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Qatar vs South Korea Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 26 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 11:00
Scheduled
Position#50
Record4-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game81.5
vs
Position#46
Record4-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game79.1
EuropeWorld CupRound 3
Other2027
Meetings · Qatar v South Korea
26 Nov 2026
QATA v SOUT
upcoming
28 Sep 2023
QATA64
SOUT76
28 Sep 2015
QATA69
SOUT63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Qatar win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
South Korea win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

QatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Korea
#8
L
83-97
83
97
-14
A08/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
82-110
82
110
-28
H10/08
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#18
L
74-75
74
75
-1
H27/11
World Cup
Lebanon
#18
W
86-83
86
83
+3
A30/11
World Cup
India
#91
W
99-73
99
73
+26
H27/02
World Cup
Saudi Arabia
#59
L
80-86
80
86
-6
H29/06
World Cup
India
#91
W
65-56
65
56
+9
A02/07
World Cup
Saudi Arabia
#59
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A05/07
World Cup
China
#30
L
57-83
57
83
-26
H27/08
World Cup
Japan
#16
L
70-123
70
123
-53
A31/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
16-28
23-22
22-22
20-22
23-24
20-31
19-33
9-21
17-12
17-17
31-25
14-19
21-19
25-17
26-28
28-17
17-26
30-9
24-21
20-29
15-17
24-22
21-18
7-12
15-18
20-14
23-12
17-18
15-15
15-21
29-19
13-23
23-24
12-19
9-17
11-29
23-24
11-40
25-30
163.1Avg total
77.2Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)75.981.5157.4-5.650%
Season at home (4)77.579.2156.8-1.825%
Season away (4)74.283.8158.0-9.575%
Last 10 (10)77.285.9163.1-8.740%
Last 5 (5)69.684.2153.8-14.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)68.986.9155.8-17.914%
vs Similar (8)68.270.5138.8-2.250%
vs Weaker (8)75.963.2139.1+12.688%
This opponent (South Korea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South KoreaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Guam
#14
W
99-66
99
66
+33
H12/08
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A14/08
Asia Cup
China
#30
W
80-76
80
76
+4
A28/11
World Cup
China
#30
W
90-76
90
76
+14
H01/12
World Cup
Chinese Taipei
#62
L
65-77
65
77
-12
A26/02
World Cup
Japan
#16
L
72-78
72
78
-6
A01/03
World Cup
Chinese Taipei
#62
L
80-82 OT
80
82
-2
H03/07
World Cup
Japan
#16
W
81-79
81
79
+2
H06/07
World Cup
Lebanon
#18
L
74-93
74
93
-19
A27/08
World Cup
Saudi Arabia
#59
W
85-72
85
72
+13
H31/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
33-10
26-17
23-21
24-25
11-21
20-18
16-15
24-16
23-18
14-18
19-24
28-13
24-16
28-23
10-24
18-21
15-22
18-17
14-17
16-15
22-27
17-12
17-24
25-17
16-13
24-19
10-26
25-25
10-12
20-17
26-25
24-18
17-20
19-25
14-30
19-16
23-15
22-20
21-21
157.5Avg total
79.7Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.479.1157.5-0.850%
Season at home (4)84.077.2161.2+6.875%
Season away (4)72.881.0153.8-8.225%
Last 10 (10)79.777.8157.5+1.950%
Last 5 (5)78.480.8159.2-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)75.486.8162.2-11.420%
vs Similar (5)85.278.6163.8+6.680%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)85.371.8157.1+13.580%
This opponent (Qatar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -5.7-5.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -5.7-5.7
QatarSouth Korea
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
QatarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Korea
#8
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A08/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H10/08
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#18
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H27/11
World Cup
Lebanon
#18
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A30/11
World Cup
India
#91
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H27/02
World Cup
Saudi Arabia
#59
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H29/06
World Cup
India
#91
L
22-30
22
30
-8
A02/07
World Cup
Saudi Arabia
#59
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A05/07
World Cup
China
#30
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H27/08
World Cup
Japan
#16
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A31/08
World Cup
76.8Avg total
34.6Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.638.371.9-4.727%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.138.373.4-3.327%-
Last 30 away (15)32.138.370.5-6.227%-
Last 10 (10)34.642.276.8-7.610%-
Last 5 (5)31.841.873.6-10.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)32.643.676.1-11.00%-
vs Similar (8)32.636.869.4-4.112%-
vs Weaker (8)36.430.867.1+5.688%-
This opponent (South Korea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South KoreaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Guam
#14
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H12/08
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A14/08
Asia Cup
China
#30
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A28/11
World Cup
China
#30
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H01/12
World Cup
Chinese Taipei
#62
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A26/02
World Cup
Japan
#16
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A01/03
World Cup
Chinese Taipei
#62
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H03/07
World Cup
Japan
#16
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H06/07
World Cup
Lebanon
#18
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A27/08
World Cup
Saudi Arabia
#59
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H31/08
World Cup
77.2Avg total
41.4Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.437.580.9+5.963%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.835.281.0+10.675%-
Last 30 away (14)40.640.180.7+0.650%-
Last 10 (10)41.435.877.2+5.660%-
Last 5 (5)39.435.675.0+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.142.780.8-4.640%-
vs Similar (5)46.035.881.8+10.280%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)46.134.580.6+11.573%-
This opponent (Qatar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Qatartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Qatar: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 23% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.921.1
50.4%
-42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.66.0
27.7%
-18.0
🏀 Free throws27.518.1
65.9%
-18.1
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
South Koreatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

South Korea: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 14% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.722.1
54.3%
-44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.89.7
32.6%
-29.1
🏀 Free throws17.212.4
72.1%
-12.4
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/10 games with a box score before 26 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Qatar
LLWWLWWLLL
South Korea
WLWLLLWWLW
#50
League position
#46
+1.4
Net rating
+8.5
100.9
Offensive rating
108.4
99.4
Defensive rating
99.9
47.4%
Effective FG%
52.0%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
18.1%
Turnover %
15.8%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.24
27.7%
3-point %
32.6%
51.6%
Assist %
73.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Qatar   ■ South Korea
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Qatar wins
4
South Korea wins
DateGameScore
08/08/25South Korea v Qatar97-83
28/09/23Qatar v South Korea64-76
28/09/15Qatar v South Korea69-63
28/09/14South Korea v Qatar65-58
09/08/13South Korea v Qatar79-52
Qatarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/08/26AJapan70-123
27/08/26HChina57-83
05/07/26ASaudi Arabia76-73
02/07/26AIndia65-56
29/06/26HSaudi Arabia80-86
27/02/26HIndia99-73
30/11/25ALebanon86-83
27/11/25HLebanon74-75
10/08/25HAustralia82-110
08/08/25ASouth Korea83-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/08/26HSaudi Arabia85-72
27/08/26ALebanon74-93
06/07/26HJapan81-79
03/07/26HChinese Taipei80-82 OT
01/03/26AJapan72-78
26/02/26AChinese Taipei65-77
01/12/25HChina90-76
28/11/25AChina80-76
14/08/25AChina71-79
12/08/25HGuam99-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Qatar
World Cup 2027
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%25%75%
Points / game75.977.574.2
Allowed / game81.579.283.8
Point differential-5.6-1.8-9.5
Avg total157.4156.8158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
South Korea
World Cup 2027
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW50%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game78.484.072.8
Allowed / game79.177.281.0
Point differential-0.8+6.8-8.2
Avg total157.5161.2153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia880100%101.870.0+31.8
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Canada880100%100.981.1+19.8
4 Turkey880100%91.972.6+19.2
5 Croatia1211192%99.273.5+25.8
6 France87188%85.171.6+13.5
7 Poland87188%95.882.2+13.5
8 Germany87188%93.682.1+11.5
9 Dominican Republic65183%93.377.8+15.5
10 Mexico65183%93.781.8+11.8
11 Senegal97278%86.370.6+15.8
12 South Sudan97278%82.068.6+13.4
13 Ivory Coast97278%88.276.1+12.1
14 Cameroon97278%76.471.6+4.9
15 New Zealand86275%97.279.8+17.5
16 Japan86275%91.074.8+16.2
17 Argentina86275%87.271.5+15.8
18 Lebanon86275%89.674.6+15.0
19 Brazil86275%90.878.1+12.6
20 Uruguay86275%84.473.4+11.0
21 Serbia86275%87.178.1+9.0
22 Ukraine129375%83.275.9+7.3
23 Angola96367%86.873.0+13.8
24 Guinea96367%75.266.1+9.1
25 Mali96367%81.478.0+3.4
26 Jordan85362%85.571.0+14.5
27 Spain85362%90.178.8+11.4
28 Iran85362%74.967.8+7.1
29 Italy85362%83.076.9+6.1
30 China85362%84.581.6+2.9
31 Georgia85362%85.582.6+2.9
32 Finland85362%80.679.2+1.4
33 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
34 Romania148657%76.976.6+0.3
35 Nigeria95456%79.976.9+3.0
36 Tunisia95456%71.769.9+1.8
37 Portugal84450%83.879.5+4.2
38 Hungary126650%80.977.9+3.0
39 Greece84450%77.174.5+2.6
40 Latvia84450%83.481.2+2.1
41 Lithuania84450%85.984.6+1.2
42 Bahamas84450%93.292.1+1.1
43 Switzerland168850%73.172.8+0.3
44 Slovenia84450%84.083.8+0.2
45 Philippines84450%76.976.8+0.1
46 South Korea84450%78.479.1-0.8
47 Sweden84450%81.183.5-2.4
48 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
49 Czech Republic63350%81.386.2-4.8
50 Qatar84450%75.981.5-5.6
51 Montenegro84450%71.879.1-7.4
52 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
53 Egypt94544%75.973.1+2.8
54 Austria146843%83.084.9-1.9
55 Colombia73443%83.691.4-7.9
56 Netherlands125742%82.181.1+1.0
57 Bosnia & Herzegovina83538%78.177.1+1.0
58 Estonia83538%80.483.0-2.6
59 Saudi Arabia83538%76.479.6-3.2
60 Iceland83538%81.293.8-12.5
61 Cape Verde93633%75.681.3-5.8
62 Chinese Taipei62433%77.284.5-7.3
63 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
64 Jamaica62433%86.3102.8-16.5
65 D.R. Congo93633%68.885.7-16.9
66 Chile72529%71.380.6-9.3
67 Israel82625%79.283.5-4.2
68 Puerto Rico82625%85.990.2-4.4
69 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
70 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
71 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
72 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
73 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
74 Panama82625%75.488.9-13.5
75 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
76 Syria82625%66.889.9-23.1
77 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
78 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
79 Denmark102820%73.186.8-13.7
80 Venezuela61517%79.087.5-8.5
81 Great Britain61517%80.290.5-10.3
82 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
83 Belgium6060%71.880.0-8.2
84 Rwanda6060%66.285.7-19.5
85 Libya6060%66.586.7-20.2
86 Uganda6060%64.086.5-22.5
87 Cuba6060%66.789.8-23.2
88 Nicaragua4040%72.095.5-23.5
89 Madagascar6060%73.797.7-24.0
90 Iraq6060%69.393.8-24.5
91 India6060%60.886.2-25.3
92 Cyprus6060%60.299.0-38.8
93 Guam6060%65.2104.5-39.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.
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