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Pistoia vs Pesaro Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 11 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#8
Record5-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game69.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.6/10
Above normal
5.7/10
Above normal
Position#10
Record5-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game79.9
ItalySerie A2Round 35· PalaCarrara
Other2026-27
Meetings · Pistoia v Pesaro
11 Apr 2027
PIS v PES
upcoming
29 Mar 2026
PIS89
PES91
17 Dec 2023
PIS73
PES74
22 Dec 2019
PIS91
PES79
20 Jan 2019
PIS77
PES81
09 Dec 2017
PIS86
PES83
23 Apr 2017
PIS87
PES83
25 Jan 2016
PIS77
PES75
29 Dec 2014
PIS84
PES53
24 Nov 2013
PIS115
PES110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
80-78
80
78
+2
72avg 67
A13/05
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
62-63
62
63
-1
49avg 67
A27/09
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
77-84
77
84
-7
28avg 67
H04/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
70-78
70
78
-8
63avg 67
A11/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
W
89-70
89
70
+19
84avg 67
H18/10
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
96-52
96
52
+44
103avg 67
A21/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
75-72
75
72
+3
70avg 67
A25/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
64-66
64
66
-2
no box
H01/11
Serie A2
Montecatini
#20
W
86-71
86
71
+15
no box
A08/11
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
W
78-70
78
70
+8
no box
H11/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
24-18
23-18
16-17
16-19
18-18
15-11
13-15
20-30
23-19
20-18
14-17
23-24
15-21
12-12
20-21
21-18
27-15
21-20
20-17
24-10
25-13
23-20
24-9
21-20
15-21
14-12
25-19
21-16
17-25
13-13
13-12
14-18
12-22
31-16
29-15
21-22
15-14
20-14
22-20
148.1Avg total
77.7Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)77.469.6147.0+7.956%
Season at home (4)77.072.5149.5+4.550%
Season away (5)77.867.2145.0+10.660%
Last 10 (10)77.770.4148.1+7.360%
Last 5 (5)79.866.2146.0+13.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)73.082.8155.8-9.818%
vs Similar (12)78.382.7161.0-4.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)81.671.0152.6+10.671%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Rimini
#8
L
78-91
78
91
-13
68avg 73
H19/05
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
96-81
96
81
+15
92avg 73
A27/09
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
87-84
87
84
+3
32avg 73
H04/10
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
W
83-77
83
77
+6
87avg 73
H11/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
86-76
86
76
+10
67avg 73
A18/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
W
76-68
76
68
+8
76avg 73
H21/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
71-73
71
73
-2
61avg 73
H25/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
70-79
70
79
-9
60avg 73
A01/11
Serie A2
Mestre
#13
L
73-85
73
85
-12
no box
H07/11
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
L
87-96 OT
87
96
-9
no box
A11/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
11-27
22-21
27-23
31-14
25-25
20-19
20-23
24-23
21-18
15-26
27-17
23-24
23-15
16-21
21-17
13-15
27-31
22-17
24-13
22-21
20-18
13-15
21-14
15-20
21-20
18-19
17-14
19-21
18-27
13-16
20-15
22-22
18-30
19-12
14-21
25-21
15-22
19-19
20-17
161.7Avg total
80.7Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.079.9160.9+1.156%
Season at home (5)78.077.4155.4+0.660%
Season away (4)84.883.0167.8+1.850%
Last 10 (10)80.781.0161.7-0.350%
Last 5 (5)75.480.2155.6-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)70.079.0149.0-9.00%
vs Similar (20)82.586.2168.7-3.745%
vs Weaker (9)85.676.4162.0+9.1100%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +3.7+3.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +3.7+3.7
PistoiaPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A13/05
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A27/09
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H04/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A11/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H18/10
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
49-23
49
23
+26
A21/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A25/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H01/11
Serie A2
Montecatini
#20
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A08/11
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H11/11
Serie A2
77.7Avg total
38.9Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.141.380.3-2.227%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.740.179.8-0.540%-
Last 30 away (15)38.542.480.9-3.913%-
Last 10 (10)38.938.877.7+0.120%-
Last 5 (5)37.036.273.2+0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.239.775.9-3.527%-
vs Similar (12)41.544.586.0-3.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)39.438.177.6+1.329%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#8
L
29-47
29
47
-18
H19/05
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A27/09
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H04/10
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H11/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A18/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H21/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H25/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A01/11
Serie A2
Mestre
#13
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H07/11
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A11/11
Serie A2
84.5Avg total
41.1Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.341.884.0+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.440.883.2+1.667%-
Last 30 away (15)42.142.784.9-0.640%-
Last 10 (10)41.143.484.5-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)39.044.483.4-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)37.048.085.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (20)41.643.084.7-1.440%-
vs Weaker (9)44.238.282.4+6.089%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.217.9
50.9%
51.4%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.8
32.5%
34.6%23.4
🏀 Free throws22.116.9
76.5%
70.8%16.9
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.517.5
50.7%
51.4%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.78.5
41.1%
34.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.114.8
77.5%
70.8%14.8
They take 55.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
WWLWWWLLLW
Pesaro
LLLLWWWWWL
#8
League position
#10
+13.6
Net rating
-1.4
99.8
Offensive rating
105.1
86.2
Defensive rating
106.5
50.0%
Effective FG%
54.8%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
10.2%
Turnover %
10.0%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.35
32.5%
3-point %
41.1%
54.1%
Assist %
53.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.8 · 105.1Defence86.2 · 106.5Shooting50.0% · 54.8%3-point %32.5% · 41.1%Ball care10.2% · 10.0%Free throws0.37 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Pistoia   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pistoia wins
7
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
29/03/26Pistoia v Pesaro89-91
29/10/25Pesaro v Pistoia82-73
13/04/24Pesaro v Pistoia89-82
17/12/23Pistoia v Pesaro73-74
22/12/19Pistoia v Pesaro91-79
20/01/19Pistoia v Pesaro77-81
07/10/18Pesaro v Pistoia83-77
08/04/18Pesaro v Pistoia80-72 OT
09/12/17Pistoia v Pesaro86-83
23/04/17Pistoia v Pesaro87-83
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HCaserta78-70
08/11/26AMontecatini86-71
01/11/26HFortitudo Bologna64-66
25/10/26AJuVi Cremona75-72
21/10/26ACento96-52
18/10/26HVigevano89-70
11/10/26ASebastiani Rieti70-78
04/10/26HBasket Torino77-84
27/09/26ALibertas Livorno62-63
13/05/26ARuvo Di Puglia80-78
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ASassari87-96 OT
07/11/26HMestre73-85
01/11/26AAvellino Basket70-79
25/10/26HBasket Torino71-73
21/10/26HCividale76-68
18/10/26ARuvo Di Puglia86-76
11/10/26HCaserta83-77
04/10/26HJuVi Cremona87-84
27/09/26ACento96-81
19/05/26HRimini78-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW56%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%50%60%
Points / game77.477.077.8
Allowed / game69.672.567.2
Point differential+7.9+4.5+10.6
Avg total147.0149.5145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pesaro
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL56%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%60%50%
Points / game81.078.084.8
Allowed / game79.977.483.0
Point differential+1.1+0.6+1.8
Avg total160.9155.4167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %11%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertas Livorno98189%81.269.7+11.6
2 Avellino Basket98189%82.274.7+7.6
3 Fortitudo Bologna97278%79.474.3+5.1
4 Sebastiani Rieti97278%74.872.1+2.7
5 Rimini96367%80.471.8+8.7
6 Brindisi96367%77.473.9+3.6
7 Basket Torino85362%72.872.2+0.5
8 Pistoia95456%77.469.6+7.9
9 Forli95456%82.377.6+4.8
10 Pesaro95456%81.079.9+1.1
11 Sassari95456%77.276.4+0.8
12 Cividale95456%71.874.1-2.3
13 Mestre94544%75.076.4-1.4
14 Vigevano93633%76.381.8-5.4
15 Caserta82625%78.182.6-4.5
16 JuVi Cremona92722%75.377.9-2.6
17 Ruvo Di Puglia92722%74.481.7-7.2
18 Cento92722%72.882.2-9.4
19 Urania Milano91811%75.783.1-7.4
20 Montecatini91811%68.182.3-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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