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Southside W vs Adelaide Lightning W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 84-78
22-18 27-27 21-18 14-15
Position#7
Record4-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game85.5
vs
Position#6
Record6-13
FormLLLWL
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game76.4
AustraliaNBL WRound 13· State Basketball Centre
Women2024-25
Meetings · Southside W v Adelaide Lightning W
31 Jan 2026
SOUT82
ADEL77
17 Jan 2026
SOUT82
ADEL58
28 Dec 2025
SOUT85
ADEL72
09 Feb 2025
SOUT84
ADEL78
06 Dec 2024
SOUT71
ADEL97
24 Feb 2024
SOUT60
ADEL74
05 Nov 2022
SOUT99
ADEL91
19 Feb 2022
SOUT72
ADEL85
02 Dec 2020
SOUT111
ADEL72
18 Feb 2020
SOUT68
ADEL65
25 Jan 2020
SOUT81
ADEL69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southside W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide Lightning W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southside WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
L
72-82
72
82
-10
63avg 72
A20/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
W
91-88
91
88
+3
82avg 72
H22/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
91-99
91
99
-8
83avg 72
A30/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
75-78
75
78
-3
66avg 72
H04/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
L
70-76
70
76
-6
68avg 72
H08/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
63-73
63
73
-10
54avg 72
A11/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
78-86
78
86
-8
71avg 72
A18/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
L
79-94
79
94
-15
57avg 72
A25/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
85-90
85
90
-5
78avg 72
H31/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
73-92
73
92
-19
60avg 72
A02/02
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
23-23
20-21
10-14
25-20
20-26
25-11
21-31
31-29
15-24
19-20
26-26
20-22
17-25
20-15
18-16
18-9
18-21
15-21
19-25
12-11
17-11
13-27
21-24
21-18
33-23
12-18
12-27
20-24
20-24
19-21
20-25
21-32
21-16
21-26
22-16
22-30
13-21
13-25
25-16
163.5Avg total
77.7Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)80.285.5165.7-5.421%
Season at home (9)82.384.2166.6-1.933%
Season away (10)78.286.7164.9-8.510%
Last 10 (10)77.785.8163.5-8.110%
Last 5 (5)75.687.0162.6-11.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.485.4162.9-8.011%
vs Similar ◀ (17)85.585.3170.8+0.259%
vs Weaker (4)75.882.0157.8-6.20%
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Southside W
#7
W
82-72
82
72
+10
79avg 64
H20/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
86-73
86
73
+13
83avg 64
A22/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
67-95
67
95
-28
53avg 64
H27/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
L
77-88
77
88
-11
70avg 64
H03/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
76-94
76
94
-18
71avg 64
A05/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
L
76-91
76
91
-15
67avg 64
A11/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
60-84
60
84
-24
40avg 64
A19/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
59-65
59
65
-6
47avg 64
A24/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
87-69
87
69
+18
82avg 64
H01/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
63-90
63
90
-27
52avg 64
H05/02
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
23-23
21-20
14-10
18-25
13-18
21-19
34-11
13-24
20-28
14-25
20-18
22-16
21-28
23-21
11-23
14-21
21-21
16-28
25-24
14-28
21-15
18-23
23-25
9-30
18-15
19-23
14-16
11-20
20-14
17-18
11-13
28-15
18-24
16-19
25-11
13-29
18-20
13-14
19-27
155.4Avg total
73.3Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)71.876.4148.2-4.632%
Season at home (9)74.277.3151.6-3.144%
Season away (10)69.675.6145.2-6.020%
Last 10 (10)73.382.1155.4-8.830%
Last 5 (5)69.079.8148.8-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)69.876.6146.4-6.833%
vs Similar ◀ (11)75.576.3151.8-0.755%
vs Weaker (4)70.573.5144.0-3.025%
This opponent (Southside W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -6.1-6.1Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +1.8+1.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -6.1-6.1Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +1.8+1.8
Southside WAdelaide Lightning W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Southside WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A20/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H22/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A30/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H04/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H08/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
W
29-22
29
22
+7
A11/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A18/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A25/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H31/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A02/02
NBL W
83.9Avg total
40.6Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.143.285.2-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.842.584.3-0.753%-
Last 30 away (15)42.343.886.1-1.533%-
Last 10 (10)40.643.383.9-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)40.042.082.0-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)41.043.384.3-2.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)43.444.688.0-1.241%-
vs Weaker (4)38.836.875.5+2.075%-
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southside W
#7
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H20/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A22/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H27/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H03/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A05/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A11/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A19/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A24/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H01/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H05/02
NBL W
79.2Avg total
35.9Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.939.075.9-2.037%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.040.080.0+0.046%-
Last 30 away (17)34.638.272.8-3.629%-
Last 10 (10)35.943.379.2-7.420%-
Last 5 (5)34.042.076.0-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)38.540.779.3-2.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)36.137.373.4-1.245%-
vs Weaker (4)33.237.070.2-3.825%-
This opponent (Southside W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Southside Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Southside W: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.318.9
44.7%
46.9%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.3
32.7%
32.2%21.9
🏀 Free throws21.116.8
79.6%
75.1%16.8
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Adelaide Lightning Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide Lightning W: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.521.8
46.9%
46.9%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.76.4
27.0%
32.2%19.2
🏀 Free throws15.29.5
62.5%
75.1%9.5
They take 70.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Southside W
LLLLLLLLWL
Adelaide Lightning W
LWLLLLLLWW
#7
League position
#6
-11.3
Net rating
-11.0
96.9
Offensive rating
90.1
108.2
Defensive rating
101.0
46.2%
Effective FG%
44.7%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
46.4%
20.3%
Turnover %
19.1%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.22
32.7%
3-point %
27.0%
59.9%
Assist %
66.7%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence96.9 · 90.1Defence108.2 · 101.0Shooting46.2% · 44.7%3-point %32.7% · 27.0%Ball care20.3% · 19.1%Off. rebounds27.6% · 26.8%Free throws0.33 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)10% · 30%
■ Southside W   ■ Adelaide Lightning W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/25ABendigo W73-92
31/01/25HTownsville W85-90
25/01/25ACanberra Capitals W79-94
18/01/25APerth Lynx W78-86
11/01/25ATownsville W63-73
08/01/25HGeelong United W70-76
04/01/25HTownsville W75-78
30/12/24ASydney W91-99
22/12/24HBendigo W91-88
20/12/24AAdelaide Lightning W72-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/25HTownsville W63-90
01/02/25HPerth Lynx W87-69
24/01/25ABendigo W59-65
19/01/25ASydney W60-84
11/01/25ACanberra Capitals W76-91
05/01/25APerth Lynx W76-94
03/01/25HCanberra Capitals W77-88
27/12/24HBendigo W67-95
22/12/24ASydney W86-73
20/12/24HSouthside W82-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southside W
NBL W 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeLWLLL33%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %21%33%10%
Points / game80.282.378.2
Allowed / game85.584.286.7
Point differential-5.4-1.9-8.5
Avg total165.7166.6164.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%11%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)25% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Adelaide Lightning W
NBL W 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL32%
HomeWLLWL44%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %32%44%20%
Points / game71.874.269.6
Allowed / game76.477.375.6
Point differential-4.6-3.1-6.0
Avg total148.2151.6145.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo W2018290%85.772.2+13.5
2 Perth Lynx W2015575%86.879.2+7.6
3 Townsville W1914574%81.572.1+9.4
4 Sydney W1871139%78.883.5-4.7
5 Canberra Capitals W1971237%79.485.2-5.8
6 Adelaide Lightning W1961332%71.876.4-4.6
7 Geelong United W2061430%72.283.1-10.8
8 Southside W1941521%80.285.5-5.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Southside W2227211484
Adelaide Lightning W1827181578
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