PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Siauliai vs Gargzdai Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 17 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#6
Record5-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game85.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.7/10
Above normal
4.0/10
Below normal
Position#3
Record6-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game87.3
LithuaniaLKL· Siauliu arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Siauliai v Gargzdai
17 Feb 2027
SIA v GAR
upcoming
14 Nov 2026
SIA97
GAR82
08 Feb 2026
SIA83
GAR73
22 Nov 2025
SIA83
GAR94
15 Oct 2025
SIA89
GAR83
22 Oct 2023
SIA79
GAR97
16 Feb 2023
SIA92
GAR99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Siauliai win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Gargzdai win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SiauliaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSiauliai
Date
Competition
Cluj-Napoca
#29
L
75-93
75
93
-18
60avg 75
H14/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
88-95
88
95
-7
79avg 75
H17/10
LKL
Turk Telekom
#16
W
94-84
94
84
+10
96avg 75
A20/10
Eurocup
Neptunas
#5
L
88-110
88
110
-22
79avg 75
A25/10
LKL
Maxima Roma
#11
W
98-93
98
93
+5
94avg 75
H28/10
Eurocup
Taurage
#9
L
81-91
81
91
-10
76avg 75
H31/10
LKL
Venezia
#14
L
77-98
77
98
-21
no box
A04/11
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
83-76
83
76
+7
no box
A08/11
LKL
Tenerife
#5
L
71-86
71
86
-15
no box
H11/11
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#3
W
97-82
97
82
+15
no box
H14/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
14-25
20-25
15-27
27-21
15-27
24-28
22-19
16-21
27-24
24-22
27-17
23-25
17-26
26-31
22-28
31-23
18-26
31-26
18-18
27-22
22-17
15-29
17-23
21-25
18-27
20-22
18-24
23-26
18-23
20-15
22-12
15-17
12-21
23-25
21-23
28-25
19-16
24-22
26-19
176.0Avg total
85.2Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)84.685.6170.2-1.050%
Season at home (5)87.083.2170.2+3.860%
Season away (5)82.288.0170.2-5.840%
Last 10 (10)85.290.8176.0-5.640%
Last 5 (5)81.886.6168.4-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)84.091.7175.7-7.736%
vs Similar ◀ (12)81.281.6162.8-0.450%
vs Weaker (7)84.083.6167.6+0.457%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
105-102
105
102
+3
96avg 81
A03/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
79-75
79
75
+4
65avg 81
H06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
W
102-82
102
82
+20
97avg 81
A11/10
LKL
Nevezis
#2
W
101-86
101
86
+15
103avg 81
A14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#8
L
90-100
90
100
-10
80avg 81
A18/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
83-80
83
80
+3
81avg 81
H24/10
LKL
Taurage
#4
W
81-78
81
78
+3
74avg 81
H27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#10
L
76-87
76
87
-11
no box
A02/11
LKL
Jonava
#7
W
91-70
91
70
+21
no box
A08/11
LKL
Siauliai
#6
L
82-97
82
97
-15
no box
A14/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-25
20-23
27-32
27-22
16-20
29-21
18-24
16-10
22-29
29-19
24-20
27-14
18-18
27-20
30-25
26-23
25-31
26-26
19-20
20-23
27-14
12-23
16-22
28-21
17-15
24-26
23-9
17-28
25-22
17-27
19-18
15-20
17-20
20-16
30-18
24-16
25-28
16-19
22-24
19-26
174.7Avg total
89.0Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)88.387.3175.6+1.060%
Season at home (4)84.283.8168.0+0.575%
Season away (6)91.089.7180.7+1.350%
Last 10 (10)89.085.7174.7+3.370%
Last 5 (5)82.682.4165.0+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.586.5165.0-7.936%
vs Similar ◀ (10)90.888.3179.1+2.570%
vs Weaker (9)89.084.7173.7+4.367%
This opponent (Siauliai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +1.6+1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +1.6+1.6
SiauliaiGargzdai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SiauliaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cluj-Napoca
#29
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H14/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H17/10
LKL
Turk Telekom
#16
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A20/10
Eurocup
Neptunas
#5
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A25/10
LKL
Maxima Roma
#11
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H28/10
Eurocup
Taurage
#9
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H31/10
LKL
Venezia
#14
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A04/11
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A08/11
LKL
Tenerife
#5
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H11/11
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#3
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H14/11
LKL
87.0Avg total
41.7Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.641.984.5+0.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.141.685.7+2.553%-
Last 30 away (15)41.142.383.3-1.233%-
Last 10 (10)41.745.387.0-3.620%-
Last 5 (5)40.643.884.4-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)41.444.686.0-3.327%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.339.782.0+2.750%-
vs Weaker (7)45.041.686.6+3.457%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A03/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A11/10
LKL
Nevezis
#2
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#8
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A18/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H24/10
LKL
Taurage
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#10
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A02/11
LKL
Jonava
#7
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A08/11
LKL
Siauliai
#6
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A14/11
LKL
88.5Avg total
44.3Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.944.885.7-3.930%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.643.781.3-6.113%-
Last 30 away (15)44.145.990.0-1.747%-
Last 10 (10)44.344.288.5+0.160%-
Last 5 (5)40.042.082.0-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.144.683.7-5.518%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.345.486.7-4.130%-
vs Weaker (9)42.644.386.9-1.844%-
This opponent (Siauliai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Siauliaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Siauliai: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.320.5
55.0%
55.6%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.2
36.1%
35.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.014.0
73.7%
70.8%14.0
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.125.2
55.9%
55.6%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.0
34.6%
35.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.814.0
70.7%
70.8%14.0
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Siauliai
WLWLLWLWLL
Gargzdai
LWLWWLWWWW
#6
League position
#3
-3.0
Net rating
+3.6
98.5
Offensive rating
99.4
101.5
Defensive rating
95.8
54.6%
Effective FG%
54.5%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
14.9%
Turnover %
13.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.1%
3-point %
34.6%
62.3%
Assist %
60.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence98.5 · 99.4Defence101.5 · 95.8Shooting54.6% · 54.5%3-point %36.1% · 34.6%Ball care14.9% · 13.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Siauliai   ■ Gargzdai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Siauliai wins
4
Gargzdai wins
DateGameScore
14/11/26Siauliai v Gargzdai97-82
20/09/26Gargzdai v Siauliai90-79
15/04/26Gargzdai v Siauliai78-81
08/02/26Siauliai v Gargzdai83-73
22/11/25Siauliai v Gargzdai83-94
05/11/25Gargzdai v Siauliai102-91
15/10/25Siauliai v Gargzdai89-83
21/09/25Gargzdai v Siauliai85-93
11/12/23Gargzdai v Siauliai89-94
22/10/23Siauliai v Gargzdai79-97
Siauliailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HGargzdai97-82
11/11/26HTenerife71-86
08/11/26ANevezis83-76
04/11/26AVenezia77-98
31/10/26HTaurage81-91
28/10/26HMaxima Roma98-93
25/10/26ANeptunas88-110
20/10/26ATurk Telekom94-84
17/10/26HRytas88-95
14/10/26HCluj-Napoca75-93
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASiauliai82-97
08/11/26AJonava91-70
02/11/26ANevezis76-87
27/10/26HTaurage81-78
24/10/26HLietkabelis83-80
18/10/26AJuventus90-100
14/10/26ANevezis101-86
11/10/26ATaurage102-82
06/10/26HJurbarkas79-75
03/10/26ARytas105-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Siauliai
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW50%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%60%40%
Points / game84.687.082.2
Allowed / game85.683.288.0
Point differential-1.0+3.8-5.8
Avg total170.2170.2170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gargzdai
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL60%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%75%50%
Points / game88.384.291.0
Allowed / game87.383.889.7
Point differential+1.0+0.5+1.3
Avg total175.6168.0180.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas990100%93.276.1+17.1
2 Rytas85362%89.685.4+4.2
3 Gargzdai106460%88.387.3+1.0
4 Lietkabelis106460%79.780.3-0.6
5 Neptunas95456%85.284.7+0.6
6 Siauliai105550%84.685.6-1.0
7 Jonava93633%78.482.0-3.6
8 Juventus103730%85.588.3-2.8
9 Taurage103730%80.486.5-6.1
10 Nevezis92722%75.883.1-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.