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Real Madrid vs Bilbao Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 May 2021
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 70-59
21-13 24-11 8-18 17-17
Position#1
Record32-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game76.2
vs
Position#17
Record9-25
FormLLLWW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game87.5
SpainACBRound 37
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Real Madrid v Bilbao
18 Oct 2026
MAD119
BIL84
16 Nov 2025
MAD82
BIL70
30 Mar 2025
MAD88
BIL70
21 Jan 2024
MAD95
BIL80
12 Mar 2023
MAD86
BIL65
07 Nov 2021
MAD95
BIL61
20 May 2021
MAD70
BIL59
13 Feb 2020
MAD93
BIL83
28 Jan 2018
MAD95
BIL65
26 Mar 2017
MAD104
BIL76
10 Apr 2016
MAD102
BIL80
26 Apr 2015
MAD78
BIL52
03 Nov 2013
MAD92
BIL75
04 Oct 2013
MAD100
BIL61
11 Nov 2012
MAD98
BIL84
05 Feb 2012
MAD90
BIL93
01 Feb 2012
MAD89
BIL73
29 May 2011
MAD66
BIL71
27 May 2011
MAD78
BIL67
05 Feb 2011
MAD76
BIL72
14 Feb 2010
MAD80
BIL87
16 Nov 2008
MAD84
BIL74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bilbao winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#3
W
84-76
84
76
+8
86avg 78
H13/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#7
W
101-92
101
92
+9
91avg 78
H18/04
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
63-90
63
90
-27
48avg 78
A20/04
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
68-91
68
91
-23
60avg 78
A22/04
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
90-76
90
76
+14
86avg 78
A25/04
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
80-76
80
76
+4
77avg 78
H27/04
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
82-76
82
76
+6
82avg 78
H29/04
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
98-89
98
89
+9
91avg 78
A02/05
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
83-88
83
88
-5
77avg 78
A04/05
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
L
69-79
69
79
-10
53avg 78
H09/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
14-22
21-11
25-27
18-24
26-23
21-25
36-20
18-20
22-24
10-20
13-26
13-22
19-22
13-21
23-26
23-22
23-16
20-18
24-20
15-15
13-23
20-20
32-18
19-13
17-34
21-19
25-10
19-31
35-20
19-24
25-14
21-18
20-18
16-24
26-28
12-27
15-16
16-17
26-19
165.1Avg total
81.8Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)87.276.2163.5+11.094%
Season at home (17)90.079.9169.9+10.188%
Season away (17)84.572.5157.0+11.9100%
Last 10 (10)81.883.3165.1-1.560%
Last 5 (5)82.481.6164.0+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.287.0164.2-9.833%
vs Similar (8)80.874.9155.6+5.975%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)86.276.4162.5+9.885%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#18
L
89-95
89
95
-6
84avg 67
A14/03
ACB
Baskonia
#5
L
72-85
72
85
-13
64avg 67
H21/03
ACB
Murcia
#12
W
90-82 OT
90
82
+8
no box
A28/03
ACB
Manresa
#11
L
96-108
96
108
-12
no box
H03/04
ACB
Unicaja
#9
L
74-88
74
88
-14
67avg 67
A15/04
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
67-86
67
86
-19
53avg 67
A21/04
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
90-99
90
99
-9
74avg 67
A25/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
71-92
71
92
-21
59avg 67
H12/05
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
87-82
87
82
+5
76avg 67
H15/05
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#6
W
98-89
98
89
+9
95avg 67
H18/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
23-18
26-30
20-21
19-20
16-25
20-24
17-16
28-15
13-14
18-22
15-23
27-31
19-27
25-28
25-22
22-18
16-17
22-23
14-30
23-20
9-17
15-28
20-21
33-17
18-25
21-30
18-27
16-24
14-26
24-17
17-25
26-20
18-22
19-24
24-16
16-20
24-14
37-22
21-33
174.0Avg total
83.4Scored
90.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)80.287.5167.7-7.326%
Season at home (17)79.687.4167.0-7.829%
Season away (17)80.887.6168.4-6.824%
Last 10 (10)83.490.6174.0-7.230%
Last 5 (5)82.689.6172.2-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)76.989.3166.2-12.412%
vs Similar (9)83.186.4169.6-3.344%
vs Weaker (4)82.268.0150.2+14.2100%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: -4.3-4.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: -4.3-4.3
Real MadridBilbao
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#3
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H13/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#7
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H18/04
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A20/04
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A22/04
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A25/04
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H27/04
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H29/04
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A02/05
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A04/05
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H09/05
ACB
81.2Avg total
38.6Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.139.278.4-0.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.340.378.7-2.040%-
Last 30 away (15)39.938.178.1+1.867%-
Last 10 (10)38.642.681.2-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)37.243.080.2-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.741.878.4-5.133%-
vs Similar (8)39.139.578.6-0.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)40.837.378.2+3.569%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#18
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A14/03
ACB
Baskonia
#5
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H21/03
ACB
Murcia
#12
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A28/03
ACB
Manresa
#11
L
46-58
46
58
-12
H03/04
ACB
Unicaja
#9
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A15/04
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A21/04
ACB
Valencia
#4
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A25/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
30-50
30
50
-20
H12/05
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H15/05
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#6
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H18/05
ACB
81.6Avg total
40.0Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.141.178.2-4.037%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.142.079.1-4.933%-
Last 30 away (15)37.140.177.3-3.040%-
Last 10 (10)40.041.681.6-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)39.441.080.4-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)35.841.677.4-5.835%-
vs Similar (9)38.843.181.9-4.322%-
vs Weaker (4)39.034.273.2+4.875%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.815.4
48.4%
53.2%30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.911.7
36.7%
36.5%35.1
🏀 Free throws18.014.9
82.8%
76.6%14.9
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.9
52.5%
53.2%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.510.1
38.1%
36.5%30.3
🏀 Free throws17.114.5
84.8%
76.6%14.5
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 May 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
LLWWWWLLWW
Bilbao
WWLLLLLWLL
#1
League position
#17
-2.3
Net rating
-10.3
111.2
Offensive rating
112.4
113.5
Defensive rating
122.7
51.7%
Effective FG%
54.5%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
60.6%
16.9%
Turnover %
20.7%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
35.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.7%
3-point %
38.1%
66.4%
Assist %
46.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 112.4Defence113.5 · 122.7Shooting51.7% · 54.5%3-point %36.7% · 38.1%Ball care16.9% · 20.7%Off. rebounds30.4% · 35.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Bilbao
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Real Madrid wins
1
Bilbao wins
DateGameScore
04/11/20Bilbao v Real Madrid83-85
13/02/20Real Madrid v Bilbao93-83
28/01/18Real Madrid v Bilbao95-65
05/10/17Bilbao v Real Madrid80-87
26/03/17Real Madrid v Bilbao104-76
11/12/16Bilbao v Real Madrid77-85
10/04/16Real Madrid v Bilbao102-80
29/11/15Bilbao v Real Madrid92-99
26/04/15Real Madrid v Bilbao78-52
14/12/14Bilbao v Real Madrid89-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/21HValencia69-79
04/05/21AAnadolu Efes83-88
02/05/21ABasket Zaragoza98-89
29/04/21HAnadolu Efes82-76
27/04/21HAnadolu Efes80-76
25/04/21AFuenlabrada90-76
22/04/21AAnadolu Efes68-91
20/04/21AAnadolu Efes63-90
18/04/21HJoventut Badalona101-92
13/04/21HTenerife84-76
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/21HSan Pablo Burgos98-89
15/05/21HFuenlabrada87-82
12/05/21HGran Canaria71-92
25/04/21AValencia90-99
21/04/21ATenerife67-86
15/04/21AUnicaja74-88
03/04/21HManresa96-108
28/03/21AMurcia90-82 OT
21/03/21HBaskonia72-85
14/03/21AEstudiantes89-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL94%
HomeWWWWL88%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %94%88%100%
Points / game87.290.084.5
Allowed / game76.279.972.5
Point differential+11.0+10.1+11.9
Avg total163.5169.9157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%47%59%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)50% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bilbao
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW26%
HomeLLLWW29%
AwayLWLLL24%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %26%29%24%
Points / game80.279.680.8
Allowed / game87.587.487.6
Point differential-7.3-7.8-6.8
Avg total167.7167.0168.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%6%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)60% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3432294%87.276.2+11.0
2 Barcelona3531489%87.672.8+14.8
3 Tenerife3527877%87.979.0+8.9
4 Valencia35231266%86.081.2+4.9
5 Baskonia35231266%82.478.4+4.0
6 San Pablo Burgos34201459%87.083.4+3.6
7 Joventut Badalona35201557%86.285.0+1.1
8 Unicaja35171849%83.582.9+0.7
9 Gran Canaria35171849%81.683.9-2.2
10 MoraBanc Andorra35161946%78.479.9-1.4
11 Manresa35161946%84.287.6-3.4
12 Murcia35152043%80.982.4-1.4
13 Basket Zaragoza35142140%87.488.5-1.1
14 Fuenlabrada35122334%81.383.5-2.3
15 Obradoiro CAB35122334%80.383.8-3.5
16 Real Betis35112431%77.684.5-6.9
17 Bilbao3492526%80.287.5-7.3
18 Estudiantes3592626%82.588.5-6.0
19 Gipuzkoa3572820%73.786.9-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid212481770
Bilbao1311181759
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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