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Basquet Girona vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 71-79
21-15 8-19 24-27 18-18
Position#14
Record10-18
FormLWLWL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game87.9
Basquet Girona
Spain
vs
Real Madrid 🏆
Spain
Position#1
Record24-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game78.2
SpainACBRound 29· Pavello Fontajau
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Basquet Girona v Real Madrid
21 Mar 2027
GIR v MAD
upcoming
28 Mar 2026
GIR93
MAD95
27 Apr 2025
GIR71
MAD79
08 Oct 2023
GIR74
MAD93
28 Sep 2022
GIR88
MAD94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basquet Girona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basquet GironaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGirona
Date
Competition
Granada
#17
L
74-78
74
78
-4
66avg 72
A01/02
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
89-101
89
101
-12
80avg 72
H09/02
ACB
Bilbao
#15
L
83-96
83
96
-13
72avg 72
A02/03
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
83-76
83
76
+7
73avg 72
H08/03
ACB
Murcia
#10
W
76-64
76
64
+12
69avg 72
A15/03
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
86-95
86
95
-9
80avg 72
H22/03
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
99-89
99
89
+10
70avg 72
A29/03
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
76-92
76
92
-16
57avg 72
A06/04
ACB
Breogan
#13
W
91-85
91
85
+6
83avg 72
H12/04
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
84-95
84
95
-11
76avg 72
A19/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
18-13
24-18
17-25
13-31
32-25
17-19
27-26
22-26
24-19
19-28
18-23
18-18
20-15
28-25
17-18
22-19
15-14
16-15
23-16
28-21
17-28
17-23
24-23
23-22
26-22
23-20
27-25
11-22
24-24
23-27
18-19
27-16
18-19
18-19
28-31
20-28
23-24
19-18
22-25
171.2Avg total
84.1Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)81.487.9169.2-6.536%
Season at home (13)84.987.2172.1-2.254%
Season away (15)78.388.5166.7-10.220%
Last 10 (10)84.187.1171.2-3.040%
Last 5 (5)87.291.2178.4-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)80.887.2167.9-6.437%
vs Similar (11)82.588.3170.8-5.736%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#15
W
88-70
88
70
+18
88avg 82
H30/03
ACB
Paris
#9
W
105-104
105
104
+1
99avg 82
H03/04
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
91-89
91
89
+2
85avg 82
A06/04
ACB
Partizan
#12
W
91-89
91
89
+2
84avg 82
A10/04
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
W
79-68
79
68
+11
68avg 82
A13/04
ACB
Paris
#9
L
73-81
73
81
-8
65avg 82
H15/04
Euroleague
Bayern
#7
W
93-71
93
71
+22
97avg 82
H18/04
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
98-97
98
97
+1
95avg 82
H20/04
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
L
72-84
72
84
-12
67avg 82
A23/04
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
71-77
71
77
-6
70avg 82
A25/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
12-17
29-18
25-18
23-28
30-25
21-27
31-24
20-24
22-15
26-22
23-28
22-24
26-22
17-28
26-15
23-15
22-19
21-15
13-19
22-27
14-19
22-16
15-19
33-17
19-16
21-22
20-16
29-29
17-15
30-25
22-28
14-27
15-20
22-17
21-20
25-15
13-23
16-19
17-20
169.1Avg total
86.1Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)88.078.2166.2+9.786%
Season at home (15)89.376.5165.9+12.8100%
Season away (13)86.480.2166.6+6.269%
Last 10 (10)86.183.0169.1+3.170%
Last 5 (5)81.482.0163.4-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)81.883.9165.7-2.147%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)86.276.2162.4+10.0100%
This opponent (Basquet Girona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +0.6+0.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +0.6+0.6
Basquet GironaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Basquet GironaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Granada
#17
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A01/02
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
45-56
45
56
-11
H09/02
ACB
Bilbao
#15
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A02/03
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H08/03
ACB
Murcia
#10
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A15/03
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H22/03
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A29/03
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A06/04
ACB
Breogan
#13
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H12/04
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A19/04
ACB
84.4Avg total
41.6Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.242.080.2-3.837%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.441.279.6-2.936%-
Last 30 away (16)38.142.780.8-4.638%-
Last 10 (10)41.642.884.4-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)43.445.288.6-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)39.242.781.9-3.537%-
vs Similar (11)36.540.877.4-4.336%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#15
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H30/03
ACB
Paris
#9
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H03/04
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A06/04
ACB
Partizan
#12
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A10/04
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A13/04
ACB
Paris
#9
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H15/04
Euroleague
Bayern
#7
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H18/04
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H20/04
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A23/04
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A25/04
Euroleague
83.7Avg total
42.3Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.238.279.4+3.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.939.683.5+4.250%-
Last 30 away (16)38.836.975.8+1.950%-
Last 10 (10)42.341.483.7+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)40.241.681.8-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)40.540.881.3-0.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)41.736.077.7+5.764%-
This opponent (Basquet Girona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Basquet Gironatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basquet Girona: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.718.7
51.0%
54.0%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.2
33.7%
35.6%30.6
🏀 Free throws20.015.1
75.5%
76.4%15.1
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.521.8
59.7%
54.0%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.2
34.8%
35.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws20.114.3
71.1%
76.4%14.3
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Basquet Girona
LWLWLWWLLL
Real Madrid
LLWWLWWWWW
#14
League position
#1
-4.2
Net rating
+4.5
107.8
Offensive rating
115.6
112.0
Defensive rating
111.1
50.7%
Effective FG%
56.6%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
17.8%
Turnover %
17.1%
32.7%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.7%
3-point %
34.8%
59.2%
Assist %
58.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.8 · 115.6Defence112.0 · 111.1Shooting50.7% · 56.6%3-point %33.7% · 34.8%Ball care17.8% · 17.1%Off. rebounds32.7% · 31.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Basquet Girona   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Basquet Girona wins
5
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
20/10/24Real Madrid v Basquet Girona95-67
04/02/24Real Madrid v Basquet Girona92-79
08/10/23Basquet Girona v Real Madrid74-93
19/04/23Real Madrid v Basquet Girona89-70
28/09/22Basquet Girona v Real Madrid88-94
Basquet Gironalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/25AManresa84-95
12/04/25HBreogan91-85
06/04/25ABaskonia76-92
29/03/25ALeyma Coruna99-89
22/03/25HGran Canaria86-95
15/03/25AMurcia76-64
08/03/25HJoventut Badalona83-76
02/03/25ABilbao83-96
09/02/25HBasket Zaragoza89-101
01/02/25AGranada74-78
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/25AOlympiacos71-77
23/04/25AOlympiacos72-84
20/04/25HMoraBanc Andorra98-97
18/04/25HBayern93-71
15/04/25HParis73-81
13/04/25ATenerife79-68
10/04/25APartizan91-89
06/04/25ABarcelona91-89
03/04/25HParis105-104
30/03/25HBilbao88-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basquet Girona
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL36%
HomeWLWLW54%
AwayLWWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %36%54%20%
Points / game81.484.978.3
Allowed / game87.987.288.5
Point differential-6.5-2.2-10.2
Avg total169.2172.1166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%8%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Real Madrid
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %86%100%69%
Points / game88.089.386.4
Allowed / game78.276.580.2
Point differential+9.7+12.8+6.2
Avg total166.2165.9166.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%53%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)100% (4)43% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2824486%88.078.2+9.7
2 Tenerife2923679%87.382.5+4.9
3 Valencia2821775%96.084.4+11.6
4 Unicaja2819968%89.584.7+4.9
5 Barcelona28171161%92.187.1+5.1
6 Manresa29161355%88.385.0+3.3
7 Joventut Badalona29161355%85.384.2+1.1
8 Gran Canaria28151354%83.984.0-0.1
9 Baskonia28141450%86.586.4+0.1
10 Murcia28131546%81.581.5-0.1
11 Breogan29121741%79.486.1-6.7
12 Basket Zaragoza28111739%89.290.3-1.1
13 Forca Lleida27101737%83.887.1-3.3
14 Bilbao28101836%81.383.6-2.3
15 MoraBanc Andorra28101836%86.891.5-4.6
16 Basquet Girona28101836%81.487.9-6.5
17 Granada2972224%80.987.3-6.4
18 Leyma Coruna2862221%86.395.8-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Basquet Girona218241871
Real Madrid1519271879
← all games of the day
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