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Sao Jose vs Pato Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 86-71
25-12 23-19 20-22 18-18
Position#9
Record5-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game75.4
vs
Position#17
Record2-9
FormLLWLL
Points / game70.3
Allowed / game80.5
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Lineu de Moura
Other2025-26
Meetings · Sao Jose v Pato
29 Dec 2026
SAO v PATO
upcoming
22 Nov 2025
SAO 86
PATO71
18 Apr 2025
SAO 77
PATO89
06 Nov 2023
SAO 100
PATO69
10 Jan 2023
SAO 96
PATO69
20 Nov 2019
SAO 81
PATO71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sao Jose winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sao JoseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJose
Date
Competition
Vasco
#7
L
83-88
83
88
-5
72avg 73
H02/05
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
85-62
85
62
+23
83avg 73
A18/10
NBB
Minas
#3
L
86-88 OT
86
88
-2
74avg 73
A20/10
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
61-57
61
57
+4
60avg 73
H27/10
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
72-88
72
88
-16
59avg 73
H29/10
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
77-64
77
64
+13
78avg 73
H01/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
71-80
71
80
-9
66avg 73
A04/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
64-78
64
78
-14
52avg 73
A11/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
87-85 OT
87
85
+2
77avg 73
A15/11
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
86-77
86
77
+9
79avg 73
A18/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-29
19-25
18-20
18-14
17-18
25-10
16-15
27-19
21-20
16-16
13-17
25-22
10-20
19-13
19-11
13-13
19-20
19-24
11-19
23-25
19-10
23-26
12-14
23-14
15-18
13-19
26-17
17-26
19-15
20-26
9-21
16-16
15-21
19-23
25-17
18-16
27-23
19-23
14-20
26-11
153.9Avg total
77.2Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)76.675.4152.0+1.156%
Season at home (3)70.069.7139.7+0.367%
Season away (6)79.878.3158.2+1.550%
Last 10 (10)77.276.7153.9+0.550%
Last 5 (5)77.076.8153.8+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.690.2172.8-7.640%
vs Similar (17)79.580.9160.4-1.447%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)78.971.5150.4+7.475%
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
88-92
88
92
-4
75avg 70
A23/10
NBB
Minas
#3
L
75-76
75
76
-1
65avg 70
H27/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
69-71
69
71
-2
55avg 70
H29/10
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
70-65
70
65
+5
60avg 70
A04/11
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
75-82
75
82
-7
57avg 70
A07/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
63-101
63
101
-38
42avg 70
A09/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
62-77
62
77
-15
36avg 70
H12/11
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
82-79
82
79
+3
75avg 70
H14/11
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
58-86
58
86
-28
49avg 70
A17/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
68-87
68
87
-19
52avg 70
A19/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
32-22
24-26
13-18
17-27
22-8
14-20
22-21
18-20
16-25
13-12
22-14
22-19
11-20
20-8
17-18
16-20
14-26
16-16
29-20
16-24
14-24
17-24
16-29
20-15
14-18
15-17
13-27
21-19
26-18
12-13
23-29
13-32
19-15
10-18
16-21
12-19
15-17
24-30
17-21
152.6Avg total
71.0Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)70.380.5150.8-10.318%
Season at home (4)72.075.8147.8-3.825%
Season away (7)69.383.3152.6-14.014%
Last 10 (10)71.081.6152.6-10.620%
Last 5 (5)66.686.0152.6-19.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)73.586.1159.5-12.60%
vs Similar (12)79.777.3157.0+2.358%
vs Weaker (3)76.782.0158.7-5.333%
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -3.0-3.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -3.0-3.0
Sao JosePato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sao JoseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco
#7
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H02/05
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A18/10
NBB
Minas
#3
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A20/10
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H27/10
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H29/10
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H01/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A04/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A11/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A15/11
NBB
Cearense
#19
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A18/11
NBB
78.1Avg total
38.2Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.039.978.8-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.240.779.9-1.450%-
Last 30 away (18)38.839.378.1-0.644%-
Last 10 (10)38.239.978.1-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)37.840.878.6-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.840.880.6-1.060%-
vs Similar (17)38.440.679.1-2.247%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)39.637.677.2+2.038%-
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A23/10
NBB
Minas
#3
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H27/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H29/10
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A04/11
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A07/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A09/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H12/11
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H14/11
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A17/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A19/11
NBB
77.1Avg total
35.7Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.941.980.7-3.040%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.138.978.0+0.250%-
Last 30 away (18)38.743.882.6-5.133%-
Last 10 (10)35.741.477.1-5.740%-
Last 5 (5)34.040.274.2-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)36.641.978.5-5.327%-
vs Similar (12)40.840.781.4+0.150%-
vs Weaker (3)42.746.389.0-3.767%-
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sao Josetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Jose: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.117.0
51.4%
52.2%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.88.9
28.9%
32.5%26.7
🏀 Free throws21.215.3
72.2%
72.8%15.3
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 69.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.716.8
44.6%
52.2%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.67.5
25.3%
32.5%22.5
🏀 Free throws18.013.7
76.1%
72.8%13.7
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sao Jose
WWLLWLWLWL
Pato
LLWLLLWLLL
#9
League position
#17
+0.1
Net rating
-14.6
99.1
Offensive rating
92.8
99.0
Defensive rating
107.4
47.5%
Effective FG%
41.7%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
17.1%
Turnover %
18.9%
24.7%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.27
28.9%
3-point %
25.3%
73.0%
Assist %
53.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence99.1 · 92.8Defence99.0 · 107.4Shooting47.5% · 41.7%3-point %28.9% · 25.3%Ball care17.1% · 18.9%Off. rebounds24.7% · 32.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Sao Jose   ■ Pato
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Sao Jose wins
2
Pato wins
DateGameScore
18/04/25Sao Jose v Pato77-89
19/12/24Pato v Sao Jose85-81
05/02/24Pato v Sao Jose80-88
06/11/23Sao Jose v Pato100-69
10/01/23Sao Jose v Pato96-69
17/10/22Pato v Sao Jose61-71
20/11/19Sao Jose v Pato81-71
Sao Joselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/25ACearense86-77
15/11/25AUnifacisa87-85 OT
11/11/25ACorinthians Paulista64-78
04/11/25APaulistano71-80
01/11/25HBotafogo77-64
29/10/25HFlamengo72-88
27/10/25HVasco61-57
20/10/25AMinas86-88 OT
18/10/25ACruzeiro85-62
02/05/25HVasco83-88
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/25ACorinthians Paulista68-87
17/11/25AMogi58-86
14/11/25HCearense82-79
12/11/25HUnifacisa62-77
09/11/25AFlamengo63-101
07/11/25ABotafogo75-82
04/11/25AVasco70-65
29/10/25HCruzeiro69-71
27/10/25HMinas75-76
23/10/25AUniao Corinthians88-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sao Jose
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW56%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %56%67%50%
Points / game76.670.079.8
Allowed / game75.469.778.3
Point differential+1.1+0.3+1.5
Avg total152.0139.7158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %22%0%33%
Pato
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL18%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayWLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %18%25%14%
Points / game70.372.069.3
Allowed / game80.575.883.3
Point differential-10.3-3.8-14.0
Avg total150.8147.8152.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1211192%89.073.7+15.3
2 Minas119282%85.476.2+9.2
3 Mogi108280%84.365.7+18.6
4 Brasilia108280%83.470.9+12.5
5 Corinthians Paulista97278%86.475.4+11.0
6 Pinheiros97278%82.375.1+7.2
7 Franca118373%86.573.3+13.2
8 Sao Jose95456%76.675.4+1.1
9 Paulistano116555%80.176.8+3.3
10 Unifacisa105550%79.179.0+0.1
11 Caxias do Sul84450%72.277.5-5.2
12 Bauru115645%71.474.0-2.6
13 Uniao Corinthians94544%75.785.8-10.1
14 Cearense93633%80.184.8-4.7
15 Botafogo113827%70.880.1-9.3
16 Cruzeiro113827%76.586.1-9.6
17 Pato112918%70.380.5-10.3
18 Osasco112918%75.587.5-12.0
19 Rio Claro112918%76.089.6-13.6
20 Vasco100100%65.279.7-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sao Jose2523201886
Pato1219221871
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