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Real Madrid vs Bilbao Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 119-84
36-13 26-22 27-22 30-27
Position#1
Record3-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game107.7
Allowed / game92.3
vs
Position#8
Record2-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game101.3
Allowed / game94.3
SpainACBRound 4· Movistar Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Real Madrid v Bilbao
18 Oct 2026
MAD119
BIL84
16 Nov 2025
MAD82
BIL70
30 Mar 2025
MAD88
BIL70
21 Jan 2024
MAD95
BIL80
12 Mar 2023
MAD86
BIL65
07 Nov 2021
MAD95
BIL61
20 May 2021
MAD70
BIL59
13 Feb 2020
MAD93
BIL83
28 Jan 2018
MAD95
BIL65
26 Mar 2017
MAD104
BIL76
10 Apr 2016
MAD102
BIL80
26 Apr 2015
MAD78
BIL52
03 Nov 2013
MAD92
BIL75
04 Oct 2013
MAD100
BIL61
11 Nov 2012
MAD98
BIL84
05 Feb 2012
MAD90
BIL93
01 Feb 2012
MAD89
BIL73
29 May 2011
MAD66
BIL71
27 May 2011
MAD78
BIL67
05 Feb 2011
MAD76
BIL72
14 Feb 2010
MAD80
BIL87
16 Nov 2008
MAD84
BIL74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bilbao winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#8
L
95-107
95
107
-12
87avg 88
H06/06
ACB
Dubai
#9
L
77-78
77
78
-1
64avg 88
A24/09
Euroleague
Unicaja
#10
W
89-87
89
87
+2
83avg 88
H27/09
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
84-94
84
94
-10
86avg 88
A29/09
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
L
98-102
98
102
-4
94avg 88
A01/10
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
114-107 OT
114
107
+7
112avg 88
A04/10
ACB
Partizan
#11
W
86-76
86
76
+10
76avg 88
H08/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#17
W
120-83
120
83
+37
122avg 88
H11/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
98-89
98
89
+9
95avg 88
A13/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
111-92
111
92
+19
109avg 88
H15/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
21-26
28-21
22-37
16-20
28-18
18-25
15-15
23-22
23-25
19-24
24-16
29-27
12-26
24-19
19-22
20-29
23-34
32-12
23-27
22-22
32-21
21-26
24-30
27-19
26-18
18-20
15-19
34-22
28-16
24-18
34-27
21-25
32-15
31-27
14-22
27-25
34-23
16-23
34-21
188.7Avg total
97.2Scored
91.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)107.792.3200.0+15.3100%
Season at home (2)104.585.0189.5+19.5100%
Season away (1)114.0107.0221.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)97.291.5188.7+5.760%
Last 5 (5)105.889.4195.2+16.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)96.082.0178.0+14.0100%
vs Similar (10)91.087.8178.8+3.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)95.890.7186.5+5.247%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Valencia
#1
L
83-88
83
88
-5
77avg 83
A17/05
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
W
86-80
86
80
+6
80avg 83
H24/05
ACB
Tenerife
#8
W
87-82
87
82
+5
87avg 83
A29/05
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
80-83
80
83
-3
72avg 83
A03/06
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
71-88
71
88
-17
55avg 83
H05/06
ACB
Manresa
#17
W
107-92
107
92
+15
102avg 83
H26/09
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#13
L
101-104 OT
101
104
-3
90avg 83
A04/10
ACB
Igokea
#27
W
92-79
92
79
+13
90avg 83
A06/10
Champions League
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
96-87
96
87
+9
88avg 83
H11/10
ACB
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#50
W
97-86
97
86
+11
94avg 83
H14/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-21
20-26
31-15
23-26
25-23
17-18
22-26
22-13
15-17
17-17
30-22
25-26
19-18
16-17
27-20
18-28
16-22
21-25
12-24
22-17
19-18
25-20
32-27
31-27
18-22
27-24
22-23
24-22
28-21
22-14
22-21
20-23
19-20
25-25
30-25
22-17
27-21
15-14
26-26
29-25
176.9Avg total
90.0Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)101.394.3195.7+7.067%
Season at home (2)101.589.5191.0+12.0100%
Season away (1)101.0104.0205.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)90.086.9176.9+3.160%
Last 5 (5)98.689.6188.2+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)76.186.7162.9-10.614%
vs Similar (8)90.686.2176.9+4.475%
vs Weaker (15)90.583.5173.9+7.080%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +1.2+1.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +1.2+1.2
Real MadridBilbao
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#8
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H06/06
ACB
Dubai
#9
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A24/09
Euroleague
Unicaja
#10
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H27/09
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A29/09
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
L
43-63
43
63
-20
A01/10
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A04/10
ACB
Partizan
#11
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H08/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#17
W
62-38
62
38
+24
H11/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A13/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
61-48
61
48
+13
H15/10
Euroleague
95.8Avg total
50.2Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.344.391.7+3.067%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.944.192.9+4.864%-
Last 30 away (16)46.044.690.6+1.469%-
Last 10 (10)50.245.695.8+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)56.641.297.8+15.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.041.086.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar (10)45.443.588.9+1.960%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)48.544.993.4+3.568%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#1
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A17/05
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H24/05
ACB
Tenerife
#8
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A29/05
ACB
Valencia
#1
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A03/06
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H05/06
ACB
Manresa
#17
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H26/09
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#13
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A04/10
ACB
Igokea
#27
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A06/10
Champions League
San Pablo Burgos
#15
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H11/10
ACB
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#50
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H14/10
Champions League
80.3Avg total
40.0Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.341.382.6+0.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.139.682.7+3.464%-
Last 30 away (16)39.842.782.5-2.925%-
Last 10 (10)40.040.380.3-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)45.039.884.8+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)35.341.977.1-6.614%-
vs Similar (8)41.141.582.6-0.450%-
vs Weaker (15)44.340.985.1+3.453%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 97.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.623.1
58.3%
55.8%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.2
35.3%
36.4%30.6
🏀 Free throws25.420.4
80.3%
76.0%20.4
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 90.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.017.0
50.0%
55.8%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.511.7
37.1%
36.4%35.1
🏀 Free throws27.320.9
76.6%
76.0%20.9
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWWWLLWLL
Bilbao
WWWLWLLWWL
#1
League position
#8
+6.6
Net rating
+3.4
106.4
Offensive rating
99.2
99.8
Defensive rating
95.8
56.1%
Effective FG%
52.7%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
13.7%
Turnover %
13.6%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.42
35.3%
3-point %
37.1%
61.3%
Assist %
68.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 99.2Defence99.8 · 95.8Shooting56.1% · 52.7%3-point %35.3% · 37.1%Ball care13.7% · 13.6%Free throws0.37 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Bilbao
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Real Madrid wins
3
Bilbao wins
DateGameScore
14/05/26Bilbao v Real Madrid88-82
16/11/25Real Madrid v Bilbao82-70
30/03/25Real Madrid v Bilbao88-70
13/10/24Bilbao v Real Madrid83-79
21/01/24Real Madrid v Bilbao95-80
12/11/23Bilbao v Real Madrid84-87
12/03/23Real Madrid v Bilbao86-65
27/12/22Bilbao v Real Madrid80-85
13/04/22Bilbao v Real Madrid79-67
07/11/21Real Madrid v Bilbao95-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/26HLyon-Villeurbanne111-92
13/10/26AOlimpia Milano98-89
11/10/26HManresa120-83
08/10/26HPartizan86-76
04/10/26AObradoiro CAB114-107 OT
01/10/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv98-102
29/09/26AAnadolu Efes84-94
27/09/26HUnicaja89-87
24/09/26ADubai77-78
06/06/26HTenerife95-107
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/26HSlavia Prague ERA NBK97-86
11/10/26HSan Pablo Burgos96-87
06/10/26AIgokea92-79
04/10/26ALeyma Coruna101-104 OT
26/09/26HManresa107-92
05/06/26HValencia71-88
03/06/26AValencia80-83
29/05/26ATenerife87-82
24/05/26HBasquet Girona86-80
17/05/26AValencia83-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game107.7104.5114.0
Allowed / game92.385.0107.0
Point differential+15.3+19.5+7.0
Avg total200.0189.5221.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %33%0%100%
Bilbao
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game101.3101.5101.0
Allowed / game94.389.5104.0
Point differential+7.0+12.0-3.0
Avg total195.7191.0205.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %33%0%100%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Baskonia330100%103.082.7+20.3
2 Real Madrid330100%107.792.3+15.3
3 Breogan43175%107.099.8+7.2
4 Basket Zaragoza43175%91.086.5+4.5
5 Obradoiro CAB43175%91.890.0+1.8
6 Bilbao32167%101.394.3+7.0
7 Tenerife32167%83.377.7+5.7
8 Barcelona32167%100.795.7+5.0
9 Unicaja42250%84.581.2+3.2
10 Basquet Girona42250%91.0100.0-9.0
11 Valencia31233%94.392.0+2.3
12 Joventut Badalona31233%91.092.7-1.7
13 Murcia31233%84.789.3-4.7
14 San Pablo Burgos41325%87.588.5-1.0
15 Forca Lleida41325%93.298.5-5.2
16 MoraBanc Andorra41325%88.095.0-7.0
17 Leyma Coruna41325%91.5105.5-14.0
18 Manresa4040%85.5103.0-17.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid36262730119
Bilbao1322222784
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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