PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Real Madrid vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 88-71
19-25 23-17 25-19 21-10
Position#1
Record3-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game78.7
Real Madrid 🏆
vs
Olimpia Milano
Position#12
Record1-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game69.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 4· WiZink Center
European cup2023
Meetings · Real Madrid v Olimpia Milano
06 Apr 2027
MAD v MIL
upcoming
20 Jan 2026
MAD106
MIL77
25 Mar 2025
MAD96
MIL89
19 Oct 2023
MAD88
MIL71
16 Mar 2023
MAD91
MIL87
10 Mar 2022
MAD92
MIL88
08 Jan 2021
MAD76
MIL80
20 Mar 2019
MAD92
MIL89
24 Oct 2017
MAD100
MIL90
27 Jan 2017
MAD94
MIL89
01 Nov 2013
MAD93
MIL74
27 Oct 2011
MAD85
MIL78
26 Nov 2009
MAD82
MIL69
13 Nov 2008
MAD70
MIL69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#4
W
90-80
90
80
+10
85avg 74
A16/09
Supercopa ACB
Unicaja
#2
W
88-81
88
81
+7
78avg 74
A17/09
Supercopa ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
101-70
101
70
+31
102avg 74
H24/09
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
94-88
94
88
+6
89avg 74
A29/09
ACB
Barcelona
#3
W
86-79
86
79
+7
71avg 74
H01/10
ACB
Baskonia
#9
W
79-77
79
77
+2
70avg 74
A06/10
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
93-74
93
74
+19
91avg 74
A08/10
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
103-80
103
80
+23
105avg 74
A12/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#6
W
106-92
106
92
+14
104avg 74
H15/10
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
93-79
93
79
+14
97avg 74
H17/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
20-15
25-19
23-21
21-17
23-14
17-25
27-25
33-18
24-13
26-19
18-20
22-26
21-16
30-25
21-21
14-13
23-20
22-17
27-29
19-23
24-24
19-20
17-10
23-17
22-11
33-24
15-22
26-24
29-17
25-19
23-20
15-22
27-15
39-25
25-30
25-19
28-24
19-19
21-17
173.3Avg total
93.3Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)91.778.7170.3+13.0100%
Season at home (1)93.079.0172.0+14.0100%
Season away (2)91.078.5169.5+12.5100%
Last 10 (10)93.380.0173.3+13.3100%
Last 5 (5)94.880.4175.2+14.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)85.985.7171.6+0.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)90.777.8168.5+12.895%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
89-93 OT
89
93
-4
no box
A16/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
79-72
79
72
+7
78avg 76
H19/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
66-85
66
85
-19
56avg 76
A21/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
67-55
67
55
+12
63avg 76
H23/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
73-78
73
78
-5
70avg 76
H23/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Treviso
#13
W
86-80
86
80
+6
78avg 76
H01/10
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#7
L
82-85 OT
82
85
-3
79avg 76
A06/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#7
L
68-77
68
77
-9
61avg 76
A08/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
79-68
79
68
+11
86avg 76
H14/10
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
W
65-53
65
53
+12
61avg 76
H17/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-24
17-16
16-20
29-16
26-24
16-13
17-17
20-18
27-23
16-26
16-18
7-18
21-9
17-20
10-5
19-21
12-14
20-20
21-25
20-19
17-24
21-16
24-21
24-19
23-19
12-19
19-24
22-14
13-23
22-12
12-23
21-19
9-18
25-9
26-18
19-23
19-17
12-15
13-9
21-12
150.0Avg total
75.4Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)73.569.0142.5+4.550%
Season at home (1)65.053.0118.0+12.0100%
Season away (1)82.085.0167.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)75.474.6150.0+0.850%
Last 5 (5)76.072.6148.6+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)75.080.5155.5-5.550%
vs Similar (10)76.475.9152.3+0.550%
vs Weaker (17)85.472.3157.7+13.182%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +7.2+7.2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +2.3+2.3
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +7.2+7.2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +2.3+2.3
Real MadridOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A16/09
Supercopa ACB
Unicaja
#2
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A17/09
Supercopa ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
57-31
57
31
+26
H24/09
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A29/09
ACB
Barcelona
#3
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H01/10
ACB
Baskonia
#9
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A06/10
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A08/10
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A12/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H15/10
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H17/10
Euroleague
83.4Avg total
46.1Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.540.083.5+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.639.982.5+2.754%-
Last 30 away (17)44.240.084.2+4.271%-
Last 10 (10)46.137.383.4+8.890%-
Last 5 (5)47.639.286.8+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)42.845.988.7-3.140%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)44.036.880.8+7.274%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A16/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H19/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A21/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H23/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H23/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Treviso
#13
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H01/10
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#7
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A06/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#7
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A08/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H14/10
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H17/10
Euroleague
72.0Avg total
35.9Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.735.875.5+3.957%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.833.673.3+6.267%-
Last 30 away (12)39.639.278.8+0.442%-
Last 10 (10)35.936.172.0-0.230%-
Last 5 (5)34.634.469.0+0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)37.544.582.0-7.050%-
vs Similar (10)37.037.774.7-0.740%-
vs Weaker (17)42.033.875.8+8.271%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 92.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.721.5
60.2%
53.4%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.410.7
37.7%
36.6%32.1
🏀 Free throws21.817.0
78.0%
77.4%17.0
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 71.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.217.0
54.5%
53.4%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.3
31.7%
36.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws16.712.9
77.2%
77.4%12.9
They take 57.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWWWWWWWW
Olimpia Milano
WWLLWLWLWL
#1
League position
#12
+16.7
Net rating
+1.1
119.3
Offensive rating
102.7
102.6
Defensive rating
101.6
58.6%
Effective FG%
51.3%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
16.0%
Turnover %
20.5%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.29
37.7%
3-point %
31.7%
64.6%
Assist %
66.8%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence119.3 · 102.7Defence102.6 · 101.6Shooting58.6% · 51.3%3-point %37.7% · 31.7%Ball care16.0% · 20.5%Off. rebounds27.0% · 28.1%Free throws0.34 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)100% · 50%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Real Madrid wins
2
Olimpia Milano wins
DateGameScore
16/03/23Real Madrid v Olimpia Milano91-87
03/11/22Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid77-83
10/03/22Real Madrid v Olimpia Milano92-88 OT
16/12/21Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid73-75
08/01/21Real Madrid v Olimpia Milano76-80
16/10/20Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid78-70
20/03/19Real Madrid v Olimpia Milano92-89
17/10/18Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid85-91
13/03/18Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid77-88
24/10/17Real Madrid v Olimpia Milano100-90
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/23HZalgiris Kaunas93-79
15/10/23HMurcia106-92
12/10/23AAnadolu Efes103-80
08/10/23ABasquet Girona93-74
06/10/23ABaskonia79-77
01/10/23HBarcelona86-79
29/09/23AManresa94-88
24/09/23HBasket Zaragoza101-70
17/09/23AUnicaja88-81
16/09/23ABarcelona90-80
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/23HOlympiacos65-53
14/10/23HReggiana79-68
08/10/23ABasket Napoli68-77
06/10/23AFenerbahce82-85 OT
01/10/23HTreviso86-80
23/09/23HVirtus Bologna73-78
23/06/23HVirtus Bologna67-55
21/06/23AVirtus Bologna66-85
19/06/23HVirtus Bologna79-72
16/06/23AVirtus Bologna89-93 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.793.091.0
Allowed / game78.779.078.5
Point differential+13.0+14.0+12.5
Avg total170.3172.0169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game73.565.082.0
Allowed / game69.053.085.0
Point differential+4.5+12.0-3.0
Avg total142.5118.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %50%0%100%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid330100%91.778.7+13.0
2 Barcelona330100%86.775.0+11.7
3 Valencia330100%74.068.3+5.7
4 Fenerbahce43175%85.878.5+7.2
5 Zalgiris Kaunas43175%84.882.0+2.8
6 Virtus Bologna32167%83.072.3+10.7
7 Bayern32167%75.771.3+4.3
8 Olimpia Milano21150%73.569.0+4.5
9 Maccabi Tel Aviv21150%81.078.0+3.0
10 Olympiacos42250%76.878.5-1.8
11 Crvena zvezda31233%81.378.0+3.3
12 Panathinaikos31233%75.080.7-5.7
13 Monaco31233%68.776.3-7.7
14 Anadolu Efes31233%81.092.7-11.7
15 Partizan41325%86.587.0-0.5
16 Baskonia41325%79.585.0-5.5
17 Alba Berlin3030%76.786.0-9.3
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne4040%76.293.0-16.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid1923252188
Olimpia Milano2517191071
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.