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Cleveland Cavaliers vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 113-108
28-24 34-35 26-38 25-11
Position#9
Record19-16
FormWLLWW
Points / game119.6
Allowed / game117.1
Cleveland Cavaliers 🏆
USA
vs
Denver Nuggets
USA
Position#6
Record23-10
FormLWLLW
Points / game125.1
Allowed / game118.0
USANBA· Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Cleveland Cavaliers v Denver Nuggets
09 Jan 2027
CLE v DEN
upcoming
02 Jan 2026
CLE113
DEN108
05 Dec 2024
CLE126
DEN114
19 Nov 2023
CLE121
DEN109
23 Feb 2023
CLE109
DEN115
18 Mar 2022
CLE119
DEN116
19 Feb 2021
CLE103
DEN120
07 Mar 2020
CLE104
DEN102
01 Nov 2018
CLE91
DEN110
03 Mar 2018
CLE117
DEN126
11 Feb 2017
CLE125
DEN109
21 Mar 2016
CLE124
DEN91
17 Nov 2014
CLE97
DEN106
04 Dec 2013
CLE98
DEN88
09 Feb 2013
CLE103
DEN111
28 Jan 2011
CLE103
DEN117
18 Feb 2010
CLE116
DEN118
13 Nov 2008
CLE110
DEN99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cleveland Cavaliers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cleveland CavaliersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCavaliers
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#30
W
130-126
130
126
+4
121avg 112
A13/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
111-119 OT
111
119
-8
99avg 112
H14/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
111-127
111
127
-16
104avg 112
A18/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
125-136
125
136
-11
117avg 112
H20/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
139-132
139
132
+7
138avg 112
H23/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
141-118
141
118
+23
142avg 112
H24/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
124-126
124
126
-2
124avg 112
A25/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
100-117
100
117
-17
85avg 112
A28/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
113-101
113
101
+12
105avg 112
A30/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
129-113
129
113
+16
128avg 112
H31/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-24
27-36
23-40
45-26
29-33
18-24
32-31
32-23
34-33
24-29
30-33
23-32
32-32
23-34
44-35
26-35
33-36
37-27
34-32
35-37
32-22
37-38
41-31
31-27
38-23
20-37
38-24
28-42
24-32
22-28
17-30
37-27
25-26
24-29
27-23
37-23
37-21
30-33
29-35
33-24
243.8Avg total
122.3Scored
121.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)119.6117.1236.8+2.554%
Season at home (20)118.7115.5234.2+3.260%
Season away (15)120.9119.3240.3+1.647%
Last 10 (10)122.3121.5243.8+0.850%
Last 5 (5)121.4115.0236.4+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)120.5115.2235.8+5.250%
vs Similar ◀ (15)115.2117.6232.8-2.433%
vs Weaker (11)126.9118.1245.0+8.882%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
136-105
136
105
+31
139avg 115
A12/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
128-125 OT
128
125
+3
119avg 115
H16/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
126-115
126
115
+11
124avg 115
H19/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
101-115
101
115
-14
84avg 115
H20/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
135-112
135
112
+23
139avg 115
H23/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
130-131
130
131
-1
133avg 115
A24/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
142-138 OT
142
138
+4
133avg 115
H26/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
126-127
126
127
-1
126avg 115
A28/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
123-147
123
147
-24
116avg 115
A30/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
106-103
106
103
+3
97avg 115
A01/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
41-26
36-28
32-27
27-24
24-30
34-21
31-35
28-31
25-32
43-22
31-31
27-30
29-26
16-27
21-29
35-33
40-15
29-31
34-38
32-28
27-41
29-25
47-37
27-28
32-29
25-26
35-23
23-37
31-23
31-25
31-36
33-43
29-41
34-22
36-47
24-37
32-23
31-31
22-25
21-24
247.1Avg total
125.3Scored
121.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)125.1118.0243.1+7.170%
Season at home (15)126.1118.1244.3+8.067%
Season away (18)124.3117.9242.2+6.472%
Last 10 (10)125.3121.8247.1+3.560%
Last 5 (5)125.4129.2254.6-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)123.2120.5243.8+2.777%
vs Weaker (17)125.6115.6241.2+10.165%
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -3.8-3.8
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -3.8-3.8
Cleveland CavaliersDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cleveland CavaliersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#30
W
62-60
62
60
+2
A13/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H14/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
58-62
58
62
-4
A18/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
55-66
55
66
-11
H20/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H23/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
69-60
69
60
+9
H24/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A25/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
46-60
46
60
-14
A28/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
49-55
49
55
-6
A30/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
67-54
67
54
+13
H31/12
NBA
117.8Avg total
58.1Scored
59.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.159.7116.8-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (19)56.059.5115.5-3.537%-
Last 30 away (11)59.159.9119.0-0.836%-
Last 10 (10)58.159.7117.8-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)57.857.8115.6+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)55.561.2116.8-5.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)53.758.1111.7-4.427%-
vs Weaker (11)62.561.3123.7+1.264%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
77-54
77
54
+23
A12/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
58-51
58
51
+7
H16/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
68-54
68
54
+14
H19/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
45-53
45
53
-8
H20/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
69-46
69
46
+23
H23/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
56-66
56
66
-10
A24/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
57-55
57
55
+2
H26/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
62-48
62
48
+14
A28/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
D
63-63
63
63
+0
A30/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
63-54
63
54
+9
A01/01
NBA
116.2Avg total
61.8Scored
54.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.856.6118.5+5.270%-
Last 30 at home (14)63.155.5118.6+7.686%-
Last 30 away (16)60.857.6118.4+3.156%-
Last 10 (10)61.854.4116.2+7.470%-
Last 5 (5)60.257.2117.4+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)58.958.7117.6+0.246%-
vs Weaker (17)64.155.1119.1+9.088%-
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cleveland Cavalierstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cleveland Cavaliers: 122.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.429.7
55.6%
54.8%59.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.215.1
36.7%
35.8%45.3
🏀 Free throws20.817.6
84.6%
78.1%17.6
They take 94.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 125.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.530.3
56.6%
54.8%60.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.214.6
41.5%
35.8%43.8
🏀 Free throws25.320.9
82.6%
78.1%20.9
They take 88.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cleveland Cavaliers
WWLLWWLLLW
Denver Nuggets
WLLWLWLWWW
#9
League position
#6
+0.8
Net rating
+3.4
115.8
Offensive rating
120.9
115.0
Defensive rating
117.6
55.3%
Effective FG%
58.9%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
12.9%
Turnover %
12.0%
25.3%
Off. rebound %
21.7%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.7%
3-point %
41.5%
67.2%
Assist %
64.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.8 · 120.9Defence115.0 · 117.6Shooting55.3% · 58.9%3-point %36.7% · 41.5%Ball care12.9% · 12.0%Off. rebounds25.3% · 21.7%Free throws0.22 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Cleveland Cavaliers   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Cleveland Cavaliers wins
5
Denver Nuggets wins
DateGameScore
28/12/24Denver Nuggets v Cleveland Cavaliers135-149
06/12/24Cleveland Cavaliers v Denver Nuggets126-114
31/03/24Denver Nuggets v Cleveland Cavaliers130-101
19/11/23Cleveland Cavaliers v Denver Nuggets121-109
24/02/23Cleveland Cavaliers v Denver Nuggets109-115
07/01/23Denver Nuggets v Cleveland Cavaliers121-108
18/03/22Cleveland Cavaliers v Denver Nuggets119-116 OT
26/10/21Denver Nuggets v Cleveland Cavaliers87-99
20/02/21Cleveland Cavaliers v Denver Nuggets103-120
11/02/21Denver Nuggets v Cleveland Cavaliers133-95
Cleveland Cavalierslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/25HPhoenix Suns129-113
30/12/25ASan Antonio Spurs113-101
28/12/25AHouston Rockets100-117
25/12/25ANew York Knicks124-126
24/12/25HNew Orleans Pelicans141-118
23/12/25HCharlotte Hornets139-132
20/12/25HChicago Bulls125-136
18/12/25AChicago Bulls111-127
14/12/25HCharlotte Hornets111-119 OT
13/12/25AWashington Wizards130-126
Denver Nuggetslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/26AToronto Raptors106-103
30/12/25AMiami Heat123-147
28/12/25AOrlando Magic126-127
26/12/25HMinnesota Timberwolves142-138 OT
24/12/25ADallas Mavericks130-131
23/12/25HUtah Jazz135-112
20/12/25HHouston Rockets101-115
19/12/25HOrlando Magic126-115
16/12/25HHouston Rockets128-125 OT
12/12/25ASacramento Kings136-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW54%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayWLLLW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games352015
Win %54%60%47%
Points / game119.6118.7120.9
Allowed / game117.1115.5119.3
Point differential+2.5+3.1+1.6
Avg total236.8234.2240.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%35%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %6%5%7%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW70%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayWLLLW72%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331518
Win %70%67%72%
Points / game125.1126.1124.3
Allowed / game118.0118.1117.9
Point differential+7.1+8.0+6.4
Avg total243.1244.3242.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%47%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)40% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %9%13%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder3228488%122.1108.0+14.1
2 Detroit Pistons3425974%118.9112.8+6.1
3 San Antonio Spurs3223972%119.9114.2+5.8
4 Denver Nuggets33231070%125.1118.0+7.1
5 Houston Rockets31211068%120.5111.5+9.1
6 New York Knicks31211068%120.9114.9+6.0
7 Los Angeles Lakers30201067%116.8116.8+0.0
8 Boston Celtics33211264%117.0110.6+6.4
9 Minnesota Timberwolves34211362%118.8114.6+4.2
10 Phoenix Suns32191359%115.9113.0+2.9
11 Toronto Raptors34201459%114.2112.4+1.8
12 Miami Heat33191458%121.3117.4+3.9
13 Orlando Magic32181456%116.5114.6+1.9
14 Philadelphia 76ers32181456%116.6116.0+0.6
15 Cleveland Cavaliers35191654%119.6117.1+2.5
16 Golden State Warriors34181653%115.6113.4+2.1
17 Chicago Bulls33161748%118.8122.3-3.5
18 Atlanta Hawks35161946%119.3120.1-0.9
19 Memphis Grizzlies33151845%115.9116.5-0.7
20 Milwaukee Bucks34142041%113.0115.9-2.9
21 Portland Trail Blazers34142041%116.2120.2-4.1
22 Los Angeles Clippers33122136%112.3113.6-1.3
23 Utah Jazz33122136%119.8126.8-7.0
24 Dallas Mavericks35122334%113.6117.9-4.3
25 Charlotte Hornets33112233%115.8118.9-3.2
26 Brooklyn Nets32102231%108.9114.2-5.3
27 Washington Wizards3392427%113.4123.9-10.5
28 Sacramento Kings3482624%110.9122.3-11.4
29 New Orleans Pelicans3582723%115.6123.1-7.5
30 Indiana Pacers3562917%110.1119.3-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cleveland Cavaliers28342625113
Denver Nuggets24353811108
← all games of the day
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