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Real Madrid vs Fenerbahce Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 May 2018
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 85-80
21-17 17-23 25-15 22-25
Position#3
Record23-12
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game80.3
Real Madrid 🏆
vs
Fenerbahce
Position#2
Record25-10
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game75.9
EuropeEuroleagueEuroleague - Final
European cup2017
Meetings · Real Madrid v Fenerbahce
29 Oct 2026
MAD95
FEN76
30 Oct 2025
MAD84
FEN58
05 Dec 2024
MAD70
FEN82
07 Mar 2024
MAD79
FEN89
29 Mar 2023
MAD90
FEN75
21 Oct 2021
MAD70
FEN69
20 Nov 2020
MAD94
FEN74
07 Mar 2019
MAD101
FEN86
20 May 2018
MAD85
FEN80
02 Mar 2018
MAD83
FEN86
31 Mar 2017
MAD61
FEN56
19 Apr 2016
MAD63
FEN75
03 Dec 2015
MAD80
FEN73
15 May 2015
MAD96
FEN87
30 Nov 2012
MAD77
FEN61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fenerbahce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#5
L
67-95
67
95
-28
91avg 118
A17/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
W
89-82
89
82
+7
122avg 118
A19/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
W
81-74
81
74
+7
111avg 118
H25/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
W
89-82
89
82
+7
no box
H27/04
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#10
W
92-75
92
75
+17
no box
A29/04
ACB
Baskonia
#2
W
101-89
101
89
+12
130avg 118
H03/05
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#13
W
87-75
87
75
+12
113avg 118
H06/05
ACB
Real Betis
#18
W
104-89
104
89
+15
144avg 118
H09/05
ACB
Murcia
#9
W
63-61
63
61
+2
86avg 118
A12/05
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
92-83
92
83
+9
124avg 118
A18/05
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-26
17-20
14-31
23-18
16-21
20-19
32-21
21-21
17-17
23-17
17-19
24-21
19-14
32-21
27-25
11-22
21-16
23-15
30-20
18-24
25-24
27-20
23-18
26-27
12-22
31-11
31-20
13-22
21-22
28-23
29-21
26-23
18-12
13-13
16-18
16-18
20-30
27-16
16-10
29-27
167.0Avg total
86.5Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)85.980.3166.2+5.566%
Season at home (17)87.477.8165.1+9.676%
Season away (18)84.482.7167.2+1.756%
Last 10 (10)86.580.5167.0+6.090%
Last 5 (5)89.479.4168.8+10.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)89.886.3176.2+3.550%
vs Weaker (23)87.078.0165.0+9.091%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#7
W
82-73
82
73
+9
113avg 108
H18/04
Euroleague
Baskonia
#7
W
95-89
95
89
+6
120avg 108
H20/04
Euroleague
Baskonia
#7
L
83-88
83
88
-5
109avg 108
A24/04
Euroleague
Baskonia
#7
W
92-83
92
83
+9
118avg 108
A26/04
Euroleague
Usak Sportif
#16
W
90-81
90
81
+9
no box
A28/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#2
W
98-78
98
78
+20
no box
H02/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#4
W
83-60
83
60
+23
no box
H05/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Sakarya BB
#8
W
83-79
83
79
+4
no box
A08/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Istanbul BB
#11
W
96-73
96
73
+23
no box
H11/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
W
76-67
76
67
+9
97avg 108
H18/05
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-11
22-15
22-26
17-21
25-23
28-26
18-19
24-21
20-19
18-28
28-20
17-21
25-19
23-13
24-30
20-21
14-25
25-16
24-16
27-24
25-20
24-18
21-15
28-25
17-16
17-13
19-15
30-16
24-17
27-25
16-8
16-29
21-21
28-19
22-17
25-16
19-13
20-20
15-17
22-17
164.9Avg total
87.8Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)81.475.9157.3+5.571%
Season at home (18)81.775.4157.1+6.372%
Season away (17)81.176.4157.5+4.871%
Last 10 (10)87.877.1164.9+10.790%
Last 5 (5)87.271.4158.6+15.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)84.880.2165.0+4.575%
vs Weaker (21)86.474.7161.0+11.790%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +6.6+6.6Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +1.5+1.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +6.6+6.6Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +1.5+1.5
Real MadridFenerbahce
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#5
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A17/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A19/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H25/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H27/04
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#10
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A29/04
ACB
Baskonia
#2
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H03/05
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#13
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H06/05
ACB
Real Betis
#18
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H09/05
ACB
Murcia
#9
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A12/05
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A18/05
Euroleague
80.2Avg total
42.3Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.038.681.6+4.470%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.538.883.3+5.781%-
Last 30 away (14)41.338.479.6+2.957%-
Last 10 (10)42.337.980.2+4.480%-
Last 5 (5)44.438.683.0+5.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)43.241.784.8+1.567%-
vs Weaker (23)42.837.580.3+5.370%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#7
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H18/04
Euroleague
Baskonia
#7
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H20/04
Euroleague
Baskonia
#7
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A24/04
Euroleague
Baskonia
#7
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A26/04
Euroleague
Usak Sportif
#16
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A28/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#2
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H02/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#4
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H05/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Sakarya BB
#8
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A08/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Istanbul BB
#11
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H11/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H18/05
Euroleague
82.0Avg total
44.3Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.037.680.7+5.470%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.737.181.8+7.682%-
Last 30 away (13)40.838.379.2+2.554%-
Last 10 (10)44.337.782.0+6.680%-
Last 5 (5)44.436.480.8+8.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.539.581.0+2.050%-
vs Weaker (21)44.036.680.5+7.481%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.120.4
56.5%
51.7%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.79.3
37.7%
37.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws23.516.8
71.5%
76.3%16.8
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.718.6
55.2%
51.7%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.79.3
42.9%
37.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws21.417.4
81.3%
76.3%17.4
They take 55.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 May 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWWWWWWWL
Fenerbahce
WWWWWWWLWW
#3
League position
#2
+7.6
Net rating
+10.8
111.4
Offensive rating
120.9
103.8
Defensive rating
110.1
56.5%
Effective FG%
58.8%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
18.1%
Turnover %
16.5%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.39
37.7%
3-point %
42.9%
64.0%
Assist %
70.3%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence111.4 · 120.9Defence103.8 · 110.1Shooting56.5% · 58.8%3-point %37.7% · 42.9%Ball care18.1% · 16.5%Off. rebounds26.9% · 30.7%Free throws0.39 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)90% · 90%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Fenerbahce
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Real Madrid wins
7
Fenerbahce wins
DateGameScore
02/03/18Real Madrid v Fenerbahce83-86
28/12/17Fenerbahce v Real Madrid77-79
19/05/17Fenerbahce v Real Madrid84-75
31/03/17Real Madrid v Fenerbahce61-56
01/12/16Fenerbahce v Real Madrid78-77
19/04/16Real Madrid v Fenerbahce63-75
14/04/16Fenerbahce v Real Madrid100-78
12/04/16Fenerbahce v Real Madrid75-69
03/12/15Real Madrid v Fenerbahce80-73
30/10/15Fenerbahce v Real Madrid77-66
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/18ACSKA Moscow92-83
12/05/18AMurcia63-61
09/05/18HReal Betis104-89
06/05/18HGipuzkoa87-75
03/05/18HBaskonia101-89
29/04/18AEstudiantes92-75
27/04/18HPanathinaikos89-82
25/04/18HPanathinaikos81-74
19/04/18APanathinaikos89-82
17/04/18APanathinaikos67-95
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/18HZalgiris Kaunas76-67
11/05/18HIstanbul BB96-73
08/05/18ASakarya BB83-79
05/05/18HBesiktas83-60
02/05/18HTofas98-78
28/04/18AUsak Sportif90-81
26/04/18ABaskonia92-83
24/04/18ABaskonia83-88
20/04/18HBaskonia95-89
18/04/18HBaskonia82-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW66%
HomeWWWWW76%
AwayLWLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %66%76%56%
Points / game85.987.484.4
Allowed / game80.377.882.7
Point differential+5.5+9.6+1.7
Avg total166.2165.1167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%53%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)25% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW71%
HomeWLWWW72%
AwayWWWLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %71%72%71%
Points / game81.481.781.1
Allowed / game75.975.476.4
Point differential+5.5+6.3+4.8
Avg total157.3157.1157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%28%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)57% (7)50% (6)
Overtime %11%11%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow3627975%88.780.7+8.0
2 Fenerbahce35251071%81.475.9+5.5
3 Real Madrid35231266%85.980.3+5.5
4 Zalgiris Kaunas36221461%81.379.9+1.4
5 Panathinaikos34201459%79.478.0+1.5
6 Olympiacos34201459%77.777.6+0.1
7 Baskonia34171750%82.980.1+2.8
8 Khimki M.34171750%78.979.4-0.5
9 Unicaja30131743%79.682.2-2.7
10 Maccabi Tel Aviv30131743%81.384.3-3.0
11 Valencia30121840%78.781.6-3.0
12 Barcelona30111937%81.980.1+1.7
13 Bamberg30111937%77.081.5-4.6
14 Crvena zvezda30111937%77.883.8-6.1
15 Olimpia Milano30102033%81.785.8-4.2
16 Anadolu Efes3072323%77.484.3-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2117252285
Fenerbahce1723152580
← all games of the day
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