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Japan vs Qatar Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 31 Aug 2026
Tip-off: 10:10
Final 123-70
29-11 24-23 40-11 30-25
Position#16
Record5-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game75.4
Japan 🏆
vs
Position#50
Record4-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game75.6
EuropeWorld CupRound 2· Toyota Arena Tokyo
Other2027
Meetings · Japan v Qatar
31 Aug 2026
JAPA123
QATA70
26 Sep 2023
JAPA95
QATA63
30 Nov 2018
JAPA85
QATA47
16 Aug 2018
JAPA82
QATA71
01 Oct 2015
JAPA81
QATA67
25 Sep 2014
JAPA71
QATA72
01 Aug 2013
JAPA74
QATA75
14 Sep 2012
JAPA73
QATA69
21 Nov 2010
JAPA87
QATA88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Japan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Qatar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iran
#3
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A08/08
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
W
102-63
102
63
+39
A10/08
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
L
73-97
73
97
-24
H12/08
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#62
W
90-64
90
64
+26
H28/11
World Cup
Chinese Taipei
#62
W
80-73
80
73
+7
A01/12
World Cup
China
#30
L
80-87
80
87
-7
H26/02
World Cup
South Korea
#46
W
78-72
78
72
+6
H01/03
World Cup
China
#30
W
92-73
92
73
+19
A03/07
World Cup
South Korea
#46
L
79-81
79
81
-2
A06/07
World Cup
Saudi Arabia
#59
W
106-78
106
78
+28
A27/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-16
21-18
24-24
12-20
27-15
25-18
26-19
24-11
19-23
22-30
23-28
9-16
23-10
22-12
20-20
25-22
17-22
25-14
15-21
23-16
21-11
26-22
9-25
24-29
15-16
27-22
12-17
24-17
22-21
28-19
24-19
18-14
25-25
12-10
17-20
25-26
33-22
23-18
34-12
16-26
161.6Avg total
85.0Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)86.475.4161.9+11.071%
Season at home (3)82.774.3157.0+8.367%
Season away (4)89.276.2165.5+13.075%
Last 10 (10)85.076.6161.6+8.460%
Last 5 (5)87.078.2165.2+8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)70.684.6155.1-14.029%
vs Similar (5)79.485.2164.6-5.840%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)88.070.6158.6+17.489%
This opponent (Qatar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
QatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lebanon
#5
L
80-84
80
84
-4
H06/08
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
L
83-97
83
97
-14
A08/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
82-110
82
110
-28
H10/08
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#18
L
74-75
74
75
-1
H27/11
World Cup
Lebanon
#18
W
86-83
86
83
+3
A30/11
World Cup
India
#91
W
99-73
99
73
+26
H27/02
World Cup
Saudi Arabia
#59
L
80-86
80
86
-6
H29/06
World Cup
India
#91
W
65-56
65
56
+9
A02/07
World Cup
Saudi Arabia
#59
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A05/07
World Cup
China
#30
L
57-83
57
83
-26
H27/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-16
24-19
16-26
29-23
22-25
16-28
23-22
22-22
20-22
23-24
20-31
19-33
9-21
17-12
17-17
31-25
14-19
21-19
25-17
26-28
28-17
17-26
30-9
24-21
20-29
15-17
24-22
21-18
7-12
15-18
20-14
23-12
17-18
15-15
15-21
29-19
13-23
23-24
12-19
9-17
160.2Avg total
78.2Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)76.775.6152.3+1.157%
Season at home (4)77.579.2156.8-1.825%
Season away (3)75.770.7146.3+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.282.0160.2-3.840%
Last 5 (5)75.474.2149.6+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)67.684.9152.5-17.214%
vs Similar (8)68.270.5138.8-2.250%
vs Weaker (8)75.963.2139.1+12.688%
This opponent (Japan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.5+1.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.5+1.5
JapanQatar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JapanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iran
#3
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A08/08
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
W
52-33
52
33
+19
A10/08
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H12/08
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#62
W
45-22
45
22
+23
H28/11
World Cup
Chinese Taipei
#62
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A01/12
World Cup
China
#30
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H26/02
World Cup
South Korea
#46
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H01/03
World Cup
China
#30
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A03/07
World Cup
South Korea
#46
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A06/07
World Cup
Saudi Arabia
#59
W
56-40
56
40
+16
A27/08
World Cup
81.0Avg total
44.6Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.339.180.4+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.237.479.7+4.856%-
Last 30 away (14)40.241.081.2-0.857%-
Last 10 (10)44.636.481.0+8.280%-
Last 5 (5)46.437.283.6+9.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.144.378.4-10.114%-
vs Similar (5)34.845.880.6-11.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)45.935.281.1+10.789%-
This opponent (Qatar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
QatarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lebanon
#5
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H06/08
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A08/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H10/08
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#18
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H27/11
World Cup
Lebanon
#18
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A30/11
World Cup
India
#91
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H27/02
World Cup
Saudi Arabia
#59
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H29/06
World Cup
India
#91
L
22-30
22
30
-8
A02/07
World Cup
Saudi Arabia
#59
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A05/07
World Cup
China
#30
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H27/08
World Cup
75.1Avg total
34.7Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.438.171.4-4.727%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.138.373.4-3.327%-
Last 30 away (15)31.737.869.5-6.127%-
Last 10 (10)34.740.475.1-5.710%-
Last 5 (5)34.039.873.8-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)32.143.075.1-10.90%-
vs Similar (8)32.636.869.4-4.112%-
vs Weaker (8)36.430.867.1+5.688%-
This opponent (Japan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Japantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Japan: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀35%
🏀🏀🏀47%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.014.2
52.6%
-28.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.212.6
33.9%
-37.8
🏀 Free throws18.914.8
78.3%
-14.8
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 58% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Qatartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Qatar: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 23% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.921.1
50.4%
-42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.66.0
27.7%
-18.0
🏀 Free throws27.518.1
65.9%
-18.1
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/8 games with a box score before 31 Aug 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Japan
WLWWLWWLWL
Qatar
LWWLWWLLLL
#16
League position
#50
+6.7
Net rating
+1.4
106.5
Offensive rating
100.9
99.8
Defensive rating
99.4
51.6%
Effective FG%
47.4%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
16.8%
Turnover %
18.1%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.43
33.9%
3-point %
27.7%
73.5%
Assist %
51.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Japan   ■ Qatar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Japan wins
3
Qatar wins
DateGameScore
26/09/23Japan v Qatar95-63
24/02/19Qatar v Japan48-96
30/11/18Japan v Qatar85-47
16/08/18Japan v Qatar82-71
01/10/15Japan v Qatar81-67
25/09/14Japan v Qatar71-72
01/08/13Japan v Qatar74-75
21/09/12Qatar v Japan66-73
14/09/12Japan v Qatar73-69
21/11/10Japan v Qatar87-88
Japanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/08/26ASaudi Arabia106-78
06/07/26ASouth Korea79-81
03/07/26AChina92-73
01/03/26HSouth Korea78-72
26/02/26HChina80-87
01/12/25AChinese Taipei80-73
28/11/25HChinese Taipei90-64
12/08/25HLebanon73-97
10/08/25AGuam102-63
08/08/25AIran70-78
Qatarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/08/26HChina57-83
05/07/26ASaudi Arabia76-73
02/07/26AIndia65-56
29/06/26HSaudi Arabia80-86
27/02/26HIndia99-73
30/11/25ALebanon86-83
27/11/25HLebanon74-75
10/08/25HAustralia82-110
08/08/25ASouth Korea83-97
06/08/25HLebanon80-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Japan
World Cup 2027
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW71%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%67%75%
Points / game86.482.789.2
Allowed / game75.474.376.2
Point differential+11.0+8.3+13.0
Avg total161.9157.0165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Qatar
World Cup 2027
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL57%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%25%100%
Points / game76.777.575.7
Allowed / game75.679.270.7
Point differential+1.1-1.8+5.0
Avg total152.3156.8146.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia880100%101.870.0+31.8
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Canada770100%101.479.6+21.9
4 Turkey770100%89.372.6+16.7
5 Croatia1211192%99.273.5+25.8
6 France87188%85.171.6+13.5
7 Poland87188%95.882.2+13.5
8 Germany87188%93.682.1+11.5
9 Argentina76186%86.667.9+18.7
10 Lebanon76186%90.072.6+17.4
11 Brazil76186%93.178.0+15.1
12 Mexico54180%96.683.4+13.2
13 Dominican Republic54180%91.880.2+11.6
14 Senegal97278%86.370.6+15.8
15 South Sudan97278%82.068.6+13.4
16 Ivory Coast97278%88.276.1+12.1
17 Cameroon97278%76.471.6+4.9
18 New Zealand86275%97.279.8+17.5
19 Ukraine118373%81.974.7+7.2
20 Spain75271%87.974.6+13.3
21 Uruguay75271%85.073.1+11.9
22 Japan75271%86.475.4+11.0
23 Italy75271%85.777.0+8.7
24 Serbia75271%88.780.1+8.6
25 Angola96367%86.873.0+13.8
26 Guinea96367%75.266.1+9.1
27 Mali96367%81.478.0+3.4
28 Jordan85362%85.571.0+14.5
29 Iran85362%74.967.8+7.1
30 Finland85362%80.679.2+1.4
31 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
32 Portugal74357%82.976.9+6.0
33 China74357%83.980.9+3.0
34 Georgia74357%83.781.6+2.1
35 Qatar74357%76.775.6+1.1
36 Romania148657%76.976.6+0.3
37 Montenegro74357%69.376.4-7.1
38 Nigeria95456%79.976.9+3.0
39 Tunisia95456%71.769.9+1.8
40 Hungary126650%80.977.9+3.0
41 Latvia84450%83.481.2+2.1
42 Switzerland168850%73.172.8+0.3
43 Slovenia84450%84.083.8+0.2
44 Philippines84450%76.976.8+0.1
45 South Korea84450%78.479.1-0.8
46 Sweden84450%81.183.5-2.4
47 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
48 Czech Republic63350%81.386.2-4.8
49 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
50 Egypt94544%75.973.1+2.8
51 Greece73443%72.770.0+2.7
52 Bosnia & Herzegovina73443%78.977.0+1.9
53 Lithuania73443%87.086.3+0.7
54 Bahamas73443%92.393.6-1.3
55 Austria146843%83.084.9-1.9
56 Colombia73443%83.691.4-7.9
57 Iceland73443%82.491.4-9.0
58 Netherlands125742%82.181.1+1.0
59 Estonia83538%80.483.0-2.6
60 Saudi Arabia83538%76.479.6-3.2
61 Chile62433%72.277.2-5.0
62 Cape Verde93633%75.681.3-5.8
63 Chinese Taipei62433%77.284.5-7.3
64 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
65 Jamaica62433%86.3102.8-16.5
66 D.R. Congo93633%68.885.7-16.9
67 Puerto Rico72529%87.491.7-4.3
68 Panama72529%74.487.3-12.9
69 Israel82625%79.283.5-4.2
70 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
71 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
72 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
73 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
74 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
75 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
76 Syria82625%66.889.9-23.1
77 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
78 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
79 Denmark102820%73.186.8-13.7
80 Venezuela61517%79.087.5-8.5
81 Great Britain61517%80.290.5-10.3
82 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
83 Belgium6060%71.880.0-8.2
84 Rwanda6060%66.285.7-19.5
85 Libya6060%66.586.7-20.2
86 Uganda6060%64.086.5-22.5
87 Cuba6060%66.789.8-23.2
88 Nicaragua4040%72.095.5-23.5
89 Madagascar6060%73.797.7-24.0
90 Iraq6060%69.393.8-24.5
91 India6060%60.886.2-25.3
92 Cyprus6060%60.299.0-38.8
93 Guam6060%65.2104.5-39.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Japan29244030123
Qatar1123112570
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