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Ryukyu vs Saga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 May 2025
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 87-71
27-21 25-20 13-14 22-16
Position#3
Record44-14
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game76.4
Ryukyu 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#18
Record22-36
FormWLWWW
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game78.8
JapanB League· Okinawa Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Ryukyu v Saga
25 Apr 2027
RYUK v SAGA
upcoming
23 Apr 2027
RYUK v SAGA
upcoming
26 Apr 2026
RYUK96
SAGA91
25 Apr 2026
RYUK92
SAGA78
04 May 2025
RYUK85
SAGA76
03 May 2025
RYUK87
SAGA71
17 Apr 2024
RYUK101
SAGA97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ryukyu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RyukyuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRyukyu
Date
Competition
Hokkaido
#19
W
72-64
72
64
+8
63avg 77
A06/04
B League
Shiga
#24
W
104-73
104
73
+31
113avg 77
H09/04
B League
Sendai
#23
W
96-61
96
61
+35
94avg 77
H12/04
B League
Sendai
#23
W
77-70
77
70
+7
73avg 77
H13/04
B League
Osaka
#13
W
98-81
98
81
+17
102avg 77
A16/04
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
90-80
90
80
+10
85avg 77
H19/04
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
87-66
87
66
+21
85avg 77
H20/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
103-83
103
83
+20
105avg 77
H23/04
B League
Shimane
#8
W
97-82
97
82
+15
88avg 77
A26/04
B League
Shimane
#8
L
68-77
68
77
-9
50avg 77
A27/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-9
15-16
17-15
24-24
29-22
29-17
24-18
22-16
23-19
20-15
27-10
26-17
23-13
18-19
14-18
22-20
23-27
22-16
28-16
25-22
27-20
21-20
22-16
20-24
16-24
26-13
23-16
22-13
25-14
21-23
32-21
25-25
32-22
22-21
22-19
21-20
19-25
15-20
10-15
24-17
162.9Avg total
89.2Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (58)85.576.4161.9+9.076%
Season at home (28)86.475.2161.6+11.279%
Season away (30)84.677.6162.2+7.073%
Last 10 (10)89.273.7162.9+15.590%
Last 5 (5)89.077.6166.6+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.077.5149.5-5.50%
vs Similar (8)82.276.6158.9+5.675%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)89.178.5167.6+10.675%
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Shiga
#24
W
82-77
82
77
+5
78avg 69
A06/04
B League
Osaka
#13
L
81-85
81
85
-4
65avg 69
H09/04
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
78-98
78
98
-20
70avg 69
H12/04
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
89-73
89
73
+16
88avg 69
H13/04
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
74-85
74
85
-11
68avg 69
A16/04
B League
Shimane
#8
W
80-61
80
61
+19
81avg 69
H18/04
B League
Shimane
#8
L
66-82
66
82
-16
55avg 69
H19/04
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
78-68
78
68
+10
69avg 69
A23/04
B League
Osaka
#13
W
90-79
90
79
+11
92avg 69
H26/04
B League
Osaka
#13
W
106-82
106
82
+24
109avg 69
H27/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
20-19
23-23
24-17
25-24
22-20
22-25
12-16
22-24
16-28
27-31
13-15
22-19
24-18
19-20
24-16
18-21
15-22
15-19
26-23
18-10
25-21
17-15
20-15
22-17
22-19
11-20
11-26
13-16
21-24
20-14
24-14
15-14
30-15
30-23
15-27
28-26
25-28
19-9
34-19
161.4Avg total
82.4Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (58)76.678.8155.4-2.338%
Season at home (30)79.481.2160.6-1.830%
Season away (28)73.676.3149.9-2.846%
Last 10 (10)82.479.0161.4+3.460%
Last 5 (5)84.074.4158.4+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)73.982.2156.1-8.321%
vs Similar (11)83.583.5167.0+0.145%
vs Weaker (5)84.069.4153.4+14.6100%
This opponent (Ryukyu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +1.5+1.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +1.5+1.5
RyukyuSaga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RyukyuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hokkaido
#19
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A06/04
B League
Shiga
#24
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H09/04
B League
Sendai
#23
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H12/04
B League
Sendai
#23
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H13/04
B League
Osaka
#13
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A16/04
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H19/04
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H20/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H23/04
B League
Shimane
#8
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A26/04
B League
Shimane
#8
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A27/04
B League
81.7Avg total
44.2Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.139.182.2+4.077%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.539.381.7+3.267%-
Last 30 away (15)43.738.982.6+4.987%-
Last 10 (10)44.237.581.7+6.790%-
Last 5 (5)44.840.485.2+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.538.072.5-3.550%-
vs Similar (8)40.539.179.6+1.462%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)45.039.184.2+5.985%-
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shiga
#24
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A06/04
B League
Osaka
#13
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H09/04
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H12/04
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H13/04
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A16/04
B League
Shimane
#8
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H18/04
B League
Shimane
#8
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H19/04
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A23/04
B League
Osaka
#13
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H26/04
B League
Osaka
#13
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H27/04
B League
82.1Avg total
41.8Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.541.382.7+0.240%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.242.286.4+2.147%-
Last 30 away (13)37.840.177.9-2.231%-
Last 10 (10)41.840.382.1+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)43.838.081.8+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)38.739.878.5-1.143%-
vs Similar (11)43.544.888.3-1.436%-
vs Weaker (5)44.837.682.4+7.240%-
This opponent (Ryukyu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ryukyutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ryukyu: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.522.2
54.8%
51.2%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.110.3
38.0%
33.4%30.9
🏀 Free throws17.013.3
78.2%
72.7%13.3
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.921.3
53.4%
51.2%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.6
33.0%
33.4%25.8
🏀 Free throws19.113.4
70.2%
72.7%13.4
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ryukyu
LWWWWWWWWW
Saga
WWWLWLWLLW
#3
League position
#18
+22.4
Net rating
+5.7
123.1
Offensive rating
111.9
100.7
Defensive rating
106.2
55.7%
Effective FG%
51.8%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
14.5%
Turnover %
14.6%
37.7%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.29
38.0%
3-point %
33.0%
64.9%
Assist %
68.6%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence123.1 · 111.9Defence100.7 · 106.2Shooting55.7% · 51.8%3-point %38.0% · 33.0%Ball care14.5% · 14.6%Off. rebounds37.7% · 30.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Ryukyu   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Ryukyu wins
0
Saga wins
DateGameScore
12/11/24Saga v Ryukyu67-73
11/11/24Saga v Ryukyu72-84
17/04/24Ryukyu v Saga101-97 OT
31/01/24Saga v Ryukyu58-96
07/10/23Saga v Ryukyu79-80 OT
05/10/23Saga v Ryukyu63-80
Ryukyulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/25AShimane68-77
26/04/25AShimane97-82
23/04/25HHiroshima D.103-83
20/04/25HNagasaki87-66
19/04/25HNagasaki90-80
16/04/25AOsaka98-81
13/04/25HSendai77-70
12/04/25HSendai96-61
09/04/25HShiga104-73
06/04/25AHokkaido72-64
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/25HOsaka106-82
26/04/25HOsaka90-79
23/04/25ANagasaki78-68
19/04/25HShimane66-82
18/04/25HShimane80-61
16/04/25AKyoto74-85
13/04/25HHokkaido89-73
12/04/25HHokkaido78-98
09/04/25HOsaka81-85
06/04/25AShiga82-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ryukyu
B League 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL76%
HomeWWWWW79%
AwayWWWWL73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games582830
Win %76%79%73%
Points / game85.586.484.6
Allowed / game76.475.277.6
Point differential+9.0+11.2+7.0
Avg total161.9161.6162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%61%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)0% (5)67% (6)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Saga
B League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW38%
HomeWWLWW30%
AwayWWWLW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games583028
Win %38%30%46%
Points / game76.679.473.6
Allowed / game78.881.276.3
Point differential-2.3-1.8-2.8
Avg total155.4160.6149.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%27%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won27% (11)0% (6)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix57461181%90.879.7+11.1
2 Utsunomiya Brex58461279%84.575.4+9.0
3 Ryukyu58441476%85.576.4+9.0
4 Alvark58421672%76.370.6+5.7
5 Chiba58401869%82.276.6+5.6
6 Gunma58382066%77.771.7+5.9
7 SeaHorses Mikawa58382066%81.775.7+5.9
8 Shimane58362262%79.774.8+4.9
9 Diamond Dolphins58342459%82.179.3+2.8
10 Kyoto58312753%82.080.1+1.9
11 Sun Rockers Shibuya58302852%73.170.9+2.2
12 Osaka58292950%82.283.6-1.4
13 Nagoya Fighting Eagles58283048%78.179.5-1.4
14 Akita58273147%73.274.7-1.5
15 Hiroshima D.58273147%79.983.1-3.2
16 Nagasaki58243441%75.478.4-3.0
17 Yokohama58243441%75.379.5-4.2
18 Saga58223638%76.678.8-2.3
19 Hokkaido58203834%75.480.1-4.7
20 Koshigaya Alphas58193933%75.180.4-5.3
21 Brave Thunders58174129%78.986.4-7.5
22 Ibaraki Robots58144424%72.479.6-7.2
23 Sendai58114719%72.982.9-10.1
24 Shiga5784914%77.189.5-12.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ryukyu2725132287
Saga2120141671
← all games of the day
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