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Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 28 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Scheduled
Position#29
Record2-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game110.3
Allowed / game119.0
vs
Position#17
Record5-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game114.3
Allowed / game115.7
USANBA· Mortgage Matchup Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Dallas Mavericks
27 Nov 2026
PHX v DAL
upcoming
08 Apr 2026
PHX112
DAL107
10 Feb 2026
PHX120
DAL111
27 Dec 2024
PHX89
DAL98
26 Oct 2024
PHX114
DAL102
25 Dec 2023
PHX114
DAL128
26 Jan 2023
PHX95
DAL99
19 Oct 2022
PHX107
DAL105
15 May 2022
PHX90
DAL123
10 May 2022
PHX110
DAL80
04 May 2022
PHX129
DAL109
02 May 2022
PHX121
DAL114
19 Nov 2021
PHX112
DAL104
17 Nov 2021
PHX105
DAL98
23 Dec 2020
PHX106
DAL102
13 Aug 2020
PHX128
DAL102
02 Aug 2020
PHX117
DAL115
29 Nov 2019
PHX113
DAL120
13 Dec 2018
PHX99
DAL89
17 Oct 2018
PHX121
DAL100
06 Jul 2018
PHX92
DAL85
31 Jan 2018
PHX102
DAL88
09 Apr 2017
PHX124
DAL111
12 Jan 2017
PHX108
DAL113
14 Oct 2016
PHX112
DAL107
28 Oct 2015
PHX95
DAL111
22 Mar 2015
PHX98
DAL92
23 Dec 2014
PHX124
DAL115
18 Jul 2014
PHX62
DAL88
17 Jan 2014
PHX107
DAL110
21 Dec 2013
PHX123
DAL108
01 Feb 2013
PHX99
DAL109
06 Dec 2012
PHX94
DAL97
08 Mar 2012
PHX96
DAL94
30 Jan 2012
PHX99
DAL122
27 Mar 2011
PHX83
DAL91
17 Feb 2011
PHX106
DAL112
09 Oct 2010
PHX98
DAL90
28 Jan 2010
PHX112
DAL106
10 Mar 2009
PHX117
DAL122
09 Jan 2009
PHX128
DAL100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
122-131
122
131
-9
H28/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
107-109
107
109
-2
A05/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
L
117-124
117
124
-7
A08/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
W
102-98
102
98
+4
H11/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
L
103-123
103
123
-20
A15/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#21
L
116-119
116
119
-3
H17/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#5
L
83-124
83
124
-41
A22/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
W
131-122
131
122
+9
H25/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#18
L
114-125
114
125
-11
A27/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
L
120-127
120
127
-7
H31/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-37
34-38
31-31
24-25
35-21
33-29
16-34
23-25
40-29
24-33
26-31
27-31
35-25
23-26
27-22
17-25
23-22
26-38
26-32
28-31
30-31
35-28
30-31
21-29
12-43
27-29
27-35
17-17
22-25
35-29
45-38
29-30
27-33
26-34
32-32
29-26
37-32
30-39
26-32
27-24
231.7Avg total
111.5Scored
120.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)110.3119.0229.3-8.722%
Season at home (4)117.2116.5233.8+0.850%
Season away (5)104.8121.0225.8-16.20%
Last 10 (10)111.5120.2231.7-8.720%
Last 5 (5)112.8123.4236.2-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)109.7117.5227.1-7.820%
vs Similar (10)108.1113.5221.6-5.420%
vs Weaker (5)120.4107.8228.2+12.680%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#4
L
117-135
117
135
-18
H09/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
132-115
132
115
+17
A11/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
97-101
97
101
-4
H15/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#6
L
111-135
111
135
-24
H17/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
110-128
110
128
-18
A22/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
121-105
121
105
+16
A23/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
L
106-122
106
122
-16
H25/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
W
113-109
113
109
+4
A26/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#18
W
120-96
120
96
+24
H29/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
116-111
116
111
+5
H31/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-27
26-38
35-34
37-36
28-27
30-24
37-34
37-30
18-24
27-32
18-19
34-26
34-39
20-34
24-29
33-33
26-32
12-38
38-30
34-28
44-27
33-16
21-33
23-29
31-32
29-36
29-24
17-30
23-27
30-25
30-32
30-25
33-30
32-29
29-22
26-15
27-20
17-31
32-33
40-27
230.0Avg total
114.3Scored
115.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)114.3115.7230.0-1.450%
Season at home (6)111.2116.7227.8-5.533%
Season away (4)119.0114.2233.2+4.875%
Last 10 (10)114.3115.7230.0-1.450%
Last 5 (5)115.2108.6223.8+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)115.9127.6243.4-11.719%
vs Similar (9)114.4110.7225.1+3.867%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +3.2+3.2
Phoenix SunsDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
67-75
67
75
-8
H28/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
68-50
68
50
+18
A05/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
W
64-62
64
62
+2
A08/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
W
58-51
58
51
+7
H11/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
L
49-60
49
60
-11
A15/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#21
W
65-59
65
59
+6
H17/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#5
L
39-72
39
72
-33
A22/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H25/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#18
L
53-67
53
67
-14
A27/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H31/10
NBA
120.8Avg total
58.7Scored
62.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.859.7118.5-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (14)60.457.6117.9+2.857%-
Last 30 away (16)57.461.5118.9-4.138%-
Last 10 (10)58.762.1120.8-3.450%-
Last 5 (5)56.264.6120.8-8.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)57.861.3119.1-3.540%-
vs Similar (10)58.359.8118.1-1.540%-
vs Weaker (5)62.854.4117.2+8.480%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#4
L
45-65
45
65
-20
H09/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A11/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
45-56
45
56
-11
H15/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#6
L
54-73
54
73
-19
H17/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
38-70
38
70
-32
A22/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
77-43
77
43
+34
A23/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
L
60-68
60
68
-8
H25/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
W
53-52
53
52
+1
A26/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#18
W
65-59
65
59
+6
H29/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H31/10
NBA
112.7Avg total
53.9Scored
58.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.061.0117.9-4.037%-
Last 30 at home (14)58.262.6120.8-4.436%-
Last 30 away (16)55.959.6115.4-3.738%-
Last 10 (10)53.958.8112.7-4.940%-
Last 5 (5)59.854.6114.4+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)55.463.1118.5-7.824%-
vs Similar (9)60.755.9116.6+4.867%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 112.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.928.3
56.7%
54.0%56.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.913.0
34.3%
34.9%39.0
🏀 Free throws23.217.2
74.1%
76.2%17.2
They take 87.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 117.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.928.6
57.3%
54.0%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.813.7
35.3%
34.9%41.1
🏀 Free throws24.119.2
79.7%
76.2%19.2
They take 88.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
LLWLLLWLLL
Dallas Mavericks
WWWLWLLLWL
#29
League position
#17
-5.8
Net rating
-1.6
102.1
Offensive rating
104.8
107.9
Defensive rating
106.4
54.4%
Effective FG%
55.4%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
16.4%
Turnover %
15.1%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
22.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.3%
3-point %
35.3%
59.1%
Assist %
64.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.1 · 104.8Defence107.9 · 106.4Shooting54.4% · 55.4%3-point %34.3% · 35.3%Ball care16.4% · 15.1%Off. rebounds31.7% · 22.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Phoenix Suns wins
3
Dallas Mavericks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HDenver Nuggets120-127
27/10/26AOklahoma City Thunder114-125
25/10/26HGolden State Warriors131-122
22/10/26APortland Trail Blazers83-124
17/10/26HUtah Jazz116-119
15/10/26ASan Antonio Spurs103-123
11/10/26HSan Antonio Spurs102-98
08/10/26AChicago Bulls117-124
05/10/26ADetroit Pistons107-109
28/04/26HOklahoma City Thunder122-131
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HHouston Rockets116-111
29/10/26HOklahoma City Thunder120-96
26/10/26AMiami Heat113-109
25/10/26HSan Antonio Spurs106-122
23/10/26AIndiana Pacers121-105
22/10/26AHouston Rockets110-128
17/10/26HAtlanta Hawks111-135
15/10/26HNew Orleans Pelicans97-101
11/10/26AHouston Rockets132-115
09/10/26HHouston Rockets117-135

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL22%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %22%50%0%
Points / game110.3117.2104.8
Allowed / game119.0116.5121.0
Point differential-8.7+0.8-16.2
Avg total229.3233.8225.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW50%
HomeLLLWW33%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %50%33%75%
Points / game114.3111.2119.0
Allowed / game115.7116.7114.2
Point differential-1.4-5.5+4.8
Avg total230.0227.8233.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%17%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics98189%123.4110.0+13.4
2 Memphis Grizzlies98189%117.9108.2+9.7
3 Detroit Pistons108280%113.3106.3+7.0
4 Houston Rockets97278%121.3110.9+10.4
5 Portland Trail Blazers75271%120.3114.3+6.0
6 Atlanta Hawks117464%120.7115.7+5.0
7 Denver Nuggets106460%114.8114.7+0.1
8 Philadelphia 76ers106460%110.6111.0-0.4
9 Minnesota Timberwolves127558%118.8112.4+6.4
10 Golden State Warriors127558%115.2110.8+4.4
11 Orlando Magic95456%116.0117.8-1.8
12 Los Angeles Lakers116555%113.2112.6+0.5
13 Toronto Raptors105550%119.6111.5+8.1
14 San Antonio Spurs105550%115.5109.4+6.1
15 Washington Wizards105550%111.6111.3+0.3
16 Cleveland Cavaliers84450%117.2118.2-1.0
17 Dallas Mavericks105550%114.3115.7-1.4
18 Oklahoma City Thunder105550%109.0110.8-1.8
19 Miami Heat115645%122.7121.9+0.8
20 New Orleans Pelicans94544%115.4116.6-1.1
21 Utah Jazz94544%112.8115.6-2.8
22 Charlotte Hornets104640%97.0108.0-11.0
23 Los Angeles Clippers83538%107.4110.5-3.1
24 Chicago Bulls114736%117.4122.7-5.4
25 Brooklyn Nets93633%116.4118.9-2.4
26 Indiana Pacers103730%117.9119.2-1.3
27 Milwaukee Bucks103730%111.4122.0-10.6
28 New York Knicks113827%106.5115.2-8.6
29 Phoenix Suns92722%110.3119.0-8.7
30 Sacramento Kings100100%106.5122.2-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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