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Ryukyu vs Saga Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 May 2025
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 85-76
14-23 21-18 18-20 32-15
Position#3
Record45-14
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game76.4
Ryukyu 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#18
Record22-37
FormLWWWL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game79.0
JapanB League· Okinawa Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Ryukyu v Saga
25 Apr 2027
RYUK v SAGA
upcoming
23 Apr 2027
RYUK v SAGA
upcoming
26 Apr 2026
RYUK96
SAGA91
25 Apr 2026
RYUK92
SAGA78
04 May 2025
RYUK85
SAGA76
03 May 2025
RYUK87
SAGA71
17 Apr 2024
RYUK101
SAGA97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ryukyu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RyukyuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRyukyu
Date
Competition
Shiga
#24
W
104-73
104
73
+31
113avg 78
H09/04
B League
Sendai
#23
W
96-61
96
61
+35
94avg 78
H12/04
B League
Sendai
#23
W
77-70
77
70
+7
73avg 78
H13/04
B League
Osaka
#13
W
98-81
98
81
+17
102avg 78
A16/04
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
90-80
90
80
+10
85avg 78
H19/04
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
87-66
87
66
+21
85avg 78
H20/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
103-83
103
83
+20
105avg 78
H23/04
B League
Shimane
#8
W
97-82
97
82
+15
88avg 78
A26/04
B League
Shimane
#8
L
68-77
68
77
-9
50avg 78
A27/04
B League
Saga
#18
W
87-71
87
71
+16
89avg 78
H03/05
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-22
29-17
24-18
22-16
23-19
20-15
27-10
26-17
23-13
18-19
14-18
22-20
23-27
22-16
28-16
25-22
27-20
21-20
22-16
20-24
16-24
26-13
23-16
22-13
25-14
21-23
32-21
25-25
32-22
22-21
22-19
21-20
19-25
15-20
10-15
24-17
27-21
25-20
13-14
22-16
165.1Avg total
90.7Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (59)85.576.4161.8+9.176%
Season at home (29)86.475.1161.5+11.379%
Season away (30)84.677.6162.2+7.073%
Last 10 (10)90.774.4165.1+16.390%
Last 5 (5)88.475.8164.2+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.077.5149.5-5.50%
vs Similar (7)81.772.6154.3+9.186%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)89.078.1167.1+10.976%
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Osaka
#13
L
81-85
81
85
-4
65avg 68
H09/04
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
78-98
78
98
-20
70avg 68
H12/04
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
89-73
89
73
+16
88avg 68
H13/04
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
74-85
74
85
-11
68avg 68
A16/04
B League
Shimane
#8
W
80-61
80
61
+19
81avg 68
H18/04
B League
Shimane
#8
L
66-82
66
82
-16
55avg 68
H19/04
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
78-68
78
68
+10
69avg 68
A23/04
B League
Osaka
#13
W
90-79
90
79
+11
92avg 68
H26/04
B League
Osaka
#13
W
106-82
106
82
+24
109avg 68
H27/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
71-87
71
87
-16
56avg 68
A03/05
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
22-20
22-25
12-16
22-24
16-28
27-31
13-15
22-19
24-18
19-20
24-16
18-21
15-22
15-19
26-23
18-10
25-21
17-15
20-15
22-17
22-19
11-20
11-26
13-16
21-24
20-14
24-14
15-14
30-15
30-23
15-27
28-26
25-28
19-9
34-19
21-27
20-25
14-13
16-22
161.3Avg total
81.3Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (59)76.579.0155.5-2.537%
Season at home (30)79.481.2160.6-1.830%
Season away (29)73.576.7150.2-3.245%
Last 10 (10)81.380.0161.3+1.350%
Last 5 (5)82.279.6161.8+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)73.782.5156.3-8.820%
vs Similar (11)83.583.5167.0+0.145%
vs Weaker (4)84.573.2157.8+11.2100%
This opponent (Ryukyu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: +0.2+0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: +0.2+0.2
RyukyuSaga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RyukyuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shiga
#24
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H09/04
B League
Sendai
#23
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H12/04
B League
Sendai
#23
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H13/04
B League
Osaka
#13
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A16/04
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H19/04
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H20/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H23/04
B League
Shimane
#8
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A26/04
B League
Shimane
#8
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A27/04
B League
Saga
#18
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H03/05
B League
85.4Avg total
46.3Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.738.982.6+4.780%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.639.082.6+4.673%-
Last 30 away (15)43.738.982.6+4.987%-
Last 10 (10)46.339.185.4+7.290%-
Last 5 (5)45.640.686.2+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.538.072.5-3.550%-
vs Similar (7)41.338.379.6+3.071%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)45.339.284.6+6.186%-
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osaka
#13
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H09/04
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H12/04
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H13/04
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A16/04
B League
Shimane
#8
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H18/04
B League
Shimane
#8
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H19/04
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A23/04
B League
Osaka
#13
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H26/04
B League
Osaka
#13
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H27/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A03/05
B League
84.2Avg total
42.4Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.242.083.2-0.837%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.242.286.4+2.147%-
Last 30 away (13)37.241.879.0-4.523%-
Last 10 (10)42.441.884.2+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)43.442.285.6+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)38.940.679.5-1.740%-
vs Similar (11)43.544.888.3-1.436%-
vs Weaker (4)43.839.583.2+4.225%-
This opponent (Ryukyu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ryukyutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ryukyu: 90.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.623.1
56.9%
51.2%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.910.5
39.0%
33.4%31.5
🏀 Free throws16.012.6
78.8%
72.7%12.6
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.420.4
53.1%
51.2%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.09.1
32.5%
33.4%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.012.6
70.0%
72.7%12.6
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ryukyu
WLWWWWWWWW
Saga
LWWWLWLWLL
#3
League position
#18
+23.9
Net rating
+2.9
124.7
Offensive rating
110.2
100.8
Defensive rating
107.3
57.6%
Effective FG%
51.3%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
15.6%
Turnover %
13.9%
39.0%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.27
39.0%
3-point %
32.5%
63.7%
Assist %
69.5%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence124.7 · 110.2Defence100.8 · 107.3Shooting57.6% · 51.3%3-point %39.0% · 32.5%Ball care15.6% · 13.9%Off. rebounds39.0% · 27.9%Free throws0.24 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Ryukyu   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Ryukyu wins
0
Saga wins
DateGameScore
03/05/25Ryukyu v Saga87-71
12/11/24Saga v Ryukyu67-73
11/11/24Saga v Ryukyu72-84
17/04/24Ryukyu v Saga101-97 OT
31/01/24Saga v Ryukyu58-96
07/10/23Saga v Ryukyu79-80 OT
05/10/23Saga v Ryukyu63-80
Ryukyulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25HSaga87-71
27/04/25AShimane68-77
26/04/25AShimane97-82
23/04/25HHiroshima D.103-83
20/04/25HNagasaki87-66
19/04/25HNagasaki90-80
16/04/25AOsaka98-81
13/04/25HSendai77-70
12/04/25HSendai96-61
09/04/25HShiga104-73
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25ARyukyu71-87
27/04/25HOsaka106-82
26/04/25HOsaka90-79
23/04/25ANagasaki78-68
19/04/25HShimane66-82
18/04/25HShimane80-61
16/04/25AKyoto74-85
13/04/25HHokkaido89-73
12/04/25HHokkaido78-98
09/04/25HOsaka81-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ryukyu
B League 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW76%
HomeWWWWW79%
AwayWWWWL73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games592930
Win %76%79%73%
Points / game85.586.484.6
Allowed / game76.475.177.6
Point differential+9.1+11.3+7.0
Avg total161.8161.5162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%62%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)0% (5)67% (6)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Saga
B League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL37%
HomeWWLWW30%
AwayWWLWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games593029
Win %37%30%45%
Points / game76.579.473.5
Allowed / game79.081.276.7
Point differential-2.5-1.8-3.2
Avg total155.5160.6150.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%27%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won27% (11)0% (6)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utsunomiya Brex59471280%84.675.2+9.4
2 NeoPhoenix58461279%90.679.8+10.8
3 Ryukyu59451476%85.576.4+9.1
4 Alvark59431673%76.170.4+5.7
5 Chiba60421870%81.976.1+5.8
6 Gunma59392066%77.871.7+6.0
7 SeaHorses Mikawa59392066%81.775.9+5.9
8 Shimane60372362%79.875.3+4.5
9 Diamond Dolphins59342558%82.179.4+2.7
10 Kyoto60332755%82.080.0+2.0
11 Sun Rockers Shibuya59302951%72.970.8+2.1
12 Nagoya Fighting Eagles59293049%78.279.4-1.2
13 Osaka59293049%82.183.7-1.6
14 Hiroshima D.60283247%80.283.0-2.8
15 Akita59273246%73.174.8-1.6
16 Nagasaki59253442%75.678.3-2.7
17 Yokohama59243541%75.379.6-4.3
18 Saga59223737%76.579.0-2.5
19 Hokkaido59203934%75.480.1-4.7
20 Koshigaya Alphas59194032%74.880.5-5.7
21 Brave Thunders59184131%79.086.4-7.4
22 Ibaraki Robots59154425%72.679.5-6.9
23 Sendai60114918%72.582.6-10.1
24 Shiga5985114%77.189.2-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ryukyu1421183285
Saga2318201576
← all games of the day
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