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Ryukyu vs Nagasaki Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 13 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 10:00
Scheduled
Position#13
Record8-8
FormLLLLW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.9/10
Around normal
6.1/10
Above normal
Position#21
Record6-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game82.2
JapanB League· Okinawa Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Ryukyu v Nagasaki
14 Mar 2027
RYUK v NAGA
upcoming
13 Mar 2027
RYUK v NAGA
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
RYUK58
NAGA68
14 Mar 2026
RYUK95
NAGA81
20 Apr 2025
RYUK87
NAGA66
19 Apr 2025
RYUK90
NAGA80
21 Apr 2024
RYUK84
NAGA91
20 Apr 2024
RYUK98
NAGA67
20 Dec 2023
RYUK74
NAGA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ryukyu win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RyukyuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRyukyu
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#19
W
94-65
94
65
+29
96avg 79
H21/10
B League
Gunma
#6
W
93-85
93
85
+8
91avg 79
H23/10
B League
Nagasaki
#21
L
84-101
84
101
-17
80avg 79
A26/10
B League
Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
#10
W
103-97
103
97
+6
no box
A28/10
EASL
NeoPhoenix
#7
W
86-80
86
80
+6
77avg 79
H31/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#7
L
86-96
86
96
-10
79avg 79
H01/11
B League
Hong Kong Eastern
#7
L
96-104
96
104
-8
no box
H04/11
EASL
Utsunomiya Brex
#17
L
76-79 OT
76
79
-3
no box
A07/11
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#12
L
72-80
72
80
-8
no box
A09/11
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
W
81-78
81
78
+3
no box
H12/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-21
18-16
24-13
19-15
11-22
33-18
23-25
26-20
15-24
20-26
22-28
27-23
28-21
25-24
23-27
27-25
22-28
19-18
20-18
25-16
23-24
25-24
15-29
23-19
19-23
25-35
22-28
30-18
11-11
15-7
9-26
21-12
20-23
19-21
11-14
22-22
24-28
11-16
23-14
23-20
173.6Avg total
87.1Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)83.481.6165.1+1.850%
Season at home (8)86.877.0163.8+9.875%
Season away (8)80.186.2166.4-6.125%
Last 10 (10)87.186.5173.6+0.650%
Last 5 (5)82.287.4169.6-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.478.0154.4-1.650%
vs Similar (9)85.376.6161.9+8.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)87.282.4169.6+4.860%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Saga
#25
W
84-66
84
66
+18
79avg 78
A21/10
B League
Shiga
#16
L
85-89
85
89
-4
83avg 78
A23/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
W
101-84
101
84
+17
100avg 78
H26/10
B League
Macau Hou Chon
#11
W
97-76
97
76
+21
no box
A28/10
EASL
Kobe
#24
W
81-71
81
71
+10
80avg 78
A31/10
B League
Kobe
#24
L
87-90
87
90
-3
86avg 78
A01/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
73-80
73
80
-7
no box
A06/11
B League
Sendai
#5
L
87-107
87
107
-20
no box
H09/11
B League
Alvark
#4
L
73-82
73
82
-9
no box
A11/11
B League
Chiba
#14
L
80-86
80
86
-6
no box
A14/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
24-15
17-17
19-14
14-21
29-16
9-27
33-25
24-15
26-20
28-22
23-27
30-21
25-25
14-15
28-15
11-19
22-19
25-19
23-14
17-24
22-17
34-22
14-27
18-20
23-16
18-21
14-23
33-28
26-30
14-28
14-21
24-22
16-11
20-23
13-26
16-24
21-23
21-22
22-17
167.9Avg total
84.8Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)77.382.2159.4-4.933%
Season at home (8)78.080.8158.8-2.850%
Season away (10)76.783.3160.0-6.620%
Last 10 (10)84.883.1167.9+1.740%
Last 5 (5)80.089.0169.0-9.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)75.786.6162.4-10.918%
vs Similar (7)79.679.7159.3-0.143%
vs Weaker (12)85.073.8158.8+11.283%
This opponent (Ryukyu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +5.3+5.3Q4: -0.6-0.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +5.3+5.3Q4: -0.6-0.6
RyukyuNagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RyukyuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#19
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H21/10
B League
Gunma
#6
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H23/10
B League
Nagasaki
#21
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A26/10
B League
Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
#10
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A28/10
EASL
NeoPhoenix
#7
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H31/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#7
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H01/11
B League
Hong Kong Eastern
#7
L
44-58
44
58
-14
H04/11
EASL
Utsunomiya Brex
#17
W
26-18
26
18
+8
A07/11
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#12
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A09/11
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H12/11
B League
84.6Avg total
41.6Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.240.181.3+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.541.285.6+3.354%-
Last 30 away (17)38.839.378.1-0.547%-
Last 10 (10)41.643.084.6-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)38.442.480.8-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.939.778.6-0.840%-
vs Similar (9)42.340.482.8+1.944%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)41.439.781.1+1.760%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saga
#25
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A21/10
B League
Shiga
#16
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A23/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H26/10
B League
Macau Hou Chon
#11
W
55-46
55
46
+9
A28/10
EASL
Kobe
#24
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A31/10
B League
Kobe
#24
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A01/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A06/11
B League
Sendai
#5
W
59-58
59
58
+1
H09/11
B League
Alvark
#4
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A11/11
B League
Chiba
#14
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A14/11
B League
85.1Avg total
44.5Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.739.380.0+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.339.680.9+1.756%-
Last 30 away (12)39.838.878.6+0.958%-
Last 10 (10)44.540.685.1+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)43.243.086.2+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)40.540.480.8+0.164%-
vs Similar (7)37.039.676.6-2.629%-
vs Weaker (12)43.038.281.2+4.867%-
This opponent (Ryukyu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ryukyutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ryukyu: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.719.0
51.8%
53.6%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.89.9
33.2%
32.9%29.7
🏀 Free throws21.717.3
79.7%
73.8%17.3
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.9
54.3%
53.6%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.3
35.8%
32.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws14.110.8
76.6%
73.8%10.8
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ryukyu
WLLLLWWLWW
Nagasaki
LLLLLWWWLW
#13
League position
#21
+3.0
Net rating
+2.1
97.2
Offensive rating
93.2
94.2
Defensive rating
91.1
50.9%
Effective FG%
54.0%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
14.6%
Turnover %
15.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.22
33.2%
3-point %
35.8%
73.7%
Assist %
65.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence97.2 · 93.2Defence94.2 · 91.1Shooting50.9% · 54.0%3-point %33.2% · 35.8%Ball care14.6% · 15.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Ryukyu   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Ryukyu wins
5
Nagasaki wins
DateGameScore
26/10/26Nagasaki v Ryukyu101-84
26/05/26Nagasaki v Ryukyu72-64
24/05/26Nagasaki v Ryukyu66-60
23/05/26Nagasaki v Ryukyu69-71
15/03/26Ryukyu v Nagasaki58-68
14/03/26Ryukyu v Nagasaki95-81
20/04/25Ryukyu v Nagasaki87-66
19/04/25Ryukyu v Nagasaki90-80
02/03/25Nagasaki v Ryukyu89-85
01/03/25Nagasaki v Ryukyu74-93
Ryukyulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HTokyo Sunrockers81-78
09/11/26AIbaraki Robots72-80
07/11/26AUtsunomiya Brex76-79 OT
04/11/26HHong Kong Eastern96-104
01/11/26HNeoPhoenix86-96
31/10/26HNeoPhoenix86-80
28/10/26ATaoyuan Pauian Pilots103-97
26/10/26ANagasaki84-101
23/10/26HGunma93-85
21/10/26HAltiri Chiba94-65
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AChiba80-86
11/11/26AAlvark73-82
09/11/26HSendai87-107
06/11/26AHiroshima D.73-80
01/11/26AKobe87-90
31/10/26AKobe81-71
28/10/26AMacau Hou Chon97-76
26/10/26HRyukyu101-84
23/10/26AShiga85-89
21/10/26ASaga84-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ryukyu
B League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWWWLW75%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game83.486.880.1
Allowed / game81.677.086.2
Point differential+1.8+9.8-6.1
Avg total165.1163.8166.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%38%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Nagasaki
B League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %33%50%20%
Points / game77.378.076.7
Allowed / game82.280.883.3
Point differential-4.9-2.8-6.6
Avg total159.4158.8160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%38%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %6%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins1412286%91.278.7+12.5
2 Hiroshima D.1613381%89.982.1+7.9
3 SeaHorses Mikawa1411379%91.979.9+11.9
4 Alvark1814478%92.982.3+10.6
5 Sendai1814478%88.680.2+8.4
6 Gunma1612475%82.873.8+9.1
7 NeoPhoenix129375%87.481.6+5.8
8 Tokyo Sunrockers1812667%90.879.9+10.9
9 Levanga Hokkaido1711665%97.393.2+4.1
10 Kyoto169756%84.379.2+5.1
11 Toyama179853%82.688.4-5.8
12 Ibaraki Robots189950%83.779.8+3.9
13 Ryukyu168850%83.481.6+1.8
14 Chiba189950%92.295.1-2.9
15 Shimane167944%83.581.1+2.4
16 Shiga167944%86.488.8-2.4
17 Utsunomiya Brex167944%81.183.6-2.4
18 Yokohama1771041%78.383.8-5.5
19 Altiri Chiba1871139%79.884.7-4.8
20 Shinshu1761135%83.986.8-2.9
21 Nagasaki1861233%77.382.2-4.9
22 Brave Thunders1751229%79.283.9-4.8
23 Akita1851328%83.390.7-7.4
24 Kobe1641225%79.987.3-7.4
25 Saga161156%77.395.6-18.3
26 Osaka171166%70.490.4-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.
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