.0231.0-1.053%
Season away (16)119.2116.2235.4+2.962%
Last 10 (10)117.3116.1233.4+1.260%
Last 5 (5)119.6120.2239.8-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)111.8115.1226.9-3.438%
vs Similar (9)114.4121.3235.8-6.933%
vs Weaker (13)120.0112.2232.2+7.877%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#13
W
126-115
126
115
+11
124avg 115
H19/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
101-115
101
115
-14
84avg 115
H20/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
135-112
135
112
+23
139avg 115
H23/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
130-131
130
131
-1
133avg 115
A24/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
142-138 OT
142
138
+4
133avg 115
H26/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
126-127
126
127
-1
126avg 115
A28/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
123-147
123
147
-24
116avg 115
A30/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
106-103
106
103
+3
97avg 115
A01/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
108-113
108
113
-5
92avg 115
A03/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
115-127
115
127
-12
106avg 115
A04/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-32
43-22
31-31
27-30
29-26
16-27
21-29
35-33
40-15
29-31
34-38
32-28
27-41
29-25
47-37
27-28
32-29
25-26
35-23
23-37
31-23
31-25
31-36
33-43
29-41
34-22
36-47
24-37
32-23
31-31
22-25
21-24
24-28
35-34
38-26
11-25
29-33
23-26
32-41
31-27
244.0Avg total
121.2Scored
122.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)124.3118.1242.5+6.266%
Season at home (15)126.1118.1244.3+8.067%
Season away (20)123.0118.1241.1+4.965%
Last 10 (10)121.2122.8244.0-1.640%
Last 5 (5)115.6123.4239.0-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)122.1120.0242.1+2.171%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)126.4118.4244.8+7.962%
This opponent (Philadelphia 76ers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -4.8-4.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -4.8-4.8
Philadelphia 76ersDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Philadelphia 76ersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H13/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
55-59
55
59
-4
A14/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
57-59
57
59
-2
A20/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
68-62
68
62
+6
H21/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H24/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A27/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
62-64
62
64
-2
A28/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
D
72-72
72
72
+0
A31/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
68-57
68
57
+11
A02/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
66-58
66
58
+8
A04/01
NBA
122.1Avg total
62.0Scored
60.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.858.7120.5+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)59.858.2118.0+1.667%-
Last 30 away (15)63.759.2122.9+4.547%-
Last 10 (10)62.060.1122.1+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)64.060.0124.0+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)59.859.6119.4+0.138%-
vs Similar (9)58.459.1117.6-0.756%-
vs Weaker (13)65.357.8123.2+7.569%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#13
W
68-54
68
54
+14
H19/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
45-53
45
53
-8
H20/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
69-46
69
46
+23
H23/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
56-66
56
66
-10
A24/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
57-55
57
55
+2
H26/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
62-48
62
48
+14
A28/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
D
63-63
63
63
+0
A30/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
63-54
63
54
+9
A01/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A03/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A04/01
NBA
115.4Avg total
59.4Scored
56.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.957.3119.2+4.563%-
Last 30 at home (13)63.856.2120.0+7.785%-
Last 30 away (17)60.458.2118.6+2.147%-
Last 10 (10)59.456.0115.4+3.450%-
Last 5 (5)59.857.2117.0+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)58.958.9117.9+0.043%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)64.455.9120.4+8.581%-
This opponent (Philadelphia 76ers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Philadelphia 76erstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Philadelphia 76ers: 117.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.627.0
50.4%
54.8%54.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.213.8
36.1%
35.8%41.4
🏀 Free throws27.021.9
81.1%
78.1%21.9
They take 91.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 121.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.628.8
54.8%
54.8%57.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.714.7
40.1%
35.8%44.1
🏀 Free throws23.219.5
84.1%
78.1%19.5
They take 89.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Philadelphia 76ers
WWWLLLWWLW
Denver Nuggets
LLWLLWLWLW
#15
League position
#6
+1.2
Net rating
-1.6
113.9
Offensive rating
118.3
112.7
Defensive rating
119.9
52.0%
Effective FG%
56.9%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
11.7%
Turnover %
11.6%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
20.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.1%
3-point %
40.1%
57.1%
Assist %
66.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence113.9 · 118.3Defence112.7 · 119.9Shooting52.0% · 56.9%3-point %36.1% · 40.1%Ball care11.7% · 11.6%Off. rebounds27.5% · 20.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Philadelphia 76ers   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26ANew York Knicks130-119
02/01/26ADallas Mavericks123-108
31/12/25AMemphis Grizzlies139-136 OT
28/12/25AOklahoma City Thunder104-129
27/12/25AChicago Bulls102-109
24/12/25HBrooklyn Nets106-114
21/12/25HDallas Mavericks121-114
20/12/25ANew York Knicks116-107
14/12/25AAtlanta Hawks117-120
13/12/25HIndiana Pacers115-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26ABrooklyn Nets115-127
03/01/26ACleveland Cavaliers108-113
01/01/26AToronto Raptors106-103
30/12/25AMiami Heat123-147
28/12/25AOrlando Magic126-127
26/12/25HMinnesota Timberwolves142-138 OT
24/12/25ADallas Mavericks130-131
23/12/25HUtah Jazz135-112
20/12/25HHouston Rockets101-115
19/12/25HOrlando Magic126-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW58%
HomeWLWWL53%
AwayLLWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %58%53%62%
Points / game117.0115.0119.2
Allowed / game116.1116.0116.2
Point differential+0.9-1.0+2.9
Avg total233.2231.0235.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%24%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)57% (7)60% (5)
Overtime %12%6%19%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL66%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayLLWLL65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351520
Win %66%67%65%
Points / game124.3126.1123.0
Allowed / game118.1118.1118.1
Point differential+6.2+8.0+4.9
Avg total242.5244.3241.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%47%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)40% (5)43% (7)
Overtime %9%13%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder3529683%121.1108.1+13.1
2 Detroit Pistons3627975%118.8112.1+6.7
3 San Antonio Spurs33231070%119.6114.2+5.5
4 Los Angeles Lakers32221069%117.2116.8+0.4
5 Houston Rockets33221167%119.4111.0+8.4
6 Boston Celtics35231266%117.8110.5+7.3
7 Denver Nuggets35231266%124.3118.1+6.2
8 Minnesota Timberwolves36231364%119.6114.6+4.9
9 New York Knicks34211362%119.3115.4+3.9
10 Toronto Raptors36221461%114.9112.2+2.7
11 Phoenix Suns35211460%115.5112.1+3.4
12 Philadelphia 76ers33191458%117.0116.1+0.9
13 Miami Heat35201557%121.2117.3+3.9
14 Orlando Magic34191556%117.0115.2+1.8
15 Cleveland Cavaliers37201754%119.2116.8+2.4
16 Golden State Warriors36191753%115.2113.9+1.2
17 Chicago Bulls36171947%117.8121.6-3.8
18 Atlanta Hawks38172145%118.5119.9-1.4
19 Milwaukee Bucks36162044%113.3115.5-2.2
20 Portland Trail Blazers36162044%116.3119.6-3.3
21 Memphis Grizzlies35152043%116.0117.0-1.0
22 Charlotte Hornets36132336%116.1117.9-1.8
23 Dallas Mavericks36132336%113.5117.5-4.0
24 Los Angeles Clippers34122235%112.4114.6-2.2
25 Utah Jazz34122235%119.7126.7-7.1
26 Brooklyn Nets33112233%109.5114.3-4.8
27 Washington Wizards3492526%113.4124.4-11.0
28 Sacramento Kings3682822%110.3122.2-12.0
29 New Orleans Pelicans3782922%115.2123.1-8.0
30 Indiana Pacers3663017%110.6119.7-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Philadelphia 76ers263235274124
Denver Nuggets292929335125
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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