Real Madrid vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	91.7	77.2	168.9	+14.5	93%
Season at home (8)	93.8	76.6	170.4	+17.1	88%
Season away (7)	89.3	77.9	167.1	+11.4	100%
Last 10 (10)	86.9	70.7	157.6	+16.2	100%
Last 5 (5)	85.2	71.2	156.4	+14.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	86.7	82.7	169.3	+4.0	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	89.1	74.8	163.9	+14.4	96%

This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Valencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormValencia

Date

Competition

Bilbao

#13

79-85

-6

67avg 72

H03/12

ACB

Crvena zvezda

#16

85-81

75avg 72

H06/12

Euroleague

Lyon-Villeurbanne

#17

78-55

+23

75avg 72

A08/12

Euroleague

Murcia

85-77 OT

no box

A10/12

ACB

Olympiacos

63-56

58avg 72

A15/12

Euroleague

MoraBanc Andorra

#11

86-82

87avg 72

H17/12

ACB

Partizan

#11

67-72

-5

62avg 72

H19/12

Euroleague

Virtus Bologna

79-71

78avg 72

H21/12

Euroleague

Granada

#17

75-81

-6

69avg 72

H23/12

ACB

Bayern

#15

84-85

-1

80avg 72

A28/12

Euroleague

17-19

22-24

20-17

20-25

25-19

31-21

16-25

13-16

18-23

17-10

18-8

25-14

23-7

18-19

12-20

17-24

14-15

21-11

12-12

16-18

19-20

13-18

29-27

25-17

14-19

20-14

10-20

23-19

26-21

11-26

23-7

19-17

20-18

15-19

14-23

26-21

16-16

23-22

22-25

152.6Avg total

78.1Scored

74.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	80.9	78.0	158.9	+2.9	67%
Season at home (8)	80.1	79.0	159.1	+1.1	62%
Season away (7)	81.9	76.9	158.7	+5.0	71%
Last 10 (10)	78.1	74.5	152.6	+3.6	60%
Last 5 (5)	78.2	78.2	156.4	+0.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	72.9	72.1	145.0	+0.8	62%
vs Similar (14)	77.8	77.4	155.1	+0.4	57%
vs Weaker (8)	79.0	75.1	154.1	+3.9	62%

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Real MadridValencia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	19.1	42.1	+3.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.4	19.3	41.7	+3.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.7	18.9	42.5	+4.8	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	19.3	41.2	+2.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	19.0	40.0	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	24.0	22.7	46.7	+1.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	22.9	18.7	41.6	+4.2	59%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	18.7	37.5	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	18.6	38.8	+1.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.4	18.8	36.1	-1.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	17.7	36.9	+1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	18.8	37.8	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	19.0	20.4	39.4	-1.4	38%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.1	17.6	36.8	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	18.2	18.8	37.0	-0.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	17.4	39.2	+4.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.3	15.9	39.3	+7.4	93%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	18.9	39.1	+1.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	16.8	38.7	+5.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	16.6	39.2	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	21.7	17.3	39.0	+4.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	21.8	17.4	39.2	+4.3	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	18.4	38.9	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	19.8	39.9	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	16.9	37.7	+4.0	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	18.4	37.5	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	19.8	36.2	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.5	16.2	34.8	+2.2	75%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.7	19.4	41.1	+2.4	57%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.1	19.0	39.1	+1.1	50%	-

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Breogan

#16

41-28

+13

H03/12

ACB

Olympiacos

37-36

A05/12

Euroleague

Panathinaikos

46-45

A07/12

Euroleague

Gran Canaria

54-37

+17

H10/12

ACB

Bayern

#15

42-37

H14/12

Euroleague

Obradoiro CAB

#15

39-34

A16/12

ACB

Crvena zvezda

#16

45-34

+11

A19/12

Euroleague

Partizan

#11

48-36

+12

H21/12

Euroleague

Joventut Badalona

#10

53-35

+18

A23/12

ACB

Lyon-Villeurbanne

#17

33-39

-6

A28/12

Euroleague

79.9Avg total

43.8Scored

36.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.8	36.5	81.3	+8.3	83%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.7	35.3	81.0	+10.5	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.9	37.8	81.7	+6.1	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.8	36.1	79.9	+7.7	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	35.6	79.2	+8.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	45.7	40.0	85.7	+5.7	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	44.7	36.1	80.9	+8.6	81%	-

This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bilbao

#13

39-43

-4

H03/12

ACB

Crvena zvezda

#16

56-40

+16

H06/12

Euroleague

Lyon-Villeurbanne

#17

35-33

A08/12

Euroleague

Murcia

41-26

+15

A10/12

ACB

Olympiacos

35-26

A15/12

Euroleague

MoraBanc Andorra

#11

32-38

-6

H17/12

ACB

Partizan

#11

34-33

H19/12

Euroleague

Virtus Bologna

37-47

-10

H21/12

Euroleague

Granada

#17

35-37

-2

H23/12

ACB

Bayern

#15

39-38

A28/12

Euroleague

74.4Avg total

38.3Scored

36.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	37.1	76.4	+2.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.2	38.4	78.6	+1.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.2	35.6	73.9	+2.6	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	36.1	74.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.4	38.6	74.0	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	37.5	36.6	74.1	+0.9	62%	-
vs Similar (14)	40.9	37.0	77.9	+3.9	79%	-
vs Weaker (8)	38.4	37.8	76.1	+0.6	50%	-

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	18.5	41.5	+4.5	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.2	17.9	41.1	+5.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.8	19.2	42.0	+3.6	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	15.7	38.6	+7.2	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	15.6	37.8	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	22.7	19.3	42.0	+3.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	23.0	18.4	41.5	+4.6	74%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	18.7	36.5	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.2	18.4	36.6	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.2	19.1	36.4	-1.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	18.1	35.8	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.8	39.6	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	16.6	17.1	33.8	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	17.5	19.7	37.2	-2.2	36%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.2	18.6	37.9	+0.6	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	20.1	40.8	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.0	22.0	44.0	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.4	18.1	37.5	+1.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	18.9	39.1	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	20.0	39.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	18.3	23.3	41.7	-5.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	21.0	19.7	40.7	+1.3	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	19.3	38.6	-0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.4	19.3	38.7	+0.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	19.3	38.4	-0.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	19.6	40.2	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	19.8	42.8	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.8	18.4	37.1	+0.4	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.4	20.1	38.5	-1.8	29%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.4	18.8	40.1	+2.6	88%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.7	38.6	82.3	+5.1	80%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.2	39.9	85.1	+5.3	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.2	37.3	79.5	+4.9	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	34.6	77.7	+8.5	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	35.6	77.2	+6.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	41.0	42.7	83.7	-1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	44.0	38.1	82.1	+5.9	81%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	38.0	75.0	-1.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.6	37.7	75.2	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.4	38.4	74.8	-2.1	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	37.7	76.0	+0.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	39.6	82.4	+3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	35.4	35.5	70.9	-0.1	38%	-
vs Similar (14)	35.9	39.9	75.7	-4.0	29%	-
vs Weaker (8)	40.6	37.4	78.0	+3.2	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 86.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀36%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 36% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game

48%

33%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.7	20.1	59.6%	53.0%	40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.7	10.2	38.2%	34.9%	30.6
🏀 Free throws	18.5	15.3	82.7%	75.6%	15.3

They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 77.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀53%

🏀🏀🏀28%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 53% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 28% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game

48%

33%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.5	20.7	55.2%	53.0%	41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.7	7.2	30.4%	34.9%	21.6
🏀 Free throws	20.0	14.4	72.0%	75.6%	14.4

They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.9	19.9	48.7%	53.0%	39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.5	6.6	25.9%	34.9%	19.8
🏀 Free throws	14.0	10.5	75.0%	75.6%	10.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.1	18.2	55.0%	53.0%	36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	8.3	32.0%	34.9%	24.9
🏀 Free throws	20.1	14.3	71.1%	75.6%	14.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.5	20.4	59.1%	53.0%	40.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.2	10.4	36.9%	34.9%	31.2
🏀 Free throws	19.8	16.2	81.8%	75.6%	16.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.8	20.0	51.5%	53.0%	39.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.0	7.2	34.4%	34.9%	21.7
🏀 Free throws	19.4	14.5	74.9%	75.6%	14.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.1	20.5	48.8%	53.0%	41.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.1	7.4	29.5%	34.9%	22.2
🏀 Free throws	15.3	11.5	75.0%	75.6%	11.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.4	17.0	52.5%	53.0%	34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.8	8.5	31.7%	34.9%	25.5
🏀 Free throws	20.5	15.4	75.0%	75.6%	15.4

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Real Madrid

WWWWWWWWWW

Valencia

LLWLWWWWWL

League position

+21.8

Net rating

+2.5

117.2

Offensive rating

106.3

95.4

Defensive rating

103.8

58.6%

Effective FG%

51.5%

44.9%

Opp. effective FG%

51.9%

18.0%

Turnover %

18.9%

27.6%

Off. rebound %

30.9%

0.31

Free-throw rate

0.33

38.2%

3-point %

30.4%

69.6%

Assist %

59.9%

100%

Form (last 10/10)

60%

Profile

■ Real Madrid ■ Valencia

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Real Madrid wins

Valencia wins

Date	Game	Score
14/11/23	Valencia v Real Madrid	73-76
12/05/23	Valencia v Real Madrid	68-79
09/03/23	Real Madrid v Valencia	95-91
16/02/23	Real Madrid v Valencia	86-85
04/12/22	Real Madrid v Valencia	79-62
22/11/22	Valencia v Real Madrid	73-80
06/02/22	Real Madrid v Valencia	93-94
10/10/21	Valencia v Real Madrid	79-93
10/06/21	Real Madrid v Valencia	80-77
08/06/21	Valencia v Real Madrid	85-67

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/12/23	A	Lyon-Villeurbanne	77-76
23/12/23	A	Joventut Badalona	101-73
21/12/23	H	Partizan	91-75
19/12/23	A	Crvena zvezda	72-58
16/12/23	A	Obradoiro CAB	85-74
14/12/23	H	Bayern	88-73
10/12/23	H	Gran Canaria	97-71
07/12/23	A	Panathinaikos	90-78
05/12/23	A	Olympiacos	77-71
03/12/23	H	Breogan	91-58

Valencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/12/23	A	Bayern	84-85
23/12/23	H	Granada	75-81
21/12/23	H	Virtus Bologna	79-71
19/12/23	H	Partizan	67-72
17/12/23	H	MoraBanc Andorra	86-82
15/12/23	A	Olympiacos	63-56
10/12/23	A	Murcia	85-77 OT
08/12/23	A	Lyon-Villeurbanne	78-55
06/12/23	H	Crvena zvezda	85-81
03/12/23	H	Bilbao	79-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid

ACB 2023-24

Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	93%
Home	WLWWW	88%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	8	7
Win %	93%	88%	100%
Points / game	91.7	93.8	89.3
Allowed / game	77.2	76.6	77.9
Point differential	+14.5	+17.1	+11.4
Avg total	168.9	170.4	167.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	53%	62%	43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Valencia

ACB 2023-24

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	67%
Home	WWLWL	62%
Away	WLLWW	71%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	8	7
Win %	67%	62%	71%
Points / game	80.9	80.1	81.9
Allowed / game	78.0	79.0	76.9
Point differential	+2.9	+1.1	+5.0
Avg total	158.9	159.1	158.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	7%	0%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	75% (4)	50% (2)
Overtime %	7%	0%	14%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Madrid	15	14	1	93%	91.7	77.2	+14.5
2	Unicaja	16	13	3	81%	88.2	76.9	+11.4
3	Valencia	15	10	5	67%	80.9	78.0	+2.9
4	Barcelona	16	10	6	62%	85.4	79.6	+5.8
5	Murcia	16	10	6	62%	83.8	79.6	+4.2
6	Gran Canaria	16	10	6	62%	83.7	82.3	+1.4
7	Manresa	16	9	7	56%	85.8	84.9	+0.9
8	Baskonia	16	9	7	56%	84.8	85.0	-0.2
9	Tenerife	16	8	8	50%	82.1	81.3	+0.8
10	Joventut Badalona	16	8	8	50%	81.1	87.1	-6.1
11	Basket Zaragoza	16	7	9	44%	81.9	82.3	-0.4
12	Basquet Girona	16	7	9	44%	82.7	86.8	-4.1
13	Obradoiro CAB	16	6	10	38%	80.8	83.4	-2.6
14	Bilbao	16	6	10	38%	77.4	80.6	-3.2
15	Granada	16	5	11	31%	83.8	86.6	-2.8
16	MoraBanc Andorra	16	5	11	31%	81.5	84.8	-3.3
17	Breogan	16	4	12	25%	73.2	80.5	-7.3
18	Palencia	16	2	14	12%	75.7	86.5	-10.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Real Madrid	20	21	26	16	83
Valencia	15	19	19	21	74

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Real Madrid vs Valencia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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