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Pistoia vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Dec 2019
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 91-79
27-26 14-20 27-20 23-13
Position#16
Record4-9
FormWLWLW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game82.9
Pistoia 🏆
Italy
vs
Pesaro
Italy
Position#17
Record0-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game91.5
ItalyLega ARound 14
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Pistoia v Pesaro
11 Apr 2027
PIS v PES
upcoming
29 Mar 2026
PIS89
PES91
17 Dec 2023
PIS73
PES74
22 Dec 2019
PIS91
PES79
20 Jan 2019
PIS77
PES81
09 Dec 2017
PIS86
PES83
23 Apr 2017
PIS87
PES83
25 Jan 2016
PIS77
PES75
29 Dec 2014
PIS84
PES53
24 Nov 2013
PIS115
PES110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Virtus Roma
#15
L
67-81
67
81
-14
53avg 81
H12/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
72-84
72
84
-12
65avg 81
A20/10
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
71-82
71
82
-11
70avg 81
A27/10
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
76-72
76
72
+4
73avg 81
H03/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
63-83
63
83
-20
no box
A11/11
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
77-69
77
69
+8
69avg 81
H17/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
67-100
67
100
-33
52avg 81
A24/11
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
89-87
89
87
+2
81avg 81
H01/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
74-86
74
86
-12
52avg 81
A08/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
84-71
84
71
+13
80avg 81
H15/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
16-19
17-24
15-16
23-20
20-17
13-20
16-27
17-22
22-17
15-16
17-27
14-19
16-17
19-17
27-19
12-21
16-21
15-33
20-8
17-14
18-24
26-13
16-18
13-26
15-26
22-27
17-21
16-21
25-25
28-22
20-19
19-28
20-20
14-14
21-24
29-15
11-20
15-23
29-13
155.5Avg total
74.0Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)74.282.9157.2-8.731%
Season at home (6)78.578.0156.5+0.567%
Season away (7)70.687.1157.7-16.60%
Last 10 (10)74.081.5155.5-7.540%
Last 5 (5)78.282.6160.8-4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (28)73.280.6153.8-7.425%
vs Similar (2)72.081.0153.0-9.00%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
79-94
79
94
-15
57avg 89
H13/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
99-108
99
108
-9
82avg 89
A20/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
65-90
65
90
-25
49avg 89
H27/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
75-85
75
85
-10
64avg 89
A03/11
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
95-101 OT
95
101
-6
no box
H09/11
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
83-92
83
92
-9
68avg 89
A17/11
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
74-101
74
101
-27
58avg 89
A24/11
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
63-74
63
74
-11
50avg 89
H01/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
65-71
65
71
-6
56avg 89
H08/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
87-103
87
103
-16
76avg 89
A15/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
16-29
13-16
31-24
27-32
24-27
20-19
28-30
20-24
15-19
19-20
11-27
27-16
12-24
18-24
18-21
8-18
23-24
30-15
21-25
20-24
20-20
22-23
21-25
12-23
26-29
16-31
20-18
13-18
14-22
18-19
18-15
16-17
14-14
16-21
19-19
24-25
30-31
20-26
13-21
170.4Avg total
78.5Scored
91.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.091.5169.5-13.50%
Season at home (6)73.285.0158.2-11.80%
Season away (6)82.898.0180.8-15.20%
Last 10 (10)78.591.9170.4-13.40%
Last 5 (5)74.488.2162.6-13.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)77.692.7170.2-15.17%
vs Similar (1)81.077.0158.0+4.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pistoia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -2.5-2.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -2.5-2.5
PistoiaPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Roma
#15
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H12/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A20/10
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A27/10
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H03/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A11/11
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H17/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
28-52
28
52
-24
A24/11
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H01/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A08/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H15/12
Lega A
77.2Avg total
35.8Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.841.279.0-3.424%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.340.178.4-1.921%-
Last 30 away (15)37.442.279.6-4.827%-
Last 10 (10)35.841.477.2-5.620%-
Last 5 (5)36.643.880.4-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)37.641.078.7-3.426%-
vs Similar (2)40.543.584.0-3.00%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
35-54
35
54
-19
H13/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
51-59
51
59
-8
A20/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H27/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A03/11
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H09/11
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A17/11
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A24/11
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H01/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H08/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A15/12
Lega A
84.1Avg total
38.0Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.646.784.3-9.113%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.844.782.5-6.920%-
Last 30 away (15)37.448.886.2-11.47%-
Last 10 (10)38.046.184.1-8.10%-
Last 5 (5)37.844.682.4-6.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)37.346.884.1-9.414%-
vs Similar (1)46.046.092.0+0.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pistoia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.118.3
49.3%
52.0%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.5
32.6%
35.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws18.213.9
76.4%
73.6%13.9
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.417.4
52.1%
52.0%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.38.8
29.0%
35.1%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.114.6
72.6%
73.6%14.6
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Dec 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
WLWLWLWLLL
Pesaro
LLLLLLLLLL
#16
League position
#17
-10.8
Net rating
-21.5
102.6
Offensive rating
106.4
113.4
Defensive rating
127.9
49.2%
Effective FG%
48.0%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
59.0%
16.8%
Turnover %
14.3%
24.3%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.6%
3-point %
29.0%
48.8%
Assist %
43.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence102.6 · 106.4Defence113.4 · 127.9Shooting49.2% · 48.0%3-point %32.6% · 29.0%Ball care16.8% · 14.3%Off. rebounds24.3% · 29.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 0%
■ Pistoia   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Pistoia wins
3
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
20/01/19Pistoia v Pesaro77-81
07/10/18Pesaro v Pistoia83-77
08/04/18Pesaro v Pistoia80-72 OT
09/12/17Pistoia v Pesaro86-83
23/04/17Pistoia v Pesaro87-83
27/12/16Pesaro v Pistoia57-59
25/01/16Pistoia v Pesaro77-75
11/10/15Pesaro v Pistoia73-74
26/04/15Pesaro v Pistoia82-86
29/12/14Pistoia v Pesaro84-53
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/19HCremona84-71
08/12/19ABrescia74-86
01/12/19HVenezia89-87
24/11/19ABrindisi67-100
17/11/19HCantu77-69
11/11/19AOlimpia Milano63-83
03/11/19HTrieste76-72
27/10/19AFortitudo Bologna71-82
20/10/19AReggiana72-84
12/10/19HVirtus Roma67-81
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/19AVarese87-103
08/12/19HOlimpia Milano65-71
01/12/19HCremona63-74
24/11/19ABrescia74-101
17/11/19AVirtus Roma83-92
09/11/19HTrento95-101 OT
03/11/19ATreviso75-85
27/10/19HReggiana65-90
20/10/19ABrindisi99-108
13/10/19HVirtus Bologna79-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW31%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %31%67%0%
Points / game74.278.570.6
Allowed / game82.978.087.1
Point differential-8.7+0.5-16.6
Avg total157.2156.5157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pesaro
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game78.073.282.8
Allowed / game91.585.098.0
Point differential-13.5-11.8-15.2
Avg total169.5158.2180.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna1211192%83.876.0+7.8
2 Sassari129375%81.772.0+9.7
3 Olimpia Milano139469%80.873.4+7.5
4 Cremona138562%78.377.5+0.8
5 Brescia127558%82.675.2+7.3
6 Brindisi127558%83.680.8+2.8
7 Fortitudo Bologna127558%78.578.3+0.2
8 Virtus Roma137654%77.581.9-4.4
9 Reggiana126650%81.581.3+0.2
10 Varese136746%81.580.0+1.5
11 Treviso136746%76.976.4+0.5
12 Venezia125742%75.473.2+2.2
13 Trento125742%78.081.6-3.6
14 Cantu125742%71.876.0-4.2
15 Pistoia134931%74.282.9-8.7
16 Trieste123925%73.679.5-5.9
17 Pesaro120120%78.091.5-13.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pistoia2714272391
Pesaro2620201379
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