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Denver Nuggets vs Utah Jazz Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 23 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 135-112
40-15 29-31 34-38 32-28
Position#6
Record20-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game124.7
Allowed / game116.1
vs
Position#26
Record10-17
FormLWWLL
Points / game119.9
Allowed / game126.8
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Utah Jazz
17 Feb 2027
DEN v UTA
upcoming
19 Jan 2027
DEN v UTA
upcoming
27 Mar 2026
DEN135
UTA129
22 Dec 2025
DEN135
UTA112
28 Mar 2025
DEN129
UTA93
02 Nov 2024
DEN129
UTA103
09 Mar 2024
DEN142
UTA121
30 Oct 2023
DEN110
UTA102
10 Dec 2022
DEN115
UTA110
28 Oct 2022
DEN117
UTA101
16 Jan 2022
DEN102
UTA125
05 Jan 2022
DEN109
UTA115
31 Jan 2021
DEN128
UTA117
17 Jan 2021
DEN105
UTA109
01 Sep 2020
DEN80
UTA78
25 Aug 2020
DEN117
UTA107
19 Aug 2020
DEN105
UTA124
17 Aug 2020
DEN135
UTA125
08 Aug 2020
DEN134
UTA132
30 Jan 2020
DEN106
UTA100
28 Feb 2019
DEN104
UTA111
03 Nov 2018
DEN103
UTA88
05 Jan 2018
DEN99
UTA91
26 Dec 2017
DEN107
UTA83
24 Jan 2017
DEN103
UTA93
20 Nov 2016
DEN105
UTA91
10 Apr 2016
DEN84
UTA100
05 Nov 2015
DEN84
UTA96
27 Mar 2015
DEN107
UTA91
27 Feb 2015
DEN82
UTA104
12 Apr 2014
DEN101
UTA94
13 Dec 2013
DEN93
UTA103
05 Jan 2013
DEN110
UTA91
09 Nov 2012
DEN104
UTA84
15 Jan 2012
DEN96
UTA106
28 Dec 2011
DEN117
UTA100
04 Feb 2011
DEN106
UTA113
27 Oct 2010
DEN110
UTA88
28 Apr 2010
DEN116
UTA102
19 Apr 2010
DEN111
UTA114
17 Apr 2010
DEN126
UTA113
17 Jan 2010
DEN119
UTA112
28 Oct 2009
DEN114
UTA105
02 Apr 2009
DEN114
UTA104
25 Jan 2009
DEN117
UTA97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utah Jazz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
136-139
136
139
-3
130avg 115
H29/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
130-112
130
112
+18
139avg 115
A30/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
121-131
121
131
-10
119avg 115
H02/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
135-120
135
120
+15
129avg 115
A04/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
134-133
134
133
+1
129avg 115
A06/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
115-106
115
106
+9
110avg 115
A07/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
136-105
136
105
+31
139avg 115
A12/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
128-125 OT
128
125
+3
119avg 115
H16/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
126-115
126
115
+11
124avg 115
H19/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
101-115
101
115
-14
84avg 115
H20/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-41
41-18
30-44
32-36
30-25
33-35
33-25
34-27
41-27
27-42
36-33
17-29
33-28
39-20
30-31
33-41
23-41
31-32
40-30
40-30
34-34
23-24
30-23
28-25
41-26
36-28
32-27
27-24
24-30
34-21
31-35
28-31
25-32
43-22
31-31
27-30
29-26
16-27
21-29
35-33
246.3Avg total
126.2Scored
120.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)124.7116.1240.9+8.674%
Season at home (13)124.2117.1241.3+7.262%
Season away (14)125.1115.3240.4+9.986%
Last 10 (10)126.2120.1246.3+6.170%
Last 5 (5)121.2113.2234.4+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)105.7114.7220.3-9.033%
vs Similar (12)124.2117.0241.2+7.283%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)125.1115.5240.5+9.667%
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJazz
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
128-119
128
119
+9
127avg 106
H29/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
101-129
101
129
-28
94avg 106
H30/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
133-125
133
125
+8
132avg 106
H02/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
123-110
123
110
+13
122avg 106
A05/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
112-146
112
146
-34
96avg 106
A06/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
101-131
101
131
-30
92avg 106
H08/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
130-126
130
126
+4
125avg 106
A13/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
140-133 OT
140
133
+7
136avg 106
H16/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
135-143
135
143
-8
129avg 106
H19/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
127-128 OT
127
128
-1
118avg 106
H21/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-27
32-24
28-22
38-46
21-30
27-37
20-31
33-31
31-32
37-25
30-32
35-36
20-29
29-29
32-32
42-20
13-41
34-27
30-47
35-31
20-45
28-29
23-32
30-25
36-31
25-33
42-33
27-29
37-43
34-32
21-24
37-30
41-32
37-41
28-29
29-41
38-36
22-29
22-32
36-21
252.0Avg total
123.0Scored
129.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)119.9126.8246.7-6.937%
Season at home (16)126.3129.1255.4-2.844%
Season away (11)110.5123.5234.1-13.027%
Last 10 (10)123.0129.0252.0-6.050%
Last 5 (5)126.6132.2258.8-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)115.6128.0243.6-12.322%
vs Similar (7)132.4124.0256.4+8.486%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -5.9-5.9Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +3.2+3.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -5.9-5.9Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +3.2+3.2
Denver NuggetsUtah Jazz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
74-59
74
59
+15
H29/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
63-60
63
60
+3
A30/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
68-69
68
69
-1
H02/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
72-48
72
48
+24
A04/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
54-73
54
73
-19
A06/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A07/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
77-54
77
54
+23
A12/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
58-51
58
51
+7
H16/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
68-54
68
54
+14
H19/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
45-53
45
53
-8
H20/12
NBA
121.5Avg total
63.6Scored
57.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.457.4118.8+4.067%-
Last 30 at home (14)63.356.5119.8+6.879%-
Last 30 away (16)59.858.2118.0+1.656%-
Last 10 (10)63.657.9121.5+5.760%-
Last 5 (5)61.054.0115.0+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)53.358.3111.7-5.033%-
vs Similar (12)59.259.2118.4+0.142%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)64.855.8120.6+9.093%-
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
62-51
62
51
+11
H29/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
48-67
48
67
-19
H30/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
68-57
68
57
+11
H02/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
49-58
49
58
-9
A05/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
47-68
47
68
-21
A06/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
48-74
48
74
-26
H08/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
61-64
61
64
-3
A13/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H16/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H19/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
60-65
60
65
-5
H21/12
NBA
124.4Avg total
59.2Scored
65.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.063.0121.0-4.937%-
Last 30 at home (18)63.364.6127.9-1.350%-
Last 30 away (12)50.260.5110.7-10.317%-
Last 10 (10)59.265.2124.4-6.030%-
Last 5 (5)63.670.2133.8-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)57.463.7121.1-6.339%-
vs Similar (7)60.060.6120.6-0.629%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 126.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.231.2
58.6%
54.8%62.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.214.7
43.0%
35.8%44.1
🏀 Free throws24.719.7
79.8%
78.1%19.7
They take 87.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Utah Jazztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utah Jazz: 123.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.628.8
53.7%
54.8%57.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.314.0
37.5%
35.8%42.0
🏀 Free throws30.223.4
77.5%
78.1%23.4
They take 90.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWWWWWWLWL
Utah Jazz
LLWWLLWWLW
#6
League position
#26
+6.0
Net rating
-5.6
124.9
Offensive rating
115.6
118.9
Defensive rating
121.3
60.9%
Effective FG%
54.8%
57.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.9%
11.6%
Turnover %
12.6%
21.8%
Off. rebound %
23.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.33
43.0%
3-point %
37.5%
63.4%
Assist %
71.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence124.9 · 115.6Defence118.9 · 121.3Shooting60.9% · 54.8%3-point %43.0% · 37.5%Ball care11.6% · 12.6%Off. rebounds21.8% · 23.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Utah Jazz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Denver Nuggets wins
2
Utah Jazz wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25HHouston Rockets101-115
19/12/25HOrlando Magic126-115
16/12/25HHouston Rockets128-125 OT
12/12/25ASacramento Kings136-105
07/12/25ACharlotte Hornets115-106
06/12/25AAtlanta Hawks134-133
04/12/25AIndiana Pacers135-120
02/12/25HDallas Mavericks121-131
30/11/25APhoenix Suns130-112
29/11/25HSan Antonio Spurs136-139
Utah Jazzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25HOrlando Magic127-128 OT
19/12/25HLos Angeles Lakers135-143
16/12/25HDallas Mavericks140-133 OT
13/12/25AMemphis Grizzlies130-126
08/12/25HOklahoma City Thunder101-131
06/12/25ANew York Knicks112-146
05/12/25ABrooklyn Nets123-110
02/12/25HHouston Rockets133-125
30/11/25HHouston Rockets101-129
29/11/25HSacramento Kings128-119

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL74%
HomeLLWWL62%
AwayWWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %74%62%86%
Points / game124.7124.2125.1
Allowed / game116.1117.1115.3
Point differential+8.6+7.2+9.9
Avg total240.9241.3240.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%46%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)25% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %7%8%7%
Utah Jazz
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL37%
HomeWLWLL44%
AwayLLWLW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271611
Win %37%44%27%
Points / game119.9126.3110.5
Allowed / game126.8129.1123.5
Point differential-6.9-2.8-13.0
Avg total246.7255.4234.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%12%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)40% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %15%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder2624292%122.4106.8+15.5
2 Detroit Pistons2822679%118.9112.1+6.8
3 Denver Nuggets2720774%124.7116.1+8.6
4 San Antonio Spurs2619773%120.0113.7+6.3
5 Los Angeles Lakers2619773%118.0116.3+1.7
6 New York Knicks2618869%120.3113.0+7.3
7 Minnesota Timberwolves29191066%118.6113.8+4.8
8 Houston Rockets2617965%121.0112.2+8.8
9 Boston Celtics29181162%116.0110.0+6.0
10 Philadelphia 76ers27161159%117.0115.4+1.5
11 Toronto Raptors29171259%113.9112.2+1.7
12 Orlando Magic26151158%118.1114.6+3.5
13 Phoenix Suns27151256%115.2113.2+2.0
14 Miami Heat28151354%120.6117.9+2.8
15 Cleveland Cavaliers30161453%119.3117.5+1.8
16 Atlanta Hawks30151550%118.7119.4-0.7
17 Golden State Warriors29141548%114.0112.8+1.2
18 Memphis Grizzlies28131546%114.7115.7-1.0
19 Chicago Bulls28131546%119.5123.0-3.5
20 Portland Trail Blazers28121643%118.0121.2-3.2
21 Milwaukee Bucks29111838%113.1116.9-3.8
22 Utah Jazz27101737%119.9126.8-6.9
23 Dallas Mavericks30111937%113.0116.9-3.9
24 Charlotte Hornets2992031%115.1119.2-4.1
25 Brooklyn Nets2781930%109.1114.2-5.1
26 New Orleans Pelicans3082227%115.4122.2-6.8
27 Los Angeles Clippers2872125%110.6116.0-5.4
28 Sacramento Kings2972224%111.5122.0-10.5
29 Indiana Pacers2962321%109.7117.9-8.2
30 Washington Wizards2752219%112.7126.1-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets40293432135
Utah Jazz15313828112
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