PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Sao Paulo vs Flamengo Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 77-75
25-18 13-18 20-17 19-22
Position#13
Record5-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game76.1
vs
Position#3
Record7-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game63.9
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Morumbi
Other2024-25
Meetings · Sao Paulo v Flamengo
07 Nov 2024
SAO 77
FLAM75
07 Dec 2023
SAO 70
FLAM83
17 May 2023
SAO 72
FLAM69
15 May 2023
SAO 96
FLAM79
25 Jan 2023
SAO 70
FLAM74
20 Dec 2022
SAO 66
FLAM91
23 Oct 2021
SAO 61
FLAM86
27 May 2021
SAO 85
FLAM93
24 May 2021
SAO 81
FLAM82
11 Apr 2021
SAO 66
FLAM75
23 Jan 2021
SAO 71
FLAM79
08 Dec 2020
SAO 80
FLAM68
30 Mar 2020
SAO v FLAM
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sao Paulo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Flamengo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sao PauloBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulo
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
W
86-84
86
84
+2
84avg 75
H08/05
NBB
Minas
#3
L
79-104
79
104
-25
72avg 75
A11/05
NBB
Minas
#3
L
67-98
67
98
-31
54avg 75
A13/05
NBB
Pato
#14
W
88-81
88
81
+7
83avg 75
A17/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
82-80
82
80
+2
78avg 75
A19/10
NBB
Franca
#2
W
82-66
82
66
+16
75avg 75
H22/10
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
78-68
78
68
+10
70avg 75
H26/10
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
86-84
86
84
+2
86avg 75
H30/10
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
74-78
74
78
-4
69avg 75
A01/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
69-76
69
76
-7
70avg 75
H05/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
14-25
29-26
24-17
14-32
18-22
24-21
23-29
13-22
18-22
17-28
19-26
23-30
22-16
19-25
24-10
20-15
20-26
19-20
23-19
21-14
16-22
22-18
23-12
19-22
17-21
23-16
19-9
24-27
22-19
16-16
24-22
19-14
19-17
19-24
17-23
10-22
20-13
24-22
15-19
161.0Avg total
79.1Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.976.1156.0+3.771%
Season at home (4)78.873.5152.2+5.275%
Season away (3)81.379.7161.0+1.767%
Last 10 (10)79.181.9161.0-2.860%
Last 5 (5)77.874.4152.2+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)84.384.8169.1-0.560%
vs Similar (9)81.176.8157.9+4.378%
vs Weaker (6)78.375.5153.8+2.850%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
73-81
73
81
-8
62avg 79
A08/06
NBB
Franca
#1
L
59-69
59
69
-10
46avg 79
H13/06
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
59-50
59
50
+9
47avg 79
A12/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
71-63
71
63
+8
68avg 79
A17/10
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
114-66
114
66
+48
120avg 79
A19/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
70-83
70
83
-13
79avg 79
H24/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
66-61
66
61
+5
55avg 79
H26/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
78-56
78
56
+22
72avg 79
A29/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
87-77
87
77
+10
84avg 79
A01/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
84-55
84
55
+29
86avg 79
H04/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-14
29-27
21-24
11-16
9-13
13-13
9-15
28-28
11-14
14-8
20-12
14-16
18-20
18-8
26-14
9-21
25-20
30-14
29-5
30-27
25-26
18-19
13-18
14-20
16-22
16-15
12-15
22-9
21-23
25-11
14-9
18-13
18-20
20-16
25-25
24-16
22-14
27-16
21-15
14-10
142.2Avg total
76.1Scored
66.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.663.9142.5+14.888%
Season at home (3)73.366.3139.7+7.067%
Season away (5)81.862.4144.2+19.4100%
Last 10 (10)76.166.1142.2+10.070%
Last 5 (5)77.066.4143.4+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)74.677.0151.6-2.443%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)83.667.3150.9+16.291%
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +6.3+6.3Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +0.8+0.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +6.3+6.3Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +0.8+0.8
Sao PauloFlamengo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sao PauloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H08/05
NBB
Minas
#3
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A11/05
NBB
Minas
#3
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A13/05
NBB
Pato
#14
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A17/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A19/10
NBB
Franca
#2
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H22/10
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H26/10
NBB
Paulistano
#12
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H30/10
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A01/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H05/11
NBB
78.5Avg total
36.8Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.839.980.7+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.638.180.7+4.560%-
Last 30 away (15)38.941.880.7-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)36.841.778.5-4.920%-
Last 5 (5)37.438.275.6-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)40.941.782.7-0.840%-
vs Similar (9)40.439.479.9+1.044%-
vs Weaker (6)40.836.277.0+4.767%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A08/06
NBB
Franca
#1
L
22-26
22
26
-4
H13/06
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
25-22
25
22
+3
A12/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A17/10
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
55-34
55
34
+21
A19/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H24/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H26/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A29/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A01/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H04/11
NBB
72.0Avg total
38.7Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.633.977.5+9.780%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.234.673.8+4.662%-
Last 30 away (17)46.933.480.2+13.594%-
Last 10 (10)38.733.372.0+5.460%-
Last 5 (5)41.636.478.0+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)37.436.173.6+1.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)45.433.278.7+12.291%-
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sao Paulotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Paulo: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.918.8
53.9%
50.9%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.7
32.5%
33.0%23.1
🏀 Free throws21.417.6
82.2%
72.7%17.6
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.116.1
51.8%
50.9%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.99.6
31.1%
33.0%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.013.9
77.2%
72.7%13.9
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sao Paulo
LLWWWWWLLW
Flamengo
WWWWLWWWLL
#13
League position
#3
-3.8
Net rating
+13.3
106.4
Offensive rating
103.9
110.2
Defensive rating
90.5
51.8%
Effective FG%
49.2%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
45.1%
19.9%
Turnover %
17.4%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.5%
3-point %
31.1%
62.6%
Assist %
69.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 103.9Defence110.2 · 90.5Shooting51.8% · 49.2%3-point %32.5% · 31.1%Ball care19.9% · 17.4%Off. rebounds27.8% · 29.7%Free throws0.37 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Sao Paulo   ■ Flamengo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Sao Paulo wins
7
Flamengo wins
DateGameScore
29/03/24Flamengo v Sao Paulo88-78
07/12/23Sao Paulo v Flamengo70-83
17/05/23Sao Paulo v Flamengo72-69
15/05/23Sao Paulo v Flamengo96-79
12/05/23Flamengo v Sao Paulo72-80
01/04/23Flamengo v Sao Paulo79-70
26/01/23Sao Paulo v Flamengo70-74
20/12/22Sao Paulo v Flamengo66-91
02/04/22Flamengo v Sao Paulo88-78
23/10/21Sao Paulo v Flamengo61-86
Sao Paulolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/24HPinheiros69-76
01/11/24AMogi74-78
30/10/24HPaulistano86-84
26/10/24HBauru78-68
22/10/24HFranca82-66
19/10/24ACorinthians Paulista82-80
17/10/24APato88-81
13/05/24AMinas67-98
11/05/24AMinas79-104
08/05/24HMinas86-84
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/24HCaxias do Sul84-55
01/11/24AUnifacisa87-77
29/10/24ACearense78-56
26/10/24HPinheiros66-61
24/10/24HCorinthians Paulista70-83
19/10/24AMogi114-66
17/10/24ASao Jose71-63
12/10/24AVasco59-50
13/06/24HFranca59-69
08/06/24AFranca73-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sao Paulo
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL71%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game79.978.881.3
Allowed / game76.173.579.7
Point differential+3.7+5.2+1.7
Avg total156.0152.2161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Flamengo
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW88%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %88%67%100%
Points / game78.673.381.8
Allowed / game63.966.362.4
Point differential+14.8+7.0+19.4
Avg total142.5139.7144.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo87188%78.663.9+14.8
2 Minas87188%82.968.1+14.8
3 Uniao Corinthians54180%80.074.2+5.8
4 Sao Paulo75271%79.976.1+3.7
5 Bauru64267%79.077.8+1.2
6 Franca85362%80.577.8+2.8
7 Brasilia85362%83.181.0+2.1
8 Vasco74357%68.065.7+2.3
9 Pinheiros84450%69.272.1-2.9
10 Corinthians Paulista73443%79.479.9-0.4
11 Pato83538%78.979.2-0.4
12 Botafogo83538%71.275.4-4.1
13 Mogi83538%70.180.8-10.6
14 Unifacisa62433%77.079.8-2.8
15 Caxias do Sul62433%72.278.7-6.5
16 Paulistano72529%79.678.3+1.3
17 Sao Jose71614%69.377.4-8.1
18 Cearense81712%64.877.5-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sao Paulo2513201977
Flamengo1818172275
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.