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Mega Basket vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 107-102
29-29 28-33 23-26 27-14
Position#8
Record5-9
FormLLWLW
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game92.1
vs
Position#4
Record11-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game81.5
EuropeABA LeagueRound 17· Hala sportova Ranko
Domestic2025
Meetings · Mega Basket v Crvena zvezda
01 Feb 2026
MEG107
CZV102
10 Nov 2024
MEG76
CZV81
07 May 2024
MEG69
CZV94
11 Dec 2023
MEG88
CZV98
03 Apr 2023
MEG78
CZV87
12 Jun 2022
MEG77
CZV70
07 Feb 2022
MEG69
CZV76
11 Jun 2021
MEG86
CZV79
14 Feb 2021
MEG60
CZV73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mega Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
W
109-83
109
83
+26
105avg 77
H31/10
ABA League
Zadar
#9
L
73-88
73
88
-15
65avg 77
A14/11
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
65-98
65
98
-33
52avg 77
H23/11
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
73-85
73
85
-12
64avg 77
A06/12
ABA League
Zadar
#9
W
90-89
90
89
+1
80avg 77
H12/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
72-90
72
90
-18
66avg 77
H21/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
82-100
82
100
-18
75avg 77
A26/12
ABA League
Vienna Basket
#17
W
100-98
100
98
+2
100avg 77
H05/01
ABA League
KK Bosna
#11
L
83-94
83
94
-11
no box
A18/01
ABA League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
W
86-77
86
77
+9
79avg 77
A24/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
34-18
26-18
26-23
24-19
19-27
17-20
13-22
16-19
18-32
10-21
21-26
19-24
25-18
14-20
15-23
16-20
31-19
15-27
28-23
16-25
21-17
21-16
14-32
19-31
19-22
20-22
24-25
30-26
20-23
26-29
24-20
17-27
18-33
25-15
23-19
20-27
23-24
17-16
26-10
173.5Avg total
83.3Scored
90.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)83.992.1175.9-8.236%
Season at home (6)90.391.0181.3-0.767%
Season away (8)79.092.9171.9-13.912%
Last 10 (10)83.390.2173.5-6.940%
Last 5 (5)84.691.8176.4-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)77.690.4167.9-12.87%
vs Similar (13)87.286.4173.5+0.862%
vs Weaker (2)84.079.5163.5+4.5100%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
W
91-74
91
74
+17
93avg 83
A04/01
ABA League
Valencia
#3
L
89-106
89
106
-17
80avg 83
H06/01
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
67-99
67
99
-32
62avg 83
A09/01
Euroleague
KK Bosna
#11
W
97-92
97
92
+5
99avg 83
H12/01
ABA League
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
104-96
104
96
+8
no box
A15/01
Euroleague
Zadar
#9
W
80-67
80
67
+13
no box
A17/01
ABA League
Monaco
#10
W
100-96 OT
100
96
+4
107avg 83
A20/01
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
102-93
102
93
+9
106avg 83
A23/01
Euroleague
Vienna Basket
#17
W
108-99
108
99
+9
107avg 83
H26/01
ABA League
Dubai
#11
W
95-92
95
92
+3
93avg 83
H30/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
17-19
27-14
22-17
20-34
17-20
27-23
25-29
12-26
16-21
24-21
15-31
31-20
19-17
26-26
21-29
27-25
17-30
26-27
34-14
21-22
21-12
26-12
12-21
27-21
23-23
18-27
22-19
31-26
26-26
25-16
20-25
34-23
26-24
21-22
27-30
34-14
10-27
24-20
27-31
184.7Avg total
93.3Scored
91.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)91.881.5173.3+10.379%
Season at home (8)95.583.6179.1+11.988%
Season away (6)86.878.7165.5+8.267%
Last 10 (10)93.391.4184.7+1.980%
Last 5 (5)97.089.4186.4+7.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)91.080.0171.0+11.0100%
vs Similar (16)88.689.0177.6-0.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)89.880.3170.1+9.585%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -2.1-2.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -2.1-2.1
Mega BasketCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H31/10
ABA League
Zadar
#9
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A14/11
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H23/11
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#5
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A06/12
ABA League
Zadar
#9
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H12/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H21/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A26/12
ABA League
Vienna Basket
#17
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H05/01
ABA League
KK Bosna
#11
L
35-60
35
60
-25
A18/01
ABA League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A24/01
ABA League
90.3Avg total
42.8Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.147.289.3-5.030%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.943.488.4+1.557%-
Last 30 away (16)39.750.490.1-10.86%-
Last 10 (10)42.847.590.3-4.740%-
Last 5 (5)40.651.091.6-10.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.848.386.1-10.514%-
vs Similar (13)46.047.293.2-1.246%-
vs Weaker (2)45.050.595.5-5.50%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A04/01
ABA League
Valencia
#3
L
37-54
37
54
-17
H06/01
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A09/01
Euroleague
KK Bosna
#11
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H12/01
ABA League
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A15/01
Euroleague
Zadar
#9
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A17/01
ABA League
Monaco
#10
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A20/01
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A23/01
Euroleague
Vienna Basket
#17
W
60-47
60
47
+13
H26/01
ABA League
Dubai
#11
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H30/01
Euroleague
90.8Avg total
45.4Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.742.887.5+2.050%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.041.286.2+3.854%-
Last 30 away (17)44.544.088.5+0.547%-
Last 10 (10)45.445.490.8+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)50.643.694.2+7.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.038.075.0-1.00%-
vs Similar (16)43.845.689.4-1.931%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)46.539.686.2+6.977%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.420.0
54.9%
54.6%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.38.6
30.4%
35.1%25.8
🏀 Free throws20.415.5
76.0%
75.3%15.5
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 92.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.723.0
62.7%
54.6%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.310.3
36.4%
35.1%30.9
🏀 Free throws20.016.0
80.0%
75.3%16.0
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mega Basket
WLWLLWLLLW
Crvena zvezda
WWWWWWWLLW
#8
League position
#4
-9.7
Net rating
+4.4
101.2
Offensive rating
109.7
110.9
Defensive rating
105.3
50.9%
Effective FG%
59.2%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
18.3%
Turnover %
17.6%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.31
30.4%
3-point %
36.4%
53.5%
Assist %
75.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence101.2 · 109.7Defence110.9 · 105.3Shooting50.9% · 59.2%3-point %30.4% · 36.4%Ball care18.3% · 17.6%Off. rebounds30.2% · 32.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Mega Basket   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mega Basket wins
9
Crvena zvezda wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26APerspektiva Ilirija86-77
18/01/26AKK Bosna83-94
05/01/26HVienna Basket100-98
26/12/25ABuducnost82-100
21/12/25HCedevita Olimpija72-90
12/12/25HZadar90-89
06/12/25ASpartak Subotica73-85
23/11/25HBuducnost65-98
14/11/25AZadar73-88
31/10/25HPerspektiva Ilirija109-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/26HDubai95-92
26/01/26HVienna Basket108-99
23/01/26AVirtus Bologna102-93
20/01/26AMonaco100-96 OT
17/01/26AZadar80-67
15/01/26AOlimpia Milano104-96
12/01/26HKK Bosna97-92
09/01/26AZalgiris Kaunas67-99
06/01/26HValencia89-106
04/01/26APerspektiva Ilirija91-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mega Basket
ABA League 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW36%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayLLLLW12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %36%67%12%
Points / game83.990.379.0
Allowed / game92.191.092.9
Point differential-8.2-0.7-13.9
Avg total175.9181.3171.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crvena zvezda
ABA League 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW79%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %79%88%67%
Points / game91.895.586.8
Allowed / game81.583.678.7
Point differential+10.3+11.9+8.2
Avg total173.3179.1165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%62%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dubai14140100%88.573.6+14.9
2 Partizan1514193%92.581.4+11.1
3 Buducnost1513287%89.178.4+10.7
4 Crvena zvezda1411379%91.881.5+10.3
5 Cedevita Olimpija1511473%89.381.0+8.3
6 Cluj-Napoca159660%93.087.7+5.3
7 KK Bosna158753%83.785.1-1.3
8 Igokea147750%85.689.6-3.9
9 Spartak Subotica157847%82.383.0-0.7
10 FMP Beograd145936%84.287.9-3.7
11 Borac Mozzart145936%78.983.9-5.0
12 Mega Basket145936%83.992.1-8.2
13 KK Krka Novo mesto1441029%77.281.6-4.4
14 Zadar1541127%81.185.3-4.2
15 Vienna Basket1541127%84.691.7-7.1
16 Split1541127%82.491.6-9.2
17 Perspektiva Ilirija1431121%79.287.4-8.2
18 Studentski Centar1531220%79.184.1-5.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mega Basket29282327107
Crvena zvezda29332614102
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