Sydney vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (37)	99.2	86.9	186.2	+12.3	73%
Season at home (19)	100.3	87.9	188.2	+12.4	79%
Season away (18)	98.1	85.9	184.0	+12.1	67%
Last 10 (10)	107.6	87.7	195.3	+19.9	90%
Last 5 (5)	102.4	83.0	185.4	+19.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	101.5	87.0	188.5	+14.5	80%

This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Adelaide

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAdelaide

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

99-100

100

-1

99avg 88

A05/02

NBL

Melbourne United

87-76

+11

87avg 88

A07/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

92-89

87avg 88

H14/02

NBL

Perth

74-86

-12

68avg 88

A20/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

107-111

107

111

-4

no box

H22/02

NBL

South East Melbourne

104-97

104

100avg 88

H10/03

NBL

South East Melbourne

92-101

101

-9

93avg 88

A14/03

NBL

South East Melbourne

108-96

108

+12

115avg 88

H17/03

NBL

Sydney

68-112

112

-44

46avg 88

A21/03

NBL

Sydney

91-89

83avg 88

H27/03

NBL

21-27

30-18

27-24

21-31

29-23

12-16

26-14

20-23

16-29

23-21

20-21

33-18

17-19

17-29

24-17

16-21

25-28

29-19

28-34

25-30

25-27

25-21

27-27

27-22

30-19

27-25

20-39

15-18

28-17

31-28

24-19

25-32

23-31

16-28

17-31

12-22

25-30

28-22

15-25

23-12

187.9Avg total

92.2Scored

95.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (39)	92.6	89.6	182.3	+3.0	67%
Season at home (21)	92.8	89.7	182.5	+3.0	71%
Season away (18)	92.4	89.6	182.0	+2.9	61%
Last 10 (10)	92.2	95.7	187.9	-3.5	50%
Last 5 (5)	92.6	99.0	191.6	-6.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	91.1	96.6	187.7	-5.5	45%
vs Similar (11)	93.8	92.3	186.1	+1.5	64%
vs Weaker (8)	96.5	82.8	179.2	+13.8	88%

This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SydneyAdelaide

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	26.4	23.6	50.0	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	26.5	23.3	49.8	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	26.3	23.9	50.2	+2.5	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.1	26.1	53.2	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.2	25.6	51.8	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	26.4	23.6	50.0	+2.9	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	23.0	45.7	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	23.6	45.6	-1.5	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.4	22.4	45.9	+1.0	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	25.0	48.9	-1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.2	24.8	51.0	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	23.5	24.3	47.8	-0.7	27%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.7	22.0	43.7	-0.3	55%	-
vs Weaker (8)	22.9	22.8	45.6	+0.1	38%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.3	21.4	46.7	+3.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	27.5	20.9	48.4	+6.7	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.1	21.9	45.1	+1.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.5	21.5	48.0	+5.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	20.8	46.6	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	25.3	21.4	46.7	+3.9	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	23.0	46.2	+0.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.5	22.6	47.1	+1.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.7	23.4	45.1	-1.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.8	22.7	46.5	+1.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	24.8	50.2	+0.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	23.3	24.4	47.6	-1.1	55%	-
vs Similar (11)	22.4	23.2	45.5	-0.8	55%	-
vs Weaker (8)	24.2	20.9	45.1	+3.4	62%	-

SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

63-45

+18

H29/01

NBL

Cairns Taipans

45-54

-9

A01/02

NBL

South East Melbourne

55-54

A08/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

58-46

+12

A13/02

NBL

Perth

55-45

+10

H15/02

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

#10

58-50

A20/02

NBL

Perth

48-44

H11/03

NBL

Perth

43-46

-3

A14/03

NBL

Adelaide

59-39

+20

H21/03

NBL

Adelaide

52-53

-1

A27/03

NBL

101.2Avg total

53.6Scored

47.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	51.8	45.0	96.7	+6.8	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	54.1	44.1	98.2	+9.9	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	49.5	45.8	95.3	+3.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	53.6	47.6	101.2	+6.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	52.0	46.4	98.4	+5.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	51.8	45.0	96.7	+6.8	73%	-

This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

51-45

A05/02

NBL

Melbourne United

41-39

A07/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

39-50

-11

H14/02

NBL

Perth

34-48

-14

A20/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

54-47

H22/02

NBL

South East Melbourne

50-48

H10/03

NBL

South East Melbourne

57-44

+13

A14/03

NBL

South East Melbourne

59-45

+14

H17/03

NBL

Sydney

39-59

-20

A21/03

NBL

Sydney

53-52

H27/03

NBL

95.4Avg total

47.7Scored

47.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.9	46.0	91.9	-0.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	46.6	46.2	92.8	+0.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	45.1	45.9	91.0	-0.7	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.7	47.7	95.4	+0.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	51.6	49.6	101.2	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	46.8	48.6	95.5	-1.8	45%	-
vs Similar (11)	44.1	45.2	89.3	-1.1	55%	-
vs Weaker (8)	47.1	43.6	90.8	+3.5	75%	-

This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.2	19.9	45.1	+5.3	77%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.5	21.1	46.7	+4.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.9	18.6	43.5	+6.3	87%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.4	20.2	46.6	+6.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.0	17.2	43.2	+8.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	25.2	19.9	45.1	+5.3	77%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.3	21.7	45.0	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.2	20.9	45.1	+3.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.3	22.5	44.8	-0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	25.1	47.9	-2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	28.2	48.8	-7.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	20.8	25.4	46.2	-4.5	27%	-
vs Similar (11)	24.9	21.3	46.2	+3.6	64%	-
vs Weaker (8)	24.5	17.1	41.6	+7.4	88%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.9	21.8	45.7	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.8	23.5	46.3	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.9	20.1	45.1	+4.8	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.6	19.9	47.5	+7.7	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	19.4	43.8	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	23.9	21.8	45.7	+2.1	53%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	22.0	44.3	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.3	22.4	43.8	-1.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.5	21.5	45.0	+2.0	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	22.9	44.6	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	21.2	41.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	22.7	21.5	44.3	+1.2	55%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.4	23.4	44.7	-2.0	36%	-
vs Weaker (8)	23.1	20.8	43.9	+2.4	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	49.1	41.7	90.7	+7.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	48.3	44.6	92.9	+3.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	49.8	38.7	88.5	+11.1	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	54.0	40.1	94.1	+13.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.4	36.6	87.0	+13.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	49.1	41.7	90.7	+7.4	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.6	43.7	89.3	+2.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.5	43.4	88.9	+2.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	45.8	44.0	89.8	+1.8	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.5	48.0	92.5	-3.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	49.4	90.4	-8.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	43.5	46.9	90.5	-3.4	45%	-
vs Similar (11)	46.3	44.6	90.9	+1.6	55%	-
vs Weaker (8)	47.6	37.9	85.5	+9.8	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 107.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers55.0 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game

51%

32%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.7	27.5	61.5%	54.6%	55.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.8	11.7	39.3%	33.3%	35.1
🏀 Free throws	21.6	17.3	80.1%	74.8%	17.3

They take 74.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 88.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game

51%

32%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.3	21.4	55.9%	54.6%	42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.5	10.0	33.9%	33.3%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	19.3	15.6	80.8%	74.8%	15.6

They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.6	20.1	50.8%	54.6%	40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	36.7	11.0	30.0%	33.3%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	17.0	13.7	80.6%	74.8%	13.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	46.1	23.4	50.8%	54.6%	46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.7	11.5	36.3%	33.3%	34.5
🏀 Free throws	15.3	12.2	79.7%	74.8%	12.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.9	25.2	57.3%	54.6%	50.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.5	11.2	36.8%	33.3%	33.6
🏀 Free throws	21.9	16.6	76.1%	74.8%	16.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.9	22.0	52.6%	54.6%	44.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.1	10.4	36.9%	33.3%	31.1
🏀 Free throws	21.5	16.9	78.3%	74.8%	16.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	20.8	51.3%	54.6%	41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.5	10.5	32.3%	33.3%	31.5
🏀 Free throws	18.6	14.1	76.0%	74.8%	14.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.5	23.5	51.6%	54.6%	47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.2	9.5	32.6%	33.3%	28.6
🏀 Free throws	17.6	13.0	73.8%	74.8%	13.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Sydney

LWWWWWWWWW

Adelaide

WLWLWLLWWL

League position

+21.6

Net rating

-5.5

113.4

Offensive rating

95.9

91.7

Defensive rating

101.4

60.5%

Effective FG%

53.7%

48.0%

Opp. effective FG%

52.2%

10.0%

Turnover %

15.1%

0.29

Free-throw rate

0.28

39.3%

3-point %

33.9%

58.4%

Assist %

65.3%

90%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ Sydney ■ Adelaide

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sydney wins

Adelaide wins

Date	Game	Score
27/03/26	Adelaide v Sydney	91-89
21/03/26	Sydney v Adelaide	112-68
25/01/26	Sydney v Adelaide	106-101
02/01/26	Adelaide v Sydney	85-79
17/12/25	Sydney v Adelaide	97-93 OT
11/10/25	Adelaide v Sydney	79-103
13/02/25	Sydney v Adelaide	88-95
24/01/25	Sydney v Adelaide	96-105
30/12/24	Sydney v Adelaide	96-111
11/10/24	Adelaide v Sydney	89-79

Sydneylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/03/26	A	Adelaide	89-91
21/03/26	H	Adelaide	112-68
14/03/26	A	Perth	89-75
11/03/26	H	Perth	105-104
20/02/26	A	Brisbane Bullets	117-77
15/02/26	H	Perth	102-84
13/02/26	A	Illawarra Hawks	120-94
08/02/26	A	South East Melbourne	114-88
01/02/26	A	Cairns Taipans	106-92
29/01/26	H	Illawarra Hawks	122-104

Adelaidelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/03/26	H	Sydney	91-89
21/03/26	A	Sydney	68-112
17/03/26	H	South East Melbourne	108-96
14/03/26	A	South East Melbourne	92-101
10/03/26	H	South East Melbourne	104-97
22/02/26	H	New Zealand Breakers	107-111
20/02/26	A	Perth	74-86
14/02/26	H	New Zealand Breakers	92-89
07/02/26	A	Melbourne United	87-76
05/02/26	A	Illawarra Hawks	99-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sydney

NBL 2025-26

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	73%
Home	WWWWW	79%
Away	WWWWL	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	37	19	18
Win %	73%	79%	67%
Points / game	99.2	100.3	98.1
Allowed / game	86.9	87.9	85.9
Point differential	+12.3	+12.4	+12.1
Avg total	186.2	188.2	184.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	54%	53%	56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	56% (9)	67% (6)	33% (3)
Overtime %	5%	5%	6%

Adelaide

NBL 2025-26

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	67%
Home	WLWWW	71%
Away	LWLLL	61%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	39	21	18
Win %	67%	71%	61%
Points / game	92.6	92.8	92.4
Allowed / game	89.6	89.7	89.6
Point differential	+3.0	+3.0	+2.9
Avg total	182.3	182.5	182.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	31%	29%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	62% (13)	80% (5)	50% (8)
Overtime %	10%	10%	11%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sydney	37	27	10	73%	99.2	86.9	+12.3
2	Adelaide	39	26	13	67%	92.6	89.6	+3.0
3	South East Melbourne	37	24	13	65%	100.8	93.5	+7.3
4	Melbourne United	35	21	14	60%	91.4	87.7	+3.8
5	Perth	37	22	15	59%	90.9	87.1	+3.8
6	Tasmania JackJumpers	34	14	20	41%	86.5	87.2	-0.7
7	New Zealand Breakers	34	14	20	41%	92.1	93.1	-0.9
8	Illawarra Hawks	33	13	20	39%	93.2	97.1	-4.0
9	Cairns Taipans	33	9	24	27%	83.5	96.8	-13.3
10	Brisbane Bullets	33	6	27	18%	82.1	96.8	-14.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Sydney	24	28	21	33	106
Adelaide	31	22	17	23	93

← all games of the day

Sydney vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature