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Real Madrid vs Fenerbahce Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 90-75
24-21 25-23 19-14 22-17
Position#2
Record21-9
FormLWLWW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game78.5
vs
Position#7
Record18-12
FormLWLWL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game80.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 31
European cup2022
Meetings · Real Madrid v Fenerbahce
29 Oct 2026
MAD95
FEN76
30 Oct 2025
MAD84
FEN58
05 Dec 2024
MAD70
FEN82
07 Mar 2024
MAD79
FEN89
29 Mar 2023
MAD90
FEN75
21 Oct 2021
MAD70
FEN69
20 Nov 2020
MAD94
FEN74
07 Mar 2019
MAD101
FEN86
20 May 2018
MAD85
FEN80
02 Mar 2018
MAD83
FEN86
31 Mar 2017
MAD61
FEN56
19 Apr 2016
MAD63
FEN75
03 Dec 2015
MAD80
FEN73
15 May 2015
MAD96
FEN87
30 Nov 2012
MAD77
FEN61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fenerbahce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
75-71
75
71
+4
70avg 82
A03/03
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
84-78
84
78
+6
82avg 82
A05/03
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
81-85
81
85
-4
82avg 82
H07/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
W
95-91
95
91
+4
98avg 82
H09/03
Euroleague
Bilbao
#12
W
86-65
86
65
+21
82avg 82
H12/03
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
89-90
89
90
-1
90avg 82
A14/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
91-87
91
87
+4
83avg 82
H16/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#2
L
88-95
88
95
-7
82avg 82
H19/03
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
96-79
96
79
+17
92avg 82
A24/03
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
102-78
102
78
+24
101avg 82
A26/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-10
27-22
16-22
12-17
24-14
20-16
22-27
18-21
22-17
21-23
22-22
16-23
24-20
25-20
22-25
24-26
11-15
27-13
26-13
22-24
24-18
15-24
21-35
29-13
24-23
18-17
25-26
24-21
27-15
18-24
24-31
19-25
26-12
24-21
18-25
28-21
29-13
21-18
32-26
20-21
170.6Avg total
88.7Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)85.278.5163.7+6.770%
Season at home (15)90.780.9171.5+9.873%
Season away (15)79.776.1155.8+3.767%
Last 10 (10)88.781.9170.6+6.870%
Last 5 (5)93.285.8179.0+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.093.0175.0-11.00%
vs Similar ◀ (9)84.383.3167.7+1.033%
vs Weaker (19)89.675.5165.2+14.1100%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
104-72
104
72
+32
105avg 79
H03/03
Euroleague
Manisa
#11
W
92-78
92
78
+14
no box
H05/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
74-78
74
78
-4
63avg 79
A08/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
W
81-73
81
73
+8
77avg 79
H10/03
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#4
L
98-102
98
102
-4
no box
A13/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#13
L
80-82
80
82
-2
72avg 79
A16/03
Euroleague
Besiktas
#14
W
95-80
95
80
+15
no box
H18/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
75-82
75
82
-7
55avg 79
H21/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
87-79
87
79
+8
84avg 79
H24/03
Euroleague
Tofas
#6
L
89-94
89
94
-5
no box
A26/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-14
27-15
27-23
19-20
26-19
25-24
18-17
23-18
25-17
14-26
17-18
18-17
18-30
19-10
24-16
20-17
21-22
27-24
21-27
29-29
21-22
21-21
18-18
20-21
25-17
21-21
26-26
23-16
18-23
17-14
17-24
23-21
22-16
24-19
19-20
22-24
24-23
15-24
18-18
32-29
169.5Avg total
87.5Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)84.280.6164.8+3.660%
Season at home (16)85.078.2163.2+6.869%
Season away (14)83.483.4166.7+0.050%
Last 10 (10)87.582.0169.5+5.550%
Last 5 (5)85.283.4168.6+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.093.5163.5-23.50%
vs Similar ◀ (9)82.082.6164.6-0.656%
vs Weaker (19)87.281.7168.9+5.563%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +7.4+7.4Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.7+1.7
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +7.4+7.4Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.7+1.7
Real MadridFenerbahce
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A03/03
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A05/03
ACB
Baskonia
#8
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H07/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H09/03
Euroleague
Bilbao
#12
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H12/03
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A14/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H16/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#2
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H19/03
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A24/03
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A26/03
ACB
80.2Avg total
44.7Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.136.680.7+7.580%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.836.681.4+8.188%-
Last 30 away (14)43.336.679.9+6.771%-
Last 10 (10)44.735.580.2+9.290%-
Last 5 (5)45.237.082.2+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.039.078.0+0.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.740.882.4+0.956%-
vs Weaker (19)45.634.680.3+11.095%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
58-29
58
29
+29
H03/03
Euroleague
Manisa
#11
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H05/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A08/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H10/03
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#4
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A13/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#13
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A16/03
Euroleague
Besiktas
#14
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H18/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H21/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H24/03
Euroleague
Tofas
#6
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A26/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
84.2Avg total
44.1Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.641.883.4-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.240.584.7+3.767%-
Last 30 away (15)39.143.182.2-4.127%-
Last 10 (10)44.140.184.2+4.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.640.081.6+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.554.585.0-24.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.841.981.7-2.144%-
vs Weaker (19)43.740.484.1+3.353%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.121.0
59.8%
53.5%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.7
37.0%
36.2%29.1
🏀 Free throws21.917.0
77.6%
78.5%17.0
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.519.6
55.2%
53.5%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.211.1
38.0%
36.2%33.3
🏀 Free throws16.511.9
72.1%
78.5%11.9
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWLWLWWLWW
Fenerbahce
LWLWLLWLWW
#2
League position
#7
+9.2
Net rating
+3.1
118.9
Offensive rating
119.3
109.7
Defensive rating
116.2
58.0%
Effective FG%
56.0%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
17.0%
Turnover %
14.3%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.26
37.0%
3-point %
38.0%
59.9%
Assist %
55.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence118.9 · 119.3Defence109.7 · 116.2Shooting58.0% · 56.0%3-point %37.0% · 38.0%Ball care17.0% · 14.3%Off. rebounds30.0% · 32.3%Free throws0.36 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Fenerbahce
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Real Madrid wins
3
Fenerbahce wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/23AFuenlabrada102-78
24/03/23AVirtus Bologna96-79
19/03/23HBaskonia88-95
16/03/23HOlimpia Milano91-87
14/03/23AAnadolu Efes89-90
12/03/23HBilbao86-65
09/03/23HValencia95-91
07/03/23HBaskonia81-85
05/03/23AObradoiro CAB84-78
03/03/23ALyon-Villeurbanne75-71
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/23ATofas89-94
24/03/23HZalgiris Kaunas87-79
21/03/23HOlimpia Milano75-82
18/03/23HBesiktas95-80
16/03/23AValencia80-82
13/03/23AKarsiyaka98-102
10/03/23HBarcelona81-73
08/03/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv74-78
05/03/23HManisa92-78
03/03/23HVirtus Bologna104-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW70%
HomeWWLWW73%
AwayLWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %70%73%67%
Points / game85.290.779.7
Allowed / game78.580.976.1
Point differential+6.7+9.8+3.7
Avg total163.7171.5155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)43% (7)67% (6)
Overtime %7%13%0%
Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW60%
HomeWWWLW69%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %60%69%50%
Points / game84.285.083.4
Allowed / game80.678.283.4
Point differential+3.6+6.8+0.0
Avg total164.8163.2166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%38%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)67% (3)33% (6)
Overtime %7%6%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos3122971%84.275.5+8.7
2 Real Madrid3021970%85.278.5+6.7
3 Barcelona31211068%81.277.3+3.9
4 Monaco31201165%83.681.4+2.2
5 Fenerbahce30181260%84.280.6+3.6
6 Maccabi Tel Aviv31181358%83.581.4+2.1
7 Partizan31171455%84.582.5+2.1
8 Baskonia31161552%85.883.9+1.9
9 Zalgiris Kaunas31161552%75.677.6-1.9
10 Anadolu Efes31151648%82.781.4+1.3
11 Crvena zvezda31141745%76.578.0-1.5
12 Olimpia Milano31141745%74.577.1-2.6
13 Valencia31141745%82.585.9-3.4
14 Virtus Bologna31131842%78.482.7-4.4
15 Panathinaikos31112035%79.382.6-3.3
16 Bayern31112035%76.780.4-3.7
17 Alba Berlin3192229%80.485.2-4.8
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne3182326%74.180.7-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2425192290
Fenerbahce2123141775
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