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Real Madrid vs Forca Lleida Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 95-78
16-17 31-9 28-27 20-25
Position#2
Record19-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game82.4
Real Madrid 🏆
Spain
vs
Forca Lleida
Spain
Position#14
Record8-13
FormWLLLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game87.9
SpainACBRound 22· Movistar Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Real Madrid v Forca Lleida
25 Apr 2027
MAD v FLL
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
MAD95
FLL78
17 Nov 2024
MAD85
FLL78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Forca Lleida winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
99-78
99
78
+21
78avg 84
H01/02
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
L
81-82
81
82
-1
79avg 84
A03/02
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
L
85-93
85
93
-8
76avg 84
A05/02
Euroleague
Granada
#18
W
94-79
94
79
+15
93avg 84
H08/02
ACB
Partizan
#15
W
77-73
77
73
+4
75avg 84
A13/02
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
W
96-92
96
92
+4
94avg 84
A15/02
ACB
Bayern
#14
W
93-70
93
70
+23
100avg 84
H26/02
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
92-84
92
84
+8
87avg 84
H05/03
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#15
W
82-80
82
80
+2
76avg 84
A08/03
ACB
Valencia
#3
W
96-79
96
79
+17
97avg 84
H12/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
24-19
20-14
34-23
26-16
18-20
17-24
20-22
19-11
25-26
24-32
17-24
24-19
16-17
30-18
24-25
20-19
23-14
19-28
15-12
20-25
19-31
34-25
23-11
19-12
34-21
25-14
15-23
22-23
24-17
18-21
28-23
20-25
26-13
16-18
20-24
20-19
31-24
24-22
21-14
170.5Avg total
89.5Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)92.282.4174.7+9.890%
Season at home (10)93.079.5172.5+13.590%
Season away (11)91.585.1176.6+6.591%
Last 10 (10)89.581.0170.5+8.580%
Last 5 (5)91.881.0172.8+10.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)94.079.0173.0+15.0100%
vs Similar (6)92.287.3179.5+4.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)91.681.7173.3+10.087%
This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Forca LleidaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLleida
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#12
L
86-103
86
103
-17
80avg 72
A28/12
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
87-79
87
79
+8
73avg 72
A02/01
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#17
L
77-87
77
87
-10
73avg 72
H04/01
ACB
Tenerife
#8
W
94-87
94
87
+7
94avg 72
A10/01
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
W
68-50
68
50
+18
no box
A17/01
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
73-72
73
72
+1
70avg 72
H24/01
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
65-101
65
101
-36
54avg 72
A01/02
ACB
Manresa
#10
L
90-99
90
99
-9
78avg 72
H08/02
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
L
81-93
81
93
-12
52avg 72
H15/02
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
90-93
90
93
-3
81avg 72
A08/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-33
20-21
25-24
17-25
15-21
19-16
30-24
23-18
13-22
21-22
20-13
23-30
19-28
20-21
31-22
24-16
16-4
13-19
15-9
24-18
16-23
15-20
24-15
18-14
15-25
17-27
19-19
14-30
19-25
24-29
27-23
20-22
18-24
21-25
18-24
24-20
21-17
21-17
23-30
25-29
167.5Avg total
81.1Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)82.087.9169.8-5.938%
Season at home (11)82.888.4171.2-5.536%
Season away (10)81.087.3168.3-6.340%
Last 10 (10)81.186.4167.5-5.340%
Last 5 (5)79.891.6171.4-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)78.788.0166.7-9.332%
vs Similar (11)84.588.4172.9-3.836%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -1.0-1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -1.0-1.0
Real MadridForca Lleida
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H01/02
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A03/02
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A05/02
Euroleague
Granada
#18
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H08/02
ACB
Partizan
#15
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A13/02
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A15/02
ACB
Bayern
#14
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H26/02
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H05/03
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#15
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A08/03
ACB
Valencia
#3
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H12/03
Euroleague
84.4Avg total
45.1Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.741.786.4+3.060%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.642.490.0+5.169%-
Last 30 away (14)41.440.982.2+0.550%-
Last 10 (10)45.139.384.4+5.890%-
Last 5 (5)47.042.089.0+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.043.086.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (6)46.239.585.7+6.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)44.342.286.6+2.161%-
This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Forca LleidaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#12
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A28/12
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A02/01
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#17
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H04/01
ACB
Tenerife
#8
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A10/01
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
W
29-23
29
23
+6
A17/01
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H24/01
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A01/02
ACB
Manresa
#10
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H08/02
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H15/02
ACB
Baskonia
#3
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A08/03
ACB
80.6Avg total
36.7Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.343.081.3-4.727%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.443.181.5-4.825%-
Last 30 away (14)38.342.981.1-4.629%-
Last 10 (10)36.743.980.6-7.220%-
Last 5 (5)37.446.483.8-9.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)37.742.179.7-4.426%-
vs Similar (11)39.544.684.1-5.227%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.317.0
64.6%
50.0%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.811.3
37.9%
42.2%33.9
🏀 Free throws16.612.2
73.5%
74.7%12.2
They take 56.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Forca Lleidatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forca Lleida: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.5
53.2%
50.0%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.1
31.9%
42.2%24.3
🏀 Free throws24.518.8
76.7%
74.7%18.8
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWWWWWLLW
Forca Lleida
LLLLWWWLWL
#2
League position
#14
+5.3
Net rating
-10.2
90.3
Offensive rating
98.3
84.9
Defensive rating
108.5
60.5%
Effective FG%
50.9%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
16.2%
Turnover %
17.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.41
37.9%
3-point %
31.9%
70.7%
Assist %
65.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence90.3 · 98.3Defence84.9 · 108.5Shooting60.5% · 50.9%3-point %37.9% · 31.9%Ball care16.2% · 17.1%Off. rebounds- · 27.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Forca Lleida
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Real Madrid wins
0
Forca Lleida wins
DateGameScore
20/12/25Forca Lleida v Real Madrid81-88
09/02/25Forca Lleida v Real Madrid84-95
17/11/24Real Madrid v Forca Lleida85-78
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/26HValencia96-79
08/03/26AGran Canaria82-80
05/03/26HVirtus Bologna92-84
26/02/26HBayern93-70
15/02/26AUnicaja96-92
13/02/26APartizan77-73
08/02/26HGranada94-79
05/02/26ADubai85-93
03/02/26APanathinaikos81-82
01/02/26HBasket Zaragoza99-78
Forca Lleidalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/26ABaskonia90-93
15/02/26HBasquet Girona81-93
08/02/26HManresa90-99
01/02/26AValencia65-101
24/01/26HSan Pablo Burgos73-72
17/01/26AGran Canaria68-50
10/01/26ATenerife94-87
04/01/26HBasket Zaragoza77-87
02/01/26AMoraBanc Andorra87-79
28/12/25ABasquet Girona86-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWLWWW90%
AwayWWWWW91%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %90%90%91%
Points / game92.293.091.5
Allowed / game82.479.585.1
Point differential+9.8+13.5+6.5
Avg total174.7172.5176.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%80%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)0% (1)83% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Forca Lleida
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL38%
HomeLLWLL36%
AwayWWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %38%36%40%
Points / game82.082.881.0
Allowed / game87.988.487.3
Point differential-5.9-5.5-6.3
Avg total169.8171.2168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%9%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2119290%92.282.4+9.8
2 Valencia2216673%94.781.4+13.3
3 Barcelona2115671%89.680.0+9.7
4 Murcia2215768%88.883.4+5.4
5 Unicaja2215768%89.584.9+4.6
6 Baskonia2114767%93.188.1+5.0
7 Joventut Badalona2113862%84.980.6+4.3
8 Tenerife2213959%87.083.8+3.2
9 Bilbao23131057%85.185.8-0.7
10 Basquet Girona22111150%86.689.4-2.7
11 Manresa2191243%84.992.0-7.1
12 Forca Lleida2181338%82.087.9-5.9
13 Breogan2281436%89.693.9-4.3
14 Gran Canaria2271532%79.384.1-4.8
15 San Pablo Burgos2261627%88.692.6-4.0
16 Basket Zaragoza2261627%86.892.7-5.9
17 MoraBanc Andorra2261627%84.992.9-8.0
18 Granada211205%79.791.4-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid1631282095
Forca Lleida179272578
← all games of the day
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