Real Madrid vs Bilbao Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Nov 2013

Tip-off: 11:15

Final 92-75

23-18 26-19 16-16 27-22

Position#1

Record3-0

FormWWWWW

Points / game93.3

Allowed / game68.7

Real Madrid 🏆

Bilbao

Position#13

Record0-3

FormWLWLW

Points / game73.7

Allowed / game81.3

ACBRound 4

Domestic2013-14

Meetings · Real Madrid v Bilbao

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Bilbao winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real Madrid Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barcelona

62-73

-11

A16/06

ACB

Barcelona

79-71

H19/06

ACB

Bilbao

100-61

100

+39

H04/10

Supercopa ACB

Barcelona

83-79

H05/10

Supercopa ACB

Baloncesto Valladolid

#18

87-53

+34

H15/10

ACB

Zalgiris Kaunas

#23

83-63

+20

A18/10

Euroleague

Baskonia

105-72

105

+33

H20/10

ACB

Bamberg

#21

98-58

+40

H24/10

Euroleague

Murcia

#16

88-81

A27/10

ACB

Olimpia Milano

93-74

+19

H01/11

Euroleague

17-23

15-11

13-15

17-24

20-18

21-14

14-16

24-23

25-24

28-11

20-16

27-10

29-21

17-23

17-12

20-23

26-12

18-10

22-14

21-17

16-13

19-11

29-20

19-19

26-25

32-17

24-18

23-12

18-7

24-14

31-18

25-19

19-20

26-28

22-14

21-19

25-20

27-11

21-18

20-25

156.3Avg total

87.8Scored

68.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	93.3	68.7	162.0	+24.7	100%
Season at home (2)	96.0	62.5	158.5	+33.5	100%
Season away (1)	88.0	81.0	169.0	+7.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	87.8	68.5	156.3	+19.3	90%
Last 5 (5)	93.4	69.6	163.0	+23.8	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	77.0	68.0	145.0	+9.0	80%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	83.3	70.0	153.3	+13.2	83%

This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bilbao

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barcelona

62-88

-26

A23/05

ACB

Barcelona

90-89

H26/05

ACB

Barcelona

70-79

-9

A28/05

ACB

Real Madrid

61-100

100

-39

A04/10

Supercopa ACB

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

77-86

-9

H12/10

ACB

Cedevita

#21

82-77

H15/10

Eurocup

Fuenlabrada

#15

72-75

-3

A20/10

ACB

Sassari

#14

100-94 OT

100

A23/10

Eurocup

Gran Canaria

72-83

-11

H27/10

ACB

Spirou Charleroi

#49

98-71

+27

H29/10

Eurocup

15-27

20-22

11-19

16-20

26-15

22-15

18-25

24-34

17-22

18-11

15-16

20-30

24-25

11-28

16-20

10-27

23-27

19-23

22-18

13-18

15-18

22-18

24-17

21-24

23-14

17-19

15-11

17-31

25-18

21-23

11-20

25-21

16-20

14-16

21-30

21-17

18-21

21-17

33-14

26-19

162.6Avg total

78.4Scored

84.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	73.7	81.3	155.0	-7.7	0%
Season at home (2)	74.5	84.5	159.0	-10.0	0%
Season away (1)	72.0	75.0	147.0	-3.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	78.4	84.2	162.6	-5.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	84.8	80.0	164.8	+4.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	71.0	82.2	153.2	-11.2	20%
vs Similar (11)	81.0	83.2	164.2	-2.2	36%
vs Weaker (13)	85.0	74.4	159.4	+10.6	77%

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Real MadridBilbao

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	16.0	35.7	+3.7	77%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	20.8	16.4	37.3	+4.4	83%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.0	15.3	33.3	+2.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	18.3	40.4	+3.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	17.0	37.8	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	17.2	14.8	32.0	+2.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	20.0	15.9	35.9	+4.1	79%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	20.9	40.4	-1.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	20.9	40.5	-1.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	20.9	40.3	-1.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	20.7	40.9	-0.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	18.2	37.6	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	17.4	20.0	37.4	-2.6	20%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.7	21.5	40.2	-2.7	36%	-
vs Weaker (13)	20.5	20.5	41.1	+0.0	46%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	18.0	39.3	+3.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	22.4	16.0	38.4	+6.4	78%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.8	20.9	40.7	-1.2	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	15.0	37.7	+7.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	16.2	41.8	+9.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	20.2	16.2	36.4	+4.0	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	21.3	18.6	40.0	+2.7	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.5	39.3	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	18.3	38.2	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	20.7	40.5	-1.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	19.2	37.7	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	18.6	37.6	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	18.4	17.2	35.6	+1.2	40%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.8	21.4	41.2	-1.5	27%	-
vs Weaker (13)	21.1	18.2	39.2	+2.9	69%	-

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barcelona

32-34

-2

A16/06

ACB

Barcelona

41-32

H19/06

ACB

Bilbao

53-35

+18

H04/10

Supercopa ACB

Barcelona

46-44

H05/10

Supercopa ACB

Baloncesto Valladolid

#18

44-22

+22

H15/10

ACB

Zalgiris Kaunas

#23

35-24

+11

A18/10

Euroleague

Baskonia

58-42

+16

H20/10

ACB

Bamberg

#21

42-21

+21

H24/10

Euroleague

Murcia

#16

45-48

-3

A27/10

ACB

Olimpia Milano

52-31

+21

H01/11

Euroleague

78.1Avg total

44.8Scored

33.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.1	34.0	75.0	+7.1	83%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	43.3	32.4	75.7	+10.8	94%	-
Last 30 away (12)	37.8	36.2	74.0	+1.5	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.8	33.3	78.1	+11.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	33.2	79.6	+13.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	37.4	31.0	68.4	+6.4	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	41.3	34.5	75.9	+6.8	79%	-

This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barcelona

35-49

-14

A23/05

ACB

Barcelona

48-30

+18

H26/05

ACB

Barcelona

35-33

A28/05

ACB

Real Madrid

35-53

-18

A04/10

Supercopa ACB

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

42-50

-8

H12/10

ACB

Cedevita

#21

37-36

H15/10

Eurocup

Fuenlabrada

#15

40-33

A20/10

ACB

Sassari

#14

46-41

A23/10

Eurocup

Gran Canaria

30-36

-6

H27/10

ACB

Spirou Charleroi

#49

39-38

H29/10

Eurocup

78.6Avg total

38.7Scored

39.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	40.4	79.7	-1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.5	39.2	78.7	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.1	41.7	80.7	-2.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.7	39.9	78.6	-1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	36.8	75.2	+1.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	35.8	37.2	73.0	-1.4	40%	-
vs Similar (11)	38.5	42.8	81.4	-4.3	36%	-
vs Weaker (13)	41.6	38.7	80.3	+2.9	77%	-

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	16.4	36.7	+3.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	20.6	16.4	37.1	+4.2	72%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.9	16.3	36.2	+3.6	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	16.1	37.4	+5.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	17.6	43.0	+7.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	17.8	18.0	35.8	-0.2	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	20.9	16.1	37.0	+4.8	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.4	37.9	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.8	19.5	40.3	+1.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	17.3	35.6	+1.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	19.0	37.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.4	39.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	16.4	20.6	37.0	-4.2	20%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.8	16.9	36.7	+2.9	55%	-
vs Weaker (13)	20.8	18.6	39.5	+2.2	54%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	19.0	40.4	+2.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	21.9	19.0	40.9	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.6	19.1	39.7	+1.5	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	19.1	40.8	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	18.8	40.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	21.8	19.0	40.8	+2.8	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	21.1	19.4	40.5	+1.7	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	20.6	41.5	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	19.7	41.4	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	21.5	41.6	-1.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	24.1	43.4	-4.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	22.4	44.4	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	18.8	24.4	43.2	-5.6	20%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.0	22.4	43.4	-1.4	36%	-
vs Weaker (13)	22.5	17.1	39.6	+5.5	69%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.7	35.4	77.2	+6.3	73%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	42.6	35.4	78.0	+7.1	72%	-
Last 30 away (12)	40.5	35.4	75.9	+5.1	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.0	35.2	78.2	+7.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.0	36.4	83.4	+10.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	39.6	37.0	76.6	+2.6	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	42.0	35.5	77.5	+6.5	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	38.9	79.4	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.5	39.1	81.7	+3.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.5	38.7	77.2	-0.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.9	43.1	81.0	-5.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	40.8	83.6	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	35.2	45.0	80.2	-9.8	0%	-
vs Similar (11)	40.8	39.3	80.1	+1.5	55%	-
vs Weaker (13)	43.4	35.7	79.1	+7.7	77%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Real Madrid wins

Bilbao wins

Date	Game	Score
04/10/13	Real Madrid v Bilbao	100-61
03/02/13	Bilbao v Real Madrid	74-94
11/11/12	Real Madrid v Bilbao	98-84
08/02/12	Bilbao v Real Madrid	93-69
05/02/12	Real Madrid v Bilbao	90-93
01/02/12	Real Madrid v Bilbao	89-73
13/10/11	Bilbao v Real Madrid	86-82
02/06/11	Bilbao v Real Madrid	80-72
31/05/11	Bilbao v Real Madrid	68-51
29/05/11	Real Madrid v Bilbao	66-71

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/11/13	H	Olimpia Milano	93-74
27/10/13	A	Murcia	88-81
24/10/13	H	Bamberg	98-58
20/10/13	H	Baskonia	105-72
18/10/13	A	Zalgiris Kaunas	83-63
15/10/13	H	Baloncesto Valladolid	87-53
05/10/13	H	Barcelona	83-79
04/10/13	H	Bilbao	100-61
19/06/13	H	Barcelona	79-71
16/06/13	A	Barcelona	62-73

Bilbaolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/10/13	H	Spirou Charleroi	98-71
27/10/13	H	Gran Canaria	72-83
23/10/13	A	Sassari	100-94 OT
20/10/13	A	Fuenlabrada	72-75
15/10/13	H	Cedevita	82-77
12/10/13	H	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	77-86
04/10/13	A	Real Madrid	61-100
28/05/13	A	Barcelona	70-79
26/05/13	H	Barcelona	90-89
23/05/13	A	Barcelona	62-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid

ACB 2013-14

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWW	100%
Home	WW	100%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	2	1
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	93.3	96.0	88.0
Allowed / game	68.7	62.5	81.0
Point differential	+24.7	+33.5	+7.0
Avg total	162.0	158.5	169.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	67%	100%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Bilbao

ACB 2013-14

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLL	0%
Home	LL	0%
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	2	1
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Points / game	73.7	74.5	72.0
Allowed / game	81.3	84.5	75.0
Point differential	-7.7	-10.0	-3.0
Avg total	155.0	159.0	147.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Madrid	3	3	0	100%	93.3	68.7	+24.7
2	Gran Canaria	3	3	0	100%	89.3	79.0	+10.3
3	Tenerife	3	3	0	100%	77.3	72.0	+5.3
4	Barcelona	3	3	0	100%	80.0	75.3	+4.7
5	Valencia	4	3	1	75%	86.0	65.5	+20.5
6	Unicaja	3	2	1	67%	84.3	72.3	+12.0
7	Manresa	3	2	1	67%	83.0	76.7	+6.3
8	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	3	2	1	67%	77.3	75.0	+2.3
9	Murcia	4	2	2	50%	80.0	79.0	+1.0
10	Joventut Badalona	3	1	2	33%	74.0	78.3	-4.3
11	Fuenlabrada	3	1	2	33%	76.7	85.0	-8.3
12	Gipuzkoa	3	1	2	33%	65.3	74.0	-8.7
13	Real Betis	4	1	3	25%	71.5	76.0	-4.5
14	Estudiantes	4	1	3	25%	73.2	79.8	-6.5
15	Baskonia	4	1	3	25%	77.2	88.0	-10.8
16	Baloncesto Valladolid	4	1	3	25%	64.2	85.8	-21.5
17	Bilbao	3	0	3	0%	73.7	81.3	-7.7
18	Obradoiro CAB	3	0	3	0%	75.7	83.3	-7.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Real Madrid	23	26	16	27	92
Bilbao	18	19	16	22	75

← all games of the day

Real Madrid vs Bilbao Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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