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Real Madrid vs Fenerbahce Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 79-89
15-20 18-23 25-24 21-22
Position#1
Record22-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game88.9
Allowed / game80.5
Real Madrid
vs
Fenerbahce 🏆
Position#7
Record16-11
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game81.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 28· WiZink Center
European cup2023
Meetings · Real Madrid v Fenerbahce
29 Oct 2026
MAD95
FEN76
30 Oct 2025
MAD84
FEN58
05 Dec 2024
MAD70
FEN82
07 Mar 2024
MAD79
FEN89
29 Mar 2023
MAD90
FEN75
21 Oct 2021
MAD70
FEN69
20 Nov 2020
MAD94
FEN74
07 Mar 2019
MAD101
FEN86
20 May 2018
MAD85
FEN80
02 Mar 2018
MAD83
FEN86
31 Mar 2017
MAD61
FEN56
19 Apr 2016
MAD63
FEN75
03 Dec 2015
MAD80
FEN73
15 May 2015
MAD96
FEN87
30 Nov 2012
MAD77
FEN61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
106-101
106
101
+5
110avg 76
H30/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
86-79
86
79
+7
81avg 76
H01/02
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
92-79
92
79
+13
93avg 76
H04/02
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
76-81
76
81
-5
76avg 76
A08/02
Euroleague
Breogan
#16
W
80-73
80
73
+7
72avg 76
A11/02
ACB
Murcia
#5
W
84-79
84
79
+5
79avg 76
H15/02
Spanish Cup
Valencia
#3
W
95-76
95
76
+19
93avg 76
H17/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#2
W
96-85
96
85
+11
76avg 76
H18/02
Spanish Cup
Panathinaikos
#2
L
86-97
86
97
-11
81avg 76
H29/02
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
89-70
89
70
+19
94avg 76
A03/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-18
23-27
28-28
26-28
24-18
21-17
17-15
24-29
28-18
20-26
20-14
24-21
19-23
10-25
25-18
22-15
15-24
24-18
15-15
26-16
25-17
19-17
19-22
21-23
23-17
25-22
32-16
15-21
19-19
24-26
23-18
30-22
24-18
12-27
25-22
25-30
26-16
11-25
31-14
21-15
171.0Avg total
89.0Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)88.980.5169.4+8.481%
Season at home (14)93.582.7176.2+10.893%
Season away (13)84.078.2162.2+5.869%
Last 10 (10)89.082.0171.0+7.080%
Last 5 (5)90.081.4171.4+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)87.883.2171.0+4.680%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)88.380.6169.0+7.779%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
83-73
83
73
+10
81avg 81
A30/01
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
69-76
69
76
-7
62avg 81
A02/02
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#5
W
90-74
90
74
+16
90avg 81
H04/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#2
L
63-74
63
74
-11
58avg 81
A09/02
Euroleague
Samsunspor
#16
W
96-75
96
75
+21
100avg 81
A11/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#6
W
81-68
81
68
+13
82avg 81
A14/02
Turkish Cup
Besiktas
#4
W
99-68
99
68
+31
105avg 81
H16/02
Turkish Cup
Anadolu Efes
#2
W
80-67
80
67
+13
75avg 81
A18/02
Turkish Cup
Baskonia
#9
W
111-96
111
96
+15
112avg 81
H01/03
Euroleague
Tofas
#11
W
109-77
109
77
+32
112avg 81
H03/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
23-24
28-14
16-17
25-21
19-15
17-19
8-21
16-19
26-16
19-15
29-24
21-13
9-25
17-19
16-17
20-24
21-16
35-19
20-16
21-22
18-10
23-19
19-17
32-8
29-20
18-18
20-22
26-20
16-15
21-14
17-18
32-34
23-20
23-24
33-18
30-13
32-15
25-23
22-26
162.9Avg total
88.1Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)83.781.4165.1+2.259%
Season at home (13)91.381.7173.0+9.692%
Season away (14)76.681.2157.8-4.629%
Last 10 (10)88.174.8162.9+13.380%
Last 5 (5)96.075.2171.2+20.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (9)82.680.3162.9+2.256%
vs Weaker (20)93.078.0170.9+15.085%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.4+0.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.4+0.4
Real MadridFenerbahce
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H30/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H01/02
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H04/02
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A08/02
Euroleague
Breogan
#16
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A11/02
ACB
Murcia
#5
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H15/02
Spanish Cup
Valencia
#3
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H17/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H18/02
Spanish Cup
Panathinaikos
#2
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H29/02
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A03/03
ACB
83.9Avg total
42.1Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.640.182.6+2.567%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.938.383.3+6.680%-
Last 30 away (15)40.241.882.0-1.653%-
Last 10 (10)42.141.883.9+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)41.640.882.4+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)42.840.283.0+2.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)42.540.382.8+2.267%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A30/01
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A02/02
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#5
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H04/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#2
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A09/02
Euroleague
Samsunspor
#16
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A11/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#6
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A14/02
Turkish Cup
Besiktas
#4
W
61-28
61
28
+33
H16/02
Turkish Cup
Anadolu Efes
#2
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A18/02
Turkish Cup
Baskonia
#9
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H01/03
Euroleague
Tofas
#11
W
62-28
62
28
+34
H03/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
82.3Avg total
45.5Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.038.683.6+6.467%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.438.886.1+8.671%-
Last 30 away (16)42.938.581.4+4.462%-
Last 10 (10)45.536.882.3+8.780%-
Last 5 (5)51.835.487.2+16.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (9)43.242.185.3+1.144%-
vs Weaker (20)46.137.483.5+8.775%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.1 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.620.3
57.0%
53.4%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.9
36.6%
36.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws24.921.1
84.7%
77.4%21.1
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.819.4
59.1%
53.4%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.611.9
41.6%
36.6%35.7
🏀 Free throws15.612.6
80.8%
77.4%12.6
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WLWWWWLWWW
Fenerbahce
WWWWWWLWLW
#1
League position
#7
+10.2
Net rating
+19.1
118.1
Offensive rating
126.9
107.9
Defensive rating
107.8
56.2%
Effective FG%
60.7%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
17.7%
Turnover %
15.4%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
34.9%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.25
36.6%
3-point %
41.6%
66.4%
Assist %
74.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence118.1 · 126.9Defence107.9 · 107.8Shooting56.2% · 60.7%3-point %36.6% · 41.6%Ball care17.7% · 15.4%Off. rebounds30.6% · 34.9%Free throws0.42 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Fenerbahce
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Real Madrid wins
3
Fenerbahce wins
DateGameScore
30/11/23Fenerbahce v Real Madrid100-99 OT
29/03/23Real Madrid v Fenerbahce90-75
02/12/22Fenerbahce v Real Madrid71-85
08/02/22Fenerbahce v Real Madrid66-51
21/10/21Real Madrid v Fenerbahce70-69
08/04/21Fenerbahce v Real Madrid67-93
20/11/20Real Madrid v Fenerbahce94-74
19/05/19Fenerbahce v Real Madrid75-94
07/03/19Real Madrid v Fenerbahce101-86
28/12/18Fenerbahce v Real Madrid65-63
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24AMoraBanc Andorra89-70
29/02/24HPanathinaikos86-97
18/02/24HBarcelona96-85
17/02/24HValencia95-76
15/02/24HMurcia84-79
11/02/24ABreogan80-73
08/02/24AOlimpia Milano76-81
04/02/24HBasquet Girona92-79
01/02/24HLyon-Villeurbanne86-79
30/01/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv106-101
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24HTofas109-77
01/03/24HBaskonia111-96
18/02/24AAnadolu Efes80-67
16/02/24HBesiktas99-68
14/02/24APetkim Spor81-68
11/02/24ASamsunspor96-75
09/02/24APanathinaikos63-74
04/02/24HGalatasaray90-74
02/02/24AMonaco69-76
30/01/24ALyon-Villeurbanne83-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL81%
HomeWWWWL93%
AwayWLWLL69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %81%93%69%
Points / game88.993.584.0
Allowed / game80.582.778.2
Point differential+8.4+10.8+5.8
Avg total169.4176.2162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%57%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)100% (4)50% (6)
Overtime %11%14%8%
Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW59%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %59%92%29%
Points / game83.791.376.6
Allowed / game81.481.781.2
Point differential+2.2+9.6-4.6
Avg total165.1173.0157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%54%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)100% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %11%23%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2722581%88.980.5+8.4
2 Barcelona2819968%82.678.4+4.2
3 Monaco28181064%81.878.6+3.1
4 Panathinaikos27171063%81.477.7+3.7
5 Virtus Bologna27171063%80.780.9-0.2
6 Olympiacos27161159%79.375.3+4.0
7 Fenerbahce27161159%83.781.4+2.2
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv28151354%87.087.4-0.4
9 Baskonia27141352%83.884.5-0.7
10 Partizan27131448%83.683.9-0.2
11 Valencia28131546%76.176.8-0.7
12 Anadolu Efes28121643%85.787.9-2.2
13 Bayern28121643%79.682.7-3.1
14 Olimpia Milano27111641%76.976.8+0.1
15 Zalgiris Kaunas28111739%80.081.3-1.4
16 Crvena zvezda28101836%81.481.2+0.2
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne2762122%78.485.8-7.4
18 Alba Berlin2752219%75.985.7-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid1518252179
Fenerbahce2023242289
← all games of the day
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