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Real Madrid vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 93-79
25-19 28-24 19-19 21-17
Position#1
Record2-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game78.5
vs
Position#13
Record2-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game76.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 3· WiZink Center
European cup2023
Meetings · Real Madrid v Zalgiris Kaunas
25 Nov 2026
MAD v ZAL
upcoming
20 Nov 2025
MAD100
ZAL99
12 Dec 2024
MAD83
ZAL92
17 Oct 2023
MAD93
ZAL79
23 Feb 2023
MAD96
ZAL69
12 Nov 2021
MAD95
ZAL82
25 Feb 2021
MAD70
ZAL58
04 Apr 2019
MAD86
ZAL93
22 Mar 2018
MAD88
ZAL81
08 Dec 2016
MAD96
ZAL91
15 Jan 2016
MAD92
ZAL86
10 Apr 2015
MAD99
ZAL83
17 Oct 2014
MAD80
ZAL71
21 Feb 2014
MAD108
ZAL72
22 Nov 2013
MAD95
ZAL67
11 Jan 2013
MAD75
ZAL74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#1
L
82-93
82
93
-11
75avg 74
H20/06
ACB
Barcelona
#4
W
90-80
90
80
+10
85avg 74
A16/09
Supercopa ACB
Unicaja
#2
W
88-81
88
81
+7
78avg 74
A17/09
Supercopa ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
101-70
101
70
+31
102avg 74
H24/09
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
94-88
94
88
+6
89avg 74
A29/09
ACB
Barcelona
#3
W
86-79
86
79
+7
71avg 74
H01/10
ACB
Baskonia
#9
W
79-77
79
77
+2
70avg 74
A06/10
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
93-74
93
74
+19
91avg 74
A08/10
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
103-80
103
80
+23
105avg 74
A12/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#6
W
106-92
106
92
+14
104avg 74
H15/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
20-18
25-29
16-26
22-25
20-15
25-19
23-21
21-17
23-14
17-25
27-25
33-18
24-13
26-19
18-20
22-26
21-16
30-25
21-21
14-13
23-20
22-17
27-29
19-23
24-24
19-20
17-10
23-17
22-11
33-24
15-22
26-24
29-17
25-19
23-20
15-22
27-15
39-25
25-30
173.6Avg total
92.2Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)91.078.5169.5+12.5100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)91.078.5169.5+12.5100%
Last 10 (10)92.281.4173.6+10.890%
Last 5 (5)93.480.4173.8+13.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)86.086.0172.0+0.055%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)90.677.8168.3+12.894%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
95-80
95
80
+15
89avg 77
H06/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
68-69
68
69
-1
53avg 77
A08/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
97-87
97
87
+10
89avg 77
H10/06
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
107-55
107
55
+52
108avg 77
A17/09
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
79-69
79
69
+10
74avg 77
A28/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
78-68
78
68
+10
80avg 77
H01/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
82-79
82
79
+3
73avg 77
A05/10
Euroleague
Mazeikiai
#7
W
73-69
73
69
+4
58avg 77
A09/10
LKL
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
79-74
79
74
+5
74avg 77
H13/10
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
86-69
86
69
+17
89avg 77
H15/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
20-20
27-16
21-22
23-14
17-18
10-13
18-24
23-24
23-21
24-24
27-18
34-16
21-7
25-14
27-18
15-17
26-19
25-14
13-19
23-23
15-22
15-16
25-7
15-23
22-19
21-23
24-14
15-16
20-27
10-14
28-12
19-21
16-17
15-18
29-18
27-10
20-15
22-20
17-24
156.3Avg total
84.4Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)80.576.5157.0+4.0100%
Season at home (1)79.074.0153.0+5.0100%
Season away (1)82.079.0161.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.471.9156.3+12.590%
Last 5 (5)79.671.8151.4+7.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)72.085.7157.7-13.70%
vs Similar (3)81.377.7159.0+3.7100%
vs Weaker (24)85.274.2159.4+11.083%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +7.0+7.0Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +5.3+5.3
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +7.0+7.0Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +5.3+5.3
Real MadridZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#1
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H20/06
ACB
Barcelona
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A16/09
Supercopa ACB
Unicaja
#2
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A17/09
Supercopa ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
57-31
57
31
+26
H24/09
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A29/09
ACB
Barcelona
#3
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H01/10
ACB
Baskonia
#9
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A06/10
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A08/10
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A12/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H15/10
ACB
81.7Avg total
44.9Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.240.183.4+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.940.382.2+1.646%-
Last 30 away (17)44.240.084.2+4.271%-
Last 10 (10)44.936.881.7+8.190%-
Last 5 (5)44.437.281.6+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)42.946.189.0-3.236%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)43.536.580.0+7.072%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H06/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A08/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H10/06
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
55-23
55
23
+32
A17/09
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A28/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H01/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A05/10
Euroleague
Mazeikiai
#7
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A09/10
LKL
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H13/10
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H15/10
LKL
79.2Avg total
42.1Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.938.280.1+3.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.938.580.3+3.460%-
Last 30 away (15)41.937.979.9+4.053%-
Last 10 (10)42.137.179.2+5.060%-
Last 5 (5)38.438.677.0-0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)33.740.774.3-7.00%-
vs Similar (3)35.339.374.7-4.00%-
vs Weaker (24)43.837.881.5+6.071%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 91.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.021.8
60.6%
53.4%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.010.0
35.7%
36.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws22.517.4
77.3%
77.4%17.4
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.719.5
56.2%
53.4%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.6
36.6%
36.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws21.916.0
73.1%
77.4%16.0
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWWWWWWWL
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWWWWWLW
#1
League position
#13
+13.6
Net rating
+17.6
118.8
Offensive rating
114.5
105.3
Defensive rating
96.9
57.5%
Effective FG%
55.7%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
46.6%
15.5%
Turnover %
17.2%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.36
35.7%
3-point %
36.6%
62.6%
Assist %
55.7%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence118.8 · 114.5Defence105.3 · 96.9Shooting57.5% · 55.7%3-point %35.7% · 36.6%Ball care15.5% · 17.2%Off. rebounds27.7% · 30.3%Free throws0.35 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)90% · 90%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Real Madrid wins
3
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/23HMurcia106-92
12/10/23AAnadolu Efes103-80
08/10/23ABasquet Girona93-74
06/10/23ABaskonia79-77
01/10/23HBarcelona86-79
29/09/23AManresa94-88
24/09/23HBasket Zaragoza101-70
17/09/23AUnicaja88-81
16/09/23ABarcelona90-80
20/06/23HBarcelona82-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/23HJonava86-69
13/10/23HCrvena zvezda79-74
09/10/23AMazeikiai73-69
05/10/23AVirtus Bologna82-79
01/10/23HPieno Zvaigzdes78-68
28/09/23AJuventus79-69
17/09/23AGargzdai107-55
10/06/23HRytas97-87
08/06/23ARytas68-69
06/06/23HRytas95-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
Home--
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %100%-100%
Points / game91.0-91.0
Allowed / game78.5-78.5
Point differential+12.5-+12.5
Avg total169.5-169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%-50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game80.579.082.0
Allowed / game76.574.079.0
Point differential+4.0+5.0+3.0
Avg total157.0153.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Maccabi Tel Aviv110100%96.081.0+15.0
2 Real Madrid220100%91.078.5+12.5
3 Barcelona330100%86.775.0+11.7
4 Valencia220100%73.569.5+4.0
5 Zalgiris Kaunas220100%80.576.5+4.0
6 Fenerbahce32167%80.776.0+4.7
7 Bayern32167%75.771.3+4.3
8 Virtus Bologna21150%81.070.5+10.5
9 Crvena zvezda21150%84.076.0+8.0
10 Olympiacos21150%78.077.5+0.5
11 Partizan31233%84.083.3+0.7
12 Baskonia31233%78.780.3-1.7
13 Panathinaikos31233%75.080.7-5.7
14 Anadolu Efes31233%81.092.7-11.7
15 Olimpia Milano1010%82.085.0-3.0
16 Alba Berlin2020%77.085.5-8.5
17 Monaco2020%62.076.5-14.5
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne3030%73.090.3-17.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2528192193
Zalgiris Kaunas1924191779
← all games of the day
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