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Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 114-102
28-26 35-29 28-25 23-22
Position#22
Record1-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game116.0
Allowed / game118.0
vs
Position#17
Record1-0
FormLLWLW
Points / game120.0
Allowed / game109.0
USANBA· Footprint Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Dallas Mavericks
27 Nov 2026
PHX v DAL
upcoming
08 Apr 2026
PHX112
DAL107
10 Feb 2026
PHX120
DAL111
27 Dec 2024
PHX89
DAL98
26 Oct 2024
PHX114
DAL102
25 Dec 2023
PHX114
DAL128
26 Jan 2023
PHX95
DAL99
19 Oct 2022
PHX107
DAL105
15 May 2022
PHX90
DAL123
10 May 2022
PHX110
DAL80
04 May 2022
PHX129
DAL109
02 May 2022
PHX121
DAL114
19 Nov 2021
PHX112
DAL104
17 Nov 2021
PHX105
DAL98
23 Dec 2020
PHX106
DAL102
13 Aug 2020
PHX128
DAL102
02 Aug 2020
PHX117
DAL115
29 Nov 2019
PHX113
DAL120
13 Dec 2018
PHX99
DAL89
17 Oct 2018
PHX121
DAL100
31 Jan 2018
PHX102
DAL88
09 Apr 2017
PHX124
DAL111
12 Jan 2017
PHX108
DAL113
28 Oct 2015
PHX95
DAL111
22 Mar 2015
PHX98
DAL92
23 Dec 2014
PHX124
DAL115
17 Jan 2014
PHX107
DAL110
21 Dec 2013
PHX123
DAL108
01 Feb 2013
PHX99
DAL109
06 Dec 2012
PHX94
DAL97
08 Mar 2012
PHX96
DAL94
30 Jan 2012
PHX99
DAL122
27 Mar 2011
PHX83
DAL91
17 Feb 2011
PHX106
DAL112
28 Jan 2010
PHX112
DAL106
10 Mar 2009
PHX117
DAL122
09 Jan 2009
PHX128
DAL100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
92-105
92
105
-13
71avg 111
H10/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
124-108
124
108
+16
120avg 111
A11/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
108-107
108
107
+1
108avg 111
A13/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
125-106
125
106
+19
118avg 111
A14/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
95-120
95
120
-25
79avg 111
A20/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
93-105
93
105
-12
85avg 111
A23/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
109-126
109
126
-17
99avg 111
H27/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
116-122
116
122
-6
108avg 111
H29/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
116-113 OT
116
113
+3
112avg 111
A24/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
116-123
116
123
-7
116avg 111
A26/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-37
23-29
35-18
24-21
28-27
27-29
37-37
32-15
22-27
23-27
33-31
30-22
44-22
22-31
23-25
36-28
28-27
23-34
21-31
23-28
21-24
30-26
20-28
22-27
32-34
21-25
20-36
36-31
26-25
35-31
31-34
24-32
23-22
24-17
25-35
31-29
38-23
23-29
24-35
31-36
222.9Avg total
109.4Scored
113.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)116.0118.0234.0-2.050%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)116.0118.0234.0-2.050%
Last 10 (10)109.4113.5222.9-4.140%
Last 5 (5)110.0117.8227.8-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)109.6120.6230.2-11.020%
vs Similar ◀ (20)111.3110.7222.1+0.655%
vs Weaker (5)117.6106.8224.4+10.880%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
109-108
109
108
+1
103avg 106
A25/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
116-107
116
107
+9
111avg 106
H27/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
100-105
100
105
-5
91avg 106
H29/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
124-103
124
103
+21
117avg 106
A31/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
89-107
89
107
-18
69avg 106
A07/06
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
98-105
98
105
-7
90avg 106
A10/06
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
99-106
99
106
-7
85avg 106
H13/06
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
W
122-84
122
84
+38
115avg 106
H15/06
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
88-106
88
106
-18
75avg 106
A18/06
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
120-109
120
109
+11
107avg 106
H24/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-32
22-28
31-26
30-22
33-28
27-24
27-35
29-20
20-27
29-22
24-29
27-27
35-19
34-21
28-33
27-30
20-37
22-26
24-23
23-21
28-25
23-29
23-29
24-22
31-30
20-20
19-35
29-21
34-21
27-14
31-25
30-24
18-28
28-39
21-19
21-20
20-22
27-27
40-31
33-29
210.5Avg total
106.5Scored
104.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)120.0109.0229.0+11.0100%
Season at home (1)120.0109.0229.0+11.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)106.5104.0210.5+2.550%
Last 5 (5)105.4102.0207.4+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)101.5106.6208.1-5.142%
vs Similar ◀ (15)112.3104.9217.2+7.580%
vs Weaker (3)109.3102.0211.3+7.367%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +3.7+3.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +3.7+3.7
Phoenix SunsDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
33-66
33
66
-33
H10/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A11/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A13/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
66-53
66
53
+13
A14/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
51-61
51
61
-10
A20/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A23/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
53-59
53
59
-6
H27/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
61-56
61
56
+5
H29/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A24/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
61-52
61
52
+9
A26/10
NBA
106.9Avg total
52.3Scored
54.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.155.6112.7+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (13)56.055.4111.4+0.654%-
Last 30 away (17)57.955.7113.6+2.259%-
Last 10 (10)52.354.6106.9-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)54.651.2105.8+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)53.660.4114.0-6.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)57.255.6112.8+1.655%-
vs Weaker (5)60.250.4110.6+9.8100%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
48-60
48
60
-12
A25/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
60-52
60
52
+8
H27/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H29/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
69-40
69
40
+29
A31/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
42-63
42
63
-21
A07/06
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
51-54
51
54
-3
A10/06
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H13/06
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
W
61-35
61
35
+26
H15/06
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
46-67
46
67
-21
A18/06
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H24/10
NBA
104.3Avg total
52.4Scored
51.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.554.0107.5-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.752.5106.2+1.140%-
Last 30 away (15)53.355.5108.9-2.247%-
Last 10 (10)52.451.9104.3+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)51.251.0102.2+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)51.756.5108.2-4.842%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)53.752.4106.1+1.340%-
vs Weaker (3)60.052.3112.3+7.767%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 109.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.426.0
53.7%
54.3%52.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.512.4
38.2%
35.9%37.2
🏀 Free throws24.120.2
83.8%
77.8%20.2
They take 80.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 106.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.927.1
53.2%
54.3%54.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.912.2
37.1%
35.9%36.6
🏀 Free throws21.415.7
73.4%
77.8%15.7
They take 83.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
LWLLLLWWWL
Dallas Mavericks
WLWLLLWLWW
#22
League position
#17
-4.2
Net rating
+2.6
110.8
Offensive rating
112.9
115.0
Defensive rating
110.2
55.1%
Effective FG%
54.2%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
14.5%
Turnover %
12.0%
18.0%
Off. rebound %
24.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.26
38.2%
3-point %
37.1%
62.0%
Assist %
49.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.8 · 112.9Defence115.0 · 110.2Shooting55.1% · 54.2%3-point %38.2% · 37.1%Ball care14.5% · 12.0%Off. rebounds18.0% · 24.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Phoenix Suns wins
6
Dallas Mavericks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/24ALos Angeles Lakers116-123
24/10/24ALos Angeles Clippers116-113 OT
29/04/24HMinnesota Timberwolves116-122
27/04/24HMinnesota Timberwolves109-126
23/04/24AMinnesota Timberwolves93-105
20/04/24AMinnesota Timberwolves95-120
14/04/24AMinnesota Timberwolves125-106
13/04/24ASacramento Kings108-107
11/04/24ALos Angeles Clippers124-108
10/04/24HLos Angeles Clippers92-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/24HSan Antonio Spurs120-109
18/06/24ABoston Celtics88-106
15/06/24HBoston Celtics122-84
13/06/24HBoston Celtics99-106
10/06/24ABoston Celtics98-105
07/06/24ABoston Celtics89-107
31/05/24AMinnesota Timberwolves124-103
29/05/24HMinnesota Timberwolves100-105
27/05/24HMinnesota Timberwolves116-107
25/05/24AMinnesota Timberwolves109-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
Home--
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %50%-50%
Points / game116.0-116.0
Allowed / game118.0-118.0
Point differential-2.0--2.0
Avg total234.0-234.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %50%-50%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game120.0120.0-
Allowed / game109.0109.0-
Point differential+11.0+11.0-
Avg total229.0229.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors220100%133.595.0+38.5
2 Cleveland Cavaliers330100%128.0107.7+20.3
3 Oklahoma City Thunder220100%108.091.0+17.0
4 Boston Celtics330100%126.0109.7+16.3
5 Dallas Mavericks110100%120.0109.0+11.0
6 Los Angeles Lakers220100%116.5109.5+7.0
7 New Orleans Pelicans220100%114.0107.0+7.0
8 Atlanta Hawks220100%122.5118.0+4.5
9 Orlando Magic32167%114.3107.3+7.0
10 Minnesota Timberwolves32167%110.7108.7+2.0
11 Memphis Grizzlies32167%119.3121.0-1.7
12 Milwaukee Bucks21150%123.0121.0+2.0
13 Los Angeles Clippers21150%111.0110.0+1.0
14 New York Knicks21150%116.0115.0+1.0
15 Phoenix Suns21150%116.0118.0-2.0
16 San Antonio Spurs21150%109.0113.0-4.0
17 Miami Heat21150%105.5111.0-5.5
18 Indiana Pacers21150%106.5116.0-9.5
19 Houston Rockets31233%113.0109.0+4.0
20 Charlotte Hornets31233%112.0114.7-2.7
21 Chicago Bulls31233%113.0119.7-6.7
22 Toronto Raptors31233%107.3118.3-11.0
23 Sacramento Kings1010%115.0117.0-2.0
24 Detroit Pistons3030%109.3117.3-8.0
25 Brooklyn Nets2020%108.5118.0-9.5
26 Denver Nuggets2020%95.5105.5-10.0
27 Philadelphia 76ers2020%108.0119.5-11.5
28 Portland Trail Blazers2020%103.5122.5-19.0
29 Washington Wizards2020%109.0128.5-19.5
30 Utah Jazz2020%105.0126.5-21.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns28352823114
Dallas Mavericks26292522102
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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