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Real Madrid vs Forca Lleida Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 25 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 10:30
Scheduled
Position#1
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game109.0
Allowed / game87.7
vs
Position#17
Record1-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game92.8
Allowed / game106.8
SpainACBRound 30· Movistar Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Real Madrid v Forca Lleida
25 Apr 2027
MAD v FLL
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
MAD95
FLL78
17 Nov 2024
MAD85
FLL78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Forca Lleida win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Partizan
#12
W
86-76
86
76
+10
76avg 94
H08/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#18
W
120-83
120
83
+37
122avg 94
H11/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
98-89
98
89
+9
95avg 94
A13/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
111-92
111
92
+19
109avg 94
H15/10
Euroleague
Bilbao
#5
W
119-84
119
84
+35
120avg 94
H18/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
W
113-99
113
99
+14
108avg 94
A22/10
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#17
W
122-86
122
86
+36
131avg 94
A25/10
ACB
Baskonia
#20
W
104-86
104
86
+18
102avg 94
A27/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
95-76
95
76
+19
90avg 94
H29/10
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
90-79
90
79
+11
no box
H01/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
26-18
18-20
15-19
34-22
28-16
24-18
34-27
21-25
32-15
31-27
14-22
27-25
34-23
16-23
34-21
36-13
26-22
27-22
30-27
23-30
28-22
30-21
32-26
31-21
23-19
27-23
41-23
30-19
26-27
26-23
22-17
22-24
25-18
23-13
25-21
14-17
25-14
25-22
26-26
190.8Avg total
105.8Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)109.087.7196.7+21.3100%
Season at home (4)104.583.2187.8+21.2100%
Season away (2)118.096.5214.5+21.5100%
Last 10 (10)105.885.0190.8+20.8100%
Last 5 (5)104.885.2190.0+19.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)94.089.9183.9+4.156%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)99.089.3188.3+9.762%
This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Forca LleidaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLleida
Date
Competition
Breogan
#11
L
87-114
87
114
-27
85avg 80
A13/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
W
75-72
75
72
+3
60avg 80
H17/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
88-116
88
116
-28
78avg 80
H24/05
ACB
Murcia
#4
L
95-116
95
116
-21
86avg 80
A29/05
ACB
Valencia
#7
W
105-100
105
100
+5
105avg 80
A27/09
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
L
81-94
81
94
-13
73avg 80
H04/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
89-91
89
91
-2
80avg 80
A11/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#4
L
98-109
98
109
-11
92avg 80
A18/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
86-122
86
122
-36
66avg 80
H25/10
ACB
Murcia
#10
L
98-125
98
125
-27
no box
A31/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-35
12-28
24-25
25-26
16-9
24-15
16-22
19-26
26-31
16-31
22-29
24-25
29-23
17-35
23-28
26-30
26-20
24-33
26-19
29-28
20-19
21-20
13-17
27-38
21-22
22-27
17-20
29-22
23-22
20-38
31-24
24-25
21-31
19-23
23-27
23-41
21-34
19-26
25-25
33-40
196.1Avg total
90.2Scored
105.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)92.8106.8199.7-14.017%
Season at home (2)83.5108.0191.5-24.50%
Season away (4)97.5106.2203.8-8.825%
Last 10 (10)90.2105.9196.1-15.720%
Last 5 (5)90.4108.2198.6-17.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)87.697.3184.9-9.830%
vs Similar (10)83.289.8173.0-6.630%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +7.9+7.9Q2: -8.2-8.2Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -4.2-4.2
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +7.9+7.9Q2: -8.2-8.2Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -4.2-4.2
Real MadridForca Lleida
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#12
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H08/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#18
W
62-38
62
38
+24
H11/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A13/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
61-48
61
48
+13
H15/10
Euroleague
Bilbao
#5
W
62-35
62
35
+27
H18/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A22/10
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#17
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A25/10
ACB
Baskonia
#20
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A27/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H29/10
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H01/11
ACB
94.7Avg total
53.8Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.744.192.9+4.670%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.042.491.4+6.673%-
Last 30 away (15)48.545.994.3+2.667%-
Last 10 (10)53.840.994.7+12.990%-
Last 5 (5)49.442.291.6+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)46.146.192.2+0.056%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)49.943.393.1+6.676%-
This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Forca LleidaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Breogan
#11
L
38-63
38
63
-25
A13/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H17/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
42-62
42
62
-20
H24/05
ACB
Murcia
#4
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A29/05
ACB
Valencia
#7
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A27/09
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H04/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A11/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#4
L
43-60
43
60
-17
A18/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
40-54
40
54
-14
H25/10
ACB
Murcia
#10
L
40-60
40
60
-20
A31/10
ACB
94.5Avg total
42.3Scored
52.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.347.988.2-7.620%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.947.087.9-6.123%-
Last 30 away (17)39.848.688.4-8.818%-
Last 10 (10)42.352.294.5-9.920%-
Last 5 (5)41.452.493.8-11.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)41.149.490.5-8.220%-
vs Similar (10)38.645.083.6-6.420%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 108.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.9 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.620.3
57.0%
55.6%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.615.3
43.0%
36.2%45.9
🏀 Free throws26.621.9
82.3%
75.7%21.9
They take 71.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Forca Lleidatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forca Lleida: 89.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.324.8
57.3%
55.6%49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.0
31.7%
36.2%24.0
🏀 Free throws23.715.8
66.7%
75.7%15.8
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWWWWWWWW
Forca Lleida
LLLLLWLLWL
#1
League position
#17
+22.2
Net rating
-12.8
114.9
Offensive rating
94.7
92.7
Defensive rating
107.5
60.7%
Effective FG%
53.7%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
57.2%
13.2%
Turnover %
15.2%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.35
43.0%
3-point %
31.7%
64.9%
Assist %
56.7%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence114.9 · 94.7Defence92.7 · 107.5Shooting60.7% · 53.7%3-point %43.0% · 31.7%Ball care13.2% · 15.2%Free throws0.37 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)100% · 20%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Forca Lleida
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Real Madrid wins
0
Forca Lleida wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26HSan Pablo Burgos90-79
29/10/26HFenerbahce95-76
27/10/26ABaskonia104-86
25/10/26AForca Lleida122-86
22/10/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv113-99
18/10/26HBilbao119-84
15/10/26HLyon-Villeurbanne111-92
13/10/26AOlimpia Milano98-89
11/10/26HManresa120-83
08/10/26HPartizan86-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26AMurcia98-125
25/10/26HReal Madrid86-122
18/10/26ABasket Zaragoza98-109
11/10/26AObradoiro CAB89-91
04/10/26HSan Pablo Burgos81-94
27/09/26AValencia105-100
29/05/26AMurcia95-116
24/05/26HMoraBanc Andorra88-116
17/05/26HGran Canaria75-72
13/05/26ABreogan87-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game109.0104.5118.0
Allowed / game87.783.296.5
Point differential+21.3+21.2+21.5
Avg total196.7187.8214.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %17%0%50%
Forca Lleida
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeLL0%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %17%0%25%
Points / game92.883.597.5
Allowed / game106.8108.0106.2
Point differential-14.0-24.5-8.8
Avg total199.7191.5203.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid660100%109.087.7+21.3
2 Tenerife64267%87.879.8+8.0
3 Breogan64267%104.798.7+6.0
4 Basket Zaragoza64267%92.087.2+4.8
5 Bilbao64267%92.892.7+0.2
6 Baskonia53260%92.282.8+9.4
7 Valencia53260%96.688.8+7.8
8 Unicaja53260%88.283.0+5.2
9 Barcelona53260%98.096.2+1.8
10 Murcia63350%93.393.8-0.5
11 Obradoiro CAB63350%88.896.0-7.2
12 Basquet Girona63350%90.599.0-8.5
13 San Pablo Burgos62433%88.087.5+0.5
14 Joventut Badalona62433%91.891.5+0.3
15 Leyma Coruna62433%90.099.8-9.8
16 MoraBanc Andorra51420%85.693.6-8.0
17 Forca Lleida61517%92.8106.8-14.0
18 Manresa5050%84.6102.2-17.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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