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Sampaense vs Lusitania Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 02 May 2027
Tip-off: 10:30
Scheduled
Position#8
Record4-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game82.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.2/10
Above normal
5.3/10
Around normal
Position#6
Record4-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game72.3
PortugalProligaRound 29· Pavilhao Comendador Serafim Marques
Other2026-27
Meetings · Sampaense v Lusitania
02 May 2027
SAMP v LUSI
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
SAMP71
LUSI99
04 Oct 2025
SAMP80
LUSI74
19 Apr 2025
SAMP84
LUSI103
29 Apr 2017
SAMP109
LUSI97
25 Feb 2017
SAMP65
LUSI96
18 Apr 2015
SAMP66
LUSI78
08 Dec 2013
SAMP89
LUSI81
22 Dec 2012
SAMP77
LUSI74
15 Oct 2011
SAMP56
LUSI61
13 Feb 2011
SAMP102
LUSI95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sampaense win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Lusitania win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SampaensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSampaense
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#13
W
87-80
87
80
+7
no box
H19/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
78-88
78
88
-10
no box
A25/04
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
85-81
85
81
+4
76avg 78
H02/05
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
82-90
82
90
-8
54avg 78
A03/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
W
85-80
85
80
+5
82avg 78
H10/10
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#16
L
67-69
67
69
-2
56avg 78
A18/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
99-70
99
70
+29
98avg 78
H24/10
Proliga
Academica
#15
W
105-99
105
99
+6
104avg 78
H30/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#9
W
76-67
76
67
+9
no box
H08/11
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
61-102
61
102
-41
no box
A14/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
22-20
26-22
18-18
14-24
21-13
20-25
23-26
22-24
16-18
29-15
18-24
20-24
19-23
21-22
22-21
21-21
18-18
22-21
24-20
15-15
18-15
16-24
18-15
26-18
21-12
26-20
26-20
33-20
21-32
24-28
27-19
22-21
21-20
14-14
19-12
12-22
17-21
19-40
13-19
165.1Avg total
82.5Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.182.4164.6-0.357%
Season at home (4)91.279.0170.2+12.2100%
Season away (3)70.087.0157.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)82.582.6165.1-0.160%
Last 5 (5)81.681.4163.0+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)67.482.2149.6-14.825%
vs Similar (6)83.279.8163.0+3.367%
vs Weaker (8)74.168.6142.8+5.575%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#13
W
85-70
85
70
+15
no box
A03/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
108-88
108
88
+20
no box
H18/04
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
85-79
85
79
+6
no box
A26/04
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
W
89-68
89
68
+21
92avg 78
H02/05
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
W
73-68
73
68
+5
68avg 78
H05/10
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
88-56
88
56
+32
89avg 78
A11/10
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
77-75
77
75
+2
74avg 78
H17/10
Proliga
Maia
#10
L
77-82
77
82
-5
73avg 78
A24/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
L
80-85
80
85
-5
71avg 78
H31/10
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
93-68
93
68
+25
no box
H07/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-12
21-15
17-29
18-14
25-25
26-23
22-21
35-19
16-23
27-25
14-13
28-18
31-16
20-11
19-20
19-21
19-15
15-20
23-16
16-17
21-16
24-19
30-12
13-9
23-18
17-19
16-21
21-17
18-28
26-8
15-25
18-21
13-18
13-33
22-19
32-15
23-17
24-25
17-11
29-15
159.4Avg total
85.5Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.372.3153.7+9.067%
Season at home (4)80.874.0154.8+6.875%
Season away (2)82.569.0151.5+13.550%
Last 10 (10)85.573.9159.4+11.680%
Last 5 (5)83.073.2156.2+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.585.0157.5-12.50%
vs Similar (6)80.775.8156.5+4.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)87.773.5161.2+14.286%
This opponent (Sampaense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +6.3+6.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +6.3+6.3
SampaenseLusitania
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SampaenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#13
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H19/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A25/04
Proliga
Academica
#16
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H02/05
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A03/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H10/10
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#16
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A18/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H24/10
Proliga
Academica
#15
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H30/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#9
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H08/11
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A14/11
Proliga
80.1Avg total
40.0Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.138.074.1-1.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.238.579.7+2.767%-
Last 30 away (15)31.137.568.5-6.433%-
Last 10 (10)40.040.180.1-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)41.239.280.4+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)32.540.272.8-7.825%-
vs Similar (6)42.740.783.3+2.067%-
vs Weaker (8)38.531.570.0+7.088%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#13
W
50-27
50
27
+23
A03/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H18/04
Proliga
Academica
#16
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A26/04
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H02/05
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H05/10
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A11/10
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H17/10
Proliga
Maia
#10
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A24/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
L
26-51
26
51
-25
H31/10
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H07/11
Proliga
81.7Avg total
43.1Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.238.180.3+4.160%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.435.675.9+4.862%-
Last 30 away (14)44.241.085.2+3.257%-
Last 10 (10)43.138.681.7+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)40.440.280.6+0.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.542.579.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (6)39.738.878.5+0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)43.437.580.9+5.968%-
This opponent (Sampaense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sampaensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sampaense: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.821.2
57.6%
52.5%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.47.8
36.4%
30.6%23.4
🏀 Free throws22.614.6
64.6%
67.3%14.6
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.725.4
55.6%
52.5%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.2
32.3%
30.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws17.212.5
72.7%
67.3%12.5
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 May 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sampaense
LWWWLWLWLW
Lusitania
WLLWWWWWWW
#8
League position
#6
+6.6
Net rating
+13.5
99.4
Offensive rating
95.6
92.8
Defensive rating
82.1
56.5%
Effective FG%
53.2%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
15.7%
Turnover %
16.2%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.25
36.4%
3-point %
32.3%
52.1%
Assist %
67.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence99.4 · 95.6Defence92.8 · 82.1Shooting56.5% · 53.2%3-point %36.4% · 32.3%Ball care15.7% · 16.2%Free throws0.39 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Sampaense   ■ Lusitania
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Sampaense wins
8
Lusitania wins
DateGameScore
29/03/26Lusitania v Sampaense87-60
15/03/26Sampaense v Lusitania71-99
22/11/25Lusitania v Sampaense87-46
04/10/25Sampaense v Lusitania80-74
19/04/25Sampaense v Lusitania84-103
22/02/25Lusitania v Sampaense100-80
29/04/17Sampaense v Lusitania109-97
02/04/17Lusitania v Sampaense88-87
25/02/17Sampaense v Lusitania65-96
10/12/16Lusitania v Sampaense88-83
Sampaenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AGalitos Barreiro61-102
08/11/26HCB Queluz76-67
30/10/26HAcademica105-99
24/10/26HIlliabum99-70
18/10/26ABenfica Lisboa B67-69
10/10/26HSangalhos85-80
03/10/26AVasco Da Gama82-90
02/05/26HAcademica85-81
25/04/26AGalomar78-88
19/04/26HSanto Andre87-80
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HBarreirense93-68
31/10/26HSanto Andre80-85
24/10/26AMaia77-82
17/10/26HGalomar77-75
11/10/26AGinasio Olhanense88-56
05/10/26HBarcelos73-68
02/05/26HCB Queluz89-68
26/04/26AAcademica85-79
18/04/26HGalomar108-88
03/04/26ASanto Andre85-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sampaense
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL57%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%100%0%
Points / game82.191.270.0
Allowed / game82.479.087.0
Point differential-0.3+12.2-17.0
Avg total164.6170.2157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lusitania
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%75%50%
Points / game81.380.882.5
Allowed / game72.374.069.0
Point differential+9.0+6.8+13.5
Avg total153.7154.8151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sangalhos76186%76.661.1+15.4
2 Galitos Barreiro75271%78.371.3+7.0
3 Galitos Aveiro75271%78.973.6+5.3
4 Santo Andre75271%78.174.4+3.7
5 Galomar64267%77.767.2+10.5
6 Lusitania64267%81.372.3+9.0
7 Illiabum74357%74.174.4-0.3
8 Sampaense74357%82.182.4-0.3
9 CB Queluz74357%72.172.6-0.4
10 Maia63350%83.287.8-4.7
11 Vasco Da Gama62433%85.888.8-3.0
12 Ginasio Olhanense72529%84.788.4-3.7
13 Barreirense72529%75.083.9-8.9
14 Barcelos72529%66.677.4-10.9
15 Academica71614%80.483.3-2.9
16 Benfica Lisboa B71614%66.380.6-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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