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Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 116-125
24-32 30-28 32-37 30-28
Position#17
Record32-31
FormWLLLL
Points / game114.7
Allowed / game114.0
vs
Position#22
Record29-34
FormLWLWL
Points / game114.3
Allowed / game116.5
USANBA· American Airlines Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Phoenix Suns
08 Jan 2027
DAL v PHX
upcoming
26 Dec 2026
DAL v PHX
upcoming
12 Nov 2025
DAL114
PHX123
09 Mar 2025
DAL116
PHX125
08 Nov 2024
DAL113
PHX114
22 Feb 2024
DAL123
PHX113
24 Jan 2024
DAL109
PHX132
05 Mar 2023
DAL126
PHX130
05 Dec 2022
DAL130
PHX111
12 May 2022
DAL113
PHX86
08 May 2022
DAL111
PHX101
06 May 2022
DAL103
PHX94
20 Jan 2022
DAL101
PHX109
01 Feb 2021
DAL108
PHX109
30 Jan 2021
DAL105
PHX111
28 Jan 2020
DAL104
PHX133
09 Apr 2019
DAL120
PHX109
09 Jan 2019
DAL104
PHX94
10 Apr 2018
DAL97
PHX124
18 Dec 2017
DAL91
PHX97
11 Mar 2017
DAL98
PHX100
05 Jan 2017
DAL95
PHX102
31 Jan 2016
DAL91
PHX78
14 Dec 2015
DAL104
PHX94
08 Apr 2015
DAL107
PHX104
05 Dec 2014
DAL106
PHX118
12 Apr 2014
DAL101
PHX98
10 Apr 2013
DAL91
PHX102
27 Jan 2013
DAL110
PHX95
23 Jan 2012
DAL93
PHX87
04 Jan 2012
DAL98
PHX89
10 Apr 2011
DAL115
PHX90
17 Dec 2010
DAL106
PHX91
17 Feb 2010
DAL107
PHX97
08 Dec 2009
DAL102
PHX101
05 Apr 2009
DAL140
PHX116
04 Dec 2008
DAL112
PHX97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
111-107
111
107
+4
99avg 105
H13/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
W
118-113
118
113
+5
112avg 105
H14/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
111-103
111
103
+8
106avg 105
H22/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
102-126
102
126
-24
95avg 105
A23/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
99-107
99
107
-8
83avg 105
A26/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
103-96
103
96
+7
90avg 105
H28/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
117-132
117
132
-15
102avg 105
H02/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
98-122
98
122
-24
95avg 105
H04/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
107-137
107
137
-30
90avg 105
A06/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
111-122
111
122
-11
97avg 105
H08/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-31
25-25
26-22
28-29
21-22
34-34
29-27
34-30
32-22
24-31
30-29
25-21
18-33
26-28
31-39
27-26
20-28
31-31
26-19
22-29
25-24
25-25
23-18
30-29
36-31
27-40
16-30
38-31
24-27
26-33
16-34
32-28
30-43
23-29
26-34
28-31
31-22
22-28
41-39
17-33
224.2Avg total
107.7Scored
116.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (63)114.7114.0228.7+0.751%
Season at home (33)113.8110.2224.1+3.658%
Season away (30)115.6118.2233.8-2.643%
Last 10 (10)107.7116.5224.2-8.840%
Last 5 (5)107.2121.8229.0-14.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)112.9119.4232.3-6.540%
vs Similar ◀ (13)109.0117.5226.5-8.531%
vs Weaker (7)116.9112.9229.7+4.057%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#4
L
111-119
111
119
-8
105avg 108
A13/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
L
109-120
109
120
-11
105avg 108
A21/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
121-117
121
117
+4
120avg 108
A22/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
109-127
109
127
-18
98avg 108
A23/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
148-151 OT
148
151
-3
148avg 108
A26/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
L
116-124
116
124
-8
113avg 108
H28/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
125-108
125
108
+17
129avg 108
H01/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
98-116
98
116
-18
100avg 108
H03/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
119-117
119
117
+2
118avg 108
H05/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
141-149 OT
141
149
-8
140avg 108
A08/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-32
23-19
35-33
19-35
21-31
33-29
25-34
30-26
20-30
40-28
33-32
28-27
25-29
27-38
30-21
27-39
34-31
28-27
41-43
34-36
30-35
32-26
29-27
25-36
40-18
23-24
29-28
33-38
34-28
17-21
21-34
26-33
30-24
19-41
27-30
43-22
28-37
28-31
35-34
34-23
244.5Avg total
119.7Scored
124.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (63)114.3116.5230.7-2.246%
Season at home (31)113.9113.4227.3+0.658%
Season away (32)114.6119.5234.1-4.934%
Last 10 (10)119.7124.8244.5-5.130%
Last 5 (5)119.8122.8242.6-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)116.5123.6240.1-7.231%
vs Similar ◀ (8)114.4118.5232.9-4.138%
vs Weaker (9)119.0112.1231.1+6.978%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.6-1.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.6-1.6
Dallas MavericksPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
57-56
57
56
+1
H13/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
L
55-56
55
56
-1
H14/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
56-53
56
53
+3
H22/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
44-61
44
61
-17
A23/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
51-59
51
59
-8
A26/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H28/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
63-71
63
71
-8
H02/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
50-60
50
60
-10
H04/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
53-72
53
72
-19
A06/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H08/03
NBA
111.9Avg total
53.2Scored
58.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.258.9115.2-2.737%-
Last 30 at home (18)56.456.1112.5+0.350%-
Last 30 away (12)56.063.2119.2-7.217%-
Last 10 (10)53.258.7111.9-5.540%-
Last 5 (5)53.860.4114.2-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)56.458.9115.3-2.540%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)54.361.2115.5-6.823%-
vs Weaker (7)59.654.9114.4+4.757%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#4
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A13/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
L
54-60
54
60
-6
A21/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
60-58
60
58
+2
A22/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
52-67
52
67
-15
A23/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
62-58
62
58
+4
A26/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
62-61
62
61
+1
H28/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
63-42
63
42
+21
H01/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H03/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
49-65
49
65
-16
H05/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
56-68
56
68
-12
A08/03
NBA
114.5Avg total
56.6Scored
57.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.157.2114.3-0.053%-
Last 30 at home (13)59.557.4116.8+2.154%-
Last 30 away (17)55.457.0112.4-1.653%-
Last 10 (10)56.657.9114.5-1.360%-
Last 5 (5)56.257.0113.2-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)56.758.1114.8-1.462%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)54.159.6113.8-5.525%-
vs Weaker (9)60.453.7114.1+6.867%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 107.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.826.7
50.6%
54.3%53.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.413.1
35.0%
35.9%39.3
🏀 Free throws18.915.0
79.4%
77.8%15.0
They take 90.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 119.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.529.3
59.2%
54.3%58.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.214.8
39.8%
35.9%44.4
🏀 Free throws20.516.7
81.5%
77.8%16.7
They take 86.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
LLLLWLLWWW
Phoenix Suns
LWLWLLLWLL
#17
League position
#22
-8.7
Net rating
-5.0
105.9
Offensive rating
117.1
114.6
Defensive rating
122.0
51.4%
Effective FG%
59.4%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
57.7%
12.1%
Turnover %
13.7%
19.4%
Off. rebound %
20.1%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.24
35.0%
3-point %
39.8%
63.6%
Assist %
67.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 117.1Defence114.6 · 122.0Shooting51.4% · 59.4%3-point %35.0% · 39.8%Ball care12.1% · 13.7%Off. rebounds19.4% · 20.1%Free throws0.21 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Dallas Mavericks wins
5
Phoenix Suns wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25HMemphis Grizzlies111-122
06/03/25AMilwaukee Bucks107-137
04/03/25HSacramento Kings98-122
02/03/25HMilwaukee Bucks117-132
28/02/25HCharlotte Hornets103-96
26/02/25ALos Angeles Lakers99-107
23/02/25AGolden State Warriors102-126
22/02/25HNew Orleans Pelicans111-103
14/02/25HMiami Heat118-113
13/02/25HGolden State Warriors111-107
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25ADenver Nuggets141-149 OT
05/03/25HLos Angeles Clippers119-117
03/03/25HMinnesota Timberwolves98-116
01/03/25HNew Orleans Pelicans125-108
28/02/25HNew Orleans Pelicans116-124
26/02/25AMemphis Grizzlies148-151 OT
23/02/25AToronto Raptors109-127
22/02/25AChicago Bulls121-117
21/02/25ASan Antonio Spurs109-120
13/02/25AHouston Rockets111-119

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL51%
HomeWWLLL58%
AwayLWLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633330
Win %51%58%43%
Points / game114.7113.8115.6
Allowed / game114.0110.2118.2
Point differential+0.7+3.6-2.6
Avg total228.7224.1233.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%33%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won35% (17)50% (6)27% (11)
Overtime %3%3%3%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL46%
HomeLLWLW58%
AwayLWLLL34%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633132
Win %46%58%34%
Points / game114.3113.9114.6
Allowed / game116.5113.4119.5
Point differential-2.2+0.6-4.9
Avg total230.7227.3234.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%19%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (17)83% (6)36% (11)
Overtime %10%6%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers63531084%123.1111.7+11.4
2 Oklahoma City Thunder62511182%119.7106.8+12.9
3 Boston Celtics64461872%117.0108.2+8.8
4 New York Knicks62402265%117.2112.9+4.3
5 Los Angeles Lakers62402265%112.9111.1+1.8
6 Denver Nuggets64412364%121.2116.5+4.7
7 Memphis Grizzlies63392462%122.9116.9+6.0
8 Houston Rockets62382461%113.8109.6+4.2
9 Golden State Warriors63362757%113.7111.5+2.2
10 Milwaukee Bucks60342657%114.9112.7+2.2
11 Indiana Pacers62352756%116.6115.3+1.3
12 Minnesota Timberwolves65362955%112.4109.0+3.4
13 Detroit Pistons64352955%114.6113.1+1.5
14 Los Angeles Clippers63342954%110.8108.6+2.2
15 Sacramento Kings62332953%117.0115.0+2.0
16 Dallas Mavericks63323151%114.7114.0+0.7
17 Orlando Magic64303447%104.5106.1-1.6
18 Atlanta Hawks62293347%117.5120.2-2.7
19 Miami Heat63293446%110.1110.5-0.5
20 Phoenix Suns63293446%114.3116.5-2.2
21 Portland Trail Blazers64283644%110.4114.3-3.9
22 San Antonio Spurs61263543%113.2115.4-2.2
23 Chicago Bulls64263841%116.6120.6-4.0
24 Philadelphia 76ers62214134%109.0114.0-5.0
25 Brooklyn Nets63214233%105.1111.6-6.5
26 Toronto Raptors64214333%110.6116.0-5.4
27 New Orleans Pelicans64174727%110.9119.2-8.4
28 Utah Jazz63154824%112.4119.7-7.3
29 Charlotte Hornets63154824%105.3113.0-7.6
30 Washington Wizards62134921%108.5120.5-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks24303230116
Phoenix Suns32283728125
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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