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Ryukyu vs Nagasaki Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 13 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 10:00
Scheduled
Position#12
Record7-6
FormWLWWL
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Position#15
Record6-8
FormLWWWL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game80.3
JapanB League· Okinawa Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Ryukyu v Nagasaki
14 Mar 2027
RYUK v NAGA
upcoming
13 Mar 2027
RYUK v NAGA
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
RYUK58
NAGA68
14 Mar 2026
RYUK95
NAGA81
20 Apr 2025
RYUK87
NAGA66
19 Apr 2025
RYUK90
NAGA80
21 Apr 2024
RYUK84
NAGA91
20 Apr 2024
RYUK98
NAGA67
20 Dec 2023
RYUK74
NAGA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ryukyu win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RyukyuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRyukyu
Date
Competition
Gunma
#7
L
65-76
65
76
-11
60avg 78
H08/10
B League
Shimane
#20
W
90-69
90
69
+21
90avg 78
H10/10
B League
Yokohama
#13
L
85-87
85
87
-2
74avg 78
A16/10
B League
Shiga
#16
W
99-67
99
67
+32
108avg 78
H19/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#19
W
94-65
94
65
+29
96avg 78
H21/10
B League
Gunma
#7
W
93-85
93
85
+8
91avg 78
H23/10
B League
Nagasaki
#15
L
84-101
84
101
-17
80avg 78
A26/10
B League
Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
#9
W
103-97
103
97
+6
no box
A28/10
EASL
NeoPhoenix
#5
W
86-80
86
80
+6
77avg 78
H31/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#5
L
86-96
86
96
-10
no box
H01/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-13
16-18
12-22
22-23
18-15
30-17
27-16
15-21
21-19
18-27
23-14
23-27
28-22
31-17
19-21
21-7
33-21
18-16
24-13
19-15
11-22
33-18
23-25
26-20
15-24
20-26
22-28
27-23
28-21
25-24
23-27
27-25
22-28
19-18
20-18
25-16
23-24
25-24
15-29
23-19
170.8Avg total
88.5Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)85.182.2167.3+2.854%
Season at home (7)87.676.9164.4+10.771%
Season away (6)82.288.5170.7-6.333%
Last 10 (10)88.582.3170.8+6.260%
Last 5 (5)90.491.8182.2-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)73.075.1148.1-2.143%
vs Similar (9)84.276.9161.1+7.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)88.280.0168.2+8.269%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Kobe
#24
W
85-69
85
69
+16
88avg 78
H12/10
B League
KCC Egis
#2
L
83-98
83
98
-15
no box
H14/10
EASL
Tokyo Sunrockers
#9
L
63-95
63
95
-32
44avg 78
A17/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#19
L
65-82
65
82
-17
53avg 78
H19/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
84-66
84
66
+18
79avg 78
A21/10
B League
Shiga
#16
L
85-89
85
89
-4
83avg 78
A23/10
B League
Ryukyu
#12
W
101-84
101
84
+17
100avg 78
H26/10
B League
Macau Hou Chon
#11
W
97-76
97
76
+21
no box
A28/10
EASL
Kobe
#24
W
81-71
81
71
+10
80avg 78
A31/10
B League
Kobe
#24
L
87-90
87
90
-3
no box
A01/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-13
20-13
23-26
23-17
16-26
27-17
27-28
13-27
20-30
15-22
17-18
11-25
17-15
16-27
21-18
11-22
24-20
24-15
17-17
19-14
14-21
29-16
9-27
33-25
24-15
26-20
28-22
23-27
30-21
25-25
14-15
28-15
11-19
22-19
25-19
23-14
17-24
22-17
34-22
14-27
165.1Avg total
83.1Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)77.080.3157.3-3.343%
Season at home (7)76.777.0153.7-0.357%
Season away (7)77.383.6160.9-6.329%
Last 10 (10)83.182.0165.1+1.150%
Last 5 (5)90.282.0172.2+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)75.082.4157.4-7.440%
vs Similar (8)77.480.8158.1-3.438%
vs Weaker (16)88.075.2163.2+12.888%
This opponent (Ryukyu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -1.5-1.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -1.5-1.5
RyukyuNagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RyukyuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gunma
#7
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H08/10
B League
Shimane
#20
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H10/10
B League
Yokohama
#13
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A16/10
B League
Shiga
#16
W
59-39
59
39
+20
H19/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#19
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H21/10
B League
Gunma
#7
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H23/10
B League
Nagasaki
#15
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A26/10
B League
Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
#9
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A28/10
EASL
NeoPhoenix
#5
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H31/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#5
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H01/11
B League
86.3Avg total
44.9Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.439.381.7+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.138.583.6+6.664%-
Last 30 away (16)40.140.080.1+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)44.941.486.3+3.550%-
Last 5 (5)44.245.890.0-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.937.074.9+0.957%-
vs Similar (9)42.939.882.7+3.144%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)43.839.883.5+4.062%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kobe
#24
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H12/10
B League
KCC Egis
#2
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H14/10
EASL
Tokyo Sunrockers
#9
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A17/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#19
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H19/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A21/10
B League
Shiga
#16
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A23/10
B League
Ryukyu
#12
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H26/10
B League
Macau Hou Chon
#11
W
55-46
55
46
+9
A28/10
EASL
Kobe
#24
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A31/10
B League
Kobe
#24
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A01/11
B League
81.3Avg total
41.8Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.238.779.9+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.138.179.2+2.956%-
Last 30 away (12)41.439.781.1+1.858%-
Last 10 (10)41.839.581.3+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)44.039.483.4+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)36.637.874.4-1.260%-
vs Similar (8)37.639.477.0-1.838%-
vs Weaker (16)44.338.482.8+5.969%-
This opponent (Ryukyu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ryukyutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ryukyu: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.8 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.1
51.9%
53.7%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.910.0
33.4%
32.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws22.617.6
77.9%
73.7%17.6
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.8 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.117.9
52.5%
53.7%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.3
36.1%
32.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws14.010.4
74.3%
73.7%10.4
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ryukyu
LWWLWWWLWL
Nagasaki
LWWWLWLLLW
#12
League position
#15
+4.9
Net rating
-0.4
97.5
Offensive rating
91.1
92.6
Defensive rating
91.4
51.1%
Effective FG%
53.3%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
14.1%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.22
33.4%
3-point %
36.1%
73.9%
Assist %
66.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence97.5 · 91.1Defence92.6 · 91.4Shooting51.1% · 53.3%3-point %33.4% · 36.1%Ball care14.1% · 16.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Ryukyu   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Ryukyu wins
5
Nagasaki wins
DateGameScore
26/10/26Nagasaki v Ryukyu101-84
26/05/26Nagasaki v Ryukyu72-64
24/05/26Nagasaki v Ryukyu66-60
23/05/26Nagasaki v Ryukyu69-71
15/03/26Ryukyu v Nagasaki58-68
14/03/26Ryukyu v Nagasaki95-81
20/04/25Ryukyu v Nagasaki87-66
19/04/25Ryukyu v Nagasaki90-80
02/03/25Nagasaki v Ryukyu89-85
01/03/25Nagasaki v Ryukyu74-93
Ryukyulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26HNeoPhoenix86-96
31/10/26HNeoPhoenix86-80
28/10/26ATaoyuan Pauian Pilots103-97
26/10/26ANagasaki84-101
23/10/26HGunma93-85
21/10/26HAltiri Chiba94-65
19/10/26HShiga99-67
16/10/26AYokohama85-87
10/10/26HShimane90-69
08/10/26HGunma65-76
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26AKobe87-90
31/10/26AKobe81-71
28/10/26AMacau Hou Chon97-76
26/10/26HRyukyu101-84
23/10/26AShiga85-89
21/10/26ASaga84-66
19/10/26HAltiri Chiba65-82
17/10/26ATokyo Sunrockers63-95
14/10/26HKCC Egis83-98
12/10/26HKobe85-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ryukyu
B League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL54%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %54%71%33%
Points / game85.187.682.2
Allowed / game82.276.988.5
Point differential+2.8+10.7-6.3
Avg total167.3164.4170.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%43%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nagasaki
B League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL43%
HomeWWWLW57%
AwayLWLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%57%29%
Points / game77.076.777.3
Allowed / game80.377.083.6
Point differential-3.3-0.3-6.3
Avg total157.3153.7160.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%43%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins10100100%92.573.6+18.9
2 Hiroshima D.1312192%91.279.6+11.5
3 SeaHorses Mikawa108280%90.578.2+12.3
4 Alvark1411379%95.483.1+12.3
5 NeoPhoenix97278%87.380.7+6.7
6 Sendai1410471%85.680.0+5.6
7 Gunma139469%81.872.8+8.9
8 Kyoto128467%84.676.8+7.8
9 Tokyo Sunrockers149564%89.479.3+10.1
10 Toyama138562%83.785.7-2.0
11 Levanga Hokkaido127558%95.294.0+1.2
12 Ryukyu137654%85.182.2+2.8
13 Yokohama147750%79.183.1-4.1
14 Ibaraki Robots146843%83.679.6+4.0
15 Nagasaki146843%77.080.3-3.3
16 Shiga125742%85.589.3-3.8
17 Utsunomiya Brex135838%81.285.2-4.0
18 Shinshu145936%83.285.9-2.7
19 Altiri Chiba145936%80.186.2-6.1
20 Shimane124833%81.282.8-1.6
21 Brave Thunders134931%79.384.2-4.8
22 Chiba134931%90.597.0-6.5
23 Akita134931%78.986.7-7.8
24 Kobe1331023%78.986.1-7.2
25 Saga131128%76.394.0-17.7
26 Osaka131128%67.890.2-22.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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