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Denver Nuggets vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 12 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 108-104
27-23 35-29 23-22 23-30
Position#6
Record25-13
FormLLWWL
Points / game123.1
Allowed / game117.8
vs
Position#21
Record17-21
FormLWWLW
Points / game113.1
Allowed / game115.3
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Milwaukee Bucks
23 Jan 2027
DEN v MIL
upcoming
11 Jan 2026
DEN108
MIL104
26 Mar 2025
DEN127
MIL117
29 Jan 2024
DEN113
MIL107
25 Mar 2023
DEN129
MIL106
26 Nov 2021
DEN109
MIL120
08 Feb 2021
DEN112
MIL125
09 Mar 2020
DEN109
MIL95
11 Nov 2018
DEN114
MIL121
01 Apr 2018
DEN128
MIL125
03 Feb 2017
DEN121
MIL117
11 Nov 2015
DEN103
MIL102
03 Mar 2015
DEN106
MIL95
05 Feb 2014
DEN110
MIL100
05 Feb 2013
DEN112
MIL104
02 Jan 2012
DEN91
MIL86
01 Dec 2010
DEN105
MIL94
20 Mar 2010
DEN97
MIL102
18 Nov 2008
DEN114
MIL105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
130-131
130
131
-1
133avg 114
A24/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
142-138 OT
142
138
+4
133avg 114
H26/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
126-127
126
127
-1
126avg 114
A28/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
123-147
123
147
-24
116avg 114
A30/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
106-103
106
103
+3
97avg 114
A01/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
108-113
108
113
-5
92avg 114
A03/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
115-127
115
127
-12
106avg 114
A04/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
125-124 OT
125
124
+1
120avg 114
A06/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
114-110
114
110
+4
104avg 114
A08/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
87-110
87
110
-23
84avg 114
H10/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-41
29-25
47-37
27-28
32-29
25-26
35-23
23-37
31-23
31-25
31-36
33-43
29-41
34-22
36-47
24-37
32-23
31-31
22-25
21-24
24-28
35-34
38-26
11-25
29-33
23-26
32-41
31-27
29-26
29-32
29-35
33-27
31-35
27-23
21-24
35-28
28-30
22-28
25-16
12-36
240.6Avg total
117.6Scored
123.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)123.1117.8240.9+5.366%
Season at home (16)123.7117.6241.3+6.162%
Season away (22)122.7118.0240.7+4.768%
Last 10 (10)117.6123.0240.6-5.440%
Last 5 (5)109.8116.8226.6-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)119.3119.2238.5+0.167%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)125.9119.4245.3+6.560%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
100-103
100
103
-3
96avg 107
A22/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
111-94
111
94
+17
106avg 107
A24/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
104-125
104
125
-21
94avg 107
A27/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
112-103
112
103
+9
105avg 107
A28/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
123-113
123
113
+10
116avg 107
A30/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
113-114
113
114
-1
105avg 107
H01/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
122-121
122
121
+1
118avg 107
H03/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
115-98
115
98
+17
109avg 107
A05/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
113-120
113
120
-7
108avg 107
A08/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
105-101
105
101
+4
101avg 107
A10/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-23
31-25
15-27
25-28
26-20
33-24
27-24
25-26
35-25
15-35
33-32
21-33
28-26
26-24
31-30
27-23
25-26
38-40
32-23
28-24
32-30
30-35
26-21
25-28
24-38
27-22
36-31
35-30
28-26
34-18
23-25
30-29
31-31
22-33
29-34
31-22
24-25
37-27
25-25
19-24
221.0Avg total
111.8Scored
109.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)113.1115.3228.4-2.245%
Season at home (18)117.2116.6233.8+0.650%
Season away (20)109.5114.0223.5-4.640%
Last 10 (10)111.8109.2221.0+2.660%
Last 5 (5)113.6110.8224.4+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)110.9115.7226.6-4.830%
vs Similar (8)110.2108.8219.0+1.575%
vs Weaker (2)119.5121.5241.0-2.00%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -6.2-6.2Q4: -0.1-0.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -6.2-6.2Q4: -0.1-0.1
Denver NuggetsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
56-66
56
66
-10
A24/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
57-55
57
55
+2
H26/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
62-48
62
48
+14
A28/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
D
63-63
63
63
+0
A30/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
63-54
63
54
+9
A01/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A03/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A04/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
D
58-58
58
58
+0
A06/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
D
58-58
58
58
+0
A08/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
50-58
50
58
-8
H10/01
NBA
115.9Avg total
57.8Scored
58.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.557.4117.9+3.153%-
Last 30 at home (11)61.356.0117.3+5.373%-
Last 30 away (19)60.158.2118.3+1.942%-
Last 10 (10)57.858.1115.9-0.330%-
Last 5 (5)55.459.0114.4-3.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)57.758.7116.4-1.133%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)63.456.1119.5+7.373%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
60-48
60
48
+12
A22/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
59-44
59
44
+15
A24/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
50-60
50
60
-10
A27/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A28/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
63-66
63
66
-3
A30/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H01/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H03/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
62-44
62
44
+18
A05/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
53-64
53
64
-11
A08/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
61-52
61
52
+9
A10/01
NBA
112.8Avg total
57.5Scored
55.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.658.3113.9-2.737%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.760.6115.3-5.929%-
Last 30 away (16)56.356.3112.6+0.044%-
Last 10 (10)57.555.3112.8+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)57.857.0114.8+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)54.560.0114.5-5.625%-
vs Similar (8)56.253.1109.4+3.162%-
vs Weaker (2)64.061.5125.5+2.550%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 117.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.326.7
54.2%
54.8%53.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.914.8
40.1%
35.8%44.4
🏀 Free throws24.119.8
82.2%
78.1%19.8
They take 86.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 111.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.727.2
55.9%
54.8%54.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.313.4
36.9%
35.8%40.2
🏀 Free throws21.817.2
78.9%
78.1%17.2
They take 85.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWWLLWLLWL
Milwaukee Bucks
WLWWLWWLWL
#6
League position
#21
-5.3
Net rating
+2.6
116.0
Offensive rating
113.2
121.4
Defensive rating
110.5
56.7%
Effective FG%
55.6%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
12.7%
Turnover %
14.0%
20.8%
Off. rebound %
22.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.26
40.1%
3-point %
36.9%
65.8%
Assist %
60.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence116.0 · 113.2Defence121.4 · 110.5Shooting56.7% · 55.6%3-point %40.1% · 36.9%Ball care12.7% · 14.0%Off. rebounds20.8% · 22.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Denver Nuggets wins
5
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26HAtlanta Hawks87-110
08/01/26ABoston Celtics114-110
06/01/26APhiladelphia 76ers125-124 OT
04/01/26ABrooklyn Nets115-127
03/01/26ACleveland Cavaliers108-113
01/01/26AToronto Raptors106-103
30/12/25AMiami Heat123-147
28/12/25AOrlando Magic126-127
26/12/25HMinnesota Timberwolves142-138 OT
24/12/25ADallas Mavericks130-131
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26ALos Angeles Lakers105-101
08/01/26AGolden State Warriors113-120
05/01/26ASacramento Kings115-98
03/01/26HCharlotte Hornets122-121
01/01/26HWashington Wizards113-114
30/12/25ACharlotte Hornets123-113
28/12/25AChicago Bulls112-103
27/12/25AMemphis Grizzlies104-125
24/12/25AIndiana Pacers111-94
22/12/25AMinnesota Timberwolves100-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL66%
HomeWLWWL62%
AwayWLLWW68%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381622
Win %66%62%68%
Points / game123.1123.7122.7
Allowed / game117.8117.6118.0
Point differential+5.3+6.1+4.7
Avg total240.9241.3240.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%44%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (14)40% (5)56% (9)
Overtime %11%12%9%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW45%
HomeLWLLW50%
AwayWWWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381820
Win %45%50%40%
Points / game113.1117.2109.5
Allowed / game115.3116.6114.0
Point differential-2.2+0.6-4.6
Avg total228.4233.8223.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%39%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)50% (4)43% (7)
Overtime %5%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder3832684%121.3108.8+12.5
2 Detroit Pistons38281074%117.8111.2+6.6
3 San Antonio Spurs37251268%117.9112.5+5.4
4 Denver Nuggets38251366%123.1117.8+5.3
5 Los Angeles Lakers35231266%115.8115.8+0.0
6 Minnesota Timberwolves40261465%119.9114.8+5.1
7 Boston Celtics38241463%117.2110.4+6.7
8 Houston Rockets35221363%118.5110.7+7.7
9 New York Knicks37231462%119.2115.2+4.0
10 Phoenix Suns37231462%115.4111.6+3.9
11 Toronto Raptors39241562%114.5112.2+2.3
12 Philadelphia 76ers37211657%117.2115.5+1.6
13 Orlando Magic38211755%116.1114.7+1.4
14 Cleveland Cavaliers40221855%120.0117.6+2.4
15 Golden State Warriors39211854%115.5113.4+2.2
16 Miami Heat38201853%119.7117.7+1.9
17 Atlanta Hawks40192148%118.2118.5-0.3
18 Portland Trail Blazers40192148%116.3118.8-2.5
19 Chicago Bulls38182047%117.3120.8-3.5
20 Milwaukee Bucks38172145%113.1115.3-2.2
21 Memphis Grizzlies39172244%114.9116.2-1.3
22 Los Angeles Clippers38152339%111.9113.6-1.7
23 Charlotte Hornets39142536%116.3116.6-0.3
24 Dallas Mavericks39142536%113.0117.1-4.2
25 Utah Jazz38132534%119.0127.3-8.3
26 Brooklyn Nets36112531%108.8113.9-5.0
27 Washington Wizards37102727%113.3124.3-11.0
28 New Orleans Pelicans4193222%114.9122.4-7.5
29 Sacramento Kings3883021%109.8122.1-12.3
30 Indiana Pacers3983121%111.2119.0-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets27352323108
Milwaukee Bucks23292230104
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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